Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/7

[Udog]

Sorry, guys! I've been trying to start for 2 1/2 hours. It looks like we might be ready to go. Here's hoping......

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, March 7

Good Luck on day #66 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six best college basketball teams, at 2-point FG% (W-L record)
41.2%— Saint Peter’s (13-10)
41.7%— Michigan (19-2)
42.1%— USC (21-6)
42.4%— Jackson State (11-5)
42.6%— Houston (20-3)
42.9%— Cal-Irvine (16-8)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) OVC tournament: Morehead State 86, Belmont 71
This game started at 8:00pm ET; these players had their COVID tests at 8:30 or 9:30am, 11 or so hours before the game, then had shootarounds, then went back to their hotels for the rest of the day. Not the ideal way to prepare for the biggest game of the year.

Last six years, Belmont is 91-15 regular season OVC games; they’ve only won the OVC tourney once in those six seasons, going 6-5 in OVC tournament games.

Morehead State is in the NCAA’s for the first time in ten years.

12) Tough day for #1-seeds in low/mid major tournaments: Texas State, Wagner, Navy, UMBC all got beat Saturday. Play-in games in Dayton in 10 days are going to have some odd teams playing. NCAA Tournament is more fun when higher seeds win the smaller leagues.

11) Oklahoma State 85, West Virginia 80:
— Cowboys won even though their star player (Cunningham) didn’t play (ankle).
— Oklahoma State won six of its last seven games.
— ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla may be campaigning to be the agent for OSU coach Mike Boynton; the last couple times he worked Cowboy games, he made Boynton sound like a combination of Dean Smith/John Wooden.
— Seeing how Boynton hired Cunningham’s brother as an assistant coach, paying him a reported $200,000/year, comparing him to Larry Brown would be more accurate.
— 30+ years ago, Kansas hired Danny Manning’s dad as an assistant coach; couple years later, Brown’s Jayhawks won the national title, led by Danny Manning. It is legal, and it happens a decent amount, but it doesn’t make you Dean Smith.

10) St John’s 81, Seton Hall 71:
— Pirates led this game, 18-0. Eighteen to nothing.
— Seton Hall lost its last four games (hello NIT??)
— St John’s won nine of its last 12 games.

9) Purdue 67, Indiana 58— Boilermakers have beaten Indiana nine times in a row; Archie Miller’s seat keeps getting hotter.

People on social media scoffed at me (imagine that???) for suggesting that Steve Alford would be a good coach for Indiana. He obviously played there; he’s been a good coach at five other D-I schools. He’d energize the fanbase, then all he’d have to do is win. A lot.

8) Notre Dame 83, Florida State 73— This score clinches the ACC regular season title for Virginia. Couple weeks ago, I was prepared to declare the Seminoles as my dark horse choice to win the national title, now I’m queasy. Florida State doesn’t have a star, that one guy who is a 100% cinch to get a basket/free throws, anytime they need one.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Morehead State (+7) 86, Belmont 71
— Oklahoma State (+7) 85, West Virginia 80
— Appalachian State (+5) 76, Texas State 73, OT
— UAB (+4.5) 65, North Texas 61
— Providence (+4) 54, Villanova 52

6) MVC tournament:
— Loyola 65, Indiana State 49— Ramblers won 16 of their last 17 games.
— Drake 71, Missouri State 69— Drake is down two starters to injury; they split a pair of games with Loyola three weeks ago. Bulldogs didn’t have to play Friday because Northern Iowa had COVID issues, and that helped them in this difficult game against Missouri State.

5) Southern Conference tournament:
— #2/#3-seeds both got upset Saturday, leaving NC-Greensboro a clear path to their 2nd NCAA bid over the last 20 years.
— Either VMI/Mercer is going to be in the SoCon final; neither finished over .500 in conference games during the regular season.

4) Summit League tournament:
— South Dakota State 84, Omaha 71—
— South Dakota 86, Western Illinois 69— Finally, a league where the better teams win.

3) Sun Belt tournament:
— Appalachian State 76, Texas State 73 OT— Last September, Texas State fired Danny Kaspar, because of he was accused of using racially insensitive language toward his players. Kaspar had been at Texas State for seven years, going 45-22 the last two years.

This season, assistant Terrence Johnson led the Bobcats to an 18-7 record, 12-3 and top seed in the Sun Belt, but they stumbled in this game and now appear headed to the NIT.

2) WCC tournament:
— Saint Mary’s 52, LMU 47— James Naismith was turning over in his grave during this game; not a very good exhibition of offense.
— Pepperdine 78, Santa Clara 70— Waves play BYU Monday night; WCC smartly takes Sunday off, but mostly it is because BYU isn’t allowed to play games on Sundays.

1) America East tournament:
— UMBC/Vermont tied for the regular season title; they both lost Saturday, leaving Hartford and Mass-Lowell to play for the conference title next Saturday. Hartford is ranked #199, Lowell #217; winner will obviously go to Dayton for a play-in game. This is only second time in last six years the regular season champ didn’t win the conference tournament.

[Udog]

25BUFFALO -26 NY ISLANDERS
BUFFALO is 1-10 ATS (-9.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

27TAMPA BAY -28 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 42-19 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

29FLORIDA -30 CAROLINA
FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

31NEW JERSEY -32 BOSTON
NEW JERSEY is 13-10 ATS (11.5 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

33WASHINGTON -34 PHILADELPHIA
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

33WASHINGTON -34 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 19-4 ATS (13.4 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

35NY RANGERS -36 PITTSBURGH
NY RANGERS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

37NASHVILLE -38 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-10 ATS (-10.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

39OTTAWA -40 CALGARY
OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS (-9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, March 7

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 7

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BUFFALO (6-13-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (14-6-0-4, 32 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-21 ATS (+37.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-23 ATS (+36.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 114-90 ATS (+230.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-6 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-1 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (15-4-0-2, 32 pts.) at CHICAGO (13-7-0-5, 31 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 20-14 ATS (+36.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-13 ATS (+13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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FLORIDA (15-4-0-4, 34 pts.) at CAROLINA (16-6-0-1, 33 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 56-29 ATS (+16.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 134-141 ATS (+310.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 7-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (7-11-0-2, 16 pts.) at BOSTON (13-5-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 12-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-8 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-46 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 150-145 ATS (-78.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 241-184 ATS (-72.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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WASHINGTON (13-6-0-4, 30 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (12-6-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-43 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+13.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-21 ATS (+54.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 144-121 ATS (+283.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 107-95 ATS (+211.4 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 136-90 ATS (+25.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-5 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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NY RANGERS (10-9-0-3, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (13-9-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 103-119 ATS (-52.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NY RANGERS are 159-149 ATS (+320.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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NASHVILLE (10-14-0-0, 20 pts.) at DALLAS (7-7-0-4, 18 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 46-51 ATS (-27.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 16-25 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 3-9 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 139-139 ATS (+300.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-7 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-7-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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OTTAWA (8-17-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (11-12-0-2, 24 pts.) - 3/7/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 3-16 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 20-28 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, March 7

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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Boston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Pittsburgh is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Nashville @ Dallas
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa


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