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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/14

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, August 14

    Good Luck on day #227 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Week 1 NFL spreads:
    — Philadelphia (-6, 45) @ Washington
    — Chicago @ Detroit (-1.5, 44)
    — Indianapolis (-7, 44.5) @ Jacksonville
    — Green Bay @ Minnesota (-3.5, 46.5)
    — Chargers (-3, 44) @ Cincinnati
    — Arizona @ San Francisco (-7.5, 46)

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 166,661
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here……

    13) So we had some excitement in the neighborhood Thursday night; around 6:30, I’m outside talking to a neighbor, and we hear this loud noise coming from a bullhorn. I live on a quiet suburban street just outside of Albany; not much ever happens here, but this was loud, and it went on for a few minutes.

    We decide to explore, and take a walk down the street, where we find 20-30 people gathered on the sidewalk, around this jackass who is shouting “white supremacy!!!” over and over into his bullhorn. Couldn’t tell if the people around him were for him, against him or just weirded out by the whole thing, but there were four State Trooper cars there- the troopers were making sure no BS broke out. As far as I could tell, nothing really happened.

    The next three months might be very long in this country.

    12) The event occurred outside a store that makes cakes; upon further review, it turns out they had made a cake in the shape of a MAGA hat and posted a pic of it on social media, and because of that, some Black Lives Matter people came to the shop to protest. Albany Times-Union said there were 125 people there, and people were yelling at each other, but nothing worse happened.

    The idea that there were troopers there means that people knew about it beforehand.

    11) Dodgers 11, Padres 2— Mookie Betts hit three homers in the first five innings for LA; it was the 6th 3-homer game of his career.

    10) A pitcher named Joe Cowley went 33-25 in a 5-year major league career in the 80’s; he threw a no-hitter for the White Sox in September of 1986. Turns out it was the last win of his big league career- he went 0-4 for Philly in ’87 and that was the end of his career. Pretty unusual for your last career win to be a no-hitter.

    9) Stephen Strasburg got tossed out of the Washington-New York game while he was sitting in the stands watching the game. He was carping about ball/strike calls. Strasburg is pitching today; for his sake, hope there is a different umpiring crew working this game.

    By the way, the two teams will resume Sunday’s suspended game before tonight’s regularly scheduled game. Orioles led that game 5-2 in the sixth inning.

    8) Reds’ 3B Eugenio Suarez hit 49 homers last year; he hit 130 homers from 2016-19, but so far this year, he is hitting .115 in his first 74 at-bats. No bueno.

    7) Much has been made about how the major league average this season is the lowest ever, lower even than 1968, but in ’68, the slugging %age in the majors was .340. This year, the slugging %age in the majors is .403, a pretty big difference. Fewer hits maybe, but more extra base hits.

    6) Colorado 2B Ryan McMahon hit a homer on a 3-0 pitch the other night, the first time a Colorado player homered on a 3-0 pitch since Michael Cuddyer back in 2014.

    5) FOX and ESPN insist on showing Boston-New York games this weekend, despite the fact that the Red Sox aren’t fielding a major league pitching staff this season. They’re 6-13 and sinking fast; would be nice if the TV networks would focus on some of the better teams.

    4) Cory Sullivan does TV studio work for the Colorado Rockies; he used to play OF for the Rockies. In 2006, Sullivan tied a major league record by hitting two triples during a 7-run fifth inning, just the 11th player to hit two triples in the same inning, and the first one since 1951.

    3) Steph Curry is going to represent Golden State at the NBA Draft Lottery, which will be odd; Warriors have been so good for the last decade, now all of a sudden they have a shot at the first pick in the draft.

    2) One of the advantages of this summer is that one of the NHL’s bubbles is in Edmonton, which means we occasionally get late night hockey, never a bad thing.

    1) 15% of our nation’s postal workers are military veterans, something to think about when people want to get rid of the Postal Service.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL public betting, line movement for August 14
      Patrick Everson

      T.J. Oshie and the Capitals aim to even up their best-of-7 series against the Islanders in Game 2 Friday night. Caesars sportsbooks have Washington a -125 favorite, with New York +110.

      NHL betting odds are on the board as the Stanley Cup playoffs roll out five games Friday. Game 2 of the Islanders-Capitals best-of-7 series lands in the prime-time spot, and the Canadiens and Flyers renew hostilities, as well.

      Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s contests.

      NHL line movement

      The sixth-seeded Islanders snagged Game 1 from the third-seeded Capitals 4-2 on Wednesday. Washington opened a -125 favorite at Caesars books to knot up this Eastern Conference quarterfinal series. The line ticked to Caps -120/Islanders +105 Thursday afternoon, then back to the opener of -125/+110 late Thursday night for an 8 p.m. ET faceoff.

      East No. 1 seed Philadelphia held off No. 8 Montreal 2-1 in Game 1. The Flyers are -145 Game 2 favorites, with the Canadiens +130 for a 3 p.m. ET start. And the defending Stanley Cup champion Blues, who need a win after dropping Game 1 in the West quarters, opened -135 and moved to -145 for a 6:30 p.m. ET clash with the Canucks (+130).

      NHL public betting

      The Consensus showed an early public lean to the Capitals, who were getting 62 percent of picks Thursday night against the Islanders. The Flyers and Blues were drawing 58 percent and 60 percent of the Consensus picks, respectively.

      Comment


      • #4
        25ARIZONA -26 COLORADO
        COLORADO is 24-10 ATS (13.9 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

        27MONTREAL -28 PHILADELPHIA
        PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

        29VANCOUVER -30 ST LOUIS
        ST LOUIS are 4-12 ATS (-12.5 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

        31NY ISLANDERS -32 WASHINGTON
        WASHINGTON is 12-16 ATS (-12.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

        33DALLAS -34 CALGARY
        CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (10.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Friday, August 14


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (36-31-0-8, 80 pts.) vs. COLORADO (45-20-0-9, 99 pts.) - 8/14/2020, 2:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA is 43-40 ATS (+93.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 15-9 ATS (+27.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 11-7 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLORADO is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        COLORADO is 6-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MONTREAL (34-33-0-9, 77 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (45-21-0-7, 97 pts.) - 8/14/2020, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MONTREAL is 34-42 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 45-28 ATS (+77.1 Units) in all games this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 13-10 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        PHILADELPHIA is 454-398 ATS (-170.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        PHILADELPHIA is 7-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VANCOUVER (40-28-0-6, 86 pts.) vs. ST LOUIS (42-22-0-11, 95 pts.) - 8/14/2020, 6:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 15-9 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 59-42 ATS (+3.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 135-158 ATS (+356.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
        VANCOUVER is 40-34 ATS (+5.0 Units) in all games this season.
        VANCOUVER is 56-49 ATS (+114.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
        VANCOUVER is 17-8 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
        VANCOUVER is 169-150 ATS (+333.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
        VANCOUVER is 8-3 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
        VANCOUVER is 33-35 ATS (+84.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 9-14 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        VANCOUVER is 5-5 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 5-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY ISLANDERS (39-24-0-10, 88 pts.) vs. WASHINGTON (42-22-0-9, 93 pts.) - 8/14/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) on Friday nights this season.
        WASHINGTON is 17-8 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 36-19 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 17-6 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
        WASHINGTON is 44-33 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 27-20 ATS (+49.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 91-72 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 34-25 ATS (+59.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 50-35 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
        NY ISLANDERS are 15-10 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 11-16 ATS (-14.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY ISLANDERS is 6-7 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 7-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DALLAS (39-27-0-8, 86 pts.) vs. CALGARY (40-29-0-7, 87 pts.) - 8/14/2020, 10:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 8-3 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 8-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL

        Friday, August 14


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Arizona @ Colorado
        Arizona
        Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Colorado
        Colorado
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona

        Montreal @ Philadelphia
        Montreal
        Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
        Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

        Vancouver @ St. Louis
        Vancouver
        Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
        Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        St. Louis
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
        St. Louis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home

        NY Islanders @ Washington
        NY Islanders
        NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

        Dallas @ Calgary
        Dallas
        Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
        Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
        Calgary
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


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        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Friday, August 14


          Arizona @ Colorado

          Game 25-26
          August 14, 2020 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arizona
          10.659
          Colorado
          13.037
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Colorado
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado
          -200
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado
          (-200); Over

          Montreal @ Philadelphia


          Game 27-28
          August 14, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Montreal
          13.653
          Philadelphia
          12.621
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Montreal
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          -155
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          Montreal
          (+135); Under

          Vancouver @ St. Louis


          Game 29-30
          August 14, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vancouver
          12.406
          St. Louis
          9.981
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Vancouver
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          St. Louis
          -145
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vancouver
          (+125); Over

          NY Islanders @ Washington


          Game 31-32
          August 14, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NY Islanders
          11.519
          Washington
          12.508
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (-125); Under

          Dallas @ Calgary


          Game 33-34
          August 14, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Dallas
          12.193
          Calgary
          11.097
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Calgary
          -110
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          Dallas
          (-110); Under

          Comment

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