Announcement

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 08:42 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2— Rory McIlroy
12-1— Viktor Hovland
13-1— Bryson DeChambeau
17-1— Tyrrell Hatton
21-1— Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here’s a summation of Tuesday’s quarterfinals:

— Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT— #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
— Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT— Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
— Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69— Norse scored last six points of the game.
— Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT— Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.

Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.

12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60— Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered “a serious knee injury” and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.

As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to “stay on the plantation” in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word “plantation”

Deeply offended.

11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70— For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.

10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74— Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
— The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
— Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
— His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.

9) St John’s 81, Providence 67:
— Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
— St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they’ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won’t make it this year, either.

8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55— This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They’re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.

7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57— Aggies didn’t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.

6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team’s 226 games. Not good.

Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.

5) Astros’ starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.

4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:

“Now, I’m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official — I can say I could have done more — but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we’ve won; there have been games like this that we’ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. … We’re nice, we don’t complain, like, we don’t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get … screwed, in a way, by this. You know?”

3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate

2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn’t exist.

1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.

In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 08:44 AM

21PHILADELPHIA -22 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

23DETROIT -24 CAROLINA
DETROIT is 0-20 ATS (-22 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

27WINNIPEG -28 MONTREAL
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.

29FLORIDA -30 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

31TAMPA BAY -32 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (15 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

33COLUMBUS -34 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

35OTTAWA -36 CALGARY
OTTAWA is 287-293 ATS (-95.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

37TORONTO -38 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 3-13 ATS (-10.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

47BUFFALO -48 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 41-30 ATS (10.7 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

49NY RANGERS -50 NEW JERSEY
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 08:47 AM

NHL

Thursday, March 4

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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games

NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Florida @ Nashville
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Columbus

Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Toronto @ Vancouver
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

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**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 09:30 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 4

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PHILADELPHIA (11-5-0-3, 25 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (12-8-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-95 ATS (+210.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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DETROIT (7-15-0-3, 17 pts.) at CAROLINA (15-6-0-1, 31 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-72 ATS (+148.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-25 ATS (+52.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-326 ATS (-115.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-37 ATS (+76.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-42 ATS (+82.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-59 ATS (+126.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 109-131 ATS (-64.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 55-29 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 54-63 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 223-188 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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WINNIPEG (14-7-0-1, 29 pts.) at MONTREAL (10-6-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 52-45 ATS (-1.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 46-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-26 ATS (-18.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-26 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 155-159 ATS (-70.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 8-16 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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FLORIDA (13-4-0-4, 30 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-12-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 122-178 ATS (+301.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 185-182 ATS (+406.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 46-49 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-14 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (14-4-0-1, 29 pts.) at CHICAGO (12-7-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 13-17 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 20-13 ATS (+36.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 137-63 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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COLUMBUS (9-10-0-5, 23 pts.) at DALLAS (6-6-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 274-183 ATS (+41.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 244-170 ATS (+28.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (8-16-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (10-11-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-19 ATS (+35.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-27 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-4 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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TORONTO (18-4-0-2, 38 pts.) at VANCOUVER (9-15-0-2, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 82-119 ATS (-61.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 52-42 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 152-156 ATS (-76.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

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BUFFALO (6-11-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (12-6-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

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NY RANGERS (8-9-0-3, 19 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-14 ATS (+37.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-04-2021, 11:30 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 4

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/4

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/4

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