Announcement

**Udog** · 08-11-2020, 09:00 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to make the NFL playoffs this fall:
— Steelers yes -150, no +130
— 49ers yes -330, no +270
— Seahawks yes -120, no even
— Buccaneers yes -220, no +190
— Titans yes -130, no +110
— Redskins yes +650, no -1000

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 163,252
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) One of the underrated things about NBA TV is not only how the Van Gundy brothers both became NBA head coaches (and good ones) but then they both became TV personalities, in very different ways.

Stan Van Gundy talks technical basketball very simply and teaches it well; Jeff is more of a character, providing comic relief on occasion. Both are well worth listening to.

40 years ago, November 1980, our college basketball team at Albany played in the Brockport State tip-off tournament; the Brockport coach was Bill Van Gundy, who had come to western New York after coaching junior college ball in California. Bill Van Gundy was their dad, a guy who coached in obscurity but raised two smart sons.

12) Suns 128, Thunder 101— Phoenix is an unlikely 6-0 since they started playing games in the bubble; they were 26-39 before the pandemic.

11) New Orleans Pelicans missed the NBA playoffs, which means JJ Redick misses the playoffs for the first time in his 15-year NBA career.

10) Padres’ P Dinelson Lamet had a no-hitter thru six innings Sunday, but with a 9-0 lead, he gave up a homer to Kole Calhoun in the 7th inning. San Diego’s TV guys seemed relieved; Lamet had arm surgery a couple years ago; it can be difficult to take a pitcher out when he has a no-hitter going, and Lamet was around the 80-pitch mark.

He faced one more batter, and the Padres got him out of there; too valuable a talent to risk getting hurt while pitching in a 9-1 game.

9) One of the odd things about baseball this year is the spare players sitting in the stands instead of the dugout; some pitchers have taken to sitting in the stands behind home plate, to get a better angle on pitches.

8) Colorado’s Charlie Blackmon is a lefty hitter who is 18-27 this season against left-handed pitching, which is damn impressive.

7) Cleveland Indians P Mike Clevinger will have his next start skipped after he violated COVID protocol while in Chicago over the weekend. Two of the Indians’ five starting pitchers are now under quarantine, not an ideal situation.

6) Was watching a KBO game (very) early Sunday morning; Hanwha Eagles have a pitcher named Chad Bell who pitched in 31 games for the Braves in 2017-18. Was painful to watch him try and throw strikes; he didn’t get anyone out until his 37th pitch of the game, the 7th batter.

Bell is 31 years old, is 0-7, 7.94 in 10 starts of the worst team in the KBO. Felt bad for the guy struggling so much; felt worse for whoever thought it was a good idea to sign him.

5) Who retrieves all the foul balls/home run balls hit into the empty bleachers at major league games? Has to be at least a couple dozen every game.

4) Mountain West Conference cancelled fall sports Monday; will be interesting to see if these schools play football next spring.

3) Mets’ P Marcus Stroman opted out of the rest of baseball season; he is a free agent this winter and is coming of an injury- he ay be headed to signing a one-year deal in 2021, wth an eye on a big money deal before the 2022 season.

2) If the KBO playoffs started today (they don’t):
1) NCDinos 47-26-2
2) Kiwoom Heroes 48-33
3) Doosan Bears 43-33-2
4) LGTwins 43-35-1
5) Kia Tigers 40-35

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
AL Central- Minnesota, Detroit
AL West Oakland, Texas
AL Wild Cards- Cleveland, Baltimore
NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, Cincinnati
NL West- Colorado, Los Angeles
NL Wild Cards- San Diego, Philadelphia

**Udog** · 08-11-2020, 09:03 AM

NHL public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

The Blackhawks took advantage of the revamped NHL postseason to win a qualifying-round series and will next face the Golden Knights. Chicago is a +170 underdog in Game 1 Tuesday.

NHL betting odds are up and drawing dollars, as the Stanley Cup playoffs reach the best-of-7 conference quarterfinal series. There are four games on the Tuesday docket, including a couple of compelling evening tilts: Hurricanes vs. Bruins and Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with NHL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NHL line movement

Under normal circumstances, the Blackhawks wouldn’t have been in the playoffs this season after finishing 12th in the Western Conference. But under the amended format due to the COVID shutdown, Chicago got into a best-of-5 qualifying-round series, where it knocked out No. 5 Edmonton in four games.

For that effort, the Blackhawks next get the top-seeded Golden Knights, who won the round-robin pool among the top four teams in the Western Conference. Vegas opened a -215 favorite Monday morning at PointsBet USA and dipped to -200 by Monday evening, with Chicago +170 for the 10:30 p.m. ET Game 1.

The Bruins and Hurricanes meet in the Eastern Conference 4 vs. 5 series. Boston opened -150 for Game 1 and closed in to -130, then rebounded a couple ticks to -140 Monday, with Carolina +120 for an 8 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

At Las Vegas sportsbooks, there’s no question the Golden Knights will see heavy public play throughout the day Tuesday, though none had arrived Monday night. But in an atypical Stanley Cup playoffs, with this game played in the Edmonton bubble, pricing was a challenge for Sin City oddsmakers, who struggled with concerns of opening the Knights too high.

CG Technology books opened the Knights -200, the price that PointsBet USA – across the country in New Jersey – moved down to on Monday.

“There’s zero home-ice advantage, and the Knights are going with Robin Lehner in goal,” CG Tech risk analyst Dave Sharapan said, alluding to Vegas’ decision not to start Marc-Andre Fleury. “And the Blackhawks are playing loose, with house money.”

Among Tuesday’s four games, the Golden Knights were the most-liked team Monday night on Covers Consensus. Vegas was landing 67 percent of early picks against Chicago. Hurricanes-Bruins was the closest to two-way play, with Boston at 57 percent and Carolina at 43 percent in the Consensus.

**Udog** · 08-11-2020, 09:08 AM

1COLUMBUS -2 TAMPA BAY
COLUMBUS are 10-5 ATS (8.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

3CALGARY -4 DALLAS
CALGARY is 16-8 ATS (9.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

5CAROLINA -6 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.

7CHICAGO -8 VEGAS
CHICAGO is 18-16 ATS (10.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 11

Columbus @ Tampa Bay

Game 1-2
August 11, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
12.589
Tampa Bay
11.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+155); Under

Calgary @ Dallas

Game 3-4
August 11, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
12.775
Dallas
13.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-110
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-110); Over

Carolina @ Boston

Game 5-6
August 11, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
12.112
Boston
13.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-145); Under

Chicago @ Vegas

Game 7-8
August 11, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
13.134
Vegas
12.069
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+165); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 11

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COLUMBUS (35-24-0-16, 86 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (45-22-0-6, 96 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 107-52 ATS (+162.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+16.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-5 ATS (+18.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-4 ATS (-7.1 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 430-438 ATS (+949.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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CALGARY (39-28-0-7, 85 pts.) vs. DALLAS (38-26-0-8, 84 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 7-12 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 233-253 ATS (+546.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 13-7 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-2 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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CAROLINA (41-25-0-5, 87 pts.) vs. BOSTON (44-17-0-12, 100 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-13 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 93-74 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
CAROLINA is 41-21 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 13-7 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-1 (+9.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 10-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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CHICAGO (35-31-0-8, 78 pts.) vs. VEGAS (42-24-0-8, 92 pts.) - 8/11/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-8 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 88-75 ATS (+189.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 13-15 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-1 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

Tuesday, August 11

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Trend Report
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Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Dallas
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Calgary

Carolina @ Boston
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

Chicago @ Vegas
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/11

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/11

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