Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/13

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, September 13

Good Luck on day #257 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Major league leaders in runs scored:
46— Fernando Tatis, SD
43— Dansby Swanson, Atl
39— Mike Trout, LAA
38— Freeman Atl, TAnderson CWS, TTurner Wash
37— Manny Machado, SD
35— Story Col, Abreu CWS, Yastrzemski SF, Conforto NYM, Hoskins Phil

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 193,482
Please wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo:Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Like everything else in 2020, the first real Saturday of college football was odd, capped off by a Coastal Carolina-Kansas game that kicked off at 9pm local time in Lawrence, followed by a 1am ET Korean baseball game. Fun for the whole family.

I’m not a scientist, but I’m pretty sure playing football in this environment isn’t a great idea, especially when the players do not get paid, but college sports is big business, and if you don’t believe that, well Oklahoma charged $55 or so on pay-per-view for their opener against I-AA juggernaut Missouri State. Sooners won 48-0; thrilling.

12) If the presidents/AD’s in the Big X knew what was going to happen on the field Saturday, they might’ve thought a quarantine wasn’t such a bad idea.

Coastal Carolina 38, Kansas 23— Second year in row the Chanticleers upset Kansas in Lawrence; this game was 28-0 until just before halftime.

11) Texas Tech 35, Houston Baptist 33— Houston Baptist is I-AA, so this is kind of like a loss for Tech, except it isn’t officially a loss. I mean, Tech was a 40-point favorite and won by 2.

10) Louisiana 31, Iowa State 14— Ragin’ Cajuns’ DB’s dominated the Iowa State receivers; it helped that the refs didn’t seem interested in throwing any flags for defensive holding or PI. Iowa State was a 13-point favorite.

Louisiana missed two easy field goals, but ran a punt back for a TD and also ran a kickoff back for a TD. Saturday looked like it was a very rough day for placekickers, especially young ones.

9) Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31— Arkansas State’s coach is Blake Anderson; he deserves some joy in his life- his wife passed away just before last season started, and then he lost his dad this offseason. Guy is a good coach who could be moving up soon.

8) Game of the Day: Tex-San Antonio 51, Texas State 48 OT— Down 41-35, Texas State ran a punt back 91 yards for a TD with 1:13 left, but they missed the PAT, then missed a short FG in overtime, and the Roadrunners escaped with a win in Jeff Traylor’s debut as USTA’s coach.

Texas State played without its starting QB, who sat out with COVID-related issues.

7) Saturday’s football upsets:
— Louisiana (+13) 31, Iowa State 14
— Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31
— Georgia Tech (+13) 16, Florida State 13
— Coastal Carolina (+6) 38, Kansas 23

6) Kansas State (8-1) won the SouthPoint’s prop bet by scoring the first touchdown of the day; the favorites were North Carolina (3-1), Appalachian State (7-2).

5) Some NFL guys had big paydays Saturday; Saints’ RB Alvin Kamara, Vikings’ RB Dalvin Cook and Rams’ WR Cooper Kupp all got contract extensions.

4) Oakland A’s got some very bad news; 3B Matt Chapman will have hip surgery, is out for the season. Thats a big loss- they somehow acquired Jake Lamb from Arizona right before I typed this. They must pay Arizona under the table to cut him, then they signed Lamb up when no one else claimed him.

3) Arizona/Red Sox are first two teams to clinch their under bets in season win total wagering.

2) Lakers 119, Rockets 96— Lakers win series 4-1; you get the feeling Mike D’Antoni will be the scapegoat for Houston’s 2nd-round exit. Now the Lakers hope Denver can force a Game 7 against the Clippers tonight, just to tire both teams out.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

15 days left in the season, and the Marlins are still a playoff team.

[Udog]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Nikita Kucherov and the Lightning tangle with Jean-Gabriel Pageau and the Islanders on Sunday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals. The SuperBook has Tampa Bay a -140 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes with Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals Sunday. The New York Islanders look to build on their much-needed Game 3 win when they meet the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

After dropping Games 1 and 2, the Islanders checked into this best-of-7 series with a 5-3 victory Friday, scoring the game winner with under four minutes left and adding a last-minute empty-netter. The SuperBook opened Sunday’s 3 p.m. ET faceoff at Lightning -145/Islanders +132 and moved to -140/+130 early Saturday, and there was no further movement through Saturday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 5, with Over -140 and Under +120, and there was no movement throughout Saturday.

NHL public betting

The Consensus shows the public – or a modest majority, anyway – is on board with the Islanders for Game 4. Through Saturday night, New York was landing 55 percent of picks, and the Over was garnering 58 percent of picks.

[Udog]

3TAMPA BAY -4 NY ISLANDERS
TAMPA BAY is 30-11 ATS (15.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 13

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TAMPA BAY (55-25-0-6, 116 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (47-27-0-13, 107 pts.) - 9/13/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 99-78 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-4 ATS (+19.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-13 ATS (+33.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-12 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 28-26 ATS (+58.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 117-55 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-5 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-8 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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NHL

Sunday, September 13

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, September 13

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 3-4
September 13, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.568
NY Islanders
13.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+125); Over