Announcement

**Udog** · 08-25-2020, 09:49 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the BMW Championship this weekend:
8-1— Dustin Johnson
10-1— Jon Rahm
12-1— Justin Thomas
14-1— Bryson DeChambeau
16-1— Xander Schauffele
18-1— Rory McIlroy

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 175,380
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) 2018 NBA Draft:
1st pick- Phoenix- Deandre Ayton
2nd pick- Sacramento- Marvin Bagley
3rd pick- Dallas- Luka Doncic

Sacramento’s GM just got fired. I wonder why.

12) The other day, a friend of mine was telling me about the first time he went to a horse racing book in Las Vegas, and how amazed he was when he saw that they showed races from all over the country. This was a long time ago, but his face still lit up telling the story. Was cool to see, and made me want to look at the prices for flights to the desert, but have to be cautious until there is a vaccine.

11) Major league pitcher is on the mound the other night, guy on first, two out, 1-2 count on the hitter. The pitcher backs off the mound, takes a note card out of his back pocket and looks at it. What the bleep could possibly be on that card, that he would need it there?

10) Miami Marlins have really ugly black jerseys; hard to read the names/numbers on the back, but if the season ended today, Miami would make the playoffs, which is remarkable. Manager Don Mattingly has done an excellent job.

9) Toronto’s Cavan Biggio was up with the bases empty in Tampa Monday; with bases empty, Rays played four outfielders, which looked weird. He slapped a single to left, which defeated the purpose. I’m thinking that sometimes the analytics guys overplay their hands in order to justify their existence in the business.

8) Dodgers are 7-1 this season in games where the winning run scores from 7th inning on.

7) Random stat: Indians’ 3B Jose Ramirez is hitting .353 at home, only .140 on the road.

6) Obscure news item of the day: A woman that was presumed dead was found alive and breathing inside a Detroit funeral home. Someone has some explaining to do.

NBA playoff games (all Game 4’s):
5) Milwaukee 121, Orlando 106 (Bucks leads 3-1)
— Bucks were only up 3 after the third quarter.
— Milwaukee was +30 in 23:00 that George Hill played.
— Good news for the Magic; when they get eliminated Wednesday, they won’t have far to go before they’re home, seeing how the bubble is just outside Orlando.

4) Oklahoma City 117, Houston 114 (series 2-2)
— Only one Houston sub played more than 15:00.
— Rockets were 23-58 behind the arc, 18-33 inside arc.
— Thunder’s four subs were a combined +33; their starters were minus-18.

3) Miami 99, Indiana 87 (Heat wins series 4-0)
— Miami advances to the 2nd round for first time since 2016.
— Indiana lost in the first round the last five years.
— Miami’s bench outscored Indiana’s 38-3.

2) Lakers 135, Portland 115 (Lakers lead 3-1)
— Game was 80-51 at halftime, which is all the comment this game deserves.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
AL Central- Minnesota, Clev/CWS
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Chi/CWS, Toronto

NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Colo, NYM/SF

**Udog** · 08-25-2020, 09:52 AM

NHL public betting, line movement for August 25
Patrick Everson

Nikita Kucherov and the Lightning aim to rebound from a Game 1 loss in Wednesday's Game 2 against the Bruins. The SuperBook at Westgate opened the game at a -105 pick 'em.

NHL betting odds are up and drawing interest for a couple of Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinal games. The Boston Bruins face the Tampa Bay Lightning in the Tuesday opener, followed by the Vancouver Canucks against the Vegas Golden Knights.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests.

NHL line movement

Boston aims to take a 2-0 series lead over Tampa Bay, after hanging on to beat the Lightning 3-2 in Sunday’s Game 1. The SuperBook opened Game 2 a -105 pick ‘em Monday morning, and there was no line movement by Monday night for this 7 p.m. ET faceoff.

However, after the Bruins’ Game 1 win, the series price rightly made a noteworthy move.

“The public loved the Bruins in Sunday’s game, and they came through,” SuperBook oddsmaker Cameron Coombs said. “The series price went from pick to Bruins -210.”

The Golden Knights blasted the Canucks 5-0 in Game 1 Sunday, and The SuperBook responded by making Vegas -210 chalk for Game 2, with Vancouver +190 for a 9:45 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

Coombs said there was some early support for the Bruins, creating a little liability, but not enough to move the moneyline at all. Conversely, the Consensus – often indicative of where the public stands – showed the Lightning drawing 74 percent of early picks.

Meanwhile, the Knights were taking 70 percent of early Consensus picks against the Canucks.

**Udog** · 08-25-2020, 09:56 AM

5BOSTON -6 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

7VANCOUVER -8 VEGAS
VEGAS are 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 25

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 5-6
August 25, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
13.077
Tampa Bay
11.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-110
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-110); Over

Vancouver @ Vegas

Game 7-8
August 25, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
10.637
Vegas
13.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-210
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-210); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 25

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BOSTON (49-18-0-12, 110 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (49-24-0-6, 104 pts.) - 8/25/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 111-54 ATS (+39.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 42-12 ATS (+22.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-7 ATS (+13.1 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 15-6 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 265-257 ATS (+581.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 33-13 ATS (+13.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 232-254 ATS (+540.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 26-15 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 12-7 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 12-7-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (43-30-0-7, 93 pts.) vs. VEGAS (47-25-0-8, 102 pts.) - 8/25/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 15-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 43-37 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 31-27 ATS (+66.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 21-17 ATS (+39.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 93-76 ATS (+211.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 9-2 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 9-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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NHL

Tuesday, August 25

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Trend Report
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Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Vegas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

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Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/25

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/25

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