Announcement

**Udog** · 09-28-2020, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Playoff matchup/odds:
Dodgers (-300) vs Brewers (+240)
Braves (-125) vs Reds (+105)
Cubs (-190) vs Marlins (+160)
Padres (-175) vs Cardinals (+145)

Rays (-210) vs Blue Jays (+170)
A’s (-135) vs White Sox (+110)
Twins (-120) vs Astros (+100)
Indians (+110) vs Yankees (-135)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 203,481
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Raiders 20
— Raiders lost three fumbles (-2 in TO’s) converted 3-9 on third down.
— Las Vegas has given up 32 ppg so far this season.
— Last three years, Raiders are 9-15 ATS as a road underdog.

— New England ran ball for 250 yards; Michel ran 9 times for 117 yards.
— Since 2013, Patriots are 17-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years, New England is 26-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Buffalo 35, Rams 32
— Rams were down 28-3, rallied to take lead, but lost on a TD with 0:15 left.
— LA is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Rams have run ball for 153-191-167 yards, converting 22-39 on 3rd down.

— Buffalo’s first five drives: 36 plays, 251 yards, 28 points.
— Bills converted a 3rd-and-22 on the game-winning drive.
— Bills won first three games, scoring 27-31-35 points, gaining 1,303 yards.
— Buffalo’s coaches have done very well developing QB Allen’s skills.

Pittsburgh 28, Texans 21
— Texans in first half: six drives- three 3/outs. 3 touchdowns.
— Houston in 2nd half: 17 plays, 41 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
— Texans lost their first two games, giving up 34-33-28 points.

— Steelers won their first three games, scoring 26-26-28 points.
— Pitt outgained Houston 387-260, ran ball for 169 yards.
— Steelers’ last seven drives of game: 60 plays, 349 yards, 21 first downs, 25 points.

49ers 36, NJ Giants 9
— 49ers sweep their New Jersey road trip, beating Jets/Giants in consecutive weeks.
— 49ers had eight drives; four TD’s, three FG’s, one missed FG.
— NFC West teams are 8-2 ATS outside their division this year.

— Giants lost their first three games, by 10-4-27 points.
— Giants have been outrushed 369-170 this season.
— Big Blue is 1-12 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.

Titans 31, Minnesota 30
— Tennessee won its first three games, by total of six points.
— Gostkowski kicked six field goals; he made 54, 55-yard FG’s in final 6:31 for the win.
—Tannehill threw for 321 yards; no Titan caught more than five passes.

— Vikings lost their first three games, allowing 43-28-31 points.
— Minnesota lost field position by 14-15-11 yards; they’re minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last 4+ years, Vikings are 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Cleveland 34, Washington 20
— Washington trailed 17-0/20-0 in their two games; they trailed 17-7 at half here.
— Washington rallied to lead 20-17 after third quarter, was outscored 17-0 in 4th quarter.
— Redskins turned ball over four times, averaged only 5.2 yards/pass attempt.

— Cleveland’s first three drives: 25 plays, 85 yards, no points.
— Cleveland’s last nine drives: 52 plays, 229 yards, 34 points.
— Chubb ran 19 times for 108 yards, two TD’s.

Bengals 23, Philadelphia 23
— Bengals are 0-2-1; their games were decided by total of 8 points.
— Cincy allowed 545 rushing yards in their first three games.
— Last 3+ years, Bengals are 16-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Eagles are 0-2-1 in first three games, were outscored 49-13 in 2nd half.
— Philly turned ball over eight times in three games, is -7 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Bears 30, Atlanta 26
— Chicago won its first three games, by four points each.
— Foles replaced Trubisky at QB in 3rd quarter, went 16-29 for 188 yards, three TD’s
— Bears’ first 10 drives: 59 plays, 268 yards, 10 points.
— Bears’ last three drives: 17 plays, 161 yards, 20 points.

— Atlanta led this game 26-10 with 7:00 left.
— Falcons lost 40-39 in Dallas LW, blowing 29-10 halftime lead- how many games like this do they have to lose before they fire the coach?
— Falcons are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Indianapolis 36, Jets 7
— Jets lost first three games, by 10-18-29 points- they were outscored 59-13 in first half.
— Jets’ offense was outscored 16-7 by the Colts’ defense in this game.
— Jets are 8-18-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road underdog.

— Colts outgained their first three opponents by an average of 384-228/game.
— Indy had a 16-yard advantage in starting field position, not counting the two pick-6’s.
— Colts are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Panthers 21, LA Chargers 16
— Carolina despite scoring only one TD- they kicked five field goals.
— Panthers won field position by 13 yards in this game; they were +4 in turnovers.
— Carolina is 4-0 against the Chargers in California.

— Chargers outgained Carolina 436-302, but turned ball over four times.
— LA lost its first two games at SoFi Stadium, by total of 8 points.
— Chargers are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.

Lions 26, Arizona 23
— Detroit was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 17 yards.
— NFL teams that were +2 or better or turnovers are 9-0 this week.
— Detroit is 2-0-1 in its last three visits to the desert.

— Arizona had only three plays of 20+ yards; they had 11 in first two games.
— Last 5+ years, Cardinals are 8-15 ATS as a home favorite.
— DeAndre Hopkins caught 10 balls for 137 yards, but no TD’s.

Buccaneers 28, Denver 10
— Tampa Bay held Denver to 226 yards, was +2 in turnovers.
— Buccaneers are 7-3-3 ATS in last 13 gamest AFC teams.
— Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Denver lost its first three games, by 2-5-18 points.
— Backup QB Driskel got the start; he is now 1-8 as an NFL starter. 3rd-stringer Rypien replaced him, was 8-9 for 53 yards, with an INT.
— McManus did make a 56-yard field goal for the Broncos.

Seattle 38, Cowboys 31
— Dallas gave up 39-38 points in splitting its last two games.
— Cowboys threw ball for 461 yards, outgained Seattle by 110 yards, but turned ball over three times (-2)
— Dallas missed two PAT’s and a 2-point conversion.

— Seahawks won their first three games, scoring 38-35-38 points (15 TD’s/33 drives).
— Seattle has run 188 plays; only 29 of them have been on third down.
— Seahawks won four of last five series games,.

Packers 37, New Orleans 30
— Green Bay won its first three games, scoring 43-42-37 points (13 TD’s/27 drives)
— Packers scored on seven of nine drives in this game (4 TD’s, 3 FG’s)
— Lazard caught six passes for 146 yards, including a 72-yard TD.

— Kamara caught 13 passes for 138 yards, ran ball 12 times for 58 yards.
— Over is 3-0 in New Orleans games this season.
— Saints are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

**Udog** · 09-28-2020, 08:40 AM

1TAMPA BAY -2 DALLAS
DALLAS are 25-14 ATS (16 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, September 28

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TAMPA BAY (60-26-0-8, 128 pts.) vs. DALLAS (52-34-0-9, 113 pts.) - 9/28/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 52-43 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 15-11 ATS (+2.3 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 34-26 ATS (+62.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 19-14 ATS (+35.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 122-58 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 64-27 ATS (+18.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 35-17 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-11 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 40-57 ATS (+114.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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NHL

Monday, September 28

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

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**Udog** · 09-28-2020, 09:13 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, September 28

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 1-2
September 28, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
14.239
Dallas
12.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-170); Under

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/28

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/28

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