Announcement

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:00 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
102.5— Dodgers
95.5— Bronx Bombers
94.5— Padres
91.5— Braves, White Sox
90.5— Mets
88.5— Twins

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Quick piece of advice: don’t bet on spring training games this year.

They have some unusual rules this year; one of the weird ones is if a pitcher throws 20+ pitches in an inning, his manager can simply end the inning, just by saying so.

Up 5-2 in top of 6th Sunday, Angels had bases loaded, but the SF pitcher had reached 20 pitches that inning, so Gabe Kapler just told the umpire the half-inning was over. MLB is trying to prevent pitchers from overworking themselves this spring.

Some games are 5 innings, some 7, others 9, at least until March 13, when they’re expected to go back to all nine-inning games.

12) If you were born on February 29, when do you celebrate your birthday? The 28th? March 1? Must be odd having a birthday once every four years.

11) There is a basketball player at South Alabama named Kayo Goncalves: here are his shooting stats for this year, his senior season:

— 2-point shots: 7-19, 36.8%
— foul shots: 9-14, 64.3%
— 3-point shots: 65-168, 36.7%

He mustn’t dribble very much, just catch/shoot. Jaguars are 16-10 overall this season, 23-14 in Sun Belt play the last two seasons. Sun Belt basketball is fun to watch.

10) Knicks 109, Pistons 90— Knicks are 18-17, first time since 2013 that they’ve been over .500 after 35 games. Tom Thibodeau is a very good coach.

9) QB Allen Bowman is transferring from Texas Tech to Michigan; Jim Harbaugh had a young QB play for him last year and it didn’t go well, so he grabs another transfer. Bowman threw for 2,600+ yards the last two seasons.

8) It was great to watch actual baseball games Sunday, even meaningless exhibition games. Regular season starts April 1st, four weeks from Thursday.

7) Marcus Semien got $18M to play for Toronto this season, but he is also moving from SS to second base, and he’ll play most of his home games on artificial turf.

Blue Jays will stay in Florida for their first two homestands, and they’ll play it by ear from there, as far as COVID protocols go. Blue Jays played their home games in Buffalo last year, but you don’t want to play outdoors in Buffalo in April.

6) Butler 73, Villanova 61— Villanova shot 2-27 from the arc; they’re shooting 36.1% for the season behind the arc. This is the kind of game teams will have to avoid in the tournament; you lay an egg there and your season ends quickly.

5) Iowa 73, Ohio State 57— In reality, NCAA Tournament will have three #1-seeds (Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan) and five #2-seeds, just that one of the five will be named as a #1-seed, but who will it be? Buckeyes had a shot, but they’ve lost three in a row now, so that won’t happen.

4) Victor Oladipo rejected a 2-year, $45.2M contract extension from the Houston Rockets; you know your life is going well when $45.2M isn’t a good deal. He wants a contract that is longer than two years, and if he stays healthy, he’ll probably get it.

3) Charlotte 127, Sacramento 126:
— Sacramento led by 8 with 0:55 left.
— Kings missed five foul shots in the last 1:09.
— Charlotte’s best player, Gordon Hayward, didn’t play.
— Sacramento has lost 10 of its last 11 games.

2) RIP to Irv Cross, 81, who passed away Sunday. Cross was a DB in the NFL for nine years (Eagles, Rams) but was better known as a popular person on the NFL Today pregame show for many years, with Brent Musburger, Phyllis George and Jimmy the Greek. RIP, sir.

1) Sunday was the 38th anniversary of the last episode of M*A*S*H, one of the all-time great TV shows. Spent many an hour watching M*A*S*H re-runs on weekday afternoons; the episodes with MacLean Stevenson were my favorites.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:03 AM

67CALGARY -68 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 54-67 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored since 1996.

71CAROLINA -72 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

75VANCOUVER -76 WINNIPEG
VANCOUVER is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

77ST LOUIS -78 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

77ST LOUIS -78 ANAHEIM
DALLAS EAKINS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances (Coach of ANAHEIM)

79TORONTO -80 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 20-31 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

81MINNESOTA -82 VEGAS
MINNESOTA is 9-3 ATS (7.7 Units) against good defensive teams - allowing <=2.55 goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

83COLORADO -84 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 42-59 ATS (-22.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:06 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, March 1

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CALGARY (10-10-0-2, 22 pts.) at OTTAWA (7-15-0-1, 15 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 19-26 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 133-127 ATS (-21.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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CAROLINA (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) at FLORIDA (13-4-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 134-140 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
FLORIDA is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CAROLINA is 53-29 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-14 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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VANCOUVER (8-14-0-2, 18 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 51-44 ATS (+107.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 28-19 ATS (+50.0 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 26-15 ATS (+42.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 219-257 ATS (+568.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-1 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (11-8-0-2, 24 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-10-0-5, 17 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 14-20 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 314-257 ATS (+54.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 472-492 ATS (+980.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 209-203 ATS (+428.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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TORONTO (16-4-0-2, 34 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-9-0-0, 28 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 30-22 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 23-11 ATS (+34.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-16 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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MINNESOTA (12-6-0-0, 24 pts.) at VEGAS (12-4-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-9 ATS (+26.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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COLORADO (11-6-0-1, 23 pts.) at SAN JOSE (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 115-96 ATS (+217.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 180-149 ATS (-72.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 198-171 ATS (-92.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-7 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 7-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:07 AM

NHL

Monday, March 1

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Trend Report
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Carolina @ Florida
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games

Calgary @ Ottawa
Calgary
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

St. Louis @ Anaheim
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
St. Louis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Toronto @ Edmonton
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Colorado @ San Jose
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Jose's last 14 games when playing at home against Colorado

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**Udog** · 03-01-2021, 09:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 1

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/1

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/1

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