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Hi all,
First off, here is the link to the program I bought and stuck on my site:
http://www.nkypoker.org/CDMay2.pdf
Basically, I think this is a top heavy field. The last two years I had Street Sense and Colonel John....one good and one awful. I can see one of the long shots coming in underneath, but the only double digit horses I see with a real shot to win are #2 and #19. I wouldn't be shocked if the top 4 horses all came form within the top 6 favorites tomorrow.
For months I liked I Want Revenge and his win last month in the Wood only reinforced that. To break like that and still roll through to an easy win, after being on the pace before, I think he's flexible enough to handle the Derby even if he gets a so-so trip.
Lately the more I looked at Dunkirk the more I liked him too. I'd put him as my 1B choice right now. He's only getting better and I think he will even get better this time. I'm not too worried about his lack of 2-year old works either because of how he's progressed.
I'm not sold on Pioneerofthenile. Probably alot because Colobel John burned me last year, is his brother, and had the same track record. I still put him in some plays but mostly b/c, as I said earlier, I'm don't like half the field whatsoever.
Friesen Fire won in the slop and it might be messy tomorrow. I know it's good to have a win in the slop, but most of the other horses don't have an off track race to judge for being good or bad at all.
Here are my Derby plays. Drinks on me if it comes in something like 13-15-6-16, haha. Good luck all!!!
$1 Tri 13 / 2,5,6,12,15,16,19 / 2,5,6,12,15,16,19 ($42)
$1 Tri 13 / 6,15,16 / 6,15,16 ($6)
$1 Sup 13,15 / 13,15 / 6,16 / 6,16 ($4)
$1 Sup 6,13 / 6,13 / 15,16 / 15,16 ($4)
$1 Tri 6,16 / 6,13,15,16 / 6,13,15,16 ($12)
$1 Tri 2,19 / 6,13,15 / 6,13,15,16 ($18)
$2 ExB 6,13,15 ($12)
$20 W 13
$2 W 2
$2 W 19
First off, here is the link to the program I bought and stuck on my site:
http://www.nkypoker.org/CDMay2.pdf
Basically, I think this is a top heavy field. The last two years I had Street Sense and Colonel John....one good and one awful. I can see one of the long shots coming in underneath, but the only double digit horses I see with a real shot to win are #2 and #19. I wouldn't be shocked if the top 4 horses all came form within the top 6 favorites tomorrow.
For months I liked I Want Revenge and his win last month in the Wood only reinforced that. To break like that and still roll through to an easy win, after being on the pace before, I think he's flexible enough to handle the Derby even if he gets a so-so trip.
Lately the more I looked at Dunkirk the more I liked him too. I'd put him as my 1B choice right now. He's only getting better and I think he will even get better this time. I'm not too worried about his lack of 2-year old works either because of how he's progressed.
I'm not sold on Pioneerofthenile. Probably alot because Colobel John burned me last year, is his brother, and had the same track record. I still put him in some plays but mostly b/c, as I said earlier, I'm don't like half the field whatsoever.
Friesen Fire won in the slop and it might be messy tomorrow. I know it's good to have a win in the slop, but most of the other horses don't have an off track race to judge for being good or bad at all.
Here are my Derby plays. Drinks on me if it comes in something like 13-15-6-16, haha. Good luck all!!!
$1 Tri 13 / 2,5,6,12,15,16,19 / 2,5,6,12,15,16,19 ($42)
$1 Tri 13 / 6,15,16 / 6,15,16 ($6)
$1 Sup 13,15 / 13,15 / 6,16 / 6,16 ($4)
$1 Sup 6,13 / 6,13 / 15,16 / 15,16 ($4)
$1 Tri 6,16 / 6,13,15,16 / 6,13,15,16 ($12)
$1 Tri 2,19 / 6,13,15 / 6,13,15,16 ($18)
$2 ExB 6,13,15 ($12)
$20 W 13
$2 W 2
$2 W 19
PS-MARVIN LOVES SPLIT SALAD !! 
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