Announcement

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
87.5— Oakland A’s!!!!
86.5— Astros, Cardinals, Blue Jays
85.5— Rays
84.5— Nationals
83.5— Angels
82.5— Reds, Brewers

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 513,112
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: 13 of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games:

13) Georgetown 50, Princeton 49— 1989 first round. It would be another 29 years before a #1-seed lost to a 16-seed, but Pete Carril’s Tigers came damn close in this game.

Dick Vitale was in the ESPN studio with Bob Ley that night; he says on the air if Princeton wins the game, he’ll stand on his head on the set, on the air. He damn near had to do it. Georgetown had Alonzo Mourning that year; they wound up losing in the regional final.

12) Villanova 77, North Carolina 74— 2016 national title game. I’m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook watching this game, guy sitting next to me has Villanova and the under. From the sound of his voice and his tension level, he had a lot of money on both.

Guard on North Carolina (Marcus Paige?) hits a tough shot to tie the game and put the game over the total; the guy next to me slumped in his chair, but when Kris Jenkins drained a long shot to win the national title, the guy cheered up, a lot. That night, splitting his bets was a very good thing.

11) Kansas 83, Oklahoma 79— 1988 national title game. Over the last 35 years, this was only time the underdog won all three games at the Final Four. Kansas was a #6-seed; it would be another 26 years before a lower seed (#7-seed UConn in 2014) would win a national title.

Billy Tubbs coached Oklahoma back then; I loved watching his teams, they played and with great confidence. This game was 50-50 at halftime, two conference rivals going at it, but the Jayhawks had Danny Manning, and he led them to a surprising national championship.

10) Vermont 60, Syracuse 57 OT— 2005 first round. Back then, group of us would gather at an Off Track Betting sports bar, hunker down for four days and watch games for 12 hours a day. Lot of fun, lot of bantering back/forth. Wish the casino in Schenectady was around back then.

This was the year Tom Brennan coached Vermont to a big upset in the first round; they were a 9-point underdog in this game. Brennan later became a talk radio star, after he retired from coaching- his Catamounts lost their next game by 11 to Michigan State.

9) Northern Iowa 69, Kansas 67 OT— 2010 2nd round. I was at the MGM Grand watching this game; lot of Kansas fans were around, very cocky that their team was headed to the Sweet 16- they were the #1-seed in that region.

Problem is, no one told Northern Iowa; they hit a 3-pointer late in the game, pulled the big upset and made a lot of Jayhawk fans very sad.

That was the week I’m watching a game, kid scores a basket very early in the game and the three guys next to me start hugging each other and yelling. I ask them if that was their brother who scored that basket— they said no, they had Wake Forest in their “first to 15” bet.

I had no idea that MGM offered a bet where you picked which team got to 15 points first.

8) North Carolina 77, Oregon 76— 2017 national semifinal. Watched this game in Las Vegas with a friend of mine who had a very, very large bet on Oregon. He had both underdogs that day, and over the last 35 years, that day was the only time in national semifinals where both underdogs lost, but both covered, so he had a really good day.

South Carolina was a #7-seed that surprisingly made the Final Four that year; since then, Gamecocks are 32-36 in SEC games, and haven’t been back in NCAAs. Tough place to win.

7) North Carolina 71, Gonzaga 65— 2017 national final. This was two nights after the two dogs had covered the semi-final games. I’m at the SouthPoint sportsbook, and I sit next to three younger guys, all from San Diego. It was also opening night of baseball season.

For the next 3-4 hours, we shot the breeze about everything, mostly sports, but some other stuff too. They told me that Steve Fisher needed to retire at San Diego State (he did, right after that). First time I ever had a quesadilla (they’re good!!). Living proof that all Americans have more in common than what separates us.

6) Georgia Tech 93, Minnesota 91— 1990 regional final. I had the Gophers +3.5. Minnesota has the ball at the end, no chance to win, kid drains a 3 from the right corner at the buzzer, to send me home happy.

Long, long time ago, went to the NIT Final Four in New York City. This is 1984 or so, when I had just started working. All I remember about that night:
— Fresno State had really pretty cheerleaders who threw small boxes of raisins into the stands. Apparently, they grow a lot of raisins in Fresno.
— Someone scored a basket late in the game to cover the spread; these three guys in front of us starting yelling and hugging each other. Winning money makes you happy.
— Long busride back to Albany, then I went right to work— I was on the midnight-8am shift back then, looking at fingerprints. That was a long freakin’ night.

5) Murray State 83, Marquette 64— 2019 first round. Not a pleasant memory; I picked this game over the total, should have had Murray and the over. Marquette had no answer for Ja Morant and the Racers were going to hang 100 on a Big East team, the game was going to go way over the total, but the Marquette coach retreated his team into a zone defense and refused to try and win, to avoid embarrassment. No bueno.

Gamer stayed under the total; lets just say…….I wasn’t happy ��

4) UNLV 103, Duke 73— 1990 national title game. Wish I was in Las Vegas for this game, the night Jerry Tarkanian won his first national title. What a team that was; Larry Johnson, Greg Anthony, Stacey Augmon. Lot of midnight games on ESPN for that crew.

Back then, Big Monday was a tripleheader: Big East at 7, Big 10 at 9, Big West at midnight, after SportsCenter. UNLV was in the Big West back then; they were like Gonzaga is now, a very big fish in a fairly small pond. Lot of fun to watch.

3) Northwestern State 64, Iowa 63— 2006 first round. This was a 3-14 game; Demons were a 7-point underdog. I had gone on a local radio show when the brackets came out and predicted an outright win for Northwestern State, so I was pretty excited when it happened.

Couple years later down in Orlando, I’m watching an AAU game down in Florida and the Northwestern State coach sits next to me. I told him the story, thanked him; he told me how one of his former players was going to graduate school at Iowa that year, had given him a great scouting report on the Hawkeyes. Luckily for me.

2) Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 92— 1990 first round. LMU’s first game since the tragic death of Hank Gathers during the WCC tournament, 12 days earlier.

Game was tied at halftime; Bo Kimble, LMU’s best player, had four fouls at halftime but the Lions exploded in the second half and won going away. Kimble shot his first foul shot lefty to honor his fallen teammate. LMU won two more games before losing in the regional final.

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 09:29 AM

1BUFFALO -2 NY RANGERS
BUFFALO is 8-34 ATS (-29.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

3PHILADELPHIA -4 PITTSBURGH
PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

5OTTAWA -6 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

7DETROIT -8 COLUMBUS
DETROIT is 4-36 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

9VANCOUVER -10 WINNIPEG
VANCOUVER is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

39NY ISLANDERS -40 NEW JERSEY
NY ISLANDERS are 1-7 ATS (-7.6 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.

41CAROLINA -42 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 09:32 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 2

**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 09:34 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 2

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BUFFALO (6-10-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-9-0-3, 17 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-30 ATS (+46.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 162-163 ATS (-78.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 14-28 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 133-161 ATS (-103.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (11-4-0-3, 25 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (11-8-0-1, 23 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 283-294 ATS (-95.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-41 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-94 ATS (+209.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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OTTAWA (8-15-0-1, 17 pts.) at MONTREAL (9-6-0-5, 23 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-14 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 4-26 ATS (+55.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 45-56 ATS (+124.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-24 ATS (-12.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-26 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-26 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 154-159 ATS (-70.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 16-20 ATS (-8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-9 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-7 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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DETROIT (7-14-0-3, 17 pts.) at COLUMBUS (8-10-0-5, 21 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-71 ATS (+146.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-325 ATS (-114.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-56 ATS (+118.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-41 ATS (+80.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-58 ATS (+124.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 471-392 ATS (-156.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

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VANCOUVER (9-14-0-2, 20 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-7-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 26-15 ATS (+41.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-6 ATS (+6.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 172-156 ATS (+344.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 220-257 ATS (+569.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (11-6-0-4, 26 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-8-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 32-20 ATS (+52.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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CAROLINA (14-6-0-1, 29 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-11-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 185-181 ATS (+405.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 54-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 46-48 ATS (-30.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-13 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-02-2021, 09:36 AM

NHL

Tuesday, March 2

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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Ottawa @ Montreal
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa

NY Islanders @ New Jersey
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Carolina @ Nashville
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

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Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/2

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/2

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