Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/25

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, March 25

Good Luck on day #84 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

I shall not waste my days in trying to prolong them.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

A person named Web Smith posted this on Twitter:
A few books that I credit to helping me when my mental health falters:
1: Atomic Habits (James Clear)
2: Can’t Hurt Me (Goggins)
3: The Daily Stoic (Holiday)
4: Driven (Douglas Brackmann)
5: GRIT (Angela Duckworth)
If your mental health is struggling, reach out to a friend, read a book, listen to music.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Baseball had the universal DH last year and everyone seemed happy with it; no pitchers got hurt while batting and it was assumed that it would become a permanent thing.

But sometimes it seems like baseball is run by imbeciles; the owners used the universal DH as a bargaining chip to retain the expanded playoffs, and the players said no, so this season, the National League pitchers will bat, with it widely assumed that once there is a new labor deal this winter, the universal DH will become a permanent thing.

Arizona pitcher Zac Gallen has a hairline fracture in his right arm, something that only pains him when he swings a bat- go figure. The main reason this ticks me off is that Gallen is one of the better pitchers on my fantasy team, and good pitchers are hard to find. Oy.

But it is also annoying because in a business where teams are with a billion dollars, there seems to be no common sense. They want more offense in the game, but they won’t put the DH in for both leagues. They want more balls in play, but they let pitchers bat and most pitchers suck at hitting. It makes no sense.

12) Toronto Blue Jays have injury issues already:
— OF George Springer has an oblique issue.
— Closer Kirby Yates might need Tommy John surgery.
— P Nate Pearson has a pulled leg muscle.
— Injuries to 3B Cavan Biggio’s injured finger came back negative.
— P Robbie Ray is day-to-day with an elbow injury.

11) This will be catcher Kurt Suzuki’s 15th year in the major leagues; he’s bounced around a lot:
2007-12: Oakland
2012-13: Washington
2013: back to Oakland for 35 games.
2014-16: Minnesota
2017-18: Atlanta
2019-20: Washington
2021: LA Angels

Bet you he could write a hell of a book.

10) Houston Astros signed P Lance McCullers to a 5-year, $85M contract extension.

9) Last year, the average on-base % in the major leagues was .321; the average slugging percentage was .402, making the average OPS .723.

8) They were talking on the Spurs game last night, saying that Kawhi Leonard owns:
— a $17M home in Pacific Palisades
— a $7M condo in downtown Los Angeles
— a $13M home in Rancho Sante Fe

Must be fun to be really rich.

Leonard scored 25 last night; Clippers pounded San Antonio, 134-101.

7) There is a rule in college sports that was put into effect in 2006: Division I athletes can transfer without having to sit out a year if they graduated in four years and have a season of eligibility remaining.

One of the first ballplayers to take use this rule was Kevin Kruger, who transferred from Arizona State to UNLV, so he could he could play for his dad Lon Kruger. UNLV made the Sweet 16 that year; they’ve only won one NCAA Tournament game since then.

Which is why, 15 years later, Kevin Kruger is the new head coach at UNLV; he will be looking to poach transfers from other schools to strengthen his roster. Who wouldn’t to go to school in a town that loves basketball and has great weather?

Problem is, Kruger will be UNLV’s 5th head coach in eight years; they need better players, and they need some stability, with both their roster and coaching staff.

6) Two years ago, when Eric Musselman was coaching at Nevada, he started five 5th-year seniors, all of whom had transferred to Reno; his starting lineup that season was older than the Phoenix Suns had in the NBA. Having a talented, mature lineup helps you win.

5) Felt bad for Houston Rockets’ coach Stephen Silas the other night; his team was 11-10 at one point, but then lost 20 games in a row. Losing sucks; at his post-game press conference, Silas was obviously upset, he is sitting at the table, head in hand, trying to keep it together. This is his first year as an NBA head coach, and he knows damn well it also could be his last. Not good.

4) Odds to win each region of the NCAA Tournament:
East:
+175- Alabama
+195- Michigan
+315- Florida State
+750- UCLA

South:
-125- Baylor
+220- Arkansas
+500- Villanova
+4000- Oral Roberts

3) Midwest:
+115- Houston
+190- Loyola Chi
+550- Syracuse
+975- Oregon State

West:
-375- Gonzaga
+640- USC
+1000- Oregon
+2000- Creighton

2) USC-Oregon meet this weekend in the Sweet 16; since 2002, when conference rivals meet in the NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, the underdog has been 7-4 ATS in those games.

1) Watching a San Francisco Giants game on TV the other night, with a few hundred fans there to watch, and a pitcher kept falling behind hitters. A wise guy in the stands yells out:

“Stop nibbling!!! Babe Ruth is dead!!!”

Everyone’s a freakin’ expert. LOL

[Udog]

1NY RANGERS -2 PHILADELPHIA
NY RANGERS are 21-12 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

3NY ISLANDERS -4 BOSTON
NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 ATS (8.2 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

5TORONTO -6 OTTAWA
TORONTO is 7-15 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

7NEW JERSEY -8 WASHINGTON
NEW JERSEY is 9-5 ATS (12.2 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

9CAROLINA -10 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 39-20 ATS (17 Units) in home games off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival since 1996.

11BUFFALO -12 PITTSBURGH
BUFFALO is 1-14 ATS (-13.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

13DETROIT -14 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 8-0 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

15FLORIDA -16 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 214-208 ATS (33.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1996.

17ST LOUIS -18 MINNESOTA
ST LOUIS are 27-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

19TAMPA BAY -20 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, March 25

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Trend Report
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NY Islanders @ Boston
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

NY Rangers @ Philadelphia
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
New Jersey is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Carolina @ Columbus
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

Toronto @ Ottawa
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Florida @ Chicago
Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Nashville
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Vegas @ Colorado
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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