Announcement

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:42 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Genesis Invitational golf event:
6-1— Dustin Johnson
12-1— Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
14-1— Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele
16-1— Bryson DeChambeau
18-1— Patrick Cantlay
22-1— Brooks Koepka

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 488,352
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) San Diego Padres gave 22-year old SS Fernando Tatis Jr. a 14-year, $340M contract last night, a lot of $$$$ to give to a young man who has played in 143 big league games, over two years. Tatis has .301 with 39 homers, 98 RBI over those two seasons- big production.

I have to remind myself that San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in the country, so even though they’ve never won much, they are a big market team.

12) Do casinos post fake bets for publicity? The other day, BetMGM posted that a $10,000 bet was made on the Washington Wizards to win the NBA title this season. The bet would pay off $5M if hit it, but it ain’t going to hit. There are people who are rich/stupid enough to just throw away serious money?

Right now, Washington is 9-17, three games out of a playoff spot; I have a better shot at dating Gina Gershon than the Wizards have at winning the NBA title this year (stop laughing).

11) While I wait for Ms Gershon to contact me, the Baseball America Prospects Handbook came in the mail Tuesday, so I have a lot of reading to do. Each team’s top 30 prospects are profiled, it helps me a lot during fantasy baseball season.

Had to be tougher boo to put together this year, since there was no minor league season last year. Prospects who played at the teams’ site last summer did so under a cloud of secrecy.

10) The way it stands now, Ben Roethlisberger is a $41.2M salary cap hit for the Steelers next fall; they’re expected to re-do his contract somehow. Seems like March is going to be a wild time for the league and a lot of its quarterbacks, even some famous ones.

If they release Big Ben, he would still be a $21M+ cap hit; who could they get that is better?

9) Nebraska-Illinois football game was supposed to be played in Ireland August 28; they’ll play in Champaign instead.

8) Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder is going to coach the West All-Stars in the March 7 All-Star Game; he’ll be the first Jazz coach since Frank Layden in 1984 to coach an All-Star team.

7) Bulls 105, Pistons 102:
— In his last six games, Chicago’s Zach LaVine is 52-94 inside the arc, 29-50 outside the arc.
— LaVine is scoring 28+ ppg; he had 37 in this game. This is a young man who scored 9 ppg in his only year of college, at UCLA. He has worked really hard to become a skilled scorer.

6) VCU 68, Richmond 56— Spiders hadn’t played a D-I game in 22 days, and it showed. These two local rivals meet again on March 6.

5) USC 89, Arizona State 71— Trojans have won 7 in row, 13 of last 14 games; the Mobley brothers work great together inside. Plus, the Trojans made 11-20 3-pointers.

4) NC State 74, Pitt 73
— To borrow a hockey term, this was a chippy game, several technical fouls.
— Both teams shot 60%+ inside the arc.
— Pitt star Champagne was 3-11 from floor, 11-16 on foul line.
— Wolfpack has won 11 games in a row over Pitt.

3) Kentucky 82, Vanderbilt 78
— Wildcats’ last three games were decided by 1-2-4 points.
— Calipari is milking every drop he can out of a sub-par roster; they led this game 25-8 and were still life-and-death to win.
— Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew after he went 16-38 in three SEC seasons; Jerry Stackhouse is now 5-24 in SEC play in his 2nd season at Vandy. Winning at Vandy is a tough job.

2) Apparently, some of the NBA’s best players are queasy about participating in NBA-sponsored public service announcements to people accepting the coronavirus vaccine.

This is above my salary grade, but for the love of Pete, listen to the scientists; they’re really smart people who are a very diverse group of people. They won very hard to find medicines that will help us stay healthy.

Lot of people might go get a vaccine because an NBA player endorses it, and those people would then have a better chance of staying healthy, and so would the rest of us.

1) First day of spring training was a rough day for my Oakland A’s; P Frankie Montas tested positive for COVID, C Sean Murphy has a collapsed lung. Other than that, things were great.

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:45 AM

47OTTAWA -48 TORONTO
TORONTO is 85-106 ATS (-31.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals since 1996.

49NY ISLANDERS -50 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

51NEW JERSEY -52 BOSTON
NEW JERSEY is 12-9 ATS (10.3 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

53NASHVILLE -54 COLUMBUS
NASHVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

55NY RANGERS -56 PHILADELPHIA
NY RANGERS are 16-8 ATS (15 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

57SAN JOSE -58 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 0-4 ATS (-6.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

61LOS ANGELES -62 ARIZONA
LOS ANGELES are 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

63MINNESOTA -64 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

83BUFFALO -84 WASHINGTON
BUFFALO is 8-33 ATS (-28.3 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:47 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 18

**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:49 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 18

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OTTAWA (4-12-0-1, 9 pts.) at TORONTO (11-3-0-2, 24 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 49-41 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-5 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (8-4-0-3, 19 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (7-6-0-1, 15 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 25-53 ATS (+87.7 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 32-18 ATS (+50.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-4 ATS (+17.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-4 (+7.5 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (5-3-0-2, 12 pts.) at BOSTON (10-2-0-2, 22 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 29-7 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 17-12 ATS (+33.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 5-1 ATS (+6.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 149-144 ATS (-82.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 58-62 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-5 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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NASHVILLE (6-9-0-0, 12 pts.) at COLUMBUS (7-6-0-4, 18 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 42-46 ATS (-25.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 19-21 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 10-14 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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NY RANGERS (4-7-0-3, 11 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (8-3-0-2, 18 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 11-26 ATS (+42.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-39 ATS (+112.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-17 ATS (+45.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-11 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 108-82 ATS (+20.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 282-293 ATS (-76.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 461-402 ATS (-90.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-1-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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SAN JOSE (6-7-0-1, 13 pts.) at ST LOUIS (9-5-0-2, 20 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 106-94 ATS (+213.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-5 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 8-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (5-6-0-3, 13 pts.) at ARIZONA (7-6-0-2, 16 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-25 ATS (+38.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-4 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (6-6-0-0, 12 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-7-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 314-253 ATS (+58.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-4 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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BUFFALO (4-6-0-2, 10 pts.) at WASHINGTON (7-4-0-3, 17 pts.) - 2/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-26 ATS (-24.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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**Udog** · 02-18-2021, 09:50 AM

NHL

Thursday, February 18

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Trend Report
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New Jersey @ Boston
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Nashville @ Columbus
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Nashville is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Nashville

NY Rangers @ Philadelphia
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Rangers
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Rangers

NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Buffalo @ Washington
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

Ottawa @ Toronto
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

San Jose @ St. Louis
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Minnesota @ Anaheim
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 9 games at home

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/18

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/18

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