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Daily Horse Tips :
Friday :
Belmont
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
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Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $44000 Class Rating: 75
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
# 8 PHILANTHROPIST 8/5
# 6 CONFIRMED 7/2
# 7 BANDIT NAILHEAD 5/1
PHILANTHROPIST is the strongest wager in this race. Has to be carefully examined against this group displaying decent numbers as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 83 under similar conditions. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. The average class fig of 81 makes this one tough to beat. CONFIRMED - Could provide positive profits based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 72. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. BANDIT NAILHEAD - Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this colt has moved promptly to the lead recently. Has been running quite well and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Bay Meadows
Bay Meadows - Race #1 - Post: 7:20pm
Choice Plays:
#2 WILD WAGER (ML=6/5)
#3 DIANAS WELCOME (ML=5/2)
#4 MOUNTAIN SLEWPY (ML=5/1)
WILD WAGER - The return on investment when Romero and Sherman get together is tremendous. I predict a perfect trip. Stalk the pace, and rally on the turn. Gelding is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big performance today. This animal is tops in earnings per race. He looks solid in today's event. DIANAS WELCOME - Chad and Martin partnered together are a horseplayer's friend. MOUNTAIN SLEWPY - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Unquestionably on edge for a good one today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ASCLEPIUS (ML=7/2), #1 U BETCHA JOE (ML=8/1)
ASCLEPIUS - This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed figure last out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that fig. U BETCHA JOE - Finished first in his most recent effort with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
We aren't playing on the win end this time around
EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [3,4]
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park
Canterbury Park - Race 1 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 59 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 7:00
FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DAVES COMMANDER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ha s the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DANCIN MORTLOCK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HOLY BIRD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L " designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CARLANDO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Rating at the distance/surface.
2 DAVES COMMANDER 3/1 4/1
4 DANCIN MORTLOCK 5/2 9/2
7 HOLY BIRD 5/1 8/1
3 CARLANDO 10/1 10/1
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P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
8 SKOOCH 8 4/1 Alternator/Front-runner 0 0 69.6 50.2 42.2
2 DAVES COMMANDER 2 3/1 Alternator/Front-runner 0 0 67.3 59.6 55.6
7 HOLY BIRD 7 5/1 Alternator/Trailer 63 58 59.0 52.8 45.8
4 DANCIN MORTLOCK 4 5/2 Alternator/Trailer 61 66 40.6 55.2 46.7
3 CARLANDO 3 10/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 34.1 59.7 54.2
1 MR. BEN 1 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 60.1 27.6 13.1
5 JARED'S ROADSHOW 5 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 59.0 48.2 37.2
6 DRCOUTTSONCALL 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 37.9 44.6 32.6
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Churchill Downs
RACE #1 - CHURCHILL DOWNS - 2:45 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $10,000.00 CLAIMING $14,000.00 PURSE
#1 BALANCED FLIGHT
#8 BLACKJACK CANYON
#7 CLEVERBAGATRICKS
#2 IRON RAE
#1 BALANCED FLIGHT is the speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of his last five starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back ... he missed an opportunity for back-to-back "Circle Trips" by just a "photographed neck" at the wire in his last start.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Marquis Downs
Marquis Downs - Race 2 WIN THREE (RACES 2,3,4) EXACTOR / TRIACTOR
Claiming $2,000 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $2,500 • Post: 7:25
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARDS WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2004. THREE YEAR OLDS 124 LBS. OLDER 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2000.
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LEMON ANGEL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LEMON ANGEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Rating at the distance/surf ace. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6 LEMON ANGEL 5/1 2/1
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P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
5 RED SAID 5 5/2 Front-runner 66 72 62.8 57.8 52.8
3 THISDEVILCANFLY 3 3/1 Front-runner 69 69 61.2 56.2 53.2
7 KINGS KIN 7 6/1 Front-runner 75 71 49.3 48.3 40.8
1 SUNRISE WARRIOR 1 4/1 Front-runner 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 LEMON ANGEL 6 5/1 Alternator/Front-runner 68 74 73.8 66.6 62.6
4 THUNDERINTHESKY 4 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 57 57 56.5 51.0 42.0
2 REMARKABLE AFFAIR 2 7/2 Alternator/Non-contender 60 52 46.6 46.8 36.8
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Handicapped by Valuline at Pimlico
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Pimlico, Race 2 (Friday June 4, 2004)
CALLING ALL FORBES
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
PIM-2 6f DIRT Six Horses"A" CLM 15,000 3YUP $14,000P# dd ex p3 t ML WP TVL
5 CALLING ALL FORBES 9/5 63% 3/5 6 DATA STREAM 8/1 18% 9/2
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Prairie Mdws
Prairie Mdws - Race #4 - Post: 7:27pm
Choice Plays:
#3 ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE (ML=7/2)
#1 KODAN (ML=5/2)
#6 NAME APPEAL (ML=3/1)
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is up against an easier group than last time around the track at Oaklawn. You should disregard that last contest at Oaklawn on a track listed as good where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this race on a normal track. KODAN - Corbett and Coatney partnered with one another are a horseplayer's friend. This gelding is in first-rate form right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back soon. Is ranked at the top in earnings per start (EPS). A strong try right here can increase that bankroll. That 69 fig this gelding earned in his last affair tells me he's a chief player this time around. NAME APPEAL - I undeniably see good things for this magnificent animal right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 C T KING OFTHEROAD (ML=4/1), #8 KAOUGH (ML=6/1)
C T KING OFTHEROAD - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. KAOUGH - This mount has no victories in his last ten races. He's probably not worth the price on the win end today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
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Race 6 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $8300 Class Rating: 75
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MAIDEN THREE, FOUR & FIVE-YEAR OLDS, REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED. 3-YEAR OLDS 121 LBS.; 4 & 5-YEAR OLDS 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
# 9 REAL AND FREE 5/2
# 8 DOUBLE TALKER 6/1
# 7 ALIVE RIME 5/1
I've got to go with REAL AND FREE. Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Could beat this group given the 76 Equibase Speed Figure garnered in her last outing. Has been moving admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. DOUBLE TALKER - Could go off at a nice price and has some positive attributes going for him. Has put up solid speed figures in short races in the past. ALIVE RIME - Could best this group based on the speed rating - 67 - of his last contest. Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent speed figures with an average of 68.
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G.L.
***MMM***
:cool: :cool: :cool:
Belmont
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $44000 Class Rating: 75
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
# 8 PHILANTHROPIST 8/5
# 6 CONFIRMED 7/2
# 7 BANDIT NAILHEAD 5/1
PHILANTHROPIST is the strongest wager in this race. Has to be carefully examined against this group displaying decent numbers as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 83 under similar conditions. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. The average class fig of 81 makes this one tough to beat. CONFIRMED - Could provide positive profits based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 72. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. BANDIT NAILHEAD - Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this colt has moved promptly to the lead recently. Has been running quite well and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Bay Meadows
Bay Meadows - Race #1 - Post: 7:20pm
Choice Plays:
#2 WILD WAGER (ML=6/5)
#3 DIANAS WELCOME (ML=5/2)
#4 MOUNTAIN SLEWPY (ML=5/1)
WILD WAGER - The return on investment when Romero and Sherman get together is tremendous. I predict a perfect trip. Stalk the pace, and rally on the turn. Gelding is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big performance today. This animal is tops in earnings per race. He looks solid in today's event. DIANAS WELCOME - Chad and Martin partnered together are a horseplayer's friend. MOUNTAIN SLEWPY - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Unquestionably on edge for a good one today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ASCLEPIUS (ML=7/2), #1 U BETCHA JOE (ML=8/1)
ASCLEPIUS - This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed figure last out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that fig. U BETCHA JOE - Finished first in his most recent effort with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
We aren't playing on the win end this time around
EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [3,4]
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park
Canterbury Park - Race 1 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 59 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 7:00
FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DAVES COMMANDER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ha s the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DANCIN MORTLOCK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HOLY BIRD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L " designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CARLANDO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Rating at the distance/surface.
2 DAVES COMMANDER 3/1 4/1
4 DANCIN MORTLOCK 5/2 9/2
7 HOLY BIRD 5/1 8/1
3 CARLANDO 10/1 10/1
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P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
8 SKOOCH 8 4/1 Alternator/Front-runner 0 0 69.6 50.2 42.2
2 DAVES COMMANDER 2 3/1 Alternator/Front-runner 0 0 67.3 59.6 55.6
7 HOLY BIRD 7 5/1 Alternator/Trailer 63 58 59.0 52.8 45.8
4 DANCIN MORTLOCK 4 5/2 Alternator/Trailer 61 66 40.6 55.2 46.7
3 CARLANDO 3 10/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 34.1 59.7 54.2
1 MR. BEN 1 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 60.1 27.6 13.1
5 JARED'S ROADSHOW 5 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 59.0 48.2 37.2
6 DRCOUTTSONCALL 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 37.9 44.6 32.6
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Churchill Downs
RACE #1 - CHURCHILL DOWNS - 2:45 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $10,000.00 CLAIMING $14,000.00 PURSE
#1 BALANCED FLIGHT
#8 BLACKJACK CANYON
#7 CLEVERBAGATRICKS
#2 IRON RAE
#1 BALANCED FLIGHT is the speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of his last five starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back ... he missed an opportunity for back-to-back "Circle Trips" by just a "photographed neck" at the wire in his last start.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Marquis Downs
Marquis Downs - Race 2 WIN THREE (RACES 2,3,4) EXACTOR / TRIACTOR
Claiming $2,000 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $2,500 • Post: 7:25
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARDS WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2004. THREE YEAR OLDS 124 LBS. OLDER 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2000.
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LEMON ANGEL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LEMON ANGEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Rating at the distance/surf ace. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6 LEMON ANGEL 5/1 2/1
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P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
5 RED SAID 5 5/2 Front-runner 66 72 62.8 57.8 52.8
3 THISDEVILCANFLY 3 3/1 Front-runner 69 69 61.2 56.2 53.2
7 KINGS KIN 7 6/1 Front-runner 75 71 49.3 48.3 40.8
1 SUNRISE WARRIOR 1 4/1 Front-runner 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 LEMON ANGEL 6 5/1 Alternator/Front-runner 68 74 73.8 66.6 62.6
4 THUNDERINTHESKY 4 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 57 57 56.5 51.0 42.0
2 REMARKABLE AFFAIR 2 7/2 Alternator/Non-contender 60 52 46.6 46.8 36.8
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Handicapped by Valuline at Pimlico
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Pimlico, Race 2 (Friday June 4, 2004)
CALLING ALL FORBES
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
PIM-2 6f DIRT Six Horses"A" CLM 15,000 3YUP $14,000P# dd ex p3 t ML WP TVL
5 CALLING ALL FORBES 9/5 63% 3/5 6 DATA STREAM 8/1 18% 9/2
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Prairie Mdws
Prairie Mdws - Race #4 - Post: 7:27pm
Choice Plays:
#3 ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE (ML=7/2)
#1 KODAN (ML=5/2)
#6 NAME APPEAL (ML=3/1)
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is up against an easier group than last time around the track at Oaklawn. You should disregard that last contest at Oaklawn on a track listed as good where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this race on a normal track. KODAN - Corbett and Coatney partnered with one another are a horseplayer's friend. This gelding is in first-rate form right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back soon. Is ranked at the top in earnings per start (EPS). A strong try right here can increase that bankroll. That 69 fig this gelding earned in his last affair tells me he's a chief player this time around. NAME APPEAL - I undeniably see good things for this magnificent animal right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 C T KING OFTHEROAD (ML=4/1), #8 KAOUGH (ML=6/1)
C T KING OFTHEROAD - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. KAOUGH - This mount has no victories in his last ten races. He's probably not worth the price on the win end today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
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Race 6 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $8300 Class Rating: 75
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MAIDEN THREE, FOUR & FIVE-YEAR OLDS, REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED. 3-YEAR OLDS 121 LBS.; 4 & 5-YEAR OLDS 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
# 9 REAL AND FREE 5/2
# 8 DOUBLE TALKER 6/1
# 7 ALIVE RIME 5/1
I've got to go with REAL AND FREE. Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Could beat this group given the 76 Equibase Speed Figure garnered in her last outing. Has been moving admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. DOUBLE TALKER - Could go off at a nice price and has some positive attributes going for him. Has put up solid speed figures in short races in the past. ALIVE RIME - Could best this group based on the speed rating - 67 - of his last contest. Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent speed figures with an average of 68.
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G.L.
***MMM***
:cool: :cool: :cool: