Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/16

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, March 16

Good Luck on day #75 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Make no small plans for they have no power to stir the soul.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

NCAA Tournament trends:
— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round.
— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #4-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Last 20 national champs went 15-4-1 ATS in their 1st round game.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Conference trends for the NCAA’s first weekend

Conference trends for the first weekend of the NCAAs:

ACC
— Last three years (we’re not counting 2020 as a year, since there was no tournament), ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Since 2013, ACC teams are 35-13 SU in first round
— Last five years, 16 of 37 ACC teams (43.2%) made the Sweet 16.

American
— UConn was 2014 national title out of the AAC.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in first round, 1-6 in 2nd round.
— During that time, 2019 Houston is only Sweet 16 team they’ve had.

A-14
— Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 in the first round.
— A-14’s last Sweet 16 team was Dayton, back in 2014.

Big East
— Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 in first round.
— Last three years, Big East teams are 5-13 in 2nd round.
— Thats 5 of 32 teams (15.6%) making the Sweet 16.

Big Sky
— Big Sky teams lost their last 13 first round games.
— Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Montana in 2006 was last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game.

Big West
— Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
— Since 2003, Big West teams are 0-6 ATS in their 2nd tournament game.

Big 14:
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-8 in 2nd round
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16.

Big X
— Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 in first round games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 8-4 on 2nd round games.
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16, same as the Big 14.

CAA
— Since VCU left the CAA in 2012, things haven’t gone well.
— Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 in NCAA games (5-2 ATS)
— Last eight years, six different teams have represented the CAA

Conference USA

— C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
— Those five C-USA teams that won went 0-5 ATS in second round.

Horizon League
— Butler made the Final Four in 2010/2011 out of the Horizon.
— Since then, Butler jumped ship to gr$$n$r pa$ture$.
— Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA’s (2-6 ATS)

MAAC
— Siena was last MAAC team to win an NCAA game, in 2009.
— Since then, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS.

MAC
— Buffalo won its first round game in 2018/2019, ending the MAC’s five-game losing skid in first round games.

— MAC teams covered their last four first round games.
— Since 2003, MAC teams are 1-4 ATS in second round.
— Since 2003, Ohio U in ’12 is MAC’s only Sweet 16 team.

Missouri Valley
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Those nine teams went 4-5 ATS in 2nd round games.

Wichita State-Drake is a first round game, old MVC rivals.

— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in Valley games; they totally dominated.
— Last five years Wichita was in the Valley, Drake went 26-64 in MVC games.
— In four years since Wichita (and also Creighton) bolted, Drake is 45-27.

Mountain West
— Since 2014, Mountain West teams are 3-8 in play-in/first round games.
— Those teams went 2-4 ATS when favored, 2-3 as an underdog, 4-7 overall.

Ohio Valley
— Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games, but they’ve lost seven of last eight SU.
— When Murray State whacked Marquette two years ago, it snapped a 7-game losing skid for the OVC in NCAA tourney games.

Pac-12
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in first round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 13-6 in second round games.
— Thats 13 of 32 Pac-12 teams (40.6%) that made the Sweet 16— that will surprise some people.

SEC
— Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
— Thats 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 10-7 in 2nd round games
— Thats 10 of 23 SEC teams (43.5%) that made the Sweet 16

Southern
— Wofford’s win in 2019 snapped So-Con’s 0-10 skid in NCAA games.
— That said, SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.

Summit
— Summit teams lost 16 of last 17 first round games (6-9-2 ATS)
— Summit teams covered four of last six first round games.
— Summit teams are 2-0 SU in play-in games.

Sun Belt
— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Since 2010, Sun Belt teams are 4-8 ATS in NCAA Tournament games.
— Over last 20 years, Sun Belt has changed a lot, as schools jumped conferences.

WAC
— WAC teams lost their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
— WAC teams are 3-6 ATS in last nine NCAA Tournament games.
— New Mexico State won this league seven of last eight years, so Grand Canyon winning WAC tournament is different— this is their first NCAA bid.

WCC
— Last time someone other than Gonzaga/BYU/Saint Mary’s repped the WCC? 2008, when the San Diego Toreros made the tournament.
— Gonzaga won its last 11 first round games (6-5 ATS)
— During that time, Gonzaga is only 3-7-1 ATS in 2nd round games.
— Gonzaga won its last five second round games SU- they’re expected to do a lot more than that this season.

[Udog]

21BOSTON -22 PITTSBURGH
BOSTON is 227-215 ATS (47.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

23BUFFALO -24 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-11 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games against poor passing teams - averaging 4 or less assists per game in the current season.

25NY ISLANDERS -26 WASHINGTON
NY ISLANDERS are 0-5 ATS (-5.9 Units) in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

27CAROLINA -28 DETROIT
CAROLINA is 16-3 ATS (11.6 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

29ARIZONA -30 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing their 8th game in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

31TAMPA BAY -32 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-12 ATS (-12.6 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

33ANAHEIM -34 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 31-60 ATS (-35 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, March 16

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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ New Jersey
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Carolina @ Detroit
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 16

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 16

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BOSTON (14-8-0-4, 32 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (18-9-0-1, 37 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 5-10 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 285-297 ATS (-93.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 10-1 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 12-2 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 233-182 ATS (+44.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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BUFFALO (6-17-0-4, 16 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (8-13-0-4, 20 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-21 ATS (+34.0 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-21 ATS (+34.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 6-20 ATS (+32.8 Units) after a division game this season.
BUFFALO is 3-15 ATS (+24.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BUFFALO is 1-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BUFFALO is 10-31 ATS (+48.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 98-81 ATS (-5.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 2-12 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NEW JERSEY is 2-11 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-13 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-11 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 6-4 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 6-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (19-6-0-4, 42 pts.) at WASHINGTON (18-6-0-4, 40 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 18-10 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-10 ATS (+4.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 138-90 ATS (+19.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 110-76 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 119-90 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 60-39 ATS (+15.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 16-5 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 51-59 ATS (-45.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 8-7 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 8-7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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CAROLINA (20-6-0-1, 41 pts.) at DETROIT (8-17-0-4, 20 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 20-7 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 20-7 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 25-75 ATS (-98.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 334-329 ATS (-309.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 11-40 ATS (+81.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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ARIZONA (12-12-0-4, 28 pts.) at MINNESOTA (17-8-0-1, 35 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 17-33 ATS (+53.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 19-10 ATS (+30.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-12 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-103 ATS (-50.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-19 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-3 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (18-6-0-2, 38 pts.) at DALLAS (9-8-0-6, 24 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 443-442 ATS (-135.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 141-66 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 64-20 ATS (+24.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-7 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-1 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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ANAHEIM (8-15-0-6, 22 pts.) at COLORADO (16-8-0-2, 34 pts.) - 3/16/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 32-14 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 55-65 ATS (-50.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
COLORADO is 104-98 ATS (-94.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 6-4 (+6.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 6-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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