Announcement

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 08:41 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball title:
3-1— Gonzaga, Baylor
7-1— Michigan
11-1— Villanova
14-1— Houston, Ohio State, Texas
16-1— Florida State
18-1— Illinois, Iowa

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 501,724
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) A gambler bet $67,000 Tuesday night at @pointsbetusa that 17-0 Baylor would beat 2-16 Iowa State SU, but Baylor was down 32-15 early, was still down a point with 4:54 left to play- they wound up winning 77-72.

The gambler risked $67,000, made himself a stresssful $2,914. Very stressful.

12) Baylor 77, Iowa State 72— That was the Bears’ first game in three weeks; they just need to get games under their belt, to get ready for the tournament. Can a team get in midseason form in three weeks? We’re about to find out.

11) March’s college basketball schedule is going to be scrambled this year, but at least they’re going to play tournaments, unlike last year. Some of the conference tournaments start next week; I’ll be posting information on all that I can. Hopefully next season will be more normal.

10) NBA trends on back/backs:
— Road teams who played at home night before: Favorites 4-3 ATS, underdogs 6-10-1
— Teams on road for 2nd consecutive night: F 13-8 ATS, U 19-13-1
— Teams at home for 2nd consecutive night: F 12-9-1, U 14-14
— Home teams who played on road night before: F 2-9, U 10-6
— Home teams 38-38-1………favorites 31-29-1, underdogs 49-43-2

9) I’d be fascinated to know what NBA coaches who also coached in college think about the two sports: Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens, Quin Snyder. Even Lon Kruger, who coached the Hawks for a few years but who coaches Oklahoma now.

Recruiting and the transfer epidemic has to make college coaching less appealing; the money is better in the NBA, but lot of coaches like to teach— lot more of that in college.

Would be a fascinating HBO special this summer. Or NBA TV.

8) Lefty pitcher Scott Kazmir signed a minor league deal with the Giants; he has a career record of 108-96, but hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2016. Giants will be his 7th big league team.

7) NBA teams who play the fastest tempo, which could be helpful in betting totals:
1) Golden State
2) Houston
3) Chicago
4) Minnesota
5) Philadelphia

6) Michigan State 81, Illinois 72: Some nights Illinois looks like a Final Four team, then there are nights like tonight. You have to win four tournament games in a row to make the Final Four; is Illinois consistent enough?

5) There are already 110 kids on the college basketball transfer portal; with this year being a free year for college players, meaning that conceivably, everyone playing this year could also come back and play next year, the transfer portal should be fascinating this spring.

Over 1,000 kids transferred last year; I’m guessing this year’s number will be around 1,500.

4) All-Star reserves were announced Tuesday; couple of surprising omissions:
— Phoenis Suns are 20-10; Devin Booker is their best player, scoring 24.7 ppg.
— Domantas Sabonis is one of four players averaging at least 20 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists per game.

NBA All-Star Game is way harder to make than the baseball/football All-Star Games

3) Michigan’s football team has six new assistant coaches for next season; now all ten of Jim Harbaugh’s assistant coaches are under 40 years old, which is highly unusual.

2) Georgia 91, LSU 78— Dismal effort by LSU, which is now 4-5 in its last nine games. LSU is #329 in the country in assists/FG’s made, meaning they go 1-on-1 a lot and depend on their rebounding for scoring. Not the best recipe for March, especially for experience team #327.

1) Auburn star Sharife Cooper has his foot in a walking boot, Auburn isn’t playing in the postseason and Cooper is likely headed to the NBA this summer, so his college career is pretty much over. So are Auburn’s chances of winning again this season. They’ve lost 7 of their last 8 games, and finish up with Tennessee/Alabama.

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 08:43 AM

61CALGARY -62 TORONTO
TORONTO is 22-27 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the last 3 seasons.

63NY RANGERS -64 PHILADELPHIA
NY RANGERS are 18-8 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

65ANAHEIM -66 ARIZONA
ANAHEIM is 82-50 ATS (27 Units) in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals since 1996.

67LOS ANGELES -68 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 3-7 ATS (-10 Units) in home games vs. losing teams in the current season.

85CAROLINA -86 TAMPA BAY
CAROLINA is 11-27 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

87DALLAS -88 FLORIDA
DALLAS are 0-7 ATS (-8.2 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

89MINNESOTA -90 COLORADO
MINNESOTA is 23-41 ATS (-23.4 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 08:45 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

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CALGARY (9-9-0-1, 19 pts.) at TORONTO (14-4-0-2, 30 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 51-42 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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NY RANGERS (6-7-0-3, 15 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (8-4-0-3, 19 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-41 ATS (+114.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 158-148 ATS (+318.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 177-200 ATS (-156.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 461-403 ATS (-27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (6-10-0-3, 15 pts.) at ARIZONA (8-7-0-3, 19 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 314-256 ATS (+32.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 135-136 ATS (+302.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
ARIZONA is 13-27 ATS (+40.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-5 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 7-5-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (8-6-0-3, 19 pts.) at ST LOUIS (10-7-0-2, 22 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 9:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 12-7 ATS (+21.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-1 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-7 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 3-7 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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CAROLINA (12-4-0-1, 25 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (11-4-0-1, 23 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 5:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 134-63 ATS (+65.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 57-17 ATS (+19.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 52-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 11-17 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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DALLAS (5-4-0-4, 14 pts.) at FLORIDA (12-3-0-2, 26 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 5:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 273-183 ATS (+56.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 243-170 ATS (+35.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 247-266 ATS (+568.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 185-209 ATS (+410.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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MINNESOTA (9-6-0-0, 18 pts.) at COLORADO (9-5-0-1, 19 pts.) - 2/24/2021, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 207-180 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 54-64 ATS (-48.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 08:47 AM

NHL

Wednesday, February 24

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Florida
Dallas
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

NY Rangers @ Philadelphia
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Rangers
Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Rangers

Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Calgary

Anaheim @ Arizona
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Minnesota @ Colorado
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Los Angeles @ St. Louis
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of St. Louis's last 14 games at home
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 02-24-2021, 10:24 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 24

Announcement

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/24

Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/24

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