Announcement

**Udog** · 08-06-2020, 09:27 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Marlins 1-2, Orioles 0-1- Miami swept a doubleheader, despite scoring a total of three runs in the two games.
— Washington ace Max Scherzer (hamstring) left his start after one inning Wednesday.
— Dodgers 7, Padres 6- Chris Taylor threw out the tying run at the plate from left field to end the game.
— A’s 6, Texas 4— Oakland won its last five games.
— Nuggets 132, Spurs 126- Denver scored 43 points in 4th quarter.
— Thunder 105, Lakers 86— OKC held Anthony Davis to 9 points in 29:00.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 156,906
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

Good to be back; have a lot of people to thank, but I’ll do that down the road a little.

13) First of all, Dr Fauci says he has gotten death threats and his family has been harassed, because he is a scientist who tells the truth. What the actual bleep? Who threatens a scientist because he tells us how to avoid catching a virus that can kill us?

He isn’t a politician, he is a 78-year old doctor who has worked for six Presidents and has an impeccable record. Who would threaten him?

There are some very evil people in this country; they need to go back under their rock.

12) Had eye surgery Tuesday; the doctor says things went well, and in a few weeks I’ll have some new glasses and I’ll be seeing like my old self again. When you’re sitting by yourself in a reclining chair waiting to be operated on, some thoughts run through your head……

11) Nurses might be the most underrated people in our society; they help sick people get better, they do lot of the dirty work, while doctors make the bigger money. Yesterday I was reminded of when my dad was very ill 6-7 years ago, sitting in his room and watching the nurses do their jobs with (mostly) good cheer. A very honorable profession.

10) Kansas City Royals used 20 different pitchers in their first 11 games; rosters go down from 30 guys to 28 Thursday, so hopefully that means bullpens will be little thinner, and hitters can face the same pitchers more often, which will help to increase scoring.

9) ESPN’s Jon Sciambi came up with an interesting stat:
— In his 2,164 major league games, Lou Gehrig faced 342 different pitchers.
— In his 1,205 major league games, Mike Trout has faced 835 pitchers.

8) Last year, only 24% of starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches in their starts; ten years ago, half of major league starters threw 100+ pitches.

7) Why is Dodgers’ reliever Joe Kelly still pitching? He got suspended last week, then appealed- hear the damn appeal already!!! They can’t do that on a Zoom call?

6) There was a delay in the Pirates-Twins game Tuesday when a drone was hovering over Target Field; took 10-15 minutes for the thing to go away.

5) Fred VanVleet of the Raptors set a career high with 36 points the other night; weird thing is that in that whole game, he scored only one 2-point basket. He was 7-12 on the arc, 13-13 on the foul line, 1-4 inside the arc.

4) TJ Warren of the Indiana Pacers scored 117 points in three games down in the Orlando bubble; an impressive display of scoring.

3) Braves lost pitching ace Mike Soroka to a torn achilles tendon this week; difficult loss to overcome.

2) UConn is the first I-A college football team to cancel its football season for this year.

1) Some good COVID news; Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford had a false positive test last week, so he is healthy and good to go for training camp. Glad to hear he is healthy.

**Udog** · 08-06-2020, 09:28 AM

NHL public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 6
Patrick Everson

Auston Matthews and the Maple Leafs take on the Blue Jackets in Game 3 of an Eastern Conference qualifying-round series Thursday. Caesars sportsbooks have Toronto a -155 favorite.

NHL betting odds hit the board for a quintet of Thursday games, as the revamped NHL playoffs resume in the double bubble. The schedule includes a couple of noteworthy matchups in round-robin playoff seeding, along with Game 3 of the Toronto Maple Leafs-Columbus Blue Jackets best-of-5 qualifying series.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

NHL line movement

The Maple Leafs and Blue Jackets collide in a pivotal Game 3, with the winner gaining a 2-1 upper hand in the battle to advance further into the postseason. Toronto, which notched a 3-0 win in Game 2 Tuesday, opened a -155 favorite at Caesars books for this 8 p.m. ET puck drop, with Columbus +140.

There was no line movement as of late Wednesday night.

In Eastern Conference round-robin play, the Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers each play their second game in the bubble. Washington is a -120 favorite and Philadelphia a +105 underdog, with no line movement yet for a 4 p.m. ET faceoff. And in the Western Conference round-robin, the Vegas Golden Knights opened -115 to the St. Louis Blues’ even money, with that line stagnant so far for a 6:30 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

Consensus shows solid early backing of the Maple Leafs, drawing 70 percent of the picks, and Blues, at 63 percent. The Caps-Flyers contest is much closer to two-way play, with Washington at 56 percent and Philadelphia at 44.

**Udog** · 08-06-2020, 09:34 AM

21CALGARY -22 WINNIPEG
CALGARY is 15-8 ATS (8.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

24COLUMBUS -23 TORONTO
TORONTO is 27-28 ATS (-11.1 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

25WASHINGTON -26 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (11.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

29VANCOUVER -30 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less in the last 3 seasons.

31VEGAS -32 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 4-10 ATS (-10 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

NHL

Thursday, August 6

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Trend Report
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Vancouver @ Minnesota
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vancouver's last 16 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
Vegas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

Toronto @ Columbus
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Calgary @ Winnipeg
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 08-06-2020, 09:50 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 6

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CALGARY (38-28-0-7, 83 pts.) vs. WINNIPEG (38-30-0-6, 82 pts.) - 8/6/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 5-17 ATS (+22.5 Units) when leading in a playoff series since 1996.
CALGARY is 6-12 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
WINNIPEG is 38-36 ATS (-2.8 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 22-14 ATS (+38.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 16-9 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-7 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-5 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-5-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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COLUMBUS (34-23-0-15, 83 pts.) at TORONTO (37-26-0-9, 83 pts.) - 8/6/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 21-12 ATS (+33.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 12-3 ATS (+8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 37-35 ATS (+78.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 17-17 ATS (-2.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 18-20 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-5 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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WASHINGTON (41-20-0-9, 91 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (42-21-0-7, 91 pts.) - 8/6/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-14 ATS (-12.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-28 ATS (+5.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-8 ATS (+24.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-16 ATS (+0.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-31 ATS (+78.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-18 ATS (+48.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 276-290 ATS (-127.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-6-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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VANCOUVER (37-28-0-6, 80 pts.) vs. MINNESOTA (36-28-0-7, 79 pts.) - 8/6/2020, 2:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-15 ATS (+35.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 72-81 ATS (+175.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 167-150 ATS (+331.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 209-246 ATS (+542.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 30-47 ATS (+30.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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VEGAS (40-24-0-8, 88 pts.) vs. ST LOUIS (42-20-0-10, 94 pts.) - 8/6/2020, 6:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 86-75 ATS (-20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 6-10 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-4 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 59-39 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 5-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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**Udog** · 08-06-2020, 11:01 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, August 6

Vancouver @ Minnesota

Game 29-30
August 6, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
10.350
Minnesota
11.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 25-26
August 6, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
13.216
Philadelphia
12.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Vegas @ St. Louis

Game 31-32
August 6, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
11.834
St. Louis
12.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Over

Toronto @ Columbus

Game 23-24
August 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
12.211
Columbus
10.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-150); Under

Calgary @ Winnipeg

Game 21-22
August 6, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
12.598
Winnipeg
13.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+140); Over

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/6

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/6

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