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**Udog** · 09-21-2020, 09:42 AM

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Most popular picks this week in the Westgate SuperContest:
401- Kansas City -6.5— L
306- Green Bay -6— W
302- 49ers -6.5— W
293- Giants +5.5— W
290- Eagles 1— L
287- Arizona 6.5— W
Season record: 8-4

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 199,938
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Dallas 40, Falcons 39
— Atlanta didn’t cover an onside kick with 1:49 left; watch the highlights, someone has to lose their job over this. Inexcusable loss.
— Falcons led 20-0; game was 29-10 at halftime.
— Atlanta ran 72 plays, Dallas 81; lot of plays for an NFL game.
— Very seldom a team is +3 in turnovers, wins field position by 17 yards, and loses.

— Prescott is first player ever with 450+ passing yards, 3 rushing TD’s in same game.
— Dallas turned ball over on three of first five possessions.
— Dallas hung 570 yards on Atlanta’s defense.
— Cowboys won eight of last ten home openers (3-1-1 ATS last five)

Rams 37, Philadelphia 19
— Game swung on great end zone INT by Darious Williams when LA led 21-16.
— Rams’ first three drives: 23 plays, 196 yards, 21 points.
— LA converted 16-29 on 3rd down in first two games.
— Last three years, Rams are 16-9 ATS on the road.
— Under McVay, LA is 4-0 in road openers, scoring 35.3 ppg.

— LA outgained Eagles 449-363; Rams ran ball for 191 yards.
— Last two years, Philly is 5-12 ATS at home.
— Eagles are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.

Tampa Bay 31, Panthers 17
— Carolina’s 1st drive: INT, 2nd: fumble, 4th: lost on downs.
— Bridgewater threw for 365 yards, but they turned ball over four times (-2).
— Carolina gave up 65 points in losing its first two games.
— Last 2+ years, Panthers are 5-8 ATS as a road underdog.

— Bucs started two drives in Carolina territory, scored on first play both times.
— Fournette had 12 carries for 103 yards and two TD’s.
— Since 2014, Tampa Bay is now 5-15-2 ATS as a home favorite.

Pittsburgh 26, Broncos 21
— Denver QB Lock hurt his shoulder in first quarter, didn’t return.
— Former Florida Gator Driskel was 18-34/256 yards, two TD’s.
— Broncos converted only 8-27 third down plays in first two games.
— Broncos lost their last four road openers, by 10-13-5 points (1-3 ATS).

— Roethlisberger threw for 311 yards; Steelers won first home opener in three years.
— Conner ran for 106 yards and a TD.
— Last three years, Pittsburgh is 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.

49ers 31, NJ Jets 13
— First play of game, Mostert ran 80 yards for a TD.
— 49ers had lot of injuries; backup QB Mullens played 2nd half.
— 49ers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road openers.

— Jets were outgained 763-531 LW in their first two games.
— Two trips to red zone, Jets kicked two FG’s.
— 49ers’ first four drives: 31 plays, 221 yards, 21 points.

Bills 31, Miami 28
— Allen was 24-35 for 417 yards, averaged 11.5 yards/attempt. Wow.
— Bills drove 97 yards for a TD on their first drive.
— Under McDermott, Buffalo is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bills won six of last seven series games.

— Last 4+ years, Miami is 12-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Dolphins covered via the back door with 0:49 left.
— Over is 15-3 in their last 18 home openers.

Indianapolis 28, Vikings 11
— On a day where Stefon Diggs caught 8 passes for 153 yards for Buffalo, Vikings gained total of 175 yards on 47 plays here.
— Cousins completed 11-26 passes, with three INT’s. In a dome.
— In their history, Vikings are 0-12 in road games against the Colts.
— Vikings are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota is 4-12-1 SU in last 17 road openers (5-10-2 ATS).

— Colts outgained first two opponents 799-416.
— Last three years, Indy is 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— In nine red zone drives this year, Colts have scored only 34 points.

Chicago 17, Giants 13
— Giants’ RB Barkley hurt his knee early; they fear a torn ACL.
— Giants had ball on 10-yard line as game ended, but couldn’t score.
— Giants started one drive on Chicago’s 25, but settled for a FG.
— Big Blue covered 15 of its last 21 games as a road underdog.

— Chicago scored 10 points on its first two drives, led 17-0 at halftime.
— Bears in 2nd half: 28 plays, 97 yards, no points, one huge sigh of relief.
— Under is 5-1-1 in Bears’ last seven home openers.

Green Bay 42, Lions 21
— Lions are 9-24-1 under Patricia; they were 36-28 under Caldwell, and they fired him.
— Detroit’s first two drives: 21 plays, 150 yards- they led 14-3.
— Detroit’s last nine drives: 38 plays, 154 yards, 7 points.
— Lions are 16-23 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

— Packers gained 1,010 yards, scored nine TD’s on 18 drives in two games.
— Green Bay is 26-15-2 ATS in last 43 games as a home favorite.
— Packers won eight in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS).

Tennessee 33, Jaguars 30
— Jax outgained Titans 480-354, had 30 first downs, converted 10-14 on 3rd down.
— Jaguars completed 49-65 passes, converted 15-24 on 3rd down in splitting their first two games.
— J’ville covered its last four road openers (3-0 ATS).
— Jaguars lost their last seven visits to Nashville.

— Gostkowski kicked a 49-yard FG with 1:36 left after Titans blew a 2-TD lead.
— Under Vrabel, Tennessee is 3-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Titans won eight of last ten series games.
— Tannehill threw for 239 yards, four TD’s.

Arizona 30, Washington 15
— Washington fell behind 17-0 last week, 20-0 in this game.
— Washington had trouble containing mobile QB Murray- he ran for 67 yards.
— Washington was down 27-3, then scored TD’s on TD’s on last two drives.

— Arizona ran ball for 340 yards, converted 14-31 on 3rd down in first two games.
— Cardinals scored two TD’s, kicked two FG’s on first six drives.
— Murray threw for 286 yards, ran for 67 more.

Chiefs 23, LA Chargers 20 OT
— Chiefs’ first six drives: 33 plays, 142 yards, 6 points.
— Chiefs’ last four drives: 40 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
— Butker kicked two 58-yard FG’s, including game-winner in OT
— Reid’s SU record after a bye or Thursday game: 18-2.
— Chiefs won 12 of last 13 series games.

— QB Taylor was scratched just before kickoff; rookie Herbert made his NFL debut.
— Herbert was 22-33 for 311 yards, actually looked pretty good, averaging 8.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Chargers led 17-6 midway thru third quarter.

Ravens 33, Texans 16
— Baltimore scored 71 points in winning its first two games.
— Ravens had a pick-6, was +2 in turnovers again.
— Baltimore ran ball for 230 yards.
— Ravens are 5-0-1 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
— Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in last 13 road openers.

— Texans started 16 of 18 drives at their 25 or worse field position in first two games.
— How does passing game stack up after trading star WR Hopkins?
— Since 2013, Houston is 5-11 ATS as a home underdog.
— Houston covered twice in its last eight home openers.

Seahawks 35, Patriots 30
— NE ran ball for 217 yards LW, but only 67 yards here.
— Newton threw ball for 397 yards, but got stopped on 2-yard line running ball on last play of the game.
— Patriots scored on a pick-6 on first series of the game.
— Five red zone drives, 23 points.

— Seahawks won their last 12 home openers (9-3 ATS).
— Seattle completed 52-63 passes, scored 10 TD’s on 20 drives in first two games.
— Seahawks held Newton to 47 rushing yards; Patriot RB’s combined for 20 YR.
— Seattle had a 13-yard edge in stating field position.

**Udog** · 09-21-2020, 09:46 AM

23DALLAS -24 TAMPA BAY
DALLAS are 24-11 ATS (17.4 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, September 21

Dallas @ Tampa Bay

Game 23-24
September 21, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
14.367
Tampa Bay
12.013
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+130); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, September 21

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DALLAS (51-32-0-8, 110 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (57-26-0-7, 121 pts.) - 9/21/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 39-54 ATS (-25.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 119-57 ATS (+179.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 61-26 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 273-260 ATS (+591.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 51-40 ATS (+4.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-8 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
DALLAS is 10-5 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
DALLAS is 33-23 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 20-15 ATS (+36.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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NHL

Monday, September 21

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing Dallas

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/21

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/21

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