Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, March 17

Good Luck on day #76 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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We've removed the ceiling above our dreams. There are no more impossible dreams.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Honda Classic this week:
11-1— Daniel Berger
13-1— Sungjae Im
20-1— Joaquin Niemann
22-1— Lee Westwood
24-1— Adam Scott, Shane Lowry
29-1— Russell Henley

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Pretty cool moment on the Mariners-Rockies’ telecast the other night; the broadcast had announcers from both teams, a great idea because you learn more about both teams.

Anyway, early in the game they have a Colorado coach miked in the dugout for a half-inning, the Rockies’ pitching coach at AA Hartford. Why, you ask? Seattle’s pitcher at the time was Marco Gonzales; the Rockies’ pitching coach is Frank Gonzales, Marco’s father.

He can’t root for his son, he doesn’t want to root against him; it was good TV, and had to be a really proud moment for the dad.

12) Interweb says that LeBron James will become a part owner of the Boston Red Sox; he became a partner with Fenway Sports Group, a deal that also also increases James’ ownership stake in an English soccer team. Apparently it is fun to be really, really rich.

11) There was a surprising moment in the Cardinals-Mets game Sunday which drew national attention; Cardinals’ P Jordan Hicks came in relief to pitch, faced Luis Guillorme leading off an inning. The at-bat lasted 22 pitches, longest AB I can ever remember seeing, before Guillorme walked.

Sunday was the first day this spring where you couldn’t pull the plug on an inning, and there is that 3-batter rule now, so when St Louis wanted to change pitchers, apparently the umpires quietly told them that they had to bring the trainer out and pretend Hicks was hurt, if they wanted to remove him, and that’s what happened.

10) Grand Canyon made their first NCAA Tournament this year; I’m especially happy for coach Bryce Drew, who got hosed when Vanderbilt fired him two years ago.

Drew’s first two Vandy teams went 31-36, 16-18 in SEC games, but then he recruited a really good freshman point guard, Darius Garland. Vandy started out Year 3 with a 4-0 mark, but Garland got hurt 2:00 into Game 5, and the Commodores went in the ashcan when he never came back to play that year.

Vandy’s AD seemed anxious to fire Drew and hire Jerry Stackhouse; the Commodores are 20-37 in two years under Stackhouse, 6-28 in SEC games.

Garland has scored 13.5 ppg in his first 88 NBA games (for Cleveland); had he not gotten hurt, Vandy would’ve had a good season, Drew would probably still have his job and Grand Canyon would have a different coach. Maybe Vanderbilt did Drew a favor by firing him.

9) Padres’ catcher Austin Nola broke the middle finger on his left hand, which makes his availability for Opening Day a ????

Nola hit .273 for Seattle/San Diego last year.

8) When the season starts, Oakland A’s better hit the ground running; they open with seven games against Houston, three against the Dodgers. Yikes.

7) College basketball stuff:
— Indiana fired Archie Miller. Hoosiers have been over .500 in the Big 14 once in the last eight years.
— Minnesota fired Richard Pitino, who was then hired by New Mexico.
— Penn State hired Micah Shrewsberry, who has been an assistant coach under Brad Stevens and Matt Painter.
— George Mason fired Dave Paulsen.
— For some reason, Utah fired Larry Krystkowiak. Maybe the Utes should’ve stayed in the Mountain West Conference.

6) I’m going to repeat this one last time; Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. Luke Murray is going to be a head coach soon.

Minnesota GOPHERS have a head coach opening; it would be tremendous if Bill Murray’s son became coach of the GOPHERS (Caddyshack reference).

Minnesota needs Luke Murray to be their next basketball coach. In Caddyshack, Bill Murray played a groundskeeper named Carl Spackler who was at war with the gophers who lived underneath Bushwood Country Club.

The TV commercials would be epic; imagine Carl Spackler rooting FOR the Gophers?

5) Word out of Anaheim is that Matt Vasgersian will be the Angels’ new play-by-play guy on TV, with Darin Sutton filling in at times. Angels’ analyst is Mark Gubicza, who is great- upbeat, smart so they’re going to be fun to listen to late at night on the baseball package.

4) Chicago Bears signed QB Andy Dalton to a $10M, one-year deal, with another $3M possible in incentives. Dalton started nine games for Dallas LY; Bears now have him, Nick Foles, Mitch Trubisky at QB— sounds like Trubisky will be moving on.

3) New England Patriots signed eight free agents Tuesday, as they prepare to bounce back from missing the playoffs last year- they also re-signed QB Cam Newton last week.

2) QB Ryan Fitzpatrick signed with Washington; they’ll be his 9th NFL team. He is already the only quarterback ever to start a game for eight different teams.

Houston Texans added QB Tyrod Taylor, who has a 24-21-1 record as an NFL starter, but has started only four games the last three years, with Bills/Chargers.

Taylor was the Buffalo QB before Josh Allen, the Chargers QB before Justin Herbert- he lost his starting job when a doctor punctured his lung with a needle while giving Taylor a pain-killing injection just before a game last fall.

1) Colgate is playing Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament; Red Raiders are 14-1 this season, but the schedule they’ve played has been, by modern standards…….unique?
— 13 of the 15 games were against Boston U (5), Army (4) or Holy Cross (4)
— Only other teams they played were Bucknell, Loyola MD, in Patriot League tourney.
— Their first game was January 2nd.
— Colgate has made 40% of their 3-pointers, #3 in country.
— #189 Army is only team they’ve played ranked higher than #210 in country.

[Udog]

35VANCOUVER -36 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 1-12 ATS (-10.4 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

37PHILADELPHIA -38 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 30-19 ATS (9.1 Units) off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

39MONTREAL -40 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival in the current season.

41ST LOUIS -42 LOS ANGELES
TODD MCLELLAN is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest (Coach of LOS ANGELES)

41ST LOUIS -42 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

43SAN JOSE -44 VEGAS
VEGAS are 21-4 ATS (15.5 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

45EDMONTON -46 CALGARY
CALGARY is 3-13 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 17

[Udog]

NHL

Wednesday, March 17

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Trend Report
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Vancouver @ Ottawa
Vancouver
Vancouver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games

Philadelphia @ NY Rangers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Montreal @ Winnipeg
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games

Edmonton @ Calgary
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

San Jose @ Vegas
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 17

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VANCOUVER (14-16-0-2, 30 pts.) at OTTAWA (10-20-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 419-402 ATS (-123.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
OTTAWA is 134-128 ATS (-21.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 7-1 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 7-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (14-9-0-3, 31 pts.) at NY RANGERS (11-12-0-4, 26 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-46 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 115-139 ATS (-44.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 163-164 ATS (-79.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 8-18 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 134-161 ATS (-87.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 152-151 ATS (-61.1 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 224-265 ATS (-195.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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MONTREAL (13-8-0-7, 33 pts.) at WINNIPEG (17-9-0-2, 36 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 49-60 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 22-30 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 21-30 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-11 ATS (+2.4 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 17-11 ATS (+3.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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ST LOUIS (14-9-0-5, 33 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (11-10-0-6, 28 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 16-22 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-7 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 212-205 ATS (+432.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 181-188 ATS (-17.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-5 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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SAN JOSE (11-12-0-3, 25 pts.) at VEGAS (19-6-0-1, 39 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 107-96 ATS (+217.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 12-7 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 12-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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EDMONTON (18-13-0-0, 36 pts.) at CALGARY (14-12-0-3, 31 pts.) - 3/17/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 15-8 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 24-12 ATS (+11.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 23-29 ATS (-18.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 5-13 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

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