Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/8

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, August 8

Good Luck on day #221 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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SPORTS MATCHUPS

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Odds to make the NFL playoffs this fall:
— Arizona Cardinals yes +210, no -250
— Atlanta Falcons yes +240, no -280
— Baltimore Ravens yes -900, no +600
— Buffalo Bills yes -190, no +170
— Carolina Panthers yes +450, no -600
— Chicago Bears yes +150, no -170

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 160,157
Please wear a mask when you go out.


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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Story of the sports summer so far: it is August 8, and Don Mattingly may have already wrapped up Manager of the Year- his Miami Marlins are off to a 7-1 start.

— They’re first team since 1904 to start eight different pitchers in their first eight games.
— In 67 innings in the field, they’ve already used 25 different pitchers.
— They turned over 60% of their roster five or six days ago.

12) Marlins’ SS Eddy Alvarez is a 30-year old rookie who once took three years off from baseball and was a speed skater; he won a silver medal at the 2014 Winter Olympics.

11) A gambler in New Jersey risked $54,000 to win $30,000 Friday that Jason Day would have a better day than Martin Kaymer at the PGA Championship. Day shot a 69, Kaymer shot a freakin’ 82. Hmmmmm…….

10) Cubs-Cardinals are off for the weekend, after two more Cardinals tested positive for the coronavirus. St Louis has now had nine players test positive.

9) Maybe the Cubs can use their free time this weekend to figure out who to bat leadoff; they’re trying to force Kris Bryant into the leadoff spot this season, but he is hitting .184 with a .295 OB%. No bueno. Chicago used 10 different leadoff hitters last season.

8) Cardboard Cutout of the Week; Kansas City Royals had a cardboard cutout of Terry Kiser’s character from the classic movie Weekend at Bernie’s, complete with sunglasses and blue windbreaker. Bernie was sitting right behind home plate.

7) Mets’ OF Brandon Nimmo has reached base safely in 29 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the major leagues. The all-time record is held by Ted Williams (84 games in a row)

6) White Sox’ 1B Jose Abreu has always been a hell of a hitter, but so far this season, batting third in the lineup, he is 0-13 with a walk in the first inning of games.

5) Toronto 4, Columbus 3, OT- This was only third time in Maple Leafs’ history that they tied a playoff game after trailing by 3+ goals in the third period- the other two were in 1936, 2001. This series ia now tied 2-2.

4) When Dodgers’ LF Chris Taylor threw out the tying run at the plate to end the game in San Diego Thursday, it was the first time that happened in a big league game since May 14, 2016.

3) Coming into Friday night’s games, these teams’ hitters wee seeing the most pitches per plate appearance:
4.16- Cleveland
4.13- Tampa Bay, Chicago Cubs

2) Disappointing that Thursday night would’ve been the Hall of Fame football game from Canton; no idea if there will even be a football season. 2020 hasn’t been a very good year.

1) In the last 100 years, the lowest batting average for all of the majors for one season was in 1968, when batters hit a combined .237. This season has a chance to break that dubious record.

[Udog]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 8
Patrick Everson

Marc-Andre Fleury and the Golden Knights face the Avalanche for the Western Conference's No. 1 seed. Caesars sportsbooks installed Colorado a -115 favorite, with Vegas at even money.

NHL betting odds are on the board for a slimmed-down Saturday slate of two games, as a chunk of the 24-team playoff field got whittled down Friday in qualifying-round games. There are two round-robin matchups Saturday, with the Western Conference and Eastern Conference No. 1 seeds on the line.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Saturday’s contests.

NHL line movement

The Golden Knights and Avalanche are both 2-0 in the round-robin seeding of the top four teams in the West, so the winner nabs the top seed in the Edmonton bubble. Caesars sportsbooks, which will surely see plenty of public money on the Knights at Las Vegas locations, still made Colorado a -115 favorite, with Vegas even money. There was no movement Friday night for this 3 p.m. ET faceoff.

Likewise, the Flyers and Lightning are 2-0 in the East round-robin, battling for the top seed in the Toronto bubble. Caesars books opened Tampa Bay -135 and Philadelphia +120, and this contest also saw no line movement by late Friday night for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop.

NHL public betting

Consensus often provides insight into where the public is on a game, and in the case of Knights-Avalanche, there’s two-way action with a lean to Colorado. The Avalanche are landing 57 percent of picks and Vegas 43 percent.

Consensus is a more clear cut on Flyers-Lightning, with Tampa Bay drawing 65 percent of early picks to Philadelphia’s 35 percent.

[Udog]

1VEGAS -2 COLORADO
COLORADO is 23-9 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

11PHILADELPHIA -12 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 8

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VEGAS (41-24-0-8, 90 pts.) vs. COLORADO (44-20-0-8, 96 pts.) - 8/8/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 87-75 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 6-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
VEGAS is 13-4 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-3 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 5-3-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (43-21-0-7, 93 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (45-21-0-6, 96 pts.) - 8/8/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 277-290 ATS (-96.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 107-51 ATS (+169.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 265-255 ATS (+579.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-28 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-16 ATS (+38.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.0 Units)

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NHL

Saturday, August 8

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Trend Report
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Vegas @ Colorado
Vegas
Vegas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Colorado's last 21 games

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, August 8

Vegas @ Colorado

Game 1-2
August 8, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.249
Colorado
13.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-115); Over

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay

Game 11-12
August 8, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
13.286
Tampa Bay
11.488
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+115); Under