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Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/29

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  • Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, August 29

    Good Luck on day #242 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Heisman Trophy:
    +500— Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)
    +600— Jamie Newman (Georgia)
    +900— D’Eriq King (Miami, Fl.)
    +1200— Spencer Rattler (Oklahoma)
    +1400— Myles Brennan (LSU)
    +1600— Bo Nix (Auburn)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 184,786
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's Den: ACC football notes

    ACC football notes:
    Clemson
    — 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
    — Last three years, they’re 22-12-2 ATS as a favorite.
    — Tigers won five of last seven postseason games.
    — Offensive line this year has only 17 returning starters.

    Florida State
    — 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — Seminoles are 18-20 the last 3 years; from 2010-16, they were 78-17.
    — Last four years, FSU is 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Florida State is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog.

    Louisville
    — 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — Cardinals covered once in last 8 games as a road underdog.
    — Last four years, Louisville is minus-19 in turnovers.
    — Cardinals’ top seven RB’s from LY are all back.

    NC State
    — 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
    — Under Doeren, State is 5-10 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Last three years, State is 3-9 ATS outside the ACC.
    — Wolfpack split its last four bowls, which were all decided by 21+ points.

    Wake Forest
    — 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — Last five years, Deacons are 13-6 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Under Clawson, Wake Forest is 1-6 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Wake are 3-1 in bowls the last four years; all four games were decided by 8 or fewer points.

    Boston College
    — 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
    — New coach Hafley was a DB coach in the NFL for 7 years.
    — Last five years, BC is 7-10 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Last six years, Eagles are 14-4-1 ATS as a road underdog.

    Syracuse
    — 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
    — Syracuse won its last four bowls; their last bowl loss was in 2004.
    — Under Babers, Orange is 10-7 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Last two seasons, Syracuse is +22 in turnovers.

    North Carolina
    — 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Last five years, Tar Heels are 7-4 ATS as road favorites.
    — Last two years, underdogs are 9-2 ATS in UNC home games.
    — In his career, Mack Brown is 15-8 in bowl games; UNC won its bowl 55-13 LY.

    Miami
    — 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
    — Miami is 13-13 SU last two years; the natives are restless.
    — Miami’s offensive line has 114 career starts returning.
    — Hurricanes lost their last three bowls; they were outscored 49-3 in last two bowls, losing 14-0 to Louisiana Tech LY.

    Virginia Tech
    — 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — This is their most experienced OL in years; 115 career starts.
    — Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Tech lost its last three bowls, allowing 30-35-37 points.

    Pittsburgh
    — 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Last six years, Pitt is 10-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Last five years, Panthers are 14-7 ATS as a road underdog.
    — Pitt beat Eastern Michigan 34-30 in a bowl LY, ending a 4-game bowl losing skid.

    Virginia
    — 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — Virginia’s OL has 119 returning starts; all 5 starters are upperclassmen.
    — Last two years, Virginia is 7-3 ATS outside the ACC.
    — Cavaliers lost four of their last five bowl games (3-2 ATS, all as an underdog)

    Duke
    — 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Duke won its last three bowls, scoring 44-36-56 points.
    — Last five years, Blue Devils are 8-14 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Since 2013, Duke is 25-8 ATS outside the ACC.

    Georgia Tech
    — 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — Tech covered once in last nine games as a home underdog.
    — Last five years, Yellow Jackets are 2-8 ATS as a road favorite.
    — Tech has 123 returning starts on the offensive line.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL public betting, line movement for August 29
      Patrick Everson

      Mathew Barzal and the Islanders made a big Game 2 comeback before losing to the Flyers 4-3 in overtime Wednesday. The Islanders opened -120 favorites at Caesars for Saturday's Game 3.

      NHL betting odds are up for a Saturday playoff slate of three semifinal games. The Philadelphia Flyers and New York Islanders return to the ice for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference series, and the Vegas Golden Knights and Vancouver Canucks also meet in Game 3, in the Western Conference semis.

      Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s contests.

      NHL odds movement

      On Wednesday, the Flyers blew a 3-0 Game 2 lead, ultimately getting forced to overtime, where they scored less than three minutes in to beat the Islanders 4-3 and tie the series. Game 3 opened Islanders -120/Flyers +105 at Caesars books, and there was no line movement by late Friday night for this 7 p.m. ET clash.

      Vegas and Vancouver are also knotted at a game apiece, after the Canucks rebounded from a 5-0 Game 1 bashing to take Tuesday’s Game 2, 5-2. Caesars sportsbooks opened at Golden Knights -200/Canucks +175 Friday morning, and there was no line movement by late Friday night for this 9:45 p.m. ET start.

      NHL public betting

      The Consensus is often indicative of public opinion, and Saturday’s early matchup – a noon ET Game 4 between the Lightning and the Bruins – showed two-way play. Tampa Bay was landing 55 percent of early picks and Boston 45 percent. Caesars pegged the line Tampa Bay -115/Boston even money.

      Comment


      • #4
        1TAMPA BAY -2 BOSTON
        TAMPA BAY is 26-10 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

        25PHILADELPHIA -26 NY ISLANDERS
        PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the current season.

        27VEGAS -28 VANCOUVER
        VANCOUVER is 33-21 ATS (15.1 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.




        NHL
        Dunkel

        Saturday, August 29


        Tampa Bay @ Boston

        Game 1-2
        August 29, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Tampa Bay
        12.516
        Boston
        13.956
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Boston
        by 1 1/2
        6
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tampa Bay
        -120
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Boston
        (+100); Over

        Philadelphia @ NY Islanders


        Game 25-26
        August 29, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Philadelphia
        11.562
        NY Islanders
        12.933
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        NY Islanders
        by 1 1/2
        6
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        NY Islanders
        -115
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        NY Islanders
        (-115); Over

        Vegas @ Vancouver


        Game 27-28
        August 29, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Vegas
        12.896
        Vancouver
        11.715
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Vegas
        by 1
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Vegas
        -200
        6
        Dunkel Pick:
        Vegas
        (-200); Under





        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, August 29


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        TAMPA BAY (51-24-0-6, 108 pts.) vs. BOSTON (49-19-0-13, 111 pts.) - 8/29/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON is 21-7 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
        BOSTON is 42-16 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 232-256 ATS (+541.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
        TAMPA BAY is 113-54 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 44-12 ATS (+21.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 25-7 ATS (+16.4 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
        TAMPA BAY is 267-257 ATS (+540.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TAMPA BAY is 14-7 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        TAMPA BAY is 14-7-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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        PHILADELPHIA (49-24-0-7, 105 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (43-25-0-11, 97 pts.) - 8/29/2020, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NY ISLANDERS are 95-74 ATS (+184.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 36-23 ATS (+1.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 12-5 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
        NY ISLANDERS are 54-37 ATS (+91.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 22-17 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 24-22 ATS (+51.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 49-31 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 24-11 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 23-17 ATS (+41.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY ISLANDERS is 9-4 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        NY ISLANDERS is 9-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+9.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VEGAS (47-26-0-8, 102 pts.) vs. VANCOUVER (44-30-0-7, 95 pts.) - 8/29/2020, 9:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VEGAS is 93-77 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        VANCOUVER is 44-37 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
        VANCOUVER is 12-6 ATS (+19.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.
        VANCOUVER is 28-18 ATS (+50.0 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
        VANCOUVER is 14-7 ATS (+21.1 Units) after a division game this season.
        VANCOUVER is 18-9 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
        VANCOUVER is 171-152 ATS (+339.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
        VANCOUVER is 22-17 ATS (+4.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        VANCOUVER is 13-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        VEGAS is 15-5 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        VEGAS is 9-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
        VEGAS is 9-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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        NHL

        Saturday, August 29


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        Trend Report
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        Tampa Bay @ Boston
        Tampa Bay
        Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
        Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
        Boston
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games

        Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
        Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
        NY Islanders
        NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

        Vegas @ Vancouver
        Vegas
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
        Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Vancouver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
        Vancouver is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games


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