Announcement

**Udog** · 09-03-2020, 10:14 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Teams that led college football in turnover margin last year:
+21— Florida Atlantic
+19— San Diego State
+18— Alabama
+17— Notre Dame
+16— Oregon
+15— Clemson, Appalachian State

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 184,974
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) We start today with a story…….

Way back in January 1996, I’m an assistant basketball coach at Schenectady HS; our team was young but rapidly improving. We’re playing at home, but we lose a close game when a charge is called on our best player at a pivotal point in the game. Sketchy call.

Ref who made the call was a vice-principal at the school where our best player used to attend, before he transferred to Schenectady after 8th grade. Go figure.

After the game, I go out to dinner at Across the Street Pub, which was on my way home; first two people I see when I walk in the door? That ref and an assistant coach from the team we just lost to, yukking it up at the bar. I nod hello and go to a table in the back.

We only lost two more games that season, lost in the sectional final in 1997, then won the state title in 1998. Sometimes it takes difficult learning experiences for a team to come together, and that loss was one of ours.

12) One of the cool things about college sports is that different schools excel at different sports; for instance, Vanderbilt usually sucks at football, but they’re a national power in baseball.

Clemson is one of the best football programs in the country, but they’ve never won the ACC basketball tournament.

11) QB Jamie Newman transferred from Wake Forest to Georgia last winter, but now he’s opted out of playing this season and will prepare for the 2021 NFL Draft, leaving USC JT Daniels as the Dawgs’ new #1 signal caller.

Wake Forest was 8-5 last year; Newman would’ve been a big addition for the Dawgs.

10) Indians 5, Royals 0— Triston McKenzie tossed six innings of shutout ball on his 23rd birthday, as Cleveland improved to 23-14.

9) Braves 7, Red Sox 5— Adam Duvall homered three times for Atlanta.

8) Rockies 9, Giants 6— San Francisco scored 29 runs in two games in Denver, the most runs they’ve scored in consecutive games since 1993.

7) Free agent RB Leonard Fournette signed on with the Tampa Bay Bucs.

6) Disappointed to hear that Wednesday was Bert Blyleven’s last game as a TV analyst for the Minnesota Twins; a Hall of Fame pitcher, Blyleven has been a TV analyst for the last 25 years. He will continue working as a special assistant for the Twins.

5) Heat 116, Bucks 114 (Miami leads 2-0)
— Jimmy Butler made two foul shots with 0:00 left for the win.
— Tyler Herro scored 17 points off the bench for Miami.
— Miami had blown a 6-point lead with 0:27 left.

4) Rockets 104, Thunder 102 (Houston wins 4-3)
— Houston had balanced scoring; four guys scored between 17-21 points.
— Both teams played only eight guys.
— Chris Paul had 19 points, 11 rebounds, 12 assists in a losing cause.

3) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, Toronto

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, Colorado

2) RIP to the great pitcher Tom Seaver, 75, who passed away this week; one of the best pitchers I’ve ever seen, Seaver won 311 big league games, led the league in strikeouts five times. RIP, sir.

1) If you’ve watched much poker on TV, you’ve seen Mike Sexton, who has done World Poker Tour events on TV for years, with Vince Van Patten. Mike Sexton is really sick these days, and the prognosis isn’t good. We send our prayers out to him.

This, from actress/poker player Jennifer Tilly:
“There is a beautiful story about Mike in @nolandalla’s book “One of a Kind” Stu Ungar was on the skids & couldn’t afford to buy his daughter school books or clothes. Mike sent a limo over with his credit card and told him take your kid out shopping, get her whatever she needs.”

We’re praying for an ace on the river, Mike.

**Udog** · 09-03-2020, 10:16 AM

NHL public betting, odds movement September 3
Patrick Everson

The Philadelphia Flyers and New York Islanders do battle Thursday night in Game 6 of their best-of-seven series. The SuperBook at Westgate has the Islanders a slight -112 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board for Thursday’s playoff games, with a pair of teams getting a second chance to punch their tickets to the conference finals. The New York Islanders aim to knock out the Philadelphia Flyers, while the Vegas Golden Knights hope to finish off the Vancouver Canucks, in a pair of Game 6s.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

NHL odds movement

The Islanders got two late goals in Game 5 to force overtime, but couldn’t seal the deal, losing 4-3 as the Flyers pulled within 3-2 in the best-of-seven series. The SuperBook opened New York a slight favorite at -110 and moved a pinch to -112 by Wednesday night, with Philadelphia +102 for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop.

Vegas also came up short in Game 5, with Vancouver nabbing a 2-1 victory and moving with 3-2 in that series. Still, the Golden Knights are a solid favorite for Thursday’s 9:45 p.m. ET faceoff, opening -220 at Caesars books and moving to -230, with the Canucks a +200 underdog.

NHL public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of public betting patterns, showed early support for both favorites. As of late Wednesday night, the Islanders were landing 70 percent of Consensus picks against the Flyers, while the Golden Knights were drawing 71 percent of picks.

**Udog** · 09-03-2020, 10:21 AM

23VEGAS -24 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 34-23 ATS (15 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

25PHILADELPHIA -26 NY ISLANDERS
PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 ATS (16.6 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, September 3

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders

Game 25-26
September 3, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.784
NY Islanders
11.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+100); Under

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 23-24
September 3, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.782
Vancouver
11.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-225
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-225); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

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VEGAS (49-27-0-8, 106 pts.) vs. VANCOUVER (45-32-0-7, 97 pts.) - 9/3/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 95-78 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 45-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 15-9 ATS (+24.9 Units) after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 23-19 ATS (+52.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 14-11 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 17-6 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 11-4 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 11-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (50-26-0-7, 107 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (45-25-0-12, 102 pts.) - 9/3/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 97-75 ATS (+187.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-6 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 39-27 ATS (+66.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-17 ATS (+5.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 15-11 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-33 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-19 ATS (+44.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+27.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 11-5 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 11-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+9.0 Units)

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NHL

Thursday, September 3

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 17 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Vegas @ Vancouver
Vegas
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Vegas
Vancouver is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games

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Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/3

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 9/3

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