Announcement

**Udog** · 02-20-2021, 08:04 AM

Armadillo:Saturday's six-pack

Odds to win the home run title this season:
12-1— Mike Trout, Ronald Acuna
14-1— Juan Soto
16-1— Joey Gallo
18-1— Eloy Jimenez
20-1— Pete Alonso, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge
25-1— Vladimir Guerrero, Giancarlo Stanton

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 495,207
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Random stuff with the weekend here

13) This is what politicians/public servants are SUPPOSED TO DO:

In Texas this week, Beto O’Rourke organized volunteers to make more than 784,000 wellness calls to senior citizens around the state, to make sure they’re OK.

Common decency shouldn’t be a partisan issue; O’Rourke is a private citizen now, but he still has influence and he used it to try to help people this week. Good for him.

12) Long time ago, 40 or so years ago, I was student manager of the basketball team at UAlbany, when the Great Danes were a Division III team. A great learning experience, made lot of friends because of it; I was thinking of this story tonight and it made me smile:

Albany had a JV team; this is February 1980. The JV team had several injuries, one of whom was Jody MacDonald, who is now a sports talk host in Philadelphia; our team was down to six guys, so for two interesting nights, I suited up as the JV’s 7th player.

Because part of my job as student manager was dealing with the officials before games, I knew most of them; this was my junior year. I’m in the layup line, knowing I wasn’t going to play but trying to look like an actual player during warmups. I hear a voice behind me.

“Remember, no dunking in warmups” one of the refs says to me, then smiles and walks away. Just what we need, a smart-ass official. ��

Never got into either game I suited up for, but I did play in one scrimmage on our Sweden trip the following summer. I shot too much and was quickly yanked; go figure.

11) Seems strange to me that NBA teams haven’t seen the second half of their schedules yet, but in the COVID era, the league wanted flexibility in how they’re scheduling.

10) Bill Walton was telling a story Thursday night about how Michael Jordan’s first college choice was UCLA, but Larry Brown, then UCLA’s coach, wasn’t interested. I’ve never heard that one before; the whole course of college basketball would’ve changed.

Ironic that Larry Brown is a North Carolina alum.

9) I listen to podcasts a lot; can learn a lot from diverse sources, which is a good thing.

Rams’ GM Les Snead does a podcast with his wife, Kara Henderson; I’m listening to them as I type this, talking to poker pro Annie Duke about decision-making, and how decisions are made, and all the things that go into making good decisions.

Snead’s job has a lot of decision making; you wouldn’t think an NFL GM would take knowledge from a poker pro, but smart people listen to other smart people.

8) Boise State 81, Utah State 77:
— Broncos sweep Utah State, improve to 18-4, 14-3 in conference
— Mountain West is looking like a 2-bid league, with San Diego State looking solid.

7) Dayton 76, Saint Louis 53— Flyers sweep Saint Louis; they were up 20 at the half in this game. Not sure what to make of the Billikens; they had a 34-day COVID pause in January, are now only 4-3 in the A-14. They’re looking more and more like an NIT team.

6) UAB 76, Old Dominion 69:
— Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 7-32 on the arc.
— Andy Kennedy’s Blazers are 17-4, 10-3 in Conference USA, in Kennedy’s first season.
— UAB was +11 (20-9) in turnovers.

5) Iona 91, Monmouth 86:
— Rick Pitino’s Gaels are 7-5, 5-3 in the MAAC.
— Monmouth coach King Rice got tossed for carping to refs; in an empty gym, the yelling just sounds louder than it probably is.

Pitino has said that he believes in the Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s model of recruiting for mid-majors; 40-50% (6 or 7 players) being from foreign countries. Interesting strategy.

4) Baseball stuff:
— Mets gave P Taijuan Walker $20M for two years.
— Pirates gave 1B/3B Todd Frazier a minor league deal.

3) Lakers’ star Anthony Davis (calf/achilles) is out for at least four weeks.

2) Get well soon to Indianas’ manager Terry Francona, who had offseason surgery to address a staph infection in his big toe- he is still wearing a walking boot.

Everyone you listen to says that Francona is a good dude; he’s also been a successful manager, ending the Curse of the Bambino with the 2004 Red Sox. Baseball is better if he is involved.

Random trivia you probably already knew: Francona was manager of the Birmingham Barons in the AA Southern League, the year Michael Jordan played for the Barons.

1) A 111-year old woman in South Carolina got the COVID vaccine this week, the oldest person to do so.

Maria Aulenbacher attributes living such a long life to a few things: staying active and reading every day (she particularly favors historical books and non-fiction), a glass of red wine with lunch, and a beer with dinner. Good for her.

**Udog** · 02-20-2021, 08:07 AM

1BUFFALO -2 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

3VEGAS -4 COLORADO
COLORADO is 17-11 ATS (12.2 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

5NY ISLANDERS -6 PITTSBURGH
NY ISLANDERS are 32-19 ATS (11.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

7TORONTO -8 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 15-27 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

9NY RANGERS -10 WASHINGTON
NY RANGERS are 17-8 ATS (16 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

11NASHVILLE -12 COLUMBUS
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

13CHICAGO -14 CAROLINA
CHICAGO is 212-201 ATS (37.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1996.

15LOS ANGELES -16 ARIZONA
LOS ANGELES are 13-40 ATS (-31 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

17SAN JOSE -18 ST LOUIS
SAN JOSE is 130-100 ATS (20 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.

21MINNESOTA -22 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-20-2021, 08:10 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 20

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BUFFALO (4-7-0-2, 10 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (6-3-0-2, 14 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-11 ATS (+16.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-20 ATS (+31.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 18-12 ATS (+35.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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VEGAS (10-3-0-1, 21 pts.) vs. COLORADO (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 2-8 ATS (-11.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 206-179 ATS (+26.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 5-3-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (8-5-0-3, 19 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (8-6-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 32-19 ATS (+51.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 104-114 ATS (+255.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 54-53 ATS (+125.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 27-29 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-5 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-5-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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TORONTO (13-3-0-2, 28 pts.) at MONTREAL (9-4-0-2, 20 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 27-16 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-23 ATS (-10.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 34-46 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
MONTREAL is 8-14 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-15 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-5 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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NY RANGERS (5-7-0-3, 13 pts.) at WASHINGTON (8-4-0-3, 19 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 12-26 ATS (+43.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-26 ATS (-23.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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NASHVILLE (6-10-0-0, 12 pts.) at COLUMBUS (8-6-0-4, 20 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 42-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 19-22 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 10-15 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 224-192 ATS (+27.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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CHICAGO (9-5-0-4, 22 pts.) at CAROLINA (10-3-0-1, 21 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (6-6-0-3, 15 pts.) at ARIZONA (7-6-0-3, 17 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-26 ATS (+38.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

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SAN JOSE (6-7-0-2, 14 pts.) at ST LOUIS (10-5-0-2, 22 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 106-95 ATS (+214.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-5 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 9-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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MINNESOTA (7-6-0-0, 14 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-8-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 314-254 ATS (+57.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 472-490 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 6-21 ATS (+30.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-5 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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CALGARY (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) at EDMONTON (10-8-0-0, 20 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.8 Units)

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FLORIDA (10-2-0-2, 22 pts.) at DETROIT (4-11-0-3, 11 pts.) - 2/20/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 21-68 ATS (-81.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 330-322 ATS (-303.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 14-50 ATS (+101.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 9-2 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 9-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

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**Udog** · 02-20-2021, 08:13 AM

NHL

Saturday, February 20

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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ New Jersey
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home

NY Rangers @ Washington
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Vegas @ Colorado
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas

Florida @ Detroit
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Florida

Nashville @ Columbus
Nashville
Nashville is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 11 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 13 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Toronto @ Montreal
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

San Jose @ St. Louis
San Jose
San Jose is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Anaheim
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Anaheim's last 10 games at home
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Calgary @ Edmonton
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games

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**Udog** · 02-20-2021, 10:14 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, February 20

Announcement

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/20

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/20

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