Announcement

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:04 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some of the college basketball teams who take the most 3’s:
1) Wofford 54.9% of their shots are 3’s; they make 37.1%
2) Evansville 53.7%, make 37.6%
4) Akron 51.7%, make 32.5%
5) San Francisco 50.8%, make 36.3%
7) Rice 50.0%, make 36.2%
9) St Joe’s 49.3%, make 30.2%

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 405,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Georgia 63, Kentucky 62:
— Wildcats went 1-13 on arc, lost third game in a row- they’re 4-9.
— Georgia scored on an OB under play in last 0:03 for the win.
— Kentucky led by 6 with 1:50 left.

12) They take college basketball very seriously in the state that somehow elects Rand Paul and Mitch McConnell all the time. To illustrate this, I’ll flash back to 1979:

In my college days, I was student manager for the Albany Great Danes; we were a D-3 team back then. We made the NCAA Tournament in ’79, but we get sent out of the region, to Centre College in Danville, Kentucky.

Four teams at each regional site; normally, the home team plays the nightcap, but Centre played the first game, and we played Savannah State in the nightcap. Centre had a high school-like gym, seated at most 1,000 people, but it was packed for Centre’s game.

Why did Centre play the first game? Kentucky had the 8:30 game in the SEC tournament that night, so when we came upstairs for our game, there were like 20-25 people left in the stands. Everyone went home to watch the Wildcats play on TV.

11) Other random items from that weekend, 42 years ago:
— Danville was in a dry county; the drinking age was 18 back then. There were some disappointed people in our traveling party.
— We lost to Savannah State in OT;l their best player, Harold Hubbard, would up playing for the Harlem Globetrotters.
— Watching TV in the hotel Saturday afternoon, we saw Larry Bird play for the first time, in the Missouri Valley tournament. This was just before ESPN started, so lot fewer games on TV.

10) NCAA Tournament schedule was announced today; it’ll be a little different, no idea if these changes will be permanent, or if they’re just trying something new this year:

Thursday, March 18— First Four games
March 19-20— First round
March 21-22— Second round, so there will be 8 games on a Monday
March 27-28— Sweet 16 games, Saturday and a Sunday
March 29-30— Elite 8 games on a Monday/Tuesday
April 3, 5— Final Four

9) Colts’ QB Philip Rivers retired Wednesday, after a 17-year career where he went 134-106 in regular season games, 5-7 in playoff games, with 66,435 passing yards, 421 TD passes. He is a lock for the Hall of Fame, though it may/may not be in his first year of eligibility.

8) Still unclear if Drew Brees will retire; his wife posted something on Instagram Wednesday, saying how this season alone, he played with a torn rotator cuff, a torn fascia in his foot, and half his ribs broken. Tough freakin’ guy.

7) Astros signed OF/DH Michael Brantley to a 2-year, $32M deal, but not before it was rumored that Toronto had signed him- FanGraphs even had Brantley listed in Toronto’s lineup when I was looking on my phone at lunch yesterday.

6) NFL playoffs trend; last seven years, #1-seeds are 10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS in conference finals. Both #1 seeds lost at home in two years ago, when the Rams/Patriots both won.

5) Odd fact that I learned this week; Once you’re President of the United States, you’re not allowed to drive anymore, ever, for security reasons. Secret Service guys drive you around.

4) People were actually betting on how long Joe Biden’s inaugural address would last; 20-25:00 was the winning wager, at +$200.

3) When teams get fined by a league, where does that money go? NHL’s Washington Capitols were fined $100,000 this week; who benefits from that? A charity of the Caps’ choice?

2) Cavaliers 147, Nets 135, 2OT:
— Hey, Kyrie Irving showed up and played- he scored 37 points (15-28 FG)
— James Harden only took 14 shots, Kevin Durant took 25.
— Collin Sexton torched the Nets for 42 points.
— Cavaliers played only eight guys in a 58:00 game.

1) Arkansas 75, Auburn 73:
— Tigers led by 19 at one point.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:05 AM

1WINNIPEG -2 OTTAWA
WINNIPEG is 24-14 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

3PHILADELPHIA -4 BOSTON
BOSTON is 22-4 ATS (17.6 Units) after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

5TAMPA BAY -6 COLUMBUS
TAMPA BAY is 36-14 ATS (16.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

7NEW JERSEY -8 NY ISLANDERS
NEW JERSEY is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

11MONTREAL -12 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 31-23 ATS (13.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

13COLORADO -14 LOS ANGELES
COLORADO is 30-15 ATS (12.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:08 AM

NHL

Thursday, January 21

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Tampa Bay @ Columbus
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

New Jersey @ NY Islanders
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

Winnipeg @ Ottawa
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg

Montreal @ Vancouver
Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:35 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, January 21

**Udog** · 01-21-2021, 08:56 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 21

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WINNIPEG (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at OTTAWA (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 130-122 ATS (-19.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at BOSTON (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 280-292 ATS (-96.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 459-401 ATS (-121.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-35 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-13 ATS (+9.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-62 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at COLUMBUS (1-2-0-1, 3 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 435-439 ATS (-132.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 8-1 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 125-58 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-7 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-8 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 102-81 ATS (+208.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 43-30 ATS (+8.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 5-1 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 5-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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MONTREAL (2-0-0-2, 6 pts.) at VANCOUVER (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 48-43 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 24-34 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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COLORADO (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-1-0-2, 2 pts.) - 1/21/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 177-184 ATS (-18.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-4 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 4-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/21

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/21

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