Announcement

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:03 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Valspar Championship:
17-2— Justin Thomas
10-1— Dustin Johnson
20-1— Paul Casey, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed
22-1— Corey Conners
28-1— Scottie Scheffler
31-1— Russ Henley, Sungjae Im, Louis Oosthuizen
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 573,420
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) NFL Draft will happen in Cleveland Thursday-Saturday; six years ago, the NFL pushed back its draft to help promote the movie Draft Day, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, so they took the NHL’s lead and moved the draft to Chicago that year.

They quickly realized they had stumbled upon a great idea, moving the draft around the country, mostly to cities that will never host a Super Bowl. It is good for the league.

12) Thursday is just the first round; Rams haven’t had a first round pick since 2016, so my laptop will be doing double duty- there are five baseball games tonight, too.

11) Carolina Panthers are switching to FieldTurf in their home stadium this year, leaving the NFL with 14 artificial turf fields, 16 grass fields (two stadiums are shared by teams).

10) Carolina traded QB Teddy Bridgewater to Denver Thursday, getting a 6th-round pick from the Broncos. Panthers acquired Sam Darnold from the Jets, making Bridgewater expendable.

Someone posted a betting ticket on Twitter, where a guy wagered $1,000 at 20-1 odds a few weeks ago, that Bridegwater would take the Broncos’ first snap from center in September. He is either really smart, really lucky or he had some inside knowledge.

9) Suns 109, Clippers 101— Phoenix clinches its first playoff appearance in 11 years; Monty Williams has to be NBA Coach of the Year, right?

8) Chicago White Sox are 12-10 so far this year, but if you bet them in first 5 innings play, then they’re 15-2-5; they’ve trailed only two of 22 games after the 5th inning. Their bullpen hasn’t been good. Chicago is 2-7 in games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

7) I am convinced that major league umpires have been schooled to call more strikes on check swings this season, probably to quicken pace of play. MLB wants quicker games, but they also want more scoring; can’t have both of those things, fellas.

6) Nolan Ryan struck out seven guys late in his career, whose fathers he had struck out earlier in his career.

5) Braves 10, Cubs 0— Chicago used three position players to pitch in this game; they’re 10-14 and in last place in the NL Central. Maybe I’m just a miserable older person, but if my team was losing 10-0, I wouldn’t be yukking it up while the first baseman pitched. I understand that it is a long season and all, but the Cubs don’t look like a team that cares a whole lot.

4) Red Sox 1, Mets 0— Mets scored one run the last two nights; they’ve scored a total of 13 runs in Jacob deGrom’s five starts, and he knocked in a couple of those himself.

Fans are booing Francisco Lindor already; who is going to be the first guy who gets booed who says he misses last year’s cardboard cutouts?

3) Ole Miss fired offensive line coach/running game coordinator Randy Clements, three days after its spring football game. The firing was for football reasons and not related to any off-the-field issues, but Ole Miss led the SEC in rushing yardage last year.

Must be an interesting story tucked away in there somewhere.

2) End of this month meant scouring the Extra Innings Package, trying to find a decent pitcher to add to my fantasy squad. You never have pitching in keeper leagues, especially this year, when younger pitchers might hit an innings limit later on and get shut down for the year.

Long time ago, maybe 10-12 years ago, I had this guy pitching for the Padres; my pitching staff had fallen apart and I was clutching at straws trying to find capable pitchers. It wasn’t going well; this guy was pitching against Arizona and Tom Candiotti was the TV analyst.

Candiotti spent about two innings explaining why this guy would never be an effective starting pitcher in the majors; I went to my computer and cut the guy, while he was still pitching in the game. Candiotti was right; the guy wound up going 4-10 for San Diego that year.

1) Haven’t decided yet what format tomorrow’s den will take; there will be a ton of info to go thru, as all four team sports, plus golf are going on. If I do a running diary, it is more likely to be Friday than tonight.

It is good to be getting back to normal, that’s for sure.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:05 AM

49NY ISLANDERS -50 NY RANGERS
NY ISLANDERS are 2-10 ATS (-9.6 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

51PHILADELPHIA -52 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 1-13 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

53DETROIT -54 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 5-8 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

55PITTSBURGH -56 WASHINGTON
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

57BUFFALO -58 BOSTON
BUFFALO is 7-34 ATS (-30.4 Units) off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

59FLORIDA -60 CHICAGO
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games in the current season.

61CALGARY -62 EDMONTON
CALGARY is 4-10 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

75DALLAS -76 TAMPA BAY
DALLAS are 8-23 ATS (-18.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

77VANCOUVER -78 TORONTO
VANCOUVER is 22-14 ATS (16.3 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

79ST LOUIS -80 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 17-3 ATS (14.3 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:07 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, April 29

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:10 AM

NHL

Thursday, April 29

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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Boston
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Philadelphia @ New Jersey
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

NY Islanders @ NY Rangers
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Islanders's last 17 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Washington
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Vancouver @ Toronto
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Vancouver's last 14 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Florida @ Chicago
Florida
Florida is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Calgary @ Edmonton
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Edmonton's last 12 games

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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