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**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:39 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Week 1 NFL spreads:
— Dallas @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
— Arizona @ Tennessee (-2.5)
— Seattle @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
— Minnesota (-3) @ Cincinnati
— Philadelphia @ Atlanta (-3.5)
— Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Houston

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

— Thumbs up to DMV in Albany; was there Wednesday morning to get my Real ID, which I thought I needed in order to travel again. Turns out they pushed all that back to 2023, but I got the Real ID, crossing one thing off my to-do list for 2023.

— Travel tip; if you’re going to Las Vegas during football season, don’t stay on the Strip if the Raiders are home that weekend. Rooms at the Luxor/Excalibur are both over $400 for the Saturday night of the weekend I was looking at, and they ain’t the classiest joints in town.

Looking at weekends where the Raiders aren’t home, rates are pretty normal.

Rates at the SouthPoint were pretty good for the weekend the Raiders were home; that’s a few miles south of Allegiant Stadium. Good place.

— How pitchers have fared after throwing their no-hitters this season:
1) Joe Musgrove
— Went 0-4, 5.63 in his next five starts, then 2-0, 0.75 in his last two.

2) Carlos Rodon:
— Is 3-2, 2.08 in six starts since his no-hitter.

3) Madison Bumgarner:
— His no-hitter was 7 innings, but it was a no-hitter.
— is 2-2, 3.54 in five starts since; he’s been batting leg problems.

4) John Means:
— Is 0-0, 2.92 in two starts since the no-hitter; not sure where Orioles would be without him.

5) Wade Miley:
— Allowed nine runs in two starts (7.2 IP) since the no-hitter, is currently on the IL.

6) Spencer Turnbull:
— Allowed three runs in six IP, in his first start after the no-hitter.

7) Corey Kluber:
— Left his last start after 3 innings (shoulder), his first since the no-hitter.
— He had thrown 100+ pitches in three of his previous four starts.

— Braves’ OF Marcell Ozuna is out six weeks after dislocating two fingers while sliding headfirst into third base the other night. This is why some guys wear those oven mitts while running the bases, to protect their fingers.

— They showed a clip of Clayton Kershaw’s MLB debut in 2008 yesterday; he was pitching against Albert Pujols who, 13 years later, is now his teammate with the Dodgers.

— Amazon just bought MGM studios for $8B; they figure to use MGM’s massive collection of movies to help market Amazon Prime Video.

— NFL salary cap was $198.2M last year; it’ll be $182.5M this year, because of the pandemic.

— Is it weird that I watched a movie on TV the other night, then just got a recommendation on a similar movie on my phone? Do they track everything we do/watch?

— Lot of baseball in the Big Apple today; twinbills in the Bronx and at CitiField, after lot of rain in New York City cancelled Wednesday’s games.

**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:40 AM

**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:44 AM

21MONTREAL -22 TORONTO
MONTREAL is 20-33 ATS (-22.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

23CAROLINA -24 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 7-1 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, May 27

NHL

Thursday, May 27

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Trend Report
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Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Carolina @ Nashville
Carolina
Carolina is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

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**Satch** · 05-27-2021, 02:55 PM

MONTREAL (25-24-0-11, 61 pts.) at TORONTO (38-16-0-6, 82 pts.) - 5/27/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 25-35 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 25-35 ATS (-19.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 25-35 ATS (-19.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MONTREAL is 25-34 ATS (-18.2 Units) after a division game this season.
MONTREAL is 7-16 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 75-64 ATS (-48.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 171-167 ATS (-93.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-14 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-33 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 216-231 ATS (-119.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 13-8 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 13-8-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

CAROLINA (39-12-0-10, 88 pts.) at NASHVILLE (33-25-0-3, 69 pts.) - 5/27/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 33-28 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 33-28 ATS (+2.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 33-28 ATS (+63.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NASHVILLE is 32-28 ATS (+62.5 Units) after a division game this season.
NASHVILLE is 319-257 ATS (+601.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 12-5 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 12-5-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

**Udog** · 05-28-2021, 07:03 AM

Friday’s 6-pack
Nevada casinos’ net win in April:
— sports betting $27.2M
— craps $28.1M
— baccarat $29.4M
— roulette $32.4M
— blackjack $70.2M
— penny slots $340.8M

Quote of the Day
“We are bitterly disappointed that the great Oklahoma-Nebraska rivalry, on the 50th anniversary of the Game of the Century, will kick off at 11 a.m. [local time]. We tried every possible avenue to proactively make our case. The Big 12 Conference also supported our strenuous efforts to secure a more traditional time that would honor this game and our fans. However, in the end, our TV partner chose to exercise its full contractual rights and denied our requests.”
Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione

Friday’s quiz
Which major league team once drafted Tom Brady as a catching prospect?

Thursday’s quiz
New Orleans Hornets drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012; they became the Pelicans two years later.

Wednesday’s quiz
The first night World Series game was in 1971, Orioles-Pirates

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Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the long weekend here…….

13) Trade deadline is going to be fascinating in baseball this summer, as teams try to keep their rosters fresh with healthy bodies. Guys are dropping like flies; will big market contenders part with prospects to try and acquire players who will help them win now, seeing how everyone should be operating at 100% capacity attendance-wise, by the end of June?

12) Bucks 113, Heat 84:
— Milwaukee leads series 3-0, winning last two games by 34-29 points.
— Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, lost in OT; they haven’t been the same since.
— Dragic started this game for the Heat but went only 3-14 from floor.

11) Nuggets 120, Blazers 115:
— Denver grabs a 2-1 series lead.
— Carmelo Anthony is minus-29 in 69:00 in this series.
— Jokic scored 36 points, had 11 rebounds, five assists.

10) Lakers 109, Suns 95:
— LA grabs a 2-1 series lead.
— Suns scored only 12 points in second quarter.
— Anthony Davis scored 34 points, grabbed 11 rebounds.

9) Orioles’ CF Cedric Mullins is 17-44 this season in the first inning, the most first inning hits of any major leaguer so far this season.

8) Cubs 5, Pirates 3— Chicago’s bullpen has thrown 34.2 consecutive scoreless innings, the best stretch in franchise history. Cubs now trail St Louis by only a half-game in NL Central.

7) Have to feel bad for Pirates’ P Tyler Anderson; he gave up two extra runs in this game after his 1B made the worst defensive play I’ve ever seen in a big league game.

Man on second, two out, Javy Baez hits a grounder to 3rd; throw pulls the 1B off the bag, but he is standing there with the ball, blocking Baez from getting to the bag.

Instead of giving up, Baez retreats towards home and the 1B chases him like an idiot, instead of just going and touching first base. When the 1B sees the running from second trying to score, he actually flips the ball to the catcher, and Diaz sprints to an uncovered first base.

The guy “scoring” from second wouldn’t have scored if he had just tagged Baez. Totally brain dead; if I was the Pirates’ GM, I’d have sent the 1B down to AAA or released him.

In Anderson’s last home start, a high pop up between the mound and home plate landed untouched with two out in an inning; next batter hit a two-run homer. The guy has no luck.

6) Cubs TV guy/former MLB pitcher Jim Deshaies was telling a story on the air Wednesday, about when he was teammates with John Elway in the NY-Penn League, with Oneonta.

Elway considered baseball his summer job; he knew his future was in football; Deshaies was saying that Elway, a lefty hitter, was a skilled bunter who would drag bunts for hits, and that he probably would’ve made the majors, had he stuck with baseball. Elway hit .318 with a .432 on-base %age, in his one season with Oneonta.

I’m thinking he made the right career choice.

5) Brewers 6, Padres 5 (10)— Jackie Bradley Jr had his first game-winning RBI in 3,448 career plate appearances, which was the most PA’s of any active player without a walk-off RBI. Jake Lamb (2,359) now has the most.

4) MLB suspended former Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway thru 2022 and the Angels fired him as pitching coach, following an investigation into sexual harassment allegations.

3) College football over/under win totals are out; not a lot of respect for UNLV’s squad, as they start their first season in front of fans as the new Allegiant Stadium. UNLV’s win total for this season is a paltry 1.5.

2) They released the college bowl schedule this week; things kick off on December 17, with the Bahamas Bowl and Belk Bowl.

1) December 29, there is a Fenway Bowl at 11am, followed by the Pinstripe Bowl at 2:15. I’m not sure college kids are going to be real excited about freezing their butts off in Boston/Bronx on a Wednesday afternoon in late December.

Hawai’i Bowl is Christmas Eve; I expect to be watching that in a casino in the desert. Nothing says you have no social life as much as watching a bowl game in a casino on Christmas Eve!!!!

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Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/27

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/27

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