Announcement

**Udog** · 09-05-2020, 08:43 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Miami 115, Milwaukee 100— Heat grab 3-0 series lead.
— Houston 112, LA Lakers 97— Rockets take series opener.
— Dallas 5, Colorado 4 (OT)— Game 7 in OT is always highly dramatic.
— Cam Newton will be New England’s starting QB.
— Orioles split a twinbill with Bronx, ending a 19-game losing skid to their division rivals.
— Friday was 27th anniversary of Jim Abbott’s no-hitter; he had a hole-in-one Friday, 27 years later. The guy has one hand, an amazing athlete.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 187,347
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up a fun summer night

13) We start today with a movie review…….

The Way Back stars Ben Affleck as a guy (Jack Cunningham) who was a high school basketball star who walked away from the game rather than play in college; he got married, had a kid, but then his 8-year old son died of cancer, and he developed a drinking problem that ruined his marriage.

The movie starts with people from his old high school asking Jack Cunningham to come back to his old school to coach the basketball team; the previous coach had fallen ill. Reluctant at first, he takes the job and after a slow start, the team begins to turn it around.

This is a good movie because there is some laughter and some darkness; Jack Cunningham not only drinks a lot, he curses even more, much to the chagrin of the team’s chaplain. Basketball scenes in this movie are very well done.

This movie is making the rounds on HBO this month; it is worth your time.

12) Watching this movie, I was reminded that I once rebounded for a guy who made 126 foul shots in a row- seriously, he did.

I was student manager of our basketball team in college; rebounding for guys was part of my job, actually one of the best parts, but not when a guy makes 126 in a row and won’t stop until he misses one. I was hungry and wanted to go have dinner; tried throwing him a couple bad passes to get him off his mark, but that didn’t work.

Very impressive display of shooting by a guy who never played a significant minute for us; all he could do was shoot. We had a really good team, which made my job a lot more fun.

11) This week the Braves played in Fenway Park:
— Tuesday, Marcell Ozuna hit three homers.
— Wednesday, Adam Duvall hit three homers.

I was really surprised by this, but this was the first time EVER that teammates hit 3+ homers in consecutive games.

10) Defending World Series champion Washington Nationals are 12-23 this year, are headed nowhere; last year, they were 19-31 after 50 games, but they had a whole summer to bounce back, plus they had Rendon and a healthy Strasburg.

You can start to sense that reality has set in for a few of these terrible teams (Nationals, Red Sox, Pirates, Angels); they don’t have enough pitching to compete in such a compressed season. Will be interesting to see how many changes teams make this winter.

9) Arizona Diamondbacks were the last team to play an extra inning game under the new rules; they lost to the Dodgers in extra frames Wednesday night.

Last two years, with the new rule being used in the minor leagues, 73% of extra inning games ended after the first extra inning, whether it be the 8th or 10th inning. The two years before that, only 45% of extra inning games had ended in the first extra frame.

8) As of Wednesday night, seven major league teams still didn’t have a sacrifice bunt this season. One of the basic tenets of the analytics movements is not to make an out on purpose, and with pitchers not batting anymore, that is becoming the norm.

7) Mets have been outscored 51-28 in the first two innings of games this season.

6) Unusual stat; since 2014, New Orleans Saints are 58-38 SU in regular season games, but only 15-25-1 ATS as a home favorite. I would’ve thought they fared better at home.

5) Bronx Bombers are 20-16 this year; 2-8 vs Tampa Bay, 3-3 against the Mets, 15-5 against everyone else. Lot of their games with the Mets were really interesting; all six were decided by 3 or fewer runs.

4) South Alabama 29, Southern Miss 21:
— Jaguars were 12.5-point underdogs; it was their first road win in three years.
— USA quarterback Desmond Trotter is Ozzie Newsome’s grandson.
— Frank Gore Jr is a freshman RB for USM; his dad is still playing in the NFL.

3) Raptors 104, Celtics 103 (Boston leads 2-1)
— OG Anunoby drained a 3 at the buzzer to keep the series interesting.
— Raptors were down 10 at the half; huge win for them.
— Toronto was +12 with Siakam in the game; minus-11 in the 10:00 he sat out.
— Jayson Tatum was only 5-18 from the floor.

2) Clippers 120, Nuggets 97 (LA leads 1-0)
— Nuggets haven’t recovered from the Utah series yet.
— Leonard scored 29 points in 32:00 for the Clippers.
— Clippers shot 57% from the floor, unusually good for an NBA game.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, NY/Tor
AL Central- Chicago, Clev/Minn
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Minn/Clev, Tor/NY

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, Mil/StL
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, Mil/StL

**Udog** · 09-05-2020, 08:44 AM

NHL public betting, odds movement September 5
Patrick Everson

The Islanders and Flyers collide one more time Saturday, in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. DraftKings Sportsbook opened New York -122 and moved to -130 Friday.

NHL betting odds are part of a huge Saturday sports landscape, so of course the lone hockey game has to be a Game 7. The New York Islanders hope to avoid a playoff collapse when they tangle with the Philadelphia Flyers for a trip to the Eastern Conference finals

DraftKings Sportsbook provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday's contest.

NHL odds movement

The resilient Flyers erased a 3-1 deficit in this best-of-7 series, winning the last two games in overtime, including a 5-4 double-OT victory in Game 6 Thursday. However, DraftKings opened the Islanders -122 late Thursday night, and New York’s odds stretched to -130 by Friday afternoon with Philadelphia a +113 underdog. The puck drops at 7:30 p.m. ET.

NHL public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of public betting patterns, showed the Islanders getting the majority of early support. But it was hardly overwhelming support in a series with four one-goal games, three of which went to overtime. As of Friday night, New York was drawing 57 percent of Consensus picks.

**Udog** · 09-05-2020, 08:50 AM

5NY ISLANDERS -6 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 34-19 ATS (17.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 5

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NY ISLANDERS (45-25-0-13, 103 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (51-26-0-7, 109 pts.) - 9/5/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-11 ATS (+7.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-19 ATS (+2.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 97-76 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 37-23 ATS (+13.0 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-7 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 56-39 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-18 ATS (+45.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-11 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 26-24 ATS (+58.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 11-6 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 11-6-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
13 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+10.0 Units)

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NHL

Saturday, September 5

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Trend Report
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NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 18 games when playing NY Islanders

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**Udog** · 09-05-2020, 09:11 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, September 5

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia

Game 5-6
September 5, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.566
Philadelphia
12.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+110); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/5

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/5

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