Announcement

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 09:22 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Pebble Beach PGA tournament:
15-2— Patrick Cantlay
14-1— Daniel Berger
18-1— Paul Casey
19-1— Will Zalatoris
21-1— Jason Day
23-1— Francesco Molinari, Jordan Spieth

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 468,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) If the Seahawks trade Russell Wilson, I’ll be doing snow angels on my front lawn and I’m not kidding. As a Ram fan, watching them defend Wilson twice a year (3 times this past year) for the last nine seasons hasn’t been fun.

Send him to Las Vegas, the Jets, Houston— anywhere outside the NFC West!!!

12) Last bet I made in Las Vegas was October 2019, Seattle @ Cleveland. Seahawks won 32-28, I had some great pizza at Bonanno’s (around corner from excellent sportsbook at MGM Grand) and all was well with the world. Rooting for Wilson is more fun than rooting against him.

While you were sleeping the other night, I was watching movies and doing research. Here are some trends on how teams who lost a Super Bowl fared the next season:

11) 37 of 54 Super Bowl losers made the playoffs again the next season.

10) 8 of 54 Super Bowl losers made it back to the Super Bowl the next year, going 3-5.

Three teams that won the Super Bowl the year after losing one:
— 1971 Cowboys
— 1972 Dolphins
— 2018 Patriots

9) Last team to lose the Super Bowl 2+ years in a row: the 1990-93 Bills.

8) From 1974-86, the loser of the Super Bowl made the playoffs the next season every year, but went only 2-12 in playoff games.

7) Overall, Super Bowl losers are 32-34 SU in playoff games the following season.

Elsewhere…….
6) There was a 3-way trade in baseball:
— Royals get OF Andrew Benitendi
— Red Sox get OF Franchy Cordero and P prospect Josh Winckowski
— Mets get OF prospect Khalil Lee

5) From what I read/hear on the Interweb, the Houston Texans are a tremendous mess.

Team president Jamey Rootes quit Wednesday, at least in part from tensions over the front office’s recent general manager search. I’ve never heard of this freakin’ guy, but they said on TV that the team’s owner ignored the work the search committee did on finding a new GM. Roones has worked for Houston for 20 years, so his quitting is no small thing.

Rootes’ resignation comes a week after the Texans fired Kevin Krajcovic, director of football administration, as well as equipment manager Mike Parson- they also fired a PR person who had been there for years.

Cal McNair has run the Texans since his father passed away; he got thoroughly ripped on an ESPN talkshow Wednesday, by three ex-NFL players. We’ll see if they wind up trading QB Deshaun Watson, but if I was a Texans’ fan, I’d be pretty queasy right now.

4) Over last two NBA seasons, Dallas Mavericks have lost 23 games by 5 or fewer points, the most of any team in the league.

3) Heard a new TV analyst on ESPNU Wednesday; former North Carolina coach Matt Doherty, who was a pleasant surprise. He spoke his mind, gave out some Dean Smith tidbits, and was generally upbeat and candid.

I’ve said this a lot here; the best announce teams are when you feel like you’re eavesdropping on two friends watching a game. Thats what this was like, so a good hire by ESPN.

2) Washington’s NFL team re-signed QB Taylor Heinicke, I’m guessing to be their backup again next season. Heinicke threw for 306 yards in Washington’s playoff game last month; you would think they’ll try to acquire a bigger name to start next year, but Heinicke proved he belongs in the league.

1) Weird season in college basketball; Kentucky is 5-13, Duke is 7-8. Michigan State is 4-7 in conference games. March is going to be a very interesting month.

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 09:25 AM

27EDMONTON -28 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 15-25 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

29PITTSBURGH -30 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 76-50 ATS (22.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

33TAMPA BAY -34 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

37OTTAWA -38 WINNIPEG
OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS (-9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

39DETROIT -40 NASHVILLE
DETROIT is 4-33 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

43COLUMBUS -44 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 208-190 ATS (-82.6 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1996.

45CAROLINA -46 DALLAS
CAROLINA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

49SAN JOSE -50 LOS ANGELES
SAN JOSE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) off a road win scoring 4 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

51ANAHEIM -52 VEGAS
ANAHEIM is 81-50 ATS (26 Units) in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals since 1996.

53CALGARY -54 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 09:28 AM

NHL

Thursday, February 11

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Edmonton @ Montreal
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games

Columbus @ Chicago
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Columbus's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Nashville
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games
Nashville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

Ottawa @ Winnipeg
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa

Carolina @ Dallas
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina

San Jose @ Los Angeles
San Jose
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
San Jose is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose

Calgary @ Vancouver
Calgary
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Vancouver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Anaheim @ Vegas
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games at home
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

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**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 10:25 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 11

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EDMONTON (8-7-0-0, 16 pts.) at MONTREAL (8-3-0-2, 18 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 19-13 ATS (+36.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 13-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 13-7 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-22 ATS (-9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-13 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (5-5-0-1, 11 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (5-4-0-2, 12 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 4-12 ATS (-9.8 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 3-11 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (9-1-0-1, 19 pts.) at FLORIDA (7-1-0-2, 16 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 9-14 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 132-60 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-9 ATS (+14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 28-8 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 5-12 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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OTTAWA (2-11-0-1, 5 pts.) at WINNIPEG (7-4-0-1, 15 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 1-12 ATS (+20.0 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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DETROIT (3-9-0-2, 8 pts.) at NASHVILLE (5-8-0-0, 10 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-65 ATS (+133.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 329-319 ATS (-113.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 6-30 ATS (+62.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 108-129 ATS (-63.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
DETROIT is 469-388 ATS (-153.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 223-192 ATS (+29.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 41-45 ATS (+106.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 15-18 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 4-9 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 41-38 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 9-13 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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COLUMBUS (6-5-0-3, 15 pts.) at CHICAGO (6-4-0-4, 16 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 389-390 ATS (-101.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 108-97 ATS (-62.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-2 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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CAROLINA (7-3-0-0, 14 pts.) at DALLAS (5-2-0-3, 13 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 243-169 ATS (+6.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

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SAN JOSE (5-5-0-1, 11 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (3-6-0-3, 9 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 178-186 ATS (-19.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-5 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 5-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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ANAHEIM (5-6-0-3, 13 pts.) at VEGAS (8-1-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 313-253 ATS (+33.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 134-135 ATS (+299.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 471-490 ATS (+1,003.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 10-1 (+8.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 10-1-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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CALGARY (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) at VANCOUVER (6-10-0-0, 12 pts.) - 2/11/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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**Udog** · 02-11-2021, 10:27 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 11

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/11

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/11

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