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Del Mar - Saturday

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  • Del Mar - Saturday

    Nice write up by a web site of some picks for Del mar

    Christopher Ado’s Del Mar Handicap
    August 5th, 2006 HorseHats.com picks
    Today’s Action from Del Mar: I will highlight and play races 4, 7, 8, and 9.
    In addition, I will put together $48 into the Pick 4 (Races 7-10).

    Race 4: Starter Allowance, 6-½ Furlongs, Three year olds and upward LIMITED CREOLE (#5, 4-1) must deal with the presence of other front runners
    such as Senator Matty and Hot Tizzy but those two pace rivals most likely
    will be dueled into defeat once this son of Cactus Creole leaves the mid way
    point of this race and heads for home as this lightly raced bay is strictly
    the speed of this field and must be caught as he makes a significant but
    realistic drop from California bred Allowance N1X into a restricted starter
    allowance event. After only one race as a two year old where he managed to
    cross the wire ahead of only one horse, he returned from an eight and half
    month layoff as a first time gelding for new trainer Peter Miller on June 25
    and came back as a new horse returning $34.40 mutual earning a Beyer Speed

    Figure of 65 which is well below the typical average winning Beyer Speed
    Figure for this class level (Beyer par 85), but the manner in which he
    earned this victory makes it legitimate win as he overcame a less than ideal
    trip to win by diminishing length and a quarter. In that race, he broke from
    the rail and did not break quickly but quickly rushed up along the rail to
    battle for the lead with his pace rival, Girvan, as those two were length
    and half clear of their nearest pursuer through a 21.42 second opening
    quarter. He dueled Girvan into submission through enervating 44.35 half mile
    as the latter could not keep up through that very fast second quarter as he
    tired to finish twelfth beaten 30-½ lengths. Limited Creole opened up a
    large five length lead turning for home and drifted out in the drive while
    understandably staggering through the drive to hold off the deep closer
    Echezeaux to win by length and a quarter. His excellent early speed through
    quick early fractions after a slow start impressed me that he deserved a
    look at this class level in his next start, but his connections decided to
    return him in a California bred Allowance N1X in his next start and he ran
    very well under the circumstances to hold third in a race that set up for
    the closers as the first and second place finishers rallied from seventh and
    eighth. In that race, he broke from the disadvantageous rail and was pushed
    away from the gate to duel with second choice, Shootist, through a quick
    21.50 second opening quarter. He began to gradually inch away from the
    latter he opened up a clear lead through a snappy 44.01 second half mile and
    appeared as if he was home free at mid stretch before the earlier efforts
    took its toll as he gradually began to tire to hold third in a highly rated
    Allowance N1X for California breds (92 Beyer) earning Beyer Speed Figure of
    80 which is within scope of par. What was so impressive about his defeat was
    that his early splits were the fastest of the five sprints on the card which
    would have easily won the starter allowance race run five races earlier on
    that July 23 program. He is reeled back in thirteen days as he reunites with
    Martin Garcia who has been aboard for 3 wins from his last 8 mounts for this
    barn in the past two months and more importantly gets off the rail. Four of
    the ten races at this distance were won by horses on the lead after the
    initial half mile and that is where Limited Creole will be as takes this
    group gate to wire as our BEST BET on today’s pride laden Del Mar program.

    Wagering Strategies: Play the (5) LIMITED CREOLE to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 9-5 or better) Main Exactas: 5-1 and 5-2. Small reverse for each.


    Race 7: Maiden Special Weight, 1-1/8 Miles Turf, Three year olds and upward DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL (#10, 15-1) is my co top choice with FALCON SCOTT as I
    have been eagerly awaiting this bay three year old to switch over to the
    turf since arriving here to Del Mar last month. In three starts, this home
    bred owned by David Abrams & Tom Roberts has not hit the board in each race
    but he has had legitimate excuses and merits strong consideration as he
    switches to the turf for the first time for the prolific turf sire, Unusual
    Heat. He made his debut in a open $40,000 maiden claiming event on May 29
    where he was sent off as the longest shot on the board at 57-1 and he ran to
    his odds finishing eighth and last beaten nineteen starts but he was never
    given a fair chance to show his ability as he broke slowly and took up at
    the start to lose whatever chance he had at the break. He did not run return
    to the races for two months when he returned on July 20 at Del Mar as a new
    gelding off a blistering half mile work in 48 3/5 from the gate five days
    before that race showing signs that route on the turf could be in his
    immediate future as National Turf’s Andy Harrington stated that he was
    “ taken in hand from the get to going in 24 3/5, 37 2/6 was only let run a
    bit late, finishing like a shot in 48 3/5 (11 1/5 last furlong). Looking
    very nice down here.” He made his second start in a restricted $40,000
    maiden claiming event and was given a race illustrating signs that he is not
    a sprinter. Jockey Alex Bisono took a firm hold of him leaving the gate as
    he was not asked early trailing his field early. He commenced a mild wide
    rally around the turn to pick up momentum and that continued in the stretch
    as he managed to cross the wire ahead of three others splitting his field in
    a improved performance where this race proved to be used a prep for a two
    turn route race six days later as he stretched out to mile and sixteenth for
    the first time and finished a better than looked sixth beaten 6-¼ lengths
    where his late run was hampered by a spill at the top of the stretch. He
    breaking from post position nine in a ten horse field, he was able to come
    over and save ground into the backstretch. He came out three to four wide
    around the far turn to began to pick up momentum when he had to steadied as
    Esroh broke down nearing the quarter pole unseating Ricardo Jaime forcing
    Victor Espinoza to steady his mount away from that incident past the quarter
    pole losing his best chance. He is being reeled back in only ten days and it
    is great sign to see the meet’s leading rider, Victor Espinoza, remain in
    the irons as his sire, Unusual Heat, has had plenty of success with his
    progeny trying the turf for the first time in the past year having won 16%
    clip. Add Heat (January 27, $92.20), Evrybdyluvsdaheat (August 13, 2004,
    $19.80), and Heated Rebel (April 12, $17.80) were just some of the examples
    of horses switching to the turf for the first time by Unusual Heat and
    coming out victorious at very nice mutual prices. Trainer Barry Abrams has
    shown a healthy profitable return of investment in the past year with his
    horses switching from dirt to turf and trying turf for the first time.
    Though he is poorly drawn, the success of his sire’s progeny trying turf for
    the first time, the fact Victor Espinoza remains aboard, his trainer’s
    success with progeny of Unusual Heat and his work out on July 15 are all
    signs that he is capable of handling his new surface as the price will more
    than compensate for the risk.
    Wagering Strategies:
    Play the (10) DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 12-1 or
    better)
    Play the (9) FALCON SCOTT to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 6-1 or better) Main Exactas: 9-1, 9-6, and 9-10 Main Exactas: 10-1, 10-6, and 10-9.


    Race 8: G3 Sorrento, 6-½ Furlongs, Two year olds Fillies SHAWKLIT SUNDAE (#7, 4-1) could not foresee anyone else in this field
    getting a better trip than this daughter of Mr. Shawklit who has drawn
    towards the outside in this seven horse field allowing jockey David Flores
    to see what develops in this first eighth of a mile leaving the chute and
    using this fillies tactical speed to his advantage at what could be a hint
    of a price. She received plenty of wagering support in her debut going off
    as the 3-1 second choice and was absolutely given a race by trainer Adam
    Kitchingman in what has returned to be a highly rated and productive maiden
    race. In that race, she was not quick, not asked for run early allowing the
    eventual winner, Little City, a two length head start. She raced green and
    was climbing early while third to last saving ground into the turn,
    maneuvered towards the rail into the turn and put in a strong move to get
    closer and finished evenly towards the rail while 6-¾ lengths clear of the
    rest of the field finishing only a length behind the winner in a final time
    of 51.32 seconds which was the fastest of the seventeen races at four and
    half furlongs during the Hollywood Park spring-summer meeting in what has
    turned out to be a productive “key” maiden race. The fifth place finisher,
    Shes Got Skills, came back to break her maiden on June 25 in a five and half
    furlong race on the turf and the third place finisher, Outofthepast, came
    back on July 3 to break her maiden by two lengths. She was reeled back in
    only fourteen days and broke her maiden a lot easier than her diminishing
    three quarter of length margin of victory over subsequent next time out
    winner, Company Secret. She right in front leaving the gate to lead early
    and immediate found herself on an uncontested lead without any pace pressure
    early, and won by a measured three quarters without being asked for her best
    in what resulted to be a paid work out. She returned three weeks later in
    the Landaluce Stakes where crossed the wire fourth but was disqualified and
    place fifth for lugging in and forcing the post time favorite, Thru N Thru,
    to steady sharply at mid stretch. Despite that effort, that incident was a
    result of more of her inexperience than anything else in this troubled
    effort. She was pushed away from the gate to stalk the favorite from the
    inside down the backstretch, she came off the rail into the two path and
    moved up to battle with the favorite around the far turn, she took over the
    lead turning for home when she lugged in badly when hit with the whip
    almost putting the pacesetter over the fence at the eighth pole, steadied,
    and lost all chance in a race that fell apart for the closers as the horses
    that were seventh-fourth-third after the first quarter of a mile were
    first-second-third crossing the wire. Since that race thirty five days ago,
    she has come back with three works including a five furlong work in 59 2/5
    that National Turf’s Andy Harrington stated that she “worked fine enough
    here in 35 2/5, 59 4/5 riding leading on her late; nothing to knock,” as she
    comes into this race in good form. Her career best 76 Beyer Speed Figure
    earned in her debut makes her a perfect fit in this race and can either sit
    just off the pace if a battle for the lead ensues or prompt the pace as her
    outside post position gives jockey David Flores plenty of options as eight
    of the ten races at this distance were won either gate to wire or by horses
    no more than length and half off the lead after the initial half mile. Her
    tactical speed is a big asset to the score the mild upset over vulnerable
    morning line favorite, Untouched Talent, and second choice Company Secret in
    a race where I feel it is strictly a two horse affair between our top choice
    and Outofthepast.
    Wagering Strategies:
    Play the (7) SHAWKLIT SUNDAE to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-2 or better) Main Exacta Box: 6-7.


    Race 9: Allowance N1X, 6-½ Furlongs, Fillies and mares, Three and up YODELADYTOO (#1, 10-1) has drawn the rail which has seen only one winner
    from ten races at this distance this meet and after twenty two starts where
    he was winless, trainer Bill Spawr finally visited the winner circle
    yesterday with post time favorite, Axiomatic, and with eight seconds or
    thirds, it is time for this barn to began to heat up and this Swiss Yodeler
    filly can began in that trend as she cuts back to a distance where she has
    yet to taste defeat in two tries and has an adaptable running style where
    she can lead, press, or even stalk the pace which she has used in all four
    career victories. After being given a race in her first start off a two
    month layoff on May 4 going five and half furlongs on the turf she returned
    to her preferred main track surface parlayed ideal trip en route to a three
    and half length victory earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 86 which is close to
    average winning Beyer required to win at this level (Beyer par 90). Catching
    a field with very little early speed, she broke running to set a measured
    early pace, came under pressure leaving the backstretch and around the far
    turn as the post time favorite, Dance of the Year and long shot Miss Bobble
    Quick applied the pressure. She shook off both of those challenges as they
    tired to finish fifth and fourth respectively, kicked clear again into the
    stretch, and won going away as she was ridden out towards the wire in this
    close to par performance. She was claimed for $32,000 by trainer Bill Spawr
    who elected to give this filly almost two months off when she returned in a
    Allowance N1X where she could not be claimed and stretched her out an
    additional eighth of a mile to mile and a sixteenth for the first time where
    she tired in the final furlong to finish third beaten 2-¾ lengths to the
    $77.80 upset winner Donerella. Despite blowing a length and a half lead at
    mid stretch she verified that her previous speed figure was complete
    legitimate as she had to run hard early, middle, and late in that mile and
    sixteenth race where she ran the best race. She was sent to the front and
    vied for the lead with Lake Marina as those two opened up a two and a half
    and two length lead through enervating splits of 22.90 and 45.84 seconds.
    After battling with that rival, she put that rival away into the far turn as
    she tired to finish seventh beaten 6-½ lengths and immediately faced
    challenges from the perfect trip stalker and favorite Kelly Mac and She’s
    Nobel around the far turn. She turned away those challenge, opened up into
    mid stretch, and was collared by the closers as the first-second-fourth
    place finishers rallied from eighth-ninth-fifth after the first quarter of a
    mile in a race where this chestnut filly was best. She remains protected in
    this Allowance N1X off a tough beat which is positive sign and both of this
    fillies wins this year occurred with Jon Court in the irons who remains in
    the irons. Though she lead en route to her May 21 victory, she successfully
    rallied from fourth to win at this distance back in February at Santa Anita.
    She should have plenty of foundation on the cut back figures for a ground
    saving pace prompting or stalking trip at what could be a healthy over laid
    price.
    Wagering Strategies:
    Play the (1) YODELADYTOO to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 9-2 or better) Main Exacta Box: 1-3-6Del Mar








    Pick 4 Race 7
    Race 7: (1) Nickypalmer, (6) Kern, (9) FALCON SCOTT, and (10)
    DADSALITTLEUNUSUAL
    Race 8: (2) Company Secret, (6)OUTOFTHEPAST, and (7) SHAWKLIT SUNDAE Race 9: (1) YODELLADYTOO, (3) OFF THE RICHTER, (6) CALLMELUCKYLUCY, and (7)
    Little Boss Chick
    Race 10: (1) Ibero Grace, (4) Inesperado, (6) Dark Sorcerer, and (8) Summer
    Guide
    Main Ticket: 9-10 / 6-7 / 1-3-6 / 1-4-6-8 = 2 x 2 x 3 x 4 x $1 = $48
    Ticket 1: 1-6 / 6-7 / 1-3-6 / 1-4-6-8 = 2 x 2 x 3 x 4 x $1 = $48
    Ticket 2: 9-10 / 2 / 1-3-6 / 1-4-6-8 = 2 x 1 x 3 x 4 x $1 = $24
    Ticket 3: 9-10 / 6-7 / 7 / 1-4-6-8 = 2 x 2 x 1 x 4 x $1 = $16
    Total Investment: $136
    These are my planned Pick 4 plays for today. For those on a budget, please
    focused on the $48 main ticket. Tickets 1-3 are my backup tickets centering
    around our main and backups. This structure works best as two things are
    accomplished. Firstly, you show your opinion for a horse by separating them
    to main and backups. Secondly, you save $56 by following this structure than
    if you played a 4 x 3 x 4 x 4 combination which would cost you $192.
    Racing Assistance

  • #2
    Thanks & Good Luck..
    THE ART OF BEING WISE IS THE ART OF KNOWING WHAT TO OVERLOOK...

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    • #3
      Just happened to read the 9 th race right up

      and hit it hard tri super exactas quenella wps

      thanks lolos:

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      • #4
        Congrats Prez..... Note the website at the beginning of the post. Join their email listing and they will send an email when they post.
        Racing Assistance

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        • #5
          Thanks CHAMPS I just joined

          dse

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          • #6
            NIce payout in the 9th with the 1, 3, 6

            Congrats
            "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
            is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

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