Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six guys who were student managers for their college hoop teams:
— Auburn coach Bruce Pearl (Boston College)
— LSU coach Will Wade (Clemson)
— Clippers’ executive Lawrence Frank (Indiana)
— Thunder coach Mar Daigneault (UConn)
— Texas Tech coach Chris Beard (Texas)
— Iowa State coach Steve Prohm (Alabama)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 510,658
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday……

13) Will any of this season’s scheduling oddities become normal in the future? Will playing two games at one site over 2-3 days, which reduces travel, become the new normal, or will things go back to the way they were last year?

Friday nights have always been a slow night for college hoop, but this year, Fridays have been busier than Wednesday/Thursdays. I’m guessing the TV people would prefer leaving Fridays to the NBA and getting college games back to mid-week dates, but that remains to be seen.

12) Alabama basketball coach Nate Oats recently signed a contract extension that will pay him $3.225M/year, not bad for a guy who, eight years ago, was a high school Math teacher and the basketball coach at a Michigan HS. He taught at the school for 11 years; now he’s rich.

Alabama is 19-6 this year, 14-2 in the SEC; they’ll be a high seed in the NCAA’s.

11) Oklahoma State 94, Oklahoma 90, OT— Cade Cunningham scored 40 points for OSU, in an impressive one-man show. Cunningham’s brother was hired as an assistant coach by the Cowboys last year, as an inducement for his brother to come to Stillwater.

Whatever they’re paying the brother, it ain’t enough. Oklahoma State will play in the NCAA’s before they get their probation from the NCAAs. Cunningham will be a walking advertisement for the Oklahoma State program when he plays in the NBA.

10) Louisville 80, Duke 73 OT
— Cardinals blew a 12-point lead, but pulled away for the OT win.
— ESPN’s Jay Bilas (a Duke alum) calls most Duke games, but he was at Kansas-Baylor, so ESPN showed they give Duke no special treatment— Chris Spatola was the analyst. He is Coach K’s son-in-law.

Oy.

9) Kansas 71, Baylor 58— Bears lose for first time in 18 games; this was their second game back after a 21-day COVID pause. Selection Sunday is two weeks from today, so their first game in the NCAA Tournament is 18-19 days away. Will they have their legs back by then?

8) North Carolina 78, Florida State 70
— This was Roy Williams’ 900th career win; 482 at Carolina, 418 at Kansas.
— Florida State led this game by 16 in the first half.
— Peaks/valleys: Carolina got hammered at home by Marquette during the week.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Tennessee Tech (+10.5) 71, Murray State 61
— Northridge (+10) 90, Bakersfield 87
— Rider (+9.5) 78, Saint Peter’s 65
— Vanderbilt (+9.5) 75, Ole Miss 70
— Auburn (+8) 77, Tennessee 72
— Bradley (+8) 67, Drake 61
— Oregon State (+7) 73, Stanford 62
— Boston College (+7) 94, Notre Dame 90

6) Texas Tech 68, Texas 59:
— Longhorns are 4-6 in their last ten games, after a 10-1 start.
— Tech’s win snaps a 3-game losing skid.

5) Morehead State 89, Belmont 82, OT
— Belmont lost twice this week, after starting the season 24-1.
— Morehead was 31-39 on foul line, Belmont 14-19.

4) Auburn 77, Tennessee 72— Tigers pull the upset without star G Sherife Cooper, who is out for the year. Excellent coaching job by Bruce Pearl, but also a disturbing loss for Tennessee, which looked lackluster in defeat. When network TV guys say it on the air, it had to be obvious.

3) Arkansas 83, LSU 75— Razorbacks have won six in row, nine of last ten games. LSU takes lot of quick shots and doesn’t pass the ball so much- they’re 4-6 in their last ten games, after they started the season 10-2.

2) Gonzaga 86, LMU 69— Gonzaga is the last unbeaten team in the country which puts the target right on their backs. Zags have one single-digit win the entire season (December 2nd vs West Virginia); when they have to play a close game in the NCAA’s, will that hurt them?

1) There are a lot of teams who are capable of beating anyone on a given day, but it seems like there are very few teams who are consistently good. Winning a national title takes six wins a row, the last four (or five) over strong teams.

The eventual national champ this year may be a team that gets help from upsets elsewhere in their bracket, not unlike Kansas in 1988.

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 08:24 AM

57BOSTON -58 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 232-255 ATS (-94.1 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game since 1996.

59COLUMBUS -60 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

61PHILADELPHIA -62 BUFFALO
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

61PHILADELPHIA -62 BUFFALO
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

63PITTSBURGH -64 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 64-54 ATS (14.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the last 3 seasons.

65DETROIT -66 CHICAGO
DETROIT is 5-34 ATS (-25 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

87WASHINGTON -88 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 5-17 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 08:26 AM

NHL

Sunday, February 28

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Trend Report
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Boston @ NY Rangers
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Philadelphia @ Buffalo
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Nashville
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Columbus's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Columbus
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus

Washington @ New Jersey
Washington
Washington is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Jersey
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington

Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Chicago
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

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**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 09:32 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 28

**Udog** · 02-28-2021, 10:04 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 28

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BOSTON (11-5-0-2, 24 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-8-0-3, 17 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 232-180 ATS (+46.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 162-162 ATS (-77.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 7-16 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 130-131 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 152-149 ATS (-86.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 224-263 ATS (-193.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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COLUMBUS (8-9-0-5, 21 pts.) at NASHVILLE (9-11-0-0, 18 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 45-48 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 45-41 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 23-26 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (10-4-0-3, 23 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-9-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 282-294 ATS (-96.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 463-403 ATS (-119.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 61-41 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-19 ATS (+10.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 49-75 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
BUFFALO is 4-12 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (11-7-0-1, 23 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (10-6-0-4, 24 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 11-23 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-6 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-5 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-7 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-7-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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DETROIT (7-13-0-3, 17 pts.) at CHICAGO (11-7-0-4, 26 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-70 ATS (+144.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-324 ATS (-113.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
CHICAGO is 14-9 ATS (+24.6 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 394-392 ATS (+798.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 109-99 ATS (-65.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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WASHINGTON (11-5-0-4, 26 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-7-0-2, 16 pts.) - 2/28/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 23-28 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 8-19 ATS (+33.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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Announcement

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/28

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