NHL System Picks 2021 by Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 13

Back to back OT losses are unfortunate, but when were picking underdogs that are able to push the games to the absolute brink, we are finding value in these plays.


RECORD:

Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 17
Profit = +3.09 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Fanduel at 11:00am Eastern Time):

NY Rangers vs New Jersey (+164)

This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.

This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI).

Columbus has been allowing pucks in the back of the net. We believe that the public money has over-valued Chicago, so we’ll be throwing a bet on the Blue Jackets!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 14

We’re going through some bad variance with our 3rd straight loss, but we’ll be looking to get that back on track tonight with Anaheim


RECORD:

Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 18
Profit = +2.09 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:00am Eastern Time):

Anaheim (+165) at San Jose

This pick is based on "The Blowout" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a team that just blew out its previous opponent by a 3-goal margin or more. Do so only if the team in question is a road underdog.

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 60.49-unit gain on 818 bets (a 7.4% ROI).

The Ducks beat the Sharks by 4 in their last meeting. Although the Sharks will want some revenge, we believe it’ll be the Duck who smell blood in the water.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[BettorsChat]

Good Luck Professor!

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 15

Nice to get back on track with a Ducks win last night!

RECORD:

Bets won = 16
Bets lost = 18
Profit = +3.74 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Fanduel at 9:00am Eastern Time):

Philadelphia (+154) at Pittsburgh

This pick is based on "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight wins. Do it only if the road team's money line is better than +125 (i.e. 2.25 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 42.69-unit profit via 428 bets (a 10.0% ROI).

The Flyers have lost 2 straight while the Pens have won their last 3. We believe that there is value in taking the Flyers tonight!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 16

Back to back underdog wins has us back on track!

RECORD:

Bets won = 17
Bets lost = 18
Profit = +5.28 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Fanduel at 9:20am Eastern Time):

Calgary (+124) at Montreal

This pick is based on "The Blowout" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a team that just blew out its previous opponent by a 3-goal margin or more. Do so only if the team in question is a road underdog.

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 60.49-unit gain on 818 bets (a 7.4% ROI).

The Flames thumped the Habs in their last meeting. We believe that this matchup is closer than the line suggests so we’ll be going with the Flames.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 17

The Flames were extinguished and we take the loss. Looking to get back on track this weekend!

RECORD:

Bets won = 17
Bets lost = 19
Profit = +4.28 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 11:20am Eastern Time):

St. Louis at Arizona (+130)

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:

Bet a home team coming off 3+ straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1 or 2 straight loss(es). Pull the trigger only if the home team's money line is better than +105 (i.e. 2.05 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 44.95-unit gain over 141 wagers!

The Coyotes have struggled and we believe that the public has left some additional value at this price.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 18

The Coyotes complete the comeback and give us a nice underdog win. Can we get another this weekend?

RECORD:

Bets won = 18
Bets lost = 19
Profit = +5.58 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 11:20am Eastern Time):

Washington (+130) at Boston

This pick is based on "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet a road team coming 1 or straight win(s) when facing a home team coming off 3+ straight wins.

This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 66.87-unit profit over 483 plays (a 13.8% ROI).

The Caps won their last game while the Bruins are riding a 3 game winning streak. We believe the market has overvalued Boston so we’ll be betting on Washington!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 19

The Caps blew a 3-2 lead. Lets rebound today with Edmonton!

RECORD:

Bets won = 18
Bets lost = 20
Profit = +4.58 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Draftkings at 11:00am Eastern Time):

Montreal vs Edmonton (-124)

This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds that are greater than +170 (i.e. 2.70 in decimal). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C (only if its money line is better than -150, i.e. 1.667 in decimal).

In other words, we are expecting a team that was just the victim of a big upset to lose once again.

This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 27.81-unit profit via 600 bets (a 4.6% ROI).

Montreal were big favorites in their loss against Ottawa. We’re going to take Edmonton today and assume that Montreal’s misfortune continues.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 20

As expected, the Oilers were too much for the Habs and we got back in the win column.

RECORD:

Bets won = 19
Bets lost = 20
Profit = +5.39 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Draftkings or Pinnacle at 11:00am Eastern Time):

New Jersey (+225) at Pittsburgh

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting system. This strategy has two different sets of criteria for betting; the one that concerns today's pick goes like this:

Bet a road team coming off 5+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off exactly one straight loss. Pull the trigger only if the road team's money line is better than +150 (i.e. 2.50 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 34.56-unit profit through 44 bets!

I rarely go with big underdogs, but we’ll only have a few times this season where the above system even qualifies. Lets go Devils!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 21



The Devils got into a hole early and even their 6 goal 3rd period couldn’t quite get them out of it. Oh well, on to the next game.



RECORD:



Bets won = 19

Bets lost = 21

Profit = +4.39 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)



Today's pick of the day (odds from Bet365 at 120:00pm Eastern Time):



Montreal (+125) at Edmonton



This pick is based on "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:



Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight wins. Do it only if the road team's money line is better than +125 (i.e. 2.25 in decimal).



This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 42.69-unit profit via 428 bets (a 10.0% ROI).



Montreal has lost two straight while Edmonton won their last 2 games, we believe that the public is overvaluing Edmonton here so we’ll be taking the plus money with Montreal



Good luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 21

The Habs came through with a big win over the Oilers. Lets see if we can hit another underdog play. For anyone interested in a breakdown of my next pick, search me on YouTube @ Professor MJ!

RECORD:

Bets won = 20
Bets lost = 21
Profit = +5.64 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 12:30am Eastern Time):

Philadelphia (+147) at NY Rangers

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system, which goes as follows:

Bet AGAINST a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Make the bet only if the team you are betting has a money line that's better than -150 (i.e. 1.667 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 87.34-unit gain on 1045 bets (a 8.4% ROI).

The Rangers have been hot but recently had their winning streak snapped. We believe casual bettors will be overvaluing the Rangers here so we’ll be placing our wager with the Flyers!

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 23

Back to back underdog wins has us up over 7u through our first 42 picks! Let’s keep this momentum with another NHL play!

RECORD:

Bets won = 21
Bets lost = 21
Profit = +7.11 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from many sportsbooks at 1:30pm Eastern Time):

Nashville vs Chicago (+114)

This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.

This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI).

Simply put, Chicago has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games, despite winning one of those games 5-4. We feel like the public is overvaluing Nashville here so we’ll be betting Chicago.

Good luck!
Professor MJ

[CheCheBoFumbe]

Good Luck

[BettorsChat]

Good Luck Professor!

[ProfessorMJ]

NHL PICK FOR APRIL 24

The Blackhawks couldn’t get it done for us on Friday. Lets look to have some success with our weekend picks!

RECORD:

Bets won = 21
Bets lost = 22
Profit = +6.11 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 12:30pm Eastern Time):

Arizona (-119) at LA Kings

This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which goes as follows:

Suppose a team has lost its past two games, while scoring at most 3 goals in each of those defeats. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line that is better than -125 (i.e. 1.80 in decimal).

This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 90.53-unit profit over 1656 bets (a 5.5% ROI).

Arizona has had trouble putting the puck in the back of the net over the past 2 games. We believe the public will be overvaluing LA so we’ll be betting on the Coyotes!

Good luck!
Professor MJ