Announcement

**Udog** · 09-14-2020, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Most popular picks this week in the Westgate SuperContest:
344— Buffalo +6.5- W
337— LA Rams +3- W
304— Atlanta +2.5- L
303— Tennessee -2.5
280— Arizona +6.5- W
243— Pittsburgh -6

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Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Seahawks 38, Atlanta 25:
— Four trips to red zone, four TD’s for Seattle.
— Last three years, Seahawks are 14-9-2 ATS on the road.
— Seattle is 7-3 in its last ten games vs Atlanta.

— Matt Ryan threw for 450 yards in a losing cause.
— Atlanta gained 506 yards but was -2 (0-2) in turnovers.
— Last 2+ years, Falcons are 6-10-2 vs spread at home.

Buffalo 27, Jets 17
— Buffalo had a 19-yard edge in field position, very big.
— Jets are 9-17-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road underdog.
— Last four years, Gang Green is 4-7-2 ATS in AFC East road games.

— Buffalo threw the ball 26 times in first half; surprising.
— Bills won seven of last ten home openers (9-5 ATS in last 14)
— Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in last eight home openers as a home favorite.

Bears 27, Detroit 23
— Detroit led 23-6 after three quarters.
— Last four drives for Chicago: 22 plays, 155 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won last five series games, winning last three visits to the Motor City.

— Guy on Lions dropped a pretty easy pass in end zone with 0:06 left.
— Last two years, Detroit is 7-10 ATS at home.
— Lions are 9-23-1 under Patricia; they were 36-28 under Caldwell, his predecessor.

Packers 43, Minnesota 34
— Packers scored five TD’s on nine possessions.
— Green Bay had a 14-yard advantage in field position.
— Over is 12-3 in Green Bay’s last 15 road openers

— Pack ran 76 plays for 522 yards; Vikings ran 49 plays.
— Vikings had 8 plays of 20+ yards; 7 of them came on 1st down.
— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is now 26-11-1 ATS as a home favorite.

New England 21, Dolphins 11
— Fitzpatrick threw 3 INT’s, including one in end zone with 1:28 when a TD would’ve at least covered the spread.
— Since 2014, Miami is 16-26 ATS as road underdogs
— Miami lost 11 of its last 12 visits to Foxboro.

— Newton threw for 155 yards, ran 15 times for 75 yards.
— Since 2015, New England is 25-12-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— NE won 17 of its last 19 home openers (10-7-2 ATS)

Washington 27, Eagles 17
— Eagles led 17-0 with 2:00 left in first half.
— Philly’s last 11 drives: 42 plays, 100 yards, 0 points, 3 turnovers.
— Washington had a 15-yard edge in field position.

— Washington’s points were all scored on drives that started in Philly territory.
— Ron Rivera is Washington’s coach; he had a chemo treatment during the week, took an IV at halftime. Tough freakin’ guy.
— As a head coach, Rivera is 13-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Raiders 34, Charlotte 30
— Jacobs carried ball 25 times for 93 yards, three TD’s
— Three of four Las Vegas TD drives were 75+ yards.
— Raiders covered five of their last six road openers.

— McCaffrey ran for 96 yards, but caught only three passes.
— Both teams converted over half their 3rd down plays.
— Since 2016, Panthers are 14-18-1 ATS at home.

Jacksonville 27, Colts 20
— Indy outgained Jags 445-241, but was -2 in turnovers.
— Colts lost their last five trips to Jacksonville.
— Indy lost nine of its last 11 road openers, six of last seven season openers.

— Minshew completed 19-20 passes for 173 yards, three TD’s.
— Jacksonville covered 10 of last 15 AFC South home games.
— Jaguars last five home openers went over the total.

Baltimore 38, Browns 6
— Cleveland scored only one TD and missed the PAT after.
— Since 2013, Cleveland is 10-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2003, Browns, are 6-10-2 ATS in road openers.

— Ravens had a 23-yard advantage in starting field position.
— Baltimore won its last five Week 1 games, by combined score of 177-26.
— Ravens won 14 of last 16 home openers (11-5 ATS).

Chargers 16, Cincinnati 13
— Bengals’ game-winning TD with 0:06 left was nullified by offensive pass interference call.
— Last three years, Chargers are 7-3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road openers.

— Bengals averaged 4.4 yards/pass attempt; their only TD drive was 44 yards.
— Last two years, Bengals are 5-10-2 ATS at home.
— Cincy is 2-6-2 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.

New Orleans 34, Buccaneers 23
— Buccaneers turned ball over three times; Brady threw a pick-6.
— Arians is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Tampa Bay won four of its last five road openers.

— Saints scored the only defensive TD of the week so far.
— Since 2014, New Orleans is 16-25-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Saints had a 24-yard edge in starting field position.

Cardinals 24, San Francisco 20
— WR Hopkins caught 14 passes for 151 yards; why did Houston trade HIM?
— Cardinals are 10-5-2 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Arizona ran ball for 180 yards, converted 7-14 on third down.
— Redbirds won five of their last six visits here.

— 49ers are 7-16-2 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.
— Niners covered twice in last ten NFC West home games.
— Six of 49ers’ last seven home openers stayed under the total
— Five of last eight series games were decided by 4 or fewer points.

Rams 20, Cowboys 17
— Dallas converted only 3-12 third down plays.
— Prescott averaged only 5.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Cowboys had only one play of 20+ yards.

— Rams held Dallas to a field goal in second half.
— Under McVay, Rams are 15-8 SU at home.
— Rams won/covered their last six home openers.

**Udog** · 09-14-2020, 08:36 AM

NHL public betting, odds movement September 14
Patrick Everson

John Klingberg and the Stars can finish off Reilly Smith and the Golden Knights in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals Monday. However, The SuperBook has Vegas a -170 favorite.

NHL betting odds are posted and getting attention for Monday’s lone playoff contest, Game 5 of the Western Conference finals. The surprising Dallas Stars can punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final with a victory over the Vegas Golden Knights.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

The Stars nabbed a 2-1 victory Saturday in Game 4 to take a commanding 3-1 lead over the Golden Knights in the best-of-7 series. Dallas can advance with a win in Monday’s 8 p.m. ET clash, but as has been the case throughout, Vegas is the favorite, opening -165 at The SuperBook and moving to -170. Dallas is a +155 underdog.

The total was stable through Sunday night at The Superbook, sticking at 5 (Over -120).

NHL public betting

Despite Dallas being in control of this series, Vegas is still the popular play in the Consensus. Through Sunday night, the Golden Knights were attracting 66 percent of picks, and the Over was just a shade behind at 65 percent of picks.

**Udog** · 09-14-2020, 08:43 AM

5DALLAS -6 VEGAS
DALLAS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, September 14

Dallas @ Vegas

Game 5-6
September 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
13.455
Vegas
11.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+150); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, September 14

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DALLAS (49-32-0-8, 106 pts.) vs. VEGAS (51-30-0-9, 111 pts.) - 9/14/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 31-23 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 16-11 ATS (+28.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 97-82 ATS (+182.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-5 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-5-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.9 Units)

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NHL

Monday, September 14

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Vegas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Dallas

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/14

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/14

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