Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/20

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, August 20

Good Luck on day #233 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Week 3 NFL odds
— Miami (-1) @ Jacksonville
— Chicago @ Atlanta (-2)
— Rams @ Buffalo (-3)
— Washington @ Cleveland (-9)
— Tennessee @ Minnesota (-3.5)
— Las Vegas @ New England (-5.5)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 172,048
Please wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo:Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) I’m thinking NBA refs must be loving these games in the bubble; not many people are there to yell at them, no rich people in the first row spilling their drinks on the floor, and if someone does yell at them, TV mikes pick up everything, so chances are the criticism is toned down.

12) These 7-inning games in doubleheaders take some getting used to; after watching 9-inning major league games for the last 55 years, a game is tied in the 5th inning, and I’m slow to realize that the game is in the late innings already.

11) In 2018-19, of the 277 hits that came on 3-0 counts, 86 of them were home runs. This season, 12 of the first 14 hits that came on 3-0 counts were homers.

10) Orioles’ catcher Chance Sisco batted leadoff the last couple of days for Baltimore; he is the first Orioles’ catcher to bat leadoff since June 26, 1985, when Floyd Rayford batted leadoff for the O’s.

9) This is the first time since 2003 that both #8-seeds upset both #1-seeds in the first game of the NBA playoffs.

8) Former Cubs’ SS Addison Russell is hitting .314 in his first 17 games for the Kiwoom Heroes in the KBO; Russell played in 82 games for the Cubs last year- he hit .242 in five big league seasons.

7) Things I learned watching TV: Rams’ QB Jared Goff throws a football right-handed, but plays golf left-handed.

6) Miami Marlins have two pitchers named Josh Smith; one is righty, one is lefty. They came in one after the other in their loss to the Mets Wednesday.

NBA playoff games (all Game 2’s):
5) Raptors 104, Nets 99 (Toronto leads series 2-0)
— Brooklyn led this game most of the way, was up 6 after three quarters.
— Three Nets’ subs who played were a combined minus-43.
— Norman Powell scored 24 off the bench for Toronto.

4) Utah 124, Denver 105 (series 1-1)
— Jazz made 20-44 shots behind the arc.
— Gobert/Mitchell were a combined 17-24 from the floor; Mitchell made six of his seven 3’s.
— Denver made 13-27 on the arc, after making 22-41 in Game 1; Jazz forced them off the arc more.

3) Celtics 128, 76ers 101 (Boston leads series 2-0)
— Boston outscored Sixers 71-42 in quarters 2-3.
— Tatum scored 33 for the Celtics, making 8-12 3’s.

2) Mavericks 127, Clippers 114 (series 1-1)
— Seth Curry was +30 in 26:00 off the Dallas bench.
— Doncic has 28 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists.
— Paul George was only 4-17 from the floor for LA.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
AL Central- Minnesota, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Baltimore, Chicago

NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, Milwaukee
NL West- Los Angeles, Colorado
NL Wild Cards- San Diego, Arizona

[Udog]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 20
Patrick Everson

Evgeny Kuznetsov and the Capitals hope to continue their comeback against the Islanders in Wednesday night's Game 5. Caesars installed Washington as a -115 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board for a light Thursday slate in Stanley Cup playoffs conference quarterfinal play. The marquee matchup features the Washington Capitals continuing their quest to stay alive against the New York Islanders in a prime-time Game 5.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

NHL line movement

The Capitals put themselves in a 3-0 hole in their best-of-7 series against the Islanders, then found themselves trailing Game 4 2-0 just nine minutes in. But Washington rallied for a 3-2 victory to gain a little hope, and in fact, Caesars books opened the Caps -115 favorites for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop. New York is an even-money underdog.

In the only other Thursday matchup, the Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames fire it up for Game 6. The Stars won the last two games to take a 3-2 series lead and can advance to the conference semifinals with a win in this 10:30 p.m. ET contest. Dallas opened a -125 favorite at Caesars, with Calgary +110, and as with the Islanders-Caps game, there was no line movement Wednesday night.

NHL public betting

In the Consensus, often indicative of public opinion, both Thursday matchups are getting two-way action. The underdog Islanders are landing 53 percent of early picks against the Capitals, while the favored Stars are drawing 54 percent of picks against the Flames.

[Udog]

3DALLAS -4 CALGARY
CALGARY is 18-11 ATS (8.4 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

5NY ISLANDERS -6 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 13-18 ATS (-14.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 20

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DALLAS (41-28-0-8, 90 pts.) vs. CALGARY (41-30-0-8, 90 pts.) - 8/20/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 117-119 ATS (+268.7 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 15-10 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 236-255 ATS (+543.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-4 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (41-25-0-10, 92 pts.) vs. WASHINGTON (43-23-0-10, 96 pts.) - 8/20/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 31-16 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-35 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-22 ATS (+52.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 93-73 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-4 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 52-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 7-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-18 ATS (-18.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 8-8 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-8-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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NHL

Thursday, August 20

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Trend Report
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NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Dallas @ Calgary
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Dallas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, August 20

NY Islanders @ Washington

Game 5-6
August 20, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.804
Washington
12.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
By 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-115); Under

Dallas @ Calgary

Game 3-4
August 20, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.108
Calgary
12.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
By 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+110); Over