Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VEG at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -105.............O - 2
U 5.5.........................WINNER

STL at SJ 09:00 PM
SJ +135...................2 - 3....WINNER
O 6.0....................LOSER

ARI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -180................3 - 2
U 5.5......................WINNER

OTT at EDM 09:00 PM
OTT +195..............2 - 3......LOSER
O 6.5.........................LOSER

MON at VAN 10:00 PM
VAN +125.........1 - 2.......WINNER
U 6.0.............................WINNER

LA at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA +110...............5 - 6.........WINNER
U 5.5..................LOSER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................39 - 45.......46.42%.............- 17.25


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Pac-12 tournament this week:
+150- USC
+200- Colorado
+350- Oregon
+400- UCLA
+2000- Stanford
+2500- Arizona State
+3300- Utah
+8000- Washington State
+10000- Oregon State
+20000- California, Washington

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 523,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I might have to get into that space … it’s very humbling. I mean, it’s a great honor to have one of my cards sell for that much.”
Lakers star Anthony Davis, after his rookie card sold for $1.045M last month

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Dak Prescott play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

Sunday’s quiz
Tim Matheson was a star in Animal House and also played Vice President Hoynes in the old TV series, The West Wing.

*******************

Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway mark…….

Miami
— Won seven of last eight games SU.
— 5-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
— Last three games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee:
— Won six of last seven games SU.
— 10-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 6-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Minnesota:
— 0-5 SU/ATS since they changed coaches.
— Lost 13 of last 14 games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
— 6-9 ATS as a home underdog.
— Four of their last five games went over.

New Orleans:
— Lost three of their last four games SU.
— 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— 12 of their last 14 games went over.

New York
— Won eight of last ten games SU.
— 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight road games.

Oklahoma City
— 4-6 SU in their last ten games.
— 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— 8-3 ATS in last eleven road games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Orlando
— Lost their last five games SU.
— 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
— Last four road games stayed under total.

Philadelphia
— Won six of their last eight games SU.
— 13-6 ATS at home.
— 0-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Phoenix
— Won/covered 16 oof their last 19 games.
— 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— Covered eight of last nine road games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Portland
— Won their last four games.
— 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— 12-6 ATS on the road this season.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Sacramento
— Lost 11 of their last 13 games SU/ATS.
— 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 9-7 ATS on the road this season.
— 11 of their last 12 games went over.

San Antonio
— Spurs split their last eight games SU.
— They’re 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
— Covered nine of their 13 road games.
— Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Toronto
— Raptors lost four of their last five games.
— 6-10 ATS in Tampa, their temporary home.
— 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Last four Toronto games went over.

Utah
— Jazz finished with a 1-3 road trip, after a 21-2 run.
— Utah is 13-0-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
— Covered only one of last five road tilts.
— Over is 9-3 in their last twelve games.

Washington
— Won eight of their last eleven games SU.
— Covered five of last six home games.
— Covered five of last six road games.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

[StarDust Bum]

51NY RANGERS -52 PITTSBURGH
NY RANGERS are 20-10 ATS (17.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

53BUFFALO -54 PHILADELPHIA
BUFFALO is 1-11 ATS (-10.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

55NASHVILLE -56 CAROLINA
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.1 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

57NEW JERSEY -58 WASHINGTON
NEW JERSEY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

59BOSTON -60 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 ATS (7.2 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

61FLORIDA -62 COLUMBUS
FLORIDA is 19-5 ATS (11.3 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

63WINNIPEG -64 TORONTO
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (6.7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

65TAMPA BAY -66 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-36 ATS (-34.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

67CHICAGO -68 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


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NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 9




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NHL

Tuesday, March 9

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Trend Report
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NY Rangers @ Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Nashville

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing NY Islanders
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Buffalo @ Philadelphia
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Buffalo is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Florida @ Columbus
Florida
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida
Columbus is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Florida

Winnipeg @ Toronto
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Winnipeg is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Chicago @ Dallas
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 9

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NY RANGERS (10-10-0-3, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (14-9-0-1, 29 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NY RANGERS are 140-142 ATS (+307.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 28-30 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-3 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (6-14-0-3, 15 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (12-7-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-17 ATS (+26.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-17 ATS (+26.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 6-22 ATS (+38.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-24 ATS (+37.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-44 ATS (+120.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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NASHVILLE (11-14-0-0, 22 pts.) at CAROLINA (17-6-0-1, 35 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-51 ATS (-26.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 1-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 57-29 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 140-139 ATS (+301.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CAROLINA is 224-188 ATS (-60.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-1 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (8-11-0-2, 18 pts.) at WASHINGTON (14-6-0-4, 32 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 137-90 ATS (+18.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 13-8 ATS (+26.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 118-110 ATS (+242.3 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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BOSTON (13-6-0-3, 29 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (15-6-0-4, 34 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 115-90 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 233-180 ATS (+47.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 236-259 ATS (+547.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-5 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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FLORIDA (15-5-0-4, 34 pts.) at COLUMBUS (10-11-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 27-13 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 8-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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WINNIPEG (15-8-0-1, 31 pts.) at TORONTO (18-6-0-2, 38 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 53-46 ATS (-1.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 19-14 ATS (+34.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-6 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (16-4-0-2, 34 pts.) at DETROIT (7-16-0-3, 17 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 441-440 ATS (-131.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 139-64 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-13 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-10 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-73 ATS (-124.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-327 ATS (-239.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-38 ATS (+76.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-43 ATS (+81.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-60 ATS (+126.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 109-132 ATS (-60.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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CHICAGO (13-8-0-5, 31 pts.) at DALLAS (7-7-0-5, 19 pts.) - 3/9/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 395-392 ATS (-143.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
DALLAS is 6-12 ATS (-8.5 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYR at PIT 06:00 PM
PIT -165
O 6.0

BOS at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -110
U 5.5

FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +110
O 5.5

NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -220
O 6.0

BUF at PHI 07:00 PM
BUF +205
U 6.0

WIN at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -185
O 6.0

NJ at WAS 07:00 PM
NJ +170
U 6.0

TB at DET 07:30 PM
DET +275
O 5.5

CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
CHI +115
U 5.5



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................39 - 45.......46.42%.............- 17.25


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYR at PIT 06:00 PM
PIT -165................2 - 4
O 6.0.......................PUSH

BOS at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -110.................1 - 2
U 5.5.......................WINNER

FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +110...........4 - 2.......LOSER
O 5.5..........................WINNER

NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -220..........2 - 3
O 6.0................LOSER

BUF at PHI 07:00 PM
BUF +205..........4 - 5....LOSER
U 6.0...................LOSER

WIN at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -185............4 - 3
O 6.0...............WINNER

NJ at WAS 07:00 PM
NJ +170..........4 - 5....LOSER
U 6.0........................LOSER

TB at DET 07:30 PM
DET +275..........4 - 3.....LOSER
O 5.5..................WINNER

CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
CHI +115..........1 - 6.....LOSER
U 5.5......................LOSER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................43 - 54.......44.32%.............- 46.75


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big 14 tournament this week:
+150- Michigan
+350- Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State
+1000- Purdue
+1500- Wisconsin
+2500- Rutgers
+3500- Michigan State
+5000- Maryland, Minnesota
+6600- Indiana
+20000- Northwestern
+30000- Nebraska

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 525,117
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I don’t really like stats. Exit velocity. I’m more of, exit hits……I dropped out as a sophomore, Look where I am now. I’m OK.”
Bryce Harper

Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, where was Mike Krzyzewski the head coach?

Tuesday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

Monday’s quiz
Mariners/Seahawks used to play home games in the Kingdome.

********************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Gonzaga 88, BYU 78:
— BYU led this game 53-41 at halftime.
— Gonzaga outscored BYU 18-5 on foul line.
— Gonzaga made 12-26 on arc, BYU 11-28.

One of the first questions I’ll be asking myself Sunday night, after the NCAA brackets come out, is whether Gonzaga has been tested enough this season. They haven’t won a game by single digits since December 2 vs West Virginia. The WCC isn’t as good as it usually is, and the Zags have breezed thru this season, while other leagues are way more competitive.

Baylor-Michigan-Illinois have had lot of tough games; it has to make you a better team.

12) Dallas Cowboys’ QB Dak Prescott signed a 4-year, $160M deal, $123M guaranteed. By way of comparison, and without any editorial comment, here are some facts:

Prescott: 42-27 regular season record, 1-2 in playoffs
Jared Goff: 42-27 regular season record, 2-3 in playoffs, which doesn’t include his win in relief at Seattle in this year’s playoffs.

11) Interesting discussion on Mets’ TV the other day about whether a team can improve a lot on defense, without changing the players who are in the field.

Was reminiscent of Troy Aikman saying on NFL broadcasts how quarterbacks cannot learn to become more accurate passers. Aikman believes that once you get to the NFL level, you are what you are, though Buffalo Bill fans would bring up Josh Allen and dispute that.

Bottom line is, Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling didn’t paint an optimistic picture of the Mets’ defense for this season.

10) Last Friday, Troy State upset Texas-Arlington 91-86 in the Sun Belt tournament, which on the surface is no big deal, but there is an interesting back story.

From 2007-18, Scott Cross was Tex-Arlington’s coach; the last three years he was there, UTA went 72-33 overall, 37-15 in Sun Belt games. Damn good record, but they fired Cross because he didn’t win make the NCAA tournament— he made it once, in 2008, Cross’ second year there.

Since they told Cross to take a hike, Tex-Arlington is 44-47 overall, 31-26 in Sun Belt games. Not exactly an upgrade.

I’m guessing when Troy State beat UTA last week, their coach took special satisfaction in the win, seeing how that coach was Scott Cross.

9) I watched Hoosiers for the 50th or so time the other day; watching the credits at the end, they thanked the governor of Indiana, who at the time was a guy named Robert Orr.

Bobby Orr was the governor of Indiana? I thought he was a Canadian!!! (Its a joke)

8) Miami Marlins used 61 players in 60 games last year, 37 of them pitchers; their spring training must be a mess this year, trying to whittle down those 61 guys down to a roster of 26 players. Don Mattingly did a great job in a weird season last year; choosing the right guys for a 162-game season is a much different dilemma.

7) Angels’ broadcaster Jose Mota played one of the Detroit Tigers in the 1999 baseball movie, For Love of the Game, with Kevin Costner. Mota’s character makes a great play to preserve Billy Chapel’s perfect game; he and Mark Gubicza were talking about it on the Angels’ broadcast the other night. Mota said it was an easier play to make, since he read the script and knew where the ball was going to be hit.

Looking at the Angels’ website, they haven’t filled Victor Rojas’ play-by-play slot yet; they should choose Mota. He and Gubicza have a good chemistry.

6) Last season, 12 major league umpires opted out of working, because of COVID; at least three of them are back this year. The Athletic did an interesting article, talking to Phil Cuzzi, Gerry Davis and Brian Gorman about coming back to work and sitting out last year.

Davis has umpired 4.957 major league games; only three umps have gotten to 5,000 games, so that’ll be a big deal when Davis gets to 5,000.

Umpire Brian Gorman’s late wife was a Los Angeles Times staff photographer and picture editor who was a two-time recipient of the Pulitzer Prize.

5) Today is Wednesday of Championship Week, and there are already 300+ names in the college basketball transfer portal. People who sell game programs are going to clean up next year. Guys who write Blue Ribbon Yearbook are going to get headaches. Lot of kids jumping from team-to-team.

4) Colorado Rockies’ 1B CJ Cron is playing for his fifth time in the last five years; he started his career playing four years for the Angels, then went to Tampa Bay in 2018, Minnesota the next year, Detroit last year, and now Colorado.

He hit 55 homers in 2018-19; curious to see how many at-bats he gets this season.

3) NHL will be back on ESPN starting next season; curious to see if the league gets its own daily half-hour show, like the NBA has now. ESPN had forgotten about hockey since they last showed games in 2004. Good news for Steve Levy and Berry Melrose.

2) Turned on the TV when I woke up the other day, and all they’re talking about it is the royal family in England. I don’t give a rat’s ass about the royal family. Seriously, don’t want to hear one word about them, and I was an avid fan of Suits on USA Network, so I’m familiar with Meghan Markle’s work. She married a prince, good for her. Don’t want to hear about it.

Only Royals I care about are Whit Merrifield and Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals.

1) I was fiddling around on the Interweb at 4am the other night when it dawned on me that in most years, this is my favorite two weeks of the whole year, conference tournaments this week, the NCAA’s next week. Watching basketball and eating pizza, good times.

The last year has seemed 10 years long; things are slowly getting better— several of my friends have gotten their vaccines and that’s a good thing. Watching basketball all week will also be a good thing— we didn’t get to do that last year. Getting back to normal will be the best thing.

[StarDust Bum]

69VEGAS -70 MINNESOTA
VEGAS are 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

71OTTAWA -72 EDMONTON
OTTAWA is 13-56 ATS (-31.9 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.

73ARIZONA -74 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

75LOS ANGELES -76 ANAHEIM
LOS ANGELES are 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

77MONTREAL -78 VANCOUVER
MONTREAL is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, March 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vegas @ Minnesota
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games on the road
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Ottawa @ Edmonton
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Los Angeles @ Anaheim
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles

Montreal @ Vancouver
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games


--------------------------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 10




----------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 10

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VEGAS (16-5-0-1, 33 pts.) at MINNESOTA (14-8-0-1, 29 pts.) - 3/10/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-16 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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OTTAWA (9-18-0-1, 19 pts.) at EDMONTON (16-11-0-0, 32 pts.) - 3/10/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 211-207 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 93-106 ATS (-77.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-2 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 6-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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ARIZONA (12-10-0-3, 27 pts.) at COLORADO (13-8-0-2, 28 pts.) - 3/10/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 17-30 ATS (+48.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 30-14 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-9 ATS (+29.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-14 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 9-4 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 9-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (10-8-0-6, 26 pts.) at ANAHEIM (8-12-0-6, 22 pts.) - 3/10/2021, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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MONTREAL (11-6-0-7, 29 pts.) at VANCOUVER (12-15-0-2, 26 pts.) - 3/10/2021, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 47-58 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-28 ATS (-15.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-28 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-21 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 27-15 ATS (+47.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 418-401 ATS (-97.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

-----------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VEG at MIN 07:00 PM
MIN -110
U 5.5

OTT at EDM 08:00 PM
OTT +190
U 6.5

ARI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -225
O 5.5

LA at ANA 09:30 PM
ANA +105
U 5.5

MON at VAN 11:00 PM
MON -155
O 6.0

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VEG at MIN 07:00 PM
MIN -110...........3 - 4
U 5.5..........................LOSER

OTT at EDM 08:00 PM
OTT +190..........1 - 7....LOSER
U 6.5........................LOSER

ARI at COL 09:00 PM
COL -225........1 - 2
O 5.5...............LOSER

LA at ANA 09:30 PM
ANA +105.............5 - 1.....LOSER
U 5.5....................LOSER

MON at VAN 11:00 PM
MON -155............5 - 1
O 6.0....................PUSH



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................43 - 60.......41.74%.............- 79.75


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the PLAYERS Championship this week:
12-1— Dustin Johnson
13-1— Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy
15-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— Justin Thomas
20-1— Morikawa, Schauffele, Simpson
24-1— Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“……..fear and desperation are running neck and neck as the prevailing sentiment within the Bears’ front office right now, as its criminal mismanagement of the quarterback position has come to a crest with few easy ways out.”
Jason LaCanfora, CBS Sports

Thursday’s quiz
Who was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title?

Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

Tuesday’s quiz
Dak Prescott played his college football at Mississippi State

**********************

Thursday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Butler-Xavier, tied 59-all with 0:24 left at the Big East tournament. FS1 shows how Xavier is on the NCAA bubble and needs to win this game.

FS1 announcer: “This would be a bad loss for Xavier. Not to speak disparagingly of Butler, but this would be a bad loss.”

Hahaha. Can’t have it both ways, chief. If you say losing to Team A is a bad loss, then you’re speaking disparangly of Team A. No way around it.

Butler 70, Xavier 69 OT— Bad loss for Xavier, which lost six of its last eight games.

12) ACC tournament:
— Syracuse 89, NC State 68— Syracuse was 3-0 against the Wolfpack this season.
— Miami 67, Clemson 64— Hurricanes played seven guys yesterday. Seven.
— North Carolina 101, Notre Dame 59— UNC-Virginia Tech is a good game today.

11) Big X tournament:
— Kansas State 71, TCU 50— Wildcats won four of last five games, after an 0-13 skid.
— Oklahoma 79, Iowa State 73— Cyclones didn’t win a conference game this year.

10) Big 14 tournament:
— Minnesota 51, Northwestern 46— Gophers snap a 7-game skid here; they say Richard Pitino’s job is in jeopardy, and San Diego State’s Brian Dutcher would be their target to take Pitino’s place. Dutcher’s dad coached Minnesota in the early 80’s.

Here’s my proposal, and I’ve said this before: Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. If you’ve ever seen the movie Caddyshack, you remember the tense relationship Bill Murray’s character had with gophers on the golf course.

Having Bill Murray’s son being head coach of the Minnesota Gophers would open up a huge pool of possibilities for great TV commercials. Just an idea.

9) MAAC tournament:
— Iona 55, Siena 52— Rick Pitino gets his Gaels into the MAAC semi-finals, upsetting the top-seeded Saints.
— Fairfield 79, Monmouth 60— Pretty big upset, but Stags have won four of last five games.

8) Mountain West tournament had some sanity; all three favorites won Wednesday and two of them covered the spread. 2-seed Utah State gets to play UNLV on the Rebels’ home court Thursday.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Rice (+9.5) 72, Marshall 68
— California (+8) 76, Stanford 58
— Miami (+8) 67, Clemson 64
— Fairfield (+8) 79, Monmouth 60
— Butler (+6) 70, Xavier 69 OT
— Northern Arizona (+6) 77, Portland State 66

6) Pac-12 tournament:
— Utah 98, Washington 95— Utes led by 19 with 5:08 left, hung on for dear life. Utah made 14-26 on the arc, shot 66.7% inside arc and only won by 3 points. Yikes.
— Cal 76, Stanford 58— Wheels fell off down the stretch for Stanford; they lost their last five games, finishing 14-13 after an 8-3 start.

5) LaMarcus Aldridge will be leaving the San Antonio Spurs; Gregg Popovich had nice things to say about Aldridge the person, but the team had been faring better when Aldridge was off the floor, so they’re going to trade him, and he’ll be away from the team until that happens.

Aldridge is a free agent this summer; he is averaging only 13.7 ppg, the fewest he’s scored since his rookie season, and only 4.5 rebounds/game, a career-low.

4) NFL salary cap is going down 8% next season, first time in a decade the cap hasn’t gone up.

Free agency starts March 17; NFL will be fighting for headlines with the NCAA Tournament.

3) Kansas Jayhawks fired their football coach the other day; they fired their athletic director yesterday. When you hire a new coach and the team goes 3-18 over two years, the wealthy boosters get queasy about coughing up more money. Rich people aren’t patient.

2) Dodgers’ ace Clayton Kershaw will be using a new baseball glove this season for the first time since 2009. Dodgers won the World Series, Kershaw retired his glove. Guess that means he isn’t superstitious.

1) To me, today (Thursday) is the best college basketball day of the year; 15 hours full of games from all over the country. A good to day to relax, eat pizza and watch a lot of ball. Enjoy.

[StarDust Bum]

1WASHINGTON -2 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 29-17 ATS (15.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

1WASHINGTON -2 PHILADELPHIA
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 29-17 ATS (10.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

3FLORIDA -4 COLUMBUS
JOEL QUENNEVILLE is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game (Coach of FLORIDA)

3FLORIDA -4 COLUMBUS
FLORIDA is 20-5 ATS (12.3 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

5WINNIPEG -6 TORONTO
WINNIPEG is 6-1 ATS (6.5 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

7NASHVILLE -8 CAROLINA
NASHVILLE is 1-10 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

9NEW JERSEY -10 NY ISLANDERS
NEW JERSEY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

11PITTSBURGH -12 BUFFALO
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the current season.

13NY RANGERS -14 BOSTON
NY RANGERS are 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

15TAMPA BAY -16 DETROIT
DETROIT is 5-37 ATS (-35.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.


----------------------------------


NHL

Thursday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Boston
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

Pittsburgh @ Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

Nashville @ Carolina
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Nashville

New Jersey @ NY Islanders
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Florida @ Columbus
Florida
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Florida
Columbus is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Florida

Winnipeg @ Toronto
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Chicago @ Dallas
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Chicago

Montreal @ Calgary
Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games


----------------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (15-6-0-4, 34 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (13-7-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-44 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 216-255 ATS (+548.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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FLORIDA (16-5-0-4, 36 pts.) at COLUMBUS (10-12-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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WINNIPEG (16-8-0-1, 33 pts.) at TORONTO (18-7-0-2, 38 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 16-9 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 19-14 ATS (+34.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 16-9 ATS (+6.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-8 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-21 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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NASHVILLE (11-14-0-1, 23 pts.) at CAROLINA (18-6-0-1, 37 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-52 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-10 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 1-10 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 18-7 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 18-7 ATS (+7.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 58-29 ATS (+18.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 140-140 ATS (+303.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CAROLINA is 225-188 ATS (-60.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-1 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (8-11-0-3, 19 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (16-6-0-4, 36 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 116-90 ATS (+239.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-2 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-2 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 13-9 ATS (+28.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (15-9-0-1, 31 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-14-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 11-24 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-18 ATS (+24.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 6-20 ATS (+34.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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NY RANGERS (10-11-0-3, 23 pts.) at BOSTON (13-6-0-4, 30 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 140-143 ATS (+308.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 241-185 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (17-4-0-2, 36 pts.) at DETROIT (7-16-0-4, 18 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-17.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 140-64 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-13 ATS (+15.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 33-11 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 36-10 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-74 ATS (-125.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-328 ATS (-310.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-39 ATS (+77.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-44 ATS (+83.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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CHICAGO (13-9-0-5, 31 pts.) at DALLAS (8-7-0-5, 21 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 395-393 ATS (-144.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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MONTREAL (12-6-0-7, 31 pts.) at CALGARY (11-12-0-3, 25 pts.) - 3/11/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 48-58 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 21-28 ATS (-14.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-28 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-21 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 20-29 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

-------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 11

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PIT at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +180
O 6.0

NYR at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -175
U 5.5

FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +105
O 5.5

NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -245
O 5.5

WIN at TOR 07:00 PM
WIN +165
O 6.5

WAS at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -110
O 6.0

NJ at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -210
U 5.5

TB at DET 07:30 PM
DET +300
O 5.5

CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
CHI +125
U 5.5

MON at CAL 09:00 PM
MON -110
U 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, MARCH 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PIT at BUF 07:00 PM
BUF +180..........5- 2...LOSER
O 6.0..........................WINNER

NYR at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -175...........0 - 4
U 5.5.....................WINNER

FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +105............5 - 4.........LOSER
O 5.5....................WINNER

NAS at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -245...........1 - 5
O 5.5...................WINNER

WIN at TOR 07:00 PM
WIN +165...........3 - 4....LOSER
O 6.5........................WINNER

WAS at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -110..........5 - 3
O 6.0...................WINNER

NJ at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -210..........3 - 5
U 5.5...............LOSER

TB at DET 07:30 PM
DET +300.............4 - 6....WINNER
O 5.5................WINNER

CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
CHI +125.............4 - 2.....WINNER
U 5.5........................LOSER

MON at CAL 09:00 PM
MON -110...........1 - 2
U 5......................WINNER



CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS

MAR. 11,2021...............10 - 5........66.66%............+33.75
MAR. 10.2021................0 - 6.........00.00%............- 33.00
MAR. 09, 2021...............4 - 9.........30.76%............- 29.50
MAR. 08,2021................6 - 4.........60.00%...........+ 11.00
MAR. 07, 2021...............4 - 5.........44.44%..............- 1.75
MAR. 06, 2021...............5 - 10.......33.33%.............- 21.00
MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%..............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%..............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%.............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%.............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%..............- 1.75

TOTALS........................53 - 65.......44.91%.............- 46.00


**********************************************

FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack
Leading scorers in country in Division I:
24.2— Max Abmas, Oral Roberts
24.0— Antoine Davis, Detroit
23.8— Luke Garza, Iowa
23.1— Cameron Thomas, LSU
21.8— Santi Aldama, Loyola, MD
21.8— Marcus Burk, IUPUI

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 527,950
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“He is our starting quarterback right now. He is our starting quarterback. Things happen between now and then. We’ll see what happens. He’s our starting quarterback. — that’s right, right now. And hopefully in the future.”
Houston Texans’ coach David Culley

Friday’s quiz
Of the 31 conference tournaments this month, how many were/are being played in Las Vegas?

Thursday’s quiz
Bob Brenly was manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their only World Series title.

Wednesday’s quiz
Before becoming head coach at Duke, Mike Krzyzewski was the head coach at West Point.

********************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a hectic Thursday

13) Big East tourney:
Georgetown 72, Villanova 71
— Hoyas went 23-for-23 on foul line in a big upset.
— Villanova is #321 in bench minutes; they missed injured PG Gillespie.
— Patrick Ewing is obviously one of the best players in Knicks history; Ewing told reporters after the game that event staff at Madison Square Garden were regularly stopping him to check his passes- they don’t know who he is? His number is up in the freakin’ rafters!!!

Seton Hall 77, St John’s 69 OT— This score could KO the Johnnies from the field of 68; if so, it could be the first year since 1993 that the Big East had only three teams in the NCAA’s.

12) SEC tourney:
Mississippi State 74, Kentucky 73— Bulldogs end a 15-game losing skid vs Kentucky
— This is the first time since 1976 that neither Kentucky/Duke will be in the NCAA’s.

11) ACC tourney:
— Duke-Florida State game was cancelled because of a positive COVID test in the Duke program; that ends Duke’s season, and their streak of 24 straight years in NCAA tourney.

Virginia 72, Syracuse 69— Freshman Reece Beekman buried a 3-pointer at the buzzer for Virginia, which trailed by 11 in first half. It was Beekman’s only basket of the game.

10) Big X tourney:
Texas 67, Texas Tech 66:
— Longhorns won four in row, seven of last nine games.
— Tech was only 12-20 on foul line, shot 41.9% inside arc, missed several tips/layups in last 2:00.

Kansas 69, Oklahoma 62
— Jayhawks won 8 of their last 9 games.
— Oklahoma limps into the NCAA’s, on a 1-5 skid.

9) Pac-12 tourney:
Oregon State 83, UCLA 79 OT— Beavers won four of last five games; they were down 16 late in first half.
— With 10:00 left in game, OSU had 40 points; they scored 30 in last 10:00 of regulation.
— UCLA lost its last four games.

USC 91, Utah 85 2OT:
— Three Trojans played 42:00+.
— Lot of foul shots: USC was 29-39, Utah 25-30

8) Big 14 tourney:
Maryland 68, Michigan State 57— Spartans will have a long few days, waiting to see if they’re in the field of 68, or are heading to Texas for the NIT.

Wisconsin 75, Penn State 74:
— Badgers led 68-50 with 7:48 left, hung on for only their 2nd win in seven games.
— Wisconsin made 12-23 on the arc, won by a point. Bit of a red flag.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Georgetown (+8) 72, Villanova 71
— Montana (+6.5) 80, Weber State 75
— Oregon State (+5) 83, UCLA 79 OT
— Mississippi State (+3.5) 74, Kentucky 73
— Tulane (+3.5) 77, Tulsa 70
— Nevada (+3.5) 89, Boise State 82
— Cal-Davis 58 (+3.5), Cal-Bakersfield 56

6) Big West tourney:
Cal-Davis 58, Cal-Bakersfield 56— 7th win in last eight games for the Aggies.

Cal-Irvine 58, Cal Poly 51— Anteaters jumped out to a 31-9 lead, then held on. Cal Poly shot 29% inside the arc.

5) Conference USA tourney— All four favorites won, three covered; this tournament is being played at Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas- they have two games going on at once.

4) MAC tourney:
Toledo 91, Ball State 89 OT:
— Toledo blew a 10-point lead with 5:49 left, then trailed by 5 in overtime.
— Rockets won five of their last six games.

3) Mountain West tourney:
San Diego State 69, Wyoming 66:
— Top-seeded Aztecs struggled here; Wyoming is going to be good down the road.
— San Diego State won its last 12 games, plays Nevada tonight.

Disappointing that UNLV hasn’t made the semi-finals of this event since 2014; they’re the host team, but the program has slipped into mediocrity.

2) Big Sky tourney:
Montana 80, Weber State 75
— Montana is 14-12, but five of those wins are against non-Division I teams. This was the 2nd biggest upset of the day nationally.
— Grizzlies can shoot though; they’re shooting 37.5% on arc (#31), 79.8% on foul line (#7)

1) AAC tourney:
South Florida 73, Temple 71— Why did Temple fire Fran Dunphy? Guy went 23-10 his last year, won 21+ games nine of his 13 years there- Owls are 10-22 in AAC games since he left.

[StarDust Bum]

21ARIZONA -22 MINNESOTA
ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS (10 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

23VEGAS -24 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 2-7 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

25OTTAWA -26 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 13-2 ATS (10.4 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

27LOS ANGELES -28 COLORADO
LOS ANGELES are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

29SAN JOSE -30 ANAHEIM
SAN JOSE is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.




NHL

Friday, March 12

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 9 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Vegas
St. Louis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Vegas

Los Angeles @ Colorado
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Los Angeles is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

Ottawa @ Edmonton
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Ottawa

San Jose @ Anaheim
San Jose
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


----------------------------------------


NHL
Dunkel

Friday, March 12




-------------------------------


NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 12

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ARIZONA (12-10-0-4, 28 pts.) at MINNESOTA (15-8-0-1, 31 pts.) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 17-31 ATS (+50.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-10 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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VEGAS (16-6-0-1, 33 pts.) at ST LOUIS (14-8-0-4, 32 pts.) - 3/12/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 62-45 ATS (-3.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-8 ATS (+4.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 4-8 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 5-3-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (9-19-0-1, 19 pts.) at EDMONTON (17-11-0-0, 34 pts.) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-20 ATS (+37.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-10 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 126-150 ATS (-84.4 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 212-207 ATS (-89.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 94-106 ATS (-76.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 7-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 7-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (11-8-0-6, 28 pts.) at COLORADO (14-8-0-2, 30 pts.) - 3/12/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-14 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-1 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
COLORADO is 10-14 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 4-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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SAN JOSE (9-11-0-3, 21 pts.) at ANAHEIM (8-13-0-6, 22 pts.) - 3/12/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 315-259 ATS (+44.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 14-26 ATS (+46.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

---------------------------------------------