Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, August 27

Good Luck on day #240 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Enough is enough. More power to pro athletes in their effort to bring attention to a despicable condition in this country and the world. Since no one knows what to expect, we'll proceed as if games will be played today.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the golf tournament this week:
+750— Dustin Johnson
+1000— Jon Rahm
+1200— Bryson DeChambeau
+1300— Justin Thomas
+1800— Rory McIlroy
+2000— Webb Simpson, Xander Schauffele

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 178,819
Please wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Pretty good day/night for two pitchers from the Albany area.

Braves’ rookie Ian Anderson made his MLB debut in the opener of a twinbill- he gave up only one hit in six IP in a 5-1 win over New York.

Colorado’s Jeff Hoffman came out of the bullpen and squelched a late Arizona rally, getting the last out of the Rockies’ 8-7 win in the desert. It was his first career save.

Anderson went to Shenendehowa HS (with Kevin Huerter of the Atlanta Hawks), Hoffman went to Shaker HS (my high school’s arch-rival). Tommy Kahnle is another big league pitcher from the Albany area; he also went to Shaker.

12) There have been 16 doubleheaders in the major leagues this year; eight of them have been swept, which is an unusually high percentage of sweeps.

11) There was a time when the major league umpires’ union was pretty powerful; used to be that replays of close calls weren’t allowed to be shown on the stadium scoreboard.

Now the umpires’ union is hoping MLB doesn’t go to robotic umps to call balls/strikes; replays are an integral part of the game

10) Doug Eddings had the plate in the Colorado-Arizona game Wednesday; game was taking forever because Robbie Ray doesn’t throw strikes anymore, and Eddings was calling strikes whenever he could find a pith close to the plate. Ray threw 99 pitches in four tedious innings.

The last 2+ years, under is 37-31 with Eddings behind the plate.

9) We’ve mentioned how umpires have been traveling a lot less this season; in Kyle Hendricks’ last three starts for the Cubs, he’s had the same home plate umpire, Tim Timmons for all three games. That is really rare in the big leagues.

8) In Lucas Giolito’s no-hitter for the White Sox Tuesday night, he threw only 27 balls; Pirates swung/missed at 30 of his pitches, and only one batter reached base, on a walk.

7) Bad Beat of the night from Tuesday morning in the KBO; Kiwoom Heroes had a 5-0 lead after five innings at KT, but the Wiz rallied for a 6-5 win in 10 innings. Kiwoom used 12 pitchers in the game; they don’t have the 3-batter minimum in Korea.

6) Random stat: In baseball history, the most hits by one player, against one team:
Detroit Tigers’ Ty Cobb had 619 hits against New York. Lot of fewer teams back then, and no interleave play, so teams played each other a lot more than they do now.

5) Tampa Bay Rays already have 21 wins; 10 different Tampa pitchers have at least one save.

4) In his last 105 games, Ronald Acuna Jr. has 30 home runs and 30 stolen bases; if he stays healthy for an entire season, he’s going to put up some massive numbers. But he has to stay healthy, and stealing a lot of bases takes its toll on a players’ legs.

3) Indiana Pacers fired coach Nate McMIllan Wednesday; he made the playoffs all four years he coached the Pacers, but then went 3-16 in the playoffs, getting swept three of four years. Like all pro sports, NBA is a performance-based business.

2) Portland Trailblazers’ star Damian Lillard is going back to Portland to have his right knee checked; he dislocated a finger on his left hand in a game last week, then sprained his knee in the Blazers’ last game.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central- Minnesota, Clev/CWS
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Chi/CWS, Toronto

NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Colorado, San Francisco

[Udog]

17PHILADELPHIA -18 NY ISLANDERS
PHILADELPHIA is 16-7 ATS (11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the current season.

19VEGAS -20 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 27

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PHILADELPHIA (48-24-0-7, 103 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (43-25-0-10, 96 pts.) - 8/27/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)

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VEGAS (47-26-0-8, 102 pts.) vs. VANCOUVER (44-30-0-7, 95 pts.) - 8/27/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 93-77 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 44-37 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 14-7 ATS (+21.1 Units) after a division game this season.
VANCOUVER is 18-9 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
VANCOUVER is 171-152 ATS (+339.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 22-17 ATS (+4.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 13-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 15-5 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 9-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 9-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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NHL

Thursday, August 27

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

Vegas @ Vancouver
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
Vancouver is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, August 27

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 19-20
August 27, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.896
Vancouver
11.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-190
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-190); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders

Game 17-18
August 27, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.933
NY Islanders
11.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-105); Over

Vegas @ Vancouver

Game 19-20
August 27, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.896
Vancouver
11.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-190
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-190); Under

[Udog]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 27
Patrick Everson

Mathew Barzal and the Islanders made a big Game 2 comeback before losing to the Flyers 4-3 in overtime Wednesday. FanDuel Sportsbook has Thursday's Game 4 a -110 pick 'em.

NHL betting odds are up for a slim Thursday playoff slate of two conference semifinal games. The Philadelphia Flyers and New York Islanders are right back on the ice for Game 3, after Wednesday’s overtime tilt, and the Vegas Golden Knights and Vancouver Canucks also meet in Game 3.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

NHL odds movement

The Flyers blew a 3-0 Game 2 lead, ultimately getting forced to overtime, where they scored less than three minutes in to beat the Islanders 4-3 and tie the series. FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Islanders a modest -115 favorite, with the Flyers at -105, but by late Wednesday night, the game was a -110 pick ‘em. The puck drops at 7 p.m. ET.

Vegas and Vancouver are also knotted at a game apiece, after the Canucks rebounded from a 5-0 Game 1 bashing to take Tuesday’s Game 2, 5-2. Caesars sportsbooks opened the Golden Knights -200 and ticked down to -190 Wednesday evening, with the Canucks at +170 for a 9:45 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

The Consensus is often indicative of public opinion, and for Thursday’s games, that opinion favors the Islanders and Knights. New York was landing 67 percent of early picks, while Vegas was drawing 76 percent of picks.