Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, August 19

Good Luck on day #232 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

NHL SAGARIN RATINGS

NHL Matchups

NHL Database

NHL Hot and Not


SPORTS MATCHUPS

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds for Northern Trust tournament this weekend:
12-1— Bryson DeChambeau
14-1— Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy
16-1— Jon Rahm
20-1— Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele
22-1— Collin Morikawa
25-1— Jason Day

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 170,905
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Mike Trout has had 35 games in his career where he hit a home run and also stole a base; during his career, no other big leaguer has more than 20 such games.

12) Strange turn in baseball; umpires aren’t traveling as much as they used to, and sometimes when they do travel, they travel on team charters, which has to be a little awkward.

11) Red Sox have already used 11 different starting pitchers this season.

10) Twins 4, Brewers 3 (12)
— Kenta Maeda had a no-hitter thru 8 innings, then Twins blew his 3-0 lead.
— Brewers lost their DH in extra innings, but pitcher’s turn to bat never came up
— Milwaukee used five IF, two OF for last two batters of game.
— Jed Gyorko failed to tag up on liner to RF in top of 12th, costing Milwaukee a run.

9) I’m thinking that baseball may eventually change the rule about a starting pitcher having to finish five innings to get credit for a win, which opens a whole mew statistical can of worms that nerds like me will get a kick out of.

They should leave it up to the official scorer to award the win if a starter goes less than five IP; if it happens, it would have a pretty big impact on fantasy baseball, and a lot of money is spent on fantasy baseball.

8) NBA ref Leon Wood has been an official for 20+ years, after playing seven years in the league- he was an excellent player at Cal State-Fullerton. He also played pro ball in Italy and Spain.

7) Toronto pitcher Shun Yamaguchi wears #1; I cannot remember another major league pitcher wearing #1.

6) Reds-Royals were postponed Tuesday, will play twinbill today.

Cardinals-Cubs also play a pair today; it will be third DH in five days for St Louis.

NBA playoff games (all Game 1’s):
5) Orlando 122, Milwaukee 110
— 8-seed Magic win as a 14-point underdog.
— Vucevic scored 35 points; five others were in double figures.
— Magic used only four subs; they were a combined +32

4) Miami 113, Indiana 101
— Heat outscored Indiana 61-40 in 2nd/4th quarters.
— Tyler Herro scored 15 points off bench for Miami.
— Victor Oladipo played only 9:00, scored four points.

3) Houston 123, Oklahoma City 108
— Rockets led 68-52 at halftime.
— Houston was 20-52 behind arc, 23-37 inside arc.
— Green was +28, McLemore +27 off bench for Houston.

2) Portland 100, Lakers 93
— 8-seed Portland wins as a 6.5-point underdog.
— Lillard scored 34; Portland only used eight players.
— Laker starters other than Lebron were 15-50 from the floor.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
AL Central- Minnesota, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Baltimore, Chicago

NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, Milwaukee
NL West- Los Angeles, Colorado
NL Wild Cards- Arizona, San Diego

[Udog]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 19
Patrick Everson

Goaltender Carter Hart and the Flyers can finish off the Canadiens with a win in Wednesday's Game 5. Caesars sportsbooks opened Philadelphia -135, with Montreal a +120 underdog.

NHL betting odds are on the board for a quintet of quarterfinal contests on Wednesday. Game 5 of the Montreal Canadiens-Philadelphia Flyers matchup lands in prime time, one of four games that could lead the winners into the conference semifinals.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s contests.

NHL line movement

After getting thumped 5-0 in Game 2, the Flyers put on the clamps with wins of 1-0 and 2-0 in Games 3 and 4, respectively, to take a 3-1 series lead over the Canadiens. Caesars books opened Philadelphia -135/Montreal +120 for Game 5, and there was no line movement by late Tuesday night for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop.

Also in the Eastern Conference, the Boston Bruins aim to put away the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 5. Boston opened a -145 favorite at Caesars, with Carolina +130 for a 4 p.m. ET start. And in a noon ET Game 5, the Tampa Bay Lightning opened -170 and inched to -175 to finish off the Columbus Blue Jackets (+160).

NHL public betting

In the Consensus, often indicative of public opinion, the Lightning were landing 72 percent of early picks Tuesday night. The Flyers weren’t far behind at 69 percent, nor the Bruins at 66 percent.

But the Avalanche were the Consensus leader Tuesday, drawing 77 percent of early picks to put away the Coyotes, who got manhandled 7-1 in Game 4. Game 5 faceoff is at 5:30 p.m. ET.

[Udog]

69COLUMBUS -70 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (12.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

71CAROLINA -72 BOSTON
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (11.9 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

73ARIZONA -74 COLORADO
COLORADO is 26-11 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

75MONTREAL -76 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 30-16 ATS (16.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

77VANCOUVER -78 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 6-13 ATS (-11.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, August 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (36-26-0-17, 89 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (48-23-0-6, 102 pts.) - 8/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 110-53 ATS (+167.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 433-439 ATS (-98.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 10-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (42-27-0-6, 90 pts.) vs. BOSTON (47-18-0-12, 106 pts.) - 8/19/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 230-254 ATS (+485.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 13-2 (+10.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 13-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (37-33-0-8, 82 pts.) vs. COLORADO (47-21-0-9, 103 pts.) - 8/19/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 44-41 ATS (+95.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-10 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-4 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 8-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (35-34-0-9, 79 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (46-22-0-7, 99 pts.) - 8/19/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-4 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 8-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANCOUVER (41-29-0-7, 89 pts.) vs. ST LOUIS (44-22-0-12, 100 pts.) - 8/19/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games when tied in a playoff series over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-43 ATS (+3.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 137-159 ATS (+359.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 41-36 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 30-27 ATS (+65.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 34-37 ATS (+87.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 6-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-6-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL

Wednesday, August 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games

Carolina @ Boston
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Montreal @ Philadelphia
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
Philadelphia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games

Vancouver @ St. Louis
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 19

Columbus @ Tampa Bay

Game 69-70
August 19, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.012
Tampa Bay
12.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-175
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-175); Under

Carolina @ Boston

Game 71-72
August 19, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
11.078
Boston
12.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-145); Under

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 73-74
August 19, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.941
Colorado
13.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 4
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-200); Under

Montreal @ Philadelphia

Game 75-76
August 19, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.219
Philadelphia
13.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-135); Under

Vancouver @ St. Louis

Game 77-78
August 19, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
12.142
St. Louis
10.745
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+130); Over