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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/26

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/26

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, August 26

    Good Luck on day #239 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the World Series:
    3-1— Dodgers
    4-1— Bronx
    12-1— Twins
    14-1— Cubs, A’s, Rays
    18-1— Braves, Indians, Padres
    20-1— White Sox, Astros

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 177,773
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) White Sox 4, Pirates 0— Lucas Giolito throws the first no-hitter of 2020; he walked one guy, struck out 13, threw only 101 pitches.

    Chicago OF Eloy Jimenez apparently hurt his ankle in the celebration after the no-hitter.

    12) With the baseball trade deadline looming on Monday, Texas Rangers’ P Lance Lynn figures to be a hot commodity; Lynn has thrown 100+ pitches in each of his last 31 starts, which is very rare in today’s game and also very valuable, since it takes some strain off the bullpen.

    11) Wednesday’s Astros-Angels game was postponed because of an impending hurricane hitting the Houston area; it will be made up as part of a twinbill next week in Anaheim.

    10) Umpires aren’t traveling nearly as much as they usually do. Tuesday night the Colorado Rockies had Rob Drake’s umpiring crew for the 11th consecutive game. Considering they had a 7-game losing streaking in the middle of that streak, there has to be some tension in these games.

    9) Miami 4-3, NY Mets 0-0— For the first time in 45 years, Mets got swept in a doubleheader when they didn’t score in either game. Marlins are a spunky 14-11 this season.

    Miami’s Jon Berti embarrassed the Mets by stealing 3rd and home in the bottom of the 6th inning, because the Mets weren’t paying attention. That wasn’t big league baseball. A 2-0 game became a 3-0 game, Heads-up play by Berti.

    8) Random stat: Most career hits against the Houston Astros:
    Pete Rose 451, Tony Gwynn 320

    7) LA Chargers’ star Austin Ekeler was the only player in the NFL last year to have 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in the same game.

    Week 13 at Jacksonville, a game the Chargers won 45-10, Ekeler ran the ball for 101 yards, had 112 yards catching passes.

    6) Minnesota Vikings have only four of their 16 games outdoors this year, only one after Week 8.

    5) Over the last 30 years, Duke has had 39 players drafted in the first round of the NBA Draft; some day this winter when things are really slow, we’ll do a deep dive into how those players fared in the NBA.

    4) Matt Barnes finished his 14-year NBA career by being a sub on Golden State’s title team in 2017, but he never accepted his championship ring, because he felt he didn’t do enough to earn it.

    Tuesday, Golden State Warriors “had a courier drive [Barnes’] ring down” once they heard he would be on ESPN’s The Jump, so Barnes gets his ring. Classy move.

    NBA playoff games (both Game 5’s):
    3) Denver 117, Utah 107 (Jazz leads 3-2)
    — Nuggets outscored Utah 35-21 in 4th quarter to stave off elimination.
    — Jokic/Murray combined to make 29-45 shots from the floor, 11-19 on arc.
    — Denver held Rudy Gobert to 11 points.

    2) Clippers 154, Dallas 111 (Clippers lead 3-2)
    — Not a good effort by the Mavericks, obviously; game was 76-52 at halftime. Then it got worse, a lot worse.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
    AL East- Tampa Bay, New York
    AL Central- Minnesota, Clev/CWS
    AL West- Oakland, Houston
    AL Wild Cards- Chi/CWS, Toronto

    NL East- Miami, Atlanta
    NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
    NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
    NL Wild Cards- Colorado, Milwaukee

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL public betting, line movement for August 26
      Patrick Everson

      With a win in Wednesday night's Game 3, the Stars can put the Avalanche on the brink of elimination. Dallas took Games 1 and 2, but Colorado is still a -140 favorite at Caesars for Game 3.

      NHL betting odds are up and getting attention for Wednesday’s trio of conference semifinal games. The Colorado Avalanche look to begin digging their way out against the Dallas Stars in a so-far surprising NHL playoffs series, and the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins get no rest, going on back-to-back days.

      Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with NHL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

      NHL odds movement

      Dallas piled up five goals in each of the first two games against Colorado, with the Stars claiming a 5-2 win Monday to take a 2-0 lead in the best-of-7 series. However, the Avalanche are again favored, opening -140 at Caesars books, with the Stars +125 for a 10:30 p.m. ET Game 3.

      The Lightning bounced back from a Game 1 loss to edge Boston 4-3 in overtime in Tuesday’s Game 2. With these two teams on a short turnaround for an 8 p.m. ET faceoff, the line was not yet posted by late Tuesday night.

      In the 3 p.m. ET Wednesday opener, Caesars opened the New York Islanders -110 and the Philadelphia Flyers -105, and there was no movement for Game 2 by late Tuesday night. The Islanders rolled in Game 1, 4-0.

      NHL public betting

      The Consensus indicates bettors are getting more confident in the Stars, although the Avalanche still have the edge, landing 55 percent of early picks. Likewise, it’s two-way in Islanders-Flyers, with short favorite New York drawing 55 percent of early Consensus picks.

      Comment


      • #4
        9NY ISLANDERS -10 PHILADELPHIA
        NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

        11TAMPA BAY -12 BOSTON
        TAMPA BAY is 42-12 ATS (28.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

        13COLORADO -14 DALLAS
        COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.




        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, August 26


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY ISLANDERS (43-25-0-10, 96 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (48-24-0-7, 103 pts.) - 8/26/2020, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 48-31 ATS (+80.6 Units) in all games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 ATS (+3.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 22-17 ATS (+3.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 16-7 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        NY ISLANDERS are 95-73 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 12-4 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
        NY ISLANDERS are 37-25 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
        NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 ATS (+10.0 Units) when leading in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 10-4 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
        NY ISLANDERS are 18-10 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 13-9 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY ISLANDERS is 9-3 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        NY ISLANDERS is 9-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)

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        TAMPA BAY (49-24-0-6, 104 pts.) vs. BOSTON (49-18-0-12, 110 pts.) - 8/26/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON is 232-255 ATS (+528.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
        BOSTON is 26-16 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 112-54 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 43-12 ATS (+20.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 24-7 ATS (+15.4 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
        TAMPA BAY is 266-257 ATS (+539.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TAMPA BAY is 12-7 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        TAMPA BAY is 12-7-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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        COLORADO (48-23-0-9, 105 pts.) vs. DALLAS (44-28-0-8, 96 pts.) - 8/26/2020, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 4-13 ATS (+17.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 17-12 ATS (+3.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        DALLAS is 19-14 ATS (+35.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 9-7 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 9-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.4 Units)

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        NHL

        Wednesday, August 26


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        Trend Report
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        NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
        NY Islanders
        NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Philadelphia
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
        The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing NY Islanders

        Tampa Bay @ Boston
        Tampa Bay
        Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
        Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
        Boston
        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

        Colorado @ Dallas
        Colorado
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
        Dallas
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
        Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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        Last edited by Udog; 08-26-2020, 09:40 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Wednesday, August 26


          NY Islanders @ Philadelphia

          Game 9-10
          August 26, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NY Islanders
          13.418
          Philadelphia
          11.076
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NY Islanders
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          -110
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Islanders
          (-110); Over

          Tampa Bay @ Boston


          Game 11-12
          August 26, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tampa Bay
          11.891
          Boston
          12.681
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston
          -115
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Boston
          (-115); Under

          Colorado @ Dallas


          Game 13-14
          August 26, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado
          11.995
          Dallas
          14.460
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 2 1/2
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado
          -140
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Dallas
          (+120); Over

          Comment

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