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Bill Mill Horses 2/22

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  • Bill Mill Horses 2/22

    Had a pretty decent day on 2-20, slamming the 9th at Gulf for nice payouts. So we try again. Aqueduct closed due to the snow storm. WPS

    Gulfstream

    Race 1 #8 and #6
    Race 2 #8
    Race 3 #3 and #8
    Race 4 #6
    Race 5 #1 and #10
    Race 6 #4 and #1
    Race 7 #6 and #8
    Race 8 #1
    Race 9 #9 and #2

    Fairgrounds

    Race 1 #3
    Race 3 #7
    Race 5 #3
    Race 6 #4
    Race 9 #4

    Oaklawn

    Race 1 #1 and #6
    Race 5 #7
    Race 7 #5
    Race 8 #1
    Race 9 #3

    Santa Anita

    Race 1 #1
    Race 2 #5
    Race 3 #8 and #5
    Race 7 #8
    Race 8 #2

    Turfway

    Race 3 #6
    Race 5 #1
    Race 7 #4
    Race 10 #10
    2012 - 2013 NCAAF

    21 - 20 - 0

    2012 - 2013 NFL

    14 - 10 - 1

  • #2
    good luck Bill

    How about the 11 at gulfstream in race 9? 12-1 odds. Looks like a winner to me.

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by longnex
      good luck Bill

      How about the 11 at gulfstream in race 9? 12-1 odds. Looks like a winner to me.
      You know I am really torn in that race. The trainer on the 11 is doing really well. Upgrades to Coa. The race seems pretty paceless, not sure who is going to go up front here. Best guess for me was the #2 setting pace and maybe no one catching him?? I usually play Mott horses and the #9 has a good turf pedigree and has strong late speed that rivals the 1 and 3 (either of which can win this). The #14 has been in the money against better. Mott sadles another in an uncoupled entry possibly the #7. The #4 gets blinkers and could provide him with some additional speed to take it. AND then you have FTS 10, 12 and 13 (but 10 doesn't get lasix?) all with some decent furlongs worked with strong connections.

      So I really have no clue on this one. Took one I thought may set the pace, then on with strong late speed who's pedigree and connections I love. I will tell you this though, this race will PAY BIG whoever takes it. I think the #3 ML favorite is vulnerable though. Good Luck whatever you do. Depending how I am doing, I may do an 9 w ALL w ALL BOX TRI (alot of $ I know, usually saved for the big races) because this could be a 4 digit tri.
      2012 - 2013 NCAAF

      21 - 20 - 0

      2012 - 2013 NFL

      14 - 10 - 1

      Comment


      • #4
        I said it because the trainer is my cousin and I usually bet all his horses. He usually does much better at Arlington and Hawthorne.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by longnex
          I said it because the trainer is my cousin and I usually bet all his horses. He usually does much better at Arlington and Hawthorne.
          Well he is having a FANTASTIC Year (2008) so far. He is at like a 30% win pct since January!!! He gets Coa who besides Jo Velazquez is tearing up this meet. BUT I think he picked a tough race to put this one in. I am telling you I can't throw ONE out here
          2012 - 2013 NCAAF

          21 - 20 - 0

          2012 - 2013 NFL

          14 - 10 - 1

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by BillMill71
            Well he is having a FANTASTIC Year (2008) so far. He is at like a 30% win pct since January!!! He gets Coa who besides Jo Velazquez is tearing up this meet. BUT I think he picked a tough race to put this one in. I am telling you I can't throw ONE out here
            He has a horse in the 1st race also that you didnt include. I didnt bet anything yet today. Think he has a shot in the 1st?

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by longnex
              He has a horse in the 1st race also that you didnt include. I didnt bet anything yet today. Think he has a shot in the 1st?
              Impossible to tell. Lu Ann Z is coming off 126 day layoff. Any horse coming off a 100+ day layoff, for me to touch them they have to have at least worked 14+ furlongs in the last three weeks, this one is close at 13. Gets Nunez who is only hitting at 5%, while Coa steps on the #8 for a lesser trainer, don't like that. His horse has the best numbers for me of those who have run, and has run decent for this class of horse at this distance. 6 horses are FTS in here, with Walder (who has been even more sucessful then your cousin) getting Valzaquez on the #6, with 15 nice furlongs worked. The #5 gets blinkers and is jumping up and coming short after 19 days. The #7 coming off a flop for me. I would try a 9/8/6 w 9/8/6/5 w ALL Tri here.
              2012 - 2013 NCAAF

              21 - 20 - 0

              2012 - 2013 NFL

              14 - 10 - 1

              Comment


              • #8
                thanks Bill. Going to lunch. Good luck with the horses.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by BillMill71
                  Impossible to tell. Lu Ann Z is coming off 126 day layoff. Any horse coming off a 100+ day layoff, for me to touch them they have to have at least worked 14+ furlongs in the last three weeks, this one is close at 13. Gets Nunez who is only hitting at 5%, while Coa steps on the #8 for a lesser trainer, don't like that. His horse has the best numbers for me of those who have run, and has run decent for this class of horse at this distance. 6 horses are FTS in here, with Walder (who has been even more sucessful then your cousin) getting Valzaquez on the #6, with 15 nice furlongs worked. The #5 gets blinkers and is jumping up and coming short after 19 days. The #7 coming off a flop for me. I would try a 9/8/6 w 9/8/6/5 w ALL Tri here.
                  Good Hit on Lu Ann Z for your cousin. My #8 couldnt catch, but got place at a nice price.
                  Last edited by BillMill71; 02-22-2008, 02:25 PM.
                  2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                  21 - 20 - 0

                  2012 - 2013 NFL

                  14 - 10 - 1

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by BillMill71
                    Good Hit on Lu Ann Z for your cousin. My #8 couldnt catch, but got place at a nice price.
                    Thanks. Would rather see his 12-1 shot come in. Im sure with Coa riding he will be bet down.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      BOL with the horses today Billy!!!
                      SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        A pretty good day so far. Going to add:

                        Oaklawn

                        Race 2 #3

                        Fairgrounds

                        Race 4 #5
                        2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                        21 - 20 - 0

                        2012 - 2013 NFL

                        14 - 10 - 1

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by longnex
                          good luck Bill

                          How about the 11 at gulfstream in race 9? 12-1 odds. Looks like a winner to me.
                          It scratched.

                          Keep up the great work Bill

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Thanks for the picks bill
                            updated thru 4/04 play

                            CFB: (0-1) 1.05 units
                            NFL: (0-0) 0.0 units

                            Comment

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