Announcement

**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 08:57 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds on whether NFL teams will make the playoffs this year:
Saints— yes -330, no +270
Giants— yes +330, no -400
Jets— yes +355, no -425
Eagles— yes -185, no +165
Steelers— yes, -150, no +130
49ers— yes, -330, no +270

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 155,191
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

I’m going on the disabled list for a couple days; am having eye surgery Tuesday morning. Will be back as soon as I can.

13) Watching NBA games on TV from Disney in Florida reminded me of when I used to go down to Florida in July every summer 15 or so years ago, to watch AAU games in that same building.

Toronto Raptors’ coach Nick Nurse was wearing a pullover while he coached; you might think, why a pullover when it is so hot down there, but the air conditioning in those places is very strong. One year I had to go to a **** to get a sweatsuit to wear in gyms because of the A/C.

Think the school was Cypress Creek HS outside of Kissimmee; Amare Stoudamire played there. They have a sign above the door to their chilly gym:

“The coldest winter day you’ll ever spend is a summer day in our gym”

12) Miami Marlins get back on the field tonight, but now the Cardinals have had an outbreak of coronavirus, so their games this week with Detroit have been postponed.

11) The healthy Marlins have been on the road for 17 days; the Marlins who tested positive had to be bused from Philly to Miami a while back, where they’re being quarantined.

What poor bastards got elected to drive that bus? Did they go rock-paper-scissors, and losers had to drive?

10) Watching the Milwaukee-Houston NBA game on ESPN Sunday night, high quality game. Could listen to Jeff Van Gundy/Mark Jackson talk all night; they’re great together.

Houston plays a different style of ball; they took 61 3’s vs Milwaukee, only 30 2-point shots.

9) Was surprised to see Portland’s Damian Lillard play all 24:00 in the 2nd half of the Blazers’ 128-124 loss to Boston Sunday; he scored 22 points, had 10 assists, just in the 2nd half.

8) Mets 7, Braves 2- Jacob deGrom gets his first win of the year. Was weird hearing thunder during this game; weather in Atlanta was fine, but the Mets’ announcers are working from Citi Field, and it was stormy there, so you could hear the thunder on TV.

Three Mets’ infielders were scratched early or left this game with injuries; Cano, McNeil and Rosario. Atlanta P Soroka suffered what looked like a serious leg injury when he was trying to cover first base on a ground ball.

7) Shohei Ohtani has a strained flexor tendon, won’t pitch for six weeks, but he can still DH. Ohtani has faced 20 batters in two starts, got only five of them out.

Phillies-Bronx game for Tuesday has already been postponed by storms; it will be made up as part of a Wednesday twinbill in Philly, with Bronx as the home team in one of the games.

6) Seattle Mariners put a cardboard cutout of Cubs’ fan Steve Bartman in their stands down the left field line, pretty much where Bartman was in that infamous playoff game at Wrigley.

5) Actor Dwayne Johnson and some partners bought the XFL Monday, for $13M; “The Rock” was a defensive lineman at Miami FL back in the day, and played briefly in the CFL. Will be curious how that group runs the league.

4) Some prominent names on the disabled list: Votto, Hosmer, Tim Anderson, Homer Bailey.

3) Best wishes to Brewers bench coach Pat Murphy, who had a heart attack during a Brewers’ workout Saturday. He is said to be resting comfortably, good news.

2) Get well soon wishes to Eagles’ coach Doug Pedersen, who tested positive for coronavirus; he is asymptomatic, but will quarantine for a couple weeks.

1) Happy birthday to Hall of Fame coach Marc Levy (95) and Hall of Fame singer Tony Bennett (94).

Found a picture on the Interweb Monday of Bennett playing pinball with Lady Gaga backstage before one of Lady Gaga’s concerts in Las Vegas. They’re dressed up, looks like they’re ready to go on stage, and he is playing pinball.

**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 09:01 AM

33FLORIDA -34 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 5-17 ATS (-13.6 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

35CALGARY -36 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more in the current season.

37COLUMBUS -38 TORONTO
COLUMBUS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

39CAROLINA -40 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

41MINNESOTA -42 VANCOUVER
MINNESOTA is 8-3 ATS (7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

45ARIZONA -46 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 14-18 ATS (-12.9 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 09:01 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 4

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FLORIDA (35-27-0-8, 78 pts.) vs. NY ISLANDERS (36-23-0-10, 82 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 122-177 ATS (+300.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 88-71 ATS (+172.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 67-64 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-4 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-4-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.2 Units)

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CALGARY (37-27-0-7, 81 pts.) vs. WINNIPEG (37-29-0-6, 80 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 6:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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COLUMBUS (34-22-0-15, 83 pts.) at TORONTO (36-26-0-9, 81 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 21-11 ATS (+9.3 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 9-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
COLUMBUS is 12-2 ATS (+9.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 36-35 ATS (+77.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 6-11 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-17 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 17-20 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (39-25-0-5, 83 pts.) vs. NY RANGERS (37-29-0-5, 79 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 10-3 (+11.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 10-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

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MINNESOTA (36-27-0-7, 79 pts.) vs. VANCOUVER (36-28-0-6, 78 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 10:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 29-44 ATS (-22.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 208-246 ATS (+525.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 19-14 ATS (+38.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-6 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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ARIZONA (34-29-0-8, 76 pts.) vs. NASHVILLE (35-27-0-8, 78 pts.) - 8/4/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 135-135 ATS (+294.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ARIZONA is 19-11 ATS (+32.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 35-35 ATS (-4.1 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 14-18 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-4 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 5-4-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 09:03 AM

NHL

Tuesday, August 4

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Trend Report
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Florida @ NY Islanders
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

Arizona @ Nashville
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nashville
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 14 games when playing Arizona

Columbus @ Toronto
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

Calgary @ Winnipeg
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Carolina @ NY Rangers
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Carolina
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina

Minnesota @ Vancouver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vancouver's last 12 games

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**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 09:42 AM

NHL line movement for August 4
Patrick Everson

Kevin Fiala and the Wild aim to take a 2-0 lead in their best-of-5 series against the Canucks. Minnesota opened a -115 Game 2 favorite at Caesars sportsbooks, with Vancouver even money.

NHL betting odds are on the board, and Tuesday’s games inside the double NHL Bubble are getting some early attention. The schedule includes several Game 2’s and a potential clinching Game 3 in the best-of-5 postseason qualifying round.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests.

NHL line movement

The Maple Leafs got shut out 2-0 as -157 favorites in Sunday’s Game 1 against the Blue Jackets, but Toronto is a similarly priced chalk for Game 2. Caesars sportsbooks listed the Leafs -150/Blue Jackets +135, and there was no movement Monday night for this 4 p.m. ET faceoff.

Minnesota looks to take a 2-0 lead on Vancouver, after a 3-0 victory in Sunday's Game 1. The Wild opened modest -115 favorites, with the Canucks at even money, and this game likewise had no line movement Monday. It’s a late-night start in the Edmonton bubble, with a 10:45 p.m. ET puck drop.

Meanwhile, the Hurricanes look to sweep the Rangers in an 8 p.m. ET Game 3 in the Toronto bubble. Caesars pegged Carolina a -135 favorite, with New York +120 in a back-to-back for these teams, following Carolina’s 4-1 win Monday.

**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 09:44 AM

NHL picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 4
Rohit Ponnaiya

The Under has been the early betting theme of the NHL restart, going 8-2 through the first 10 games, thanks to performances such as Alex Stalock's shutout against Vancouver on Sunday.

After a slew of thrilling NHL games on the weekend we now have some data we can pull for our NHL betting needs this Tuesday.

Unders went 12-0 in exhibition action last week, and continue to be a winning bet in the postseason going 12-4. Clearly teams still need to shake the rust off when it comes to offense, a factor we're keeping in mind as we break down the hockey odds and bring you our best NHL picks and predictions for August 4.

Arizona Coyotes vs Nashville Predators

One of the few games that hit the Over was somewhat surprisingly the opening game of qualifying round series between Nashville and Arizona, which the Coyotes won 4-3. A big reason for that was a whacky first period that saw a total of four goals, most of them happening off bounces and scrambles in the crease.

While the Preds fell behind 3-1 early, they outplayed Arizona during the third period and should enter Game 2 more focused on the defensive end of the ice.

Both these teams were among the stingiest teams in the NHL early in games during the regular season. Arizona allowed the third-fewest first period goals in the league with 53 and Nashville wasn't far behind them with 56. Don't expect another high-scoring start and take the U1.5 on the first period total.

PREDICTION: First Period Under 1.5 (-130)

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs couldn't get anything going against the Blue Jackets on Sunday in a 2-0 loss. Columbus played its typical brand of slow, grinding hockey and were able to force the Leafs into playing that same style. As talented as Toronto's forwards are, they can't do much if their blueliners can't move the puck past the Jackets' forecheckers.

Columbus will likely have Joonas Korpisalo back between the pipes for Game 2, after he posted a 28-save shutout in Game 1 — the first postseason shutout in the franchise's history. Even if he can't keep the Buds off the scoresheet again he should still be able to limit them, given his 2.60 GAA and .911 save percentage during the regular season. I'm backing the Under again.

PREDICTION: Under 5.5 (-110)

Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks

It's always good to learn from our mistakes and backing the Over 5.5 between Vancouver and Minnesota on Sunday was certainly that, as the Wild won 3-0 with an empty-net goal.

While the Wild had surrendered 3.14 goals per game during the regular season, much of the blame for that falls on former starter Devan Dubnyk. Alex Stalock is now the No. 1 netminder and posted a 2.67 GAA with a .910 save percentage during the regular season. Stalock played terrific in Game 1, turning away all 28 shots he faced, but his teammates also did a great job of keeping the Canucks top line in check and forcing them to settle for low-danger shots.

Vancouver goalie Jacob Markstrom was no slouch himself, making some big saves to keep the Canucks in the contest, and the only two goals he allowed came on the man advantage. Let's keep the theme going for my picks today and take another Under.

PREDICTION: Under 5.5 (-130)

Today's NHL betting card

Coyotes vs Predators - First Period Under 1.5 (-130)
Blue Jackets vs Maple Leafs - Under 5.5 (-110)
Wild vs Canucks - Under 5.5 (-130)

**Udog** · 08-04-2020, 10:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 4

Florida @ NY Islanders

Game 33-34
August 4, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.219
NY Islanders
11.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-120); Over

Arizona @ Nashville

Game 45-46
August 4, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.397
Nashville
12.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-135); Under

Columbus @ Toronto

Game 37-38
August 4, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.266
Toronto
12.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-150); Under

Calgary @ Winnipeg

Game 35-36
August 4, 2020 @ 6:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.416
Winnipeg
12.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+135); Under

Carolina @ NY Rangers

Game 39-40
August 4, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
11.768
NY Rangers
12.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+130); Over

Minnesota @ Vancouver

Game 41-42
August 4, 2020 @ 10:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.632
Vancouver
12.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-105); Over

Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/4

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/4

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