Announcement

**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:05 AM

Aim for success, not perfection. Never give up your right to be wrong, because then you will lose the ability to learn new things and move forward with your life.

**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:05 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
81.5— Cleveland
80.5— Boston, Philadelphia
79.5— Cubs
75.5— San Francisco
74.5— Arizona
72.5— Kansas City, Seattle

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 515,640
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Baylor 94, West Virginia 89, OT— If any of the games in the NCAA Tournament are as good as this one was, it’ll be surprising. This was a tremendous game between two really good teams, as Baylor clinches the Big X regular season title, their first league title since 1950.

Baylor was 13-31 on the arc; they were outscored 28-9 on the foul line.

12) Georgia Tech 81, Duke 77, OT— Tech choked away a 64-56 lead with 3:23 left; seriously, been a while since I’ve seen a team that won an overtime game play worse than they did, but they did win, snapping an 0-14 skid against Duke.

Tech started three seniors, two juniors; Duke started three frosh, two sophs.

Duke is now 11-10; will they even be one of the first four teams outside the field of 68?

11) Underrated fact: since 1976, Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches. Two!!!

10) Football is a game, but it is also a business, and businesses can be cold:
— Washington is going to release QB Alex Smith, who made a great comeback this year.
— Dolphins cut LB Kyle Van Noy, who was a team captain, one of their defense’s leaders.
— Vikings cut TE Kyle Rudolph, after he played 10 years in Minnesota.

These are salary cap-related moves, for the most part. I’m very curious to see who the QB will be in Washington next fall. I’m told quarterback is an important position.

9) JJ Watt gets $23M guaranteed from the Arizona Cardinals, where he re-unites with former Houston teammate DeAndre Hopkins. NFC West just got a little more difficult.

8) AAA baseball is going to start a month later than expected; now it will start the first week in May, when all the other minor league teams start. Spring training is weird this year, with very few 9-inning games so far— the rosters are so much thinner, with no minor leaguers to plug holes in the lineup late in games.

7) NIT is going to be a 16-team tournament this year, held totally in Dallas/Fort Worth area. Guess their first big question is whether or not Duke will trek to Texas and play there, since they do not figure to make the NCAA’s.

6) Good news for major league hitters; in-game video will be allowed in dugouts again this season. They said last summer that some hitters suffered because they were so used to seeing their at-bats right after they happened, so they could make adjustments the next time up.

Once the videos were banned, there were guys who were lost without it, so seems like a good common sense move to reverse that decision.

5) My quick plan to improve the NBA All-Star Game this year:
They’re going to have the dunk contest at HALFTIME of the game, which should make halftime very, very long (90 minutes?) You think older players are going to want to sit out for 90 minutes, then gear up to play again? I think not.

Here is my plan: have four All-Star teams, 8 or 9 guys on a team. Play two shorter All-Star Games, one before the dunk contest, one after, then no one has to play after a 90-minute break.

4) Happy 90th birthday to Gavin MacLeod, who played Murray on The Mary Tyler Moore Show and was Captain Stubing on The Love Boat. He was also in Kelly’s Heroes, a 1970 war movie with Clint Eastwood, Donald Sutherland and many other stars.

3) It is March 3rd and there are already 14 head coaching jobs open in Division I

2) March is the month when we obsess over the NCAA Tournament, but on the other side of the street, the teams who don’t win a lot often change coaches- those coaches have friends, families- losing your job can be a traumatic thing. Sometimes we forget coaches are people too.

Was reminded of that when my alma mater, the Albany Great Danes, fired their coach this week, a guy who had been the Albany coach for 20 years.

Will Brown made the NCAA’s five times in his 20 seasons, not too shabby, especially since he inherited a dumpster fire 20 years ago, a program that had just joined Division I, a program that was going nowhere, and fast.

Last few years, Albany got caught up in the transfer epidemic; they were supposed to have two senior guards three years ago, but both of them bolted to big $$$ programs for their senior year, and Albany never recovered- they went 33-47 the last three years, 20-24 in America East.

The AD seems intent on pushing the “mutual parting of ways” angle, but when the coach’s son is on the team, there is no freakin’ way the coach wanted to leave. He is a good coach, a better person; he made me proud to be an Albany alum. Will Brown will be missed.

1) Also saw that Northern Illinois fired their coach; several years ago out in Las Vegas, I’m sitting outside a gym, waiting for the doors to open to an AAU tournament, and I talked to Mark Montgomery for maybe 15-20 minutes. I picked his brain and he couldn’t have been nicer; he is smart, had worked for Tom Izzo at Michigan State. Learned a lot in our conversation.

For him to be as nice as he was to a total stranger, some older guy just hanging out and watching games, it made me sad when I saw he got fired. Hopefully he’ll bounce back and get another chance. When one door closes, another one often opens.

**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:40 AM

11WASHINGTON -12 BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 160-161 ATS (43.4 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game since 1996.

13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
DAVE TIPPETT is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games (Coach of EDMONTON)

15ST LOUIS -16 ANAHEIM
ST LOUIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.

17MINNESOTA -18 VEGAS
MINNESOTA is 25-42 ATS (-21.8 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the last 3 seasons.

19COLORADO -20 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 43-59 ATS (-21.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

45ARIZONA -46 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:43 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 3

**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:45 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 3

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WASHINGTON (12-5-0-4, 28 pts.) at BOSTON (12-5-0-2, 26 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 143-121 ATS (+282.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 58-63 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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TORONTO (17-4-0-2, 36 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-10-0-0, 28 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-10 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-9 ATS (+29.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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ST LOUIS (12-8-0-2, 26 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-11-0-5, 17 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-20 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 314-258 ATS (+53.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 210-203 ATS (+429.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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MINNESOTA (12-6-0-1, 25 pts.) at VEGAS (13-4-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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COLORADO (11-7-0-1, 23 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-9-0-2, 18 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 115-97 ATS (+218.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 21-8 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 181-149 ATS (-70.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-171 ATS (-90.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-7 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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ARIZONA (9-9-0-3, 21 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-7-0-4, 22 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 14-29 ATS (+44.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-9 ATS (+27.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 180-186 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-03-2021, 09:47 AM

NHL

Wednesday, March 3

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Trend Report
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Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 22 games when playing at home against Washington

Toronto @ Edmonton
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Edmonton's last 11 games

St. Louis @ Anaheim
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games
Vegas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Colorado @ San Jose
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/3

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/3

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