Announcement

**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 09:26 AM

Someone with their feet planted firmly on the ground has no hope of reaching the stars.

**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

First round games in the NIT, which will begin in Texas:
— Colorado State-Buffalo
— Davidson-NC State
— Boise State-SMU
— Memphis-Dayton
— Saint Louis-Mississippi State
— Richmond-Toledo
— Saint Mary’s-Western Kentucky
— Ole Miss-Louisiana Tech

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 534,813
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Random stuff on a Sunday night……..

Every year (except last year) when I see the field of 68 after watching wall-to-wall college basketball for four days, my brain gets scrambled for a few hours. There is a lot of info to go thru before I post knowledge on the first round games later this week.

For today, here are random, scrambled thoughts/information that crossed my mind at various times today:

13) Gonzaga is the fifth team since 1977 to enter the NCAA tournament unbeaten:
1979— Indiana State, lost in finals
1991— UNLV, lost in semi-finals
2014— Wichita State, lost in 2nd round
2015— Kentucky— lost in semi-finals

12) Over the last 16 years, the overall #1-seed in the country has won three national titles; they also failed to get out of the first weekend four times. 2013 was the last time the overall #1-seed won the national title, when Rick Pitino’s Louisville team won it all.

11) Speaking of which, Iona is the fifth program Rick Pitino has led to the NCAA Tournament; 31 of his assistant coaches have gone on to become head coaches. Iona plays Alabama in the first round, so they probably won’t be around very long, but they had a 51-day pause this season – they didn’t play a single game in January. Just getting here is a big accomplishment.

10) Arkansas hasn’t been to a Sweet 16 since 1996; since then, 96 different schools have had teams get to the Sweet 16. Razorbacks need to get by Colgate, then either Texas Tech/Utah State to get to the Sweet 16 this year.

9) No team has ever won the national title, after losing their first conference tournament game. Purdue/West Virginia are in that boat this season.

8) This is the first time since 1976 that neither Duke/Kentucky is in the tournament; 1976 is also the last time there was an undefeated national champ (Indiana).

7) Unusual baseball situation Sunday nite: Dodgers P Julio Urias struck out three batters in the first inning against the Royals, but he only got two outs in the first inning, because of a passed ball after one of the strikeouts. Dodgers took him out after 29 pitches, but because it is spring training, he got to re-enter the game and pitched the second inning.

Dodgers made couple errors in the first inning that led to Urias’ demise, plus the passed ball; not often a pitcher strikes out three guys but doesn’t finish the first inning.

6) I’m optimistic about a new baseball rule that would require teams to have two infielders on each side of the diamond; eliminating shifts will discourage guys from just trying to jack the ball over the fence all the time. Fewer strikeouts maes the game more fun to watch.

5) Add Tampa Bay to the list of teams (Milwaukee) that drive owners in fantasy baseball crazy; in a 9-inning game Sunday, Rays used nine different pitchers. You never have any idea how they are going handle pitchers on a given day— they took Blake Snell out of a World Series last year when he was dominating the other team- they just think differently than most people.

4) Last repeat champion in college basketball; the 2007 Florida Gators. Virginia is the current defending champ; over half their team was in quarantine Sunday for contact tracing. They hope to travel out to Indianapolis on Friday,

3) The great quarterback Drew Brees retired Sunday; when you retire on the day the brackets come out, that means you don’t want any attention. Brees will be in Canton in five years.

2) Sunday night, I’m flipping channels between the shows analyzing the brackets and some spring baseball, and I see that ESPN2 televises freakin’ cornhole!!!! Do people watch this? Please God in heaven, tell me they don’t bet on it (DraftKings is a sponsor). Yikes.

On a personal note, RIP to former town of Colonie supervisor Fred Field, who passed away this weekend at age 88. Mr Field was an industrial engineer for 30 years, served as town supervisor of my hometown for 18 years— he was a good guy, RIP, sir.

1) As the week goes on, I’ll be posting information on all the basketball games; takes some time to organize the information I have, then get the TV schedule, but eventually it gets done.

This is one of my favorite weeks all year; lets hope everyone stays healthy and the tournament is a fun one. Lord knows we could all use some fun.

**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 09:29 AM

1NASHVILLE -2 TAMPA BAY
NASHVILLE is 1-12 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

3BOSTON -4 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

5VANCOUVER -6 OTTAWA
VANCOUVER is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

7PHILADELPHIA -8 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 32-21 ATS (16.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

9CHICAGO -10 FLORIDA
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.

11WASHINGTON -12 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 1-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

13MONTREAL -14 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

15EDMONTON -16 CALGARY
CALGARY is 2-13 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

17ST LOUIS -18 LOS ANGELES
ST LOUIS are 5-9 ATS (-10.3 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

19SAN JOSE -20 VEGAS
SAN JOSE is 107-95 ATS (24.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 09:32 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 15

**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 09:34 AM

NHL

Monday, March 15

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Trend Report
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Nashville @ Tampa Bay
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

Chicago @ Florida
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

Philadelphia @ NY Rangers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 9 games at home
NY Rangers is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Vancouver @ Ottawa
Vancouver
Vancouver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ Buffalo
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

Montreal @ Winnipeg
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games

Edmonton @ Calgary
Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 15 games when playing at home against Edmonton

St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

San Jose @ Vegas
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games when playing San Jose

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**Udog** · 03-15-2021, 10:46 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, March 15

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NASHVILLE (11-16-0-1, 23 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (18-5-0-2, 38 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-54 ATS (-29.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-15.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-12 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 1-12 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 141-65 ATS (+73.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 41-14 ATS (+10.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-10 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 140-142 ATS (+306.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 4-12 ATS (-18.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 443-441 ATS (-100.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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BOSTON (14-7-0-4, 32 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (17-9-0-1, 35 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 11-2 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 11-2 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 233-181 ATS (+45.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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VANCOUVER (13-16-0-2, 28 pts.) at OTTAWA (10-20-0-1, 21 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 418-402 ATS (-124.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 28-16 ATS (+45.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 134-127 ATS (-20.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 177-164 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 6-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 6-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (13-9-0-3, 29 pts.) at NY RANGERS (11-12-0-3, 25 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-46 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 115-138 ATS (-42.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 163-163 ATS (-78.1 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 8-17 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 130-132 ATS (-84.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 152-150 ATS (-87.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 224-264 ATS (-160.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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CHICAGO (14-10-0-5, 33 pts.) at FLORIDA (18-5-0-4, 40 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 5-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 5-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)

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WASHINGTON (17-6-0-4, 38 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-16-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-10 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-10 ATS (+6.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 61-47 ATS (+109.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-20 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-20 ATS (+29.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 6-19 ATS (+30.9 Units) after a division game this season.
BUFFALO is 3-14 ATS (+21.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BUFFALO is 1-11 ATS (+16.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BUFFALO is 6-22 ATS (+37.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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MONTREAL (12-8-0-7, 31 pts.) at WINNIPEG (17-8-0-2, 36 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 48-60 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 21-30 ATS (-17.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-30 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-10 ATS (+3.6 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 17-10 ATS (+4.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 16-10 ATS (+26.2 Units) after a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 12-5 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (18-12-0-0, 36 pts.) at CALGARY (13-12-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 22-29 ATS (-19.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-18 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 3-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-6 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

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ST LOUIS (14-9-0-5, 33 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (11-10-0-6, 28 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 16-22 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 212-205 ATS (+432.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 181-188 ATS (-17.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-5 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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SAN JOSE (11-11-0-3, 25 pts.) at VEGAS (18-6-0-1, 37 pts.) - 3/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 107-95 ATS (+216.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
VEGAS is 0-4 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 11-7 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 11-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/15

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/15

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