The Bum's NHL Playoffs Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYI at TB 08:00 PM
NYI +145
O 5.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail

SEPT. TOTALS...11-13-0......45.83%....-3.75

[StarDust Bum]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 10
Patrick Everson

The Golden Knights hope to have more to celebrate after Thursday night's Game 3 against the Stars. Vegas opened a -165 favorite at The SuperBook, briefly went to -160, then returned to -165.

NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes Thursday with Game 3 of the Western Conference finals. The Vegas Golden Knights go for a second straight win in their series against the Dallas Stars.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

The Golden Knights got shut out 1-0 in Game 1, then returned the favor Tuesday night in Game 2, notching a 3-0 victory to knot the series. Vegas opened -165 at The SuperBook for Game 3, spent about 30 minutes Wednesday at -160, then returned to the opening price for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop. The Stars are +150.

On the total, The SuperBook was stable at 5.5 through late Wednesday night, although the Under is juiced to -135.

NHL public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of public action, showed a lean toward Vegas by late Wednesday night. The Knights were drawing 64 percent of early picks, while the Over/Under was almost dead two-way play, with 51 percent of picks on the Over.


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39VEGAS -40 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 10

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VEGAS (51-29-0-8, 110 pts.) vs. DALLAS (47-32-0-8, 102 pts.) - 9/10/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 97-80 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 272-180 ATS (+74.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 242-167 ATS (+29.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 20-16 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-3 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

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NHL

Thursday, September 10

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Trend Report
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Vegas @ Dallas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games


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NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, September 10

Vegas @ Dallas

Game 39-40
September 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
13.897
Dallas
11.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-165); Under

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VEG at DAL 08:00 PM
DAL +150
U 5.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


SEPT. TOTALS...13-13-0......50.00%....+8.75

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack

NFL teams with most room under the salary cap:

$34.74M— Cleveland

$32.24M— New England

$31.31M— NJ Jets

$30.95M— Jacksonville

$26.03M— Washington

$25.43M— Denver


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 190,589
Please wear a mask when you go out.

Tweet of the Day
“With the NFL starting, I find myself pulling for the offense so maybe someone will need a defensive coach!”
Wade Phillips, currently unemployed

Friday’s quiz
In the 1976 movie All the President’s Men, which famous actor played Bob Woodward?

Thursday’s quiz
William Henry Harrison was President for only 31 days, before he died of pneumonia.

Wednesday’s quiz
Kevin Durant began his NBA career with the Seattle SuperSonics, before they moved to Oklahoma and became the Thunder


*****************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

13) Chiefs 34, Texans 20:
— Chiefs ran ball 34 times for 166 yards; they threw 32 passes.
— KC scored four of the first times they had the football.
— 15,895 fans attended this game on a drizzly night at Arrowhead Stadium.
— In first three series for both teams, KC ran 35 plays, Houston 16

12) With no teams having an off-season program, I’m thinking its going to take a few weeks for offenses to catch up to where they normally are. 34-20 sounds high-scoring, but Houston got couple of scores in garbage time. Pass patterns mostly seemed a lot shorter than normal.

11) Tigers 6, Cardinals 3— Detroit scored five runs in the top of the 7th to earn the split of this twinbill, after losing their previous two games by a combined score of 31-2.

10) Red Sox 3, Rays 2— Rookie Bobby Dalbec homered in his 5th consecutive game.

9) A’s 3, Houston 1— Sean Manaea got thru seven innings on 61 pitches; you just never see that anymore, less than 9 pitches per inning.

8) Miami 31, UAB 14:
— Total yardage was 495-285, Miami
— Hurricanes ran ball for 337 yards.

7) Royals 11, Indians 1— Rookie Brady Singer had a no-hitter into the 8th inning.

6) White Sox are 13-0 vs lefty pitchers; Arizona is 2-10.

5) Atlanta 7, Washington 6— Freddie Freeman knocked in 10 runs the last two games; he is the first Brave to knock in 4+ runs in consecutive games since Mark Teixeira, in 2007.

4) Arizona 5, Dodgers 2— If you have Mookie Betts on your fantasy team, last night was your lucky night; Betts played 2B, so now he’s eligible at 2B in a lot of fantasy leagues, which would be a large advantage over most teams. It was his 16th career game at second base, first one in two years.

LA put Walker Buehler (blister) on the IL before this game, then Dustin May left one inning after he was hit in the foot by a line drive.

3) Longest NFL playoff droughts:
17 years- Cleveland
12- Tampa Bay
9- NJ Jets

2) Lakers 110, Houston 100 (LA leads 3-1)
— Davis had 29 points, 12 rebounds five assists for LA.
— Harden was 2-11 from the floor, 16-20 on foul line. Harden was only Rocket starter with a =/- better than minus-10; he was even.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at NYI 08:00 PM
NYI +125
O 5.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....15-13-0.......53.57%....+20.00

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday’s 6-pack

Major league leaders in OPS:

1.257— Juan Soto, Wash

1.089— Nelson Cruz, Minn

1.081— Freddie Freeman, Atl

1.065— Mike Trout, LAA

1.051— Dominic Smith, NYM

1.049— Trea Turner, Wash


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 192,616
Please wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“It’s not real baseball, but it’s fine for this year, and I hope we never do it again.”
Clayton Kershaw, talking about the new extra inning rules

Saturday’s quiz
What eastern city did the LA Clippers call home, before they were known as the Clippers?

Friday’s quiz
In the 1976 movie All the President’s Men, Robert Redford played Bob Woodward.

Thursday’s quiz
William Henry Harrison was President for only 31 days, before he died of pneumonia.


************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

13) Boston 92, Toronto 87 (Celtics win 4-3)
— Celtics held Toronto to 16 points in 4th quarter.
— Teams combined to make 17-66 on the arc.
— Jayson Tatum led Boston with 29 points.
— Celtics advance to the Eastern Conference final.

12) Nuggets 111, LA Clippers 105 (LA leads 3-2)
— Denver outscored LA 38-25 in 4th quarter to stay alive.
— Michael Porter scored Denver’s last 7 points, his only points of the game.

11) Tampa Bay 11, Red Sox 1— Rays are first team since at least 1900 to start nine lefty hitters in a game, with none of them switch-hitters.

10) Two more random facts from Thursday’s NFL games:
— There were only five plays of 20+ yards in Thursday’s game; Chiefs had two of them. Last year, Kansas City averaged 4.25 plays/game of 20+ yards
— Chiefs had a 15-yard advantage in average field position, which is unusually big.

9) Happy birthday to the great NBA player Bob Lanier, who turned 72 this week; to show how great Lanier was in college, he led St Bonaventure to the 1971 Final Four. Think about that; St Bonaventure is located in the middle of freakin’ nowhere, in the southern tier of central New York; for them to make the Final Four was amazing.

He was a great college player, but tore his knee up in the regional final, when Villanova’s Chris Ford rolled up on his knee. Ironically, Lanier/Ford later wound up as NBA teammates with the Pistons.

8) I was at an AAU tournament in Las Vegas a few years ago, at Bishop Gorman HS, two games going on at once. I’m sitting in the bleachers by myself, behind one couple.

Being AAU ball, when the coach’s cellphone buzzes that he got a text while the game is going on, the guy takes the phone out and reads the text. Why?

He turns around, looks at the couple in front of me and snaps, “If you text me again, he’ll never get in!!!”

The couple wanted their kid to play more; I couldn’t laugh in their faces, so I went to the concession stand. Good stuff.

7) Unsolicited opinions: best-ever play-by-play announcers by sport:
— MLB— Vin Scully
— NFL— Al Michaels
— NBA— Mike Breen
— NHL— Mike Emrick/Dan Kelly
— College hoop— Dick Enberg
— College football— Keith Jackson

6) Phillies’ pitcher Zach Wheeler makes $22M this year; he is now on the IL after tearing the fingernail on the middle finger of his pitching hand while he was putting his pants on.

Wheeler is 4-0, 2,47 in 8 starts; he is really good, but he got hurt putting his pants on.

5) Giant-Padre games for Friday/Saturday were postponed after a Giants’ player tested positive for COVID.

4) Dr Fauci was on TV today telling the truth, because someone needs to; the moderator said they were glad he was speaking, but they were also afraid he would get fired soon.

They can’t fire him; every TV network in the country (except FOX) would be throwing lucrative offers at him, to get his commentary on their station. He’d definitely get his own show, if he wanted one.

3) Sounds like November will be a very quiet month TV-wise, with only football going on until maybe college hoop starts around Thanksgiving. Good news, then, that the NBA now plans to hold their draft November 18, so that’ll provide one night of entertainment.

2) September 11, 1985— Pete Rose set the all-time hits record, getting a hit off of Eric Show of the Padres. Sadly, September 11 is now an infamous date in American history, because of the terrorist attacks on the Twin Towers and Pentagon.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

[StarDust Bum]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 12
Patrick Everson

Paul Stastny and the Vegas Golden Knights meet Jason Dickinson and the Dallas Stars in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals on Saturday. The SuperBook has Vegas a -160 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes with Game 4 of the Western Conference finals Saturday. The Dallas Stars look to stretch their lead in the best-of-seven series against the Vegas Golden Knights.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

Dallas wasted little time in overtime of Game 3 Thursday, scoring 31 seconds into the extra frame to nab a 3-2 victory and take a 2-1 series lead against Vegas. Still, the Golden Knights opened -160 for Game 4 at The SuperBook, spent a couple of hours Friday at -157, then went back to -160, with the Stars +145.

The total opened at 5.5 and moved to 5 Friday, with the Over at -140 and the Under +120 for Saturday’s 8 p.m. ET faceoff.

NHL public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of public action, showed an expectation of Vegas once again tying up this series. Through Friday night, the Golden Knights were drawing 75 percent of picks, while the total was getting dead-even two-way play.

[StarDust Bum]

1VEGAS -2 DALLAS
DALLAS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 12

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VEGAS (51-29-0-9, 111 pts.) vs. DALLAS (48-32-0-8, 104 pts.) - 9/12/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 97-81 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-23 ATS (+56.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 23-18 ATS (+44.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-4 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)

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NHL

Saturday, September 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vegas @ Dallas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Vegas


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NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, September 12

Vegas @ Dallas

Game 1-2
September 12, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
13.258
Dallas
12.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-165); Under

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

VEG at DAL 08:00 PM
VEG -165
U 5.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

COMPLETED PICKS

Past Completed Picks

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/12/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -325 Detail
09/11/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1125 Detail
09/10/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1250 Detail
09/09/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1050 Detail
09/08/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +0 Detail
09/07/2020 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/06/2020 1-1-0 50.00% +175 Detail
09/05/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/04/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1225 Detail
09/03/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +400 Detail
09/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/01/2020 2-2-0 50.00% +425 Detail


TOTALS....16-14-0.......53.33%....+16.75

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in runs scored:

46— Fernando Tatis, SD
43— Dansby Swanson, Atl
39— Mike Trout, LAA
38— Freeman Atl, TAnderson CWS, TTurner Wash
37— Manny Machado, SD
35— Story Col, Abreu CWS, Yastrzemski SF, Conforto NYM, Hoskins Phil


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 193,482
Please wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“It’s not real baseball, but it’s fine for this year, and I hope we never do it again.”
Clayton Kershaw, talking about the new extra inning rules

Saturday’s quiz
LA Clippers started out as the Buffalo Braves; they had Bob McAdoo, Jim McMillian, Ernie DiGregorio, some good players- they went 49-33 in 1974-75 under Jack Ramsay, who two years later won the NBA title coaching Portland.

Friday’s quiz
In the 1976 movie All the President’s Men, Robert Redford played Bob Woodward.

Thursday’s quiz
William Henry Harrison was President for only 31 days, before he died of pneumonia.


********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Like everything else in 2020, the first real Saturday of college football was odd, capped off by a Coastal Carolina-Kansas game that kicked off at 9pm local time in Lawrence, followed by a 1am ET Korean baseball game. Fun for the whole family.

I’m not a scientist, but I’m pretty sure playing football in this environment isn’t a great idea, especially when the players do not get paid, but college sports is big business, and if you don’t believe that, well Oklahoma charged $55 or so on pay-per-view for their opener against I-AA juggernaut Missouri State. Sooners won 48-0; thrilling.

12) If the presidents/AD’s in the Big X knew what was going to happen on the field Saturday, they might’ve thought a quarantine wasn’t such a bad idea.

Coastal Carolina 38, Kansas 23— Second year in row the Chanticleers upset Kansas in Lawrence; this game was 28-0 until just before halftime.

11) Texas Tech 35, Houston Baptist 33— Houston Baptist is I-AA, so this is kind of like a loss for Tech, except it isn’t officially a loss. I mean, Tech was a 40-point favorite and won by 2.

10) Louisiana 31, Iowa State 14— Ragin’ Cajuns’ DB’s dominated the Iowa State receivers; it helped that the refs didn’t seem interested in throwing any flags for defensive holding or PI. Iowa State was a 13-point favorite.

Louisiana missed two easy field goals, but ran a punt back for a TD and also ran a kickoff back for a TD. Saturday looked like it was a very rough day for placekickers, especially young ones.

9) Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31— Arkansas State’s coach is Blake Anderson; he deserves some joy in his life- his wife passed away just before last season started, and then he lost his dad this offseason. Guy is a good coach who could be moving up soon.

8) Game of the Day: Tex-San Antonio 51, Texas State 48 OT— Down 41-35, Texas State ran a punt back 91 yards for a TD with 1:13 left, but they missed the PAT, then missed a short FG in overtime, and the Roadrunners escaped with a win in Jeff Traylor’s debut as USTA’s coach.

Texas State played without its starting QB, who sat out with COVID-related issues.

7) Saturday’s football upsets:
— Louisiana (+13) 31, Iowa State 14
— Arkansas State (+14.5) 35, Kansas State 31
— Georgia Tech (+13) 16, Florida State 13
— Coastal Carolina (+6) 38, Kansas 23

6) Kansas State (8-1) won the SouthPoint’s prop bet by scoring the first touchdown of the day; the favorites were North Carolina (3-1), Appalachian State (7-2).

5) Some NFL guys had big paydays Saturday; Saints’ RB Alvin Kamara, Vikings’ RB Dalvin Cook and Rams’ WR Cooper Kupp all got contract extensions.

4) Oakland A’s got some very bad news; 3B Matt Chapman will have hip surgery, is out for the season. Thats a big loss- they somehow acquired Jake Lamb from Arizona right before I typed this. They must pay Arizona under the table to cut him, then they signed Lamb up when no one else claimed him.

3) Arizona/Red Sox are first two teams to clinch their under bets in season win total wagering.

2) Lakers 119, Rockets 96— Lakers win series 4-1; you get the feeling Mike D’Antoni will be the scapegoat for Houston’s 2nd-round exit. Now the Lakers hope Denver can force a Game 7 against the Clippers tonight, just to tire both teams out.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Minnesota
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

15 days left in the season, and the Marlins are still a playoff team.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 13
Patrick Everson

Nikita Kucherov and the Lightning tangle with Jean-Gabriel Pageau and the Islanders on Sunday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals. The SuperBook has Tampa Bay a -140 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup chase resumes with Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals Sunday. The New York Islanders look to build on their much-needed Game 3 win when they meet the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

After dropping Games 1 and 2, the Islanders checked into this best-of-7 series with a 5-3 victory Friday, scoring the game winner with under four minutes left and adding a last-minute empty-netter. The SuperBook opened Sunday’s 3 p.m. ET faceoff at Lightning -145/Islanders +132 and moved to -140/+130 early Saturday, and there was no further movement through Saturday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 5, with Over -140 and Under +120, and there was no movement throughout Saturday.

NHL public betting

The Consensus shows the public – or a modest majority, anyway – is on board with the Islanders for Game 4. Through Saturday night, New York was landing 55 percent of picks, and the Over was garnering 58 percent of picks.