Announcement

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Odds on whether NFL teams will make the playoffs this year:
Raiders— yes +230, no -270
Chargers— yes +150, no -170
Rams— yes +160, no -180
Dolphins— yes +425, no -550
Vikings— yes, -120, no even
New England— yes, -200, no +175

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 153,989
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not) these would be the playoff teams:
AL East: Bronx, Baltimore
AL Central: Minnesota, Chicago
AL West: Houston, Oakland
AL Wild Cards: Cleveland, Detroit

NL East: Atlanta, Miami (yeah, they’re 2-1)
NL Central: Chicago, Milwaukee
NL West: Colorado, Los Angeles
NL Wild Cards: San Diego, San Francisco

Statistical leaders after 10 days:
— OPS (minimum 15 AB’s)
1.176- Teoscar Hernandez, Tor
1.119- Corey Seager, LA
.923- Leury Garcia, CWS
.922- Tim Anderson, CWS
.905- Starlin Castro, Wash

— Home runs:
6- Aaron Judge, NYY
5- Colin Moran, Pitt
4- Nicholas Castellanos, Cin
Christian Vazquez, Bos
Trevor Story, Colo
Teoscar Hernandez, Tor

— RBI’s:
14- Aaron Judge, NYY
13- Donovan Solano, SF
12- Nelson Cruz, Minn
11- Dansby Swanson, Atl
Nicholas Castellanos, Cin
10- Kyle Seager, Sea

— Runs scored:
10- JP Crawford, Sea
Mike Yastrzemski, SF
Trent Grisham, SD
9- Freddie Freeman, Atl
Trevor Story, Colo
Renato Nunez, Balt
Dansby Swanson, Atl

— Pitching strikeouts:
27- Shane Bieber, Clev
21- Max Scherzer, Wash
20- Trevor Bauer, Cin
Sonny Gray, Cin
19- Tyler Chatwood, Cubs
18- Aaron Civale, Clev

Elsewhere in the world……..
7) Sunday’s Dodger-Arizona game was the first game this season with no walks; there were only five of those games all of last season.

6) Jacksonville put QB Gardner Minshew on the COVID list, the 2nd starting QB (Matthew Stafford) to go on that list.

5) Yoenis Cespedes opted out of the Mets’ season Sunday, but didn’t bother to tell anyone until midway thru the Mets’ game in Atlanta Sunday. What he does is his business, but how he did it leaves a little to be desired. He is a free agent this winter; this ain’t going to help him any.

4) Let the record show that the Cincinnati Reds swept Detroit in the first regularly scheduled 7-inning doubleheader of this century.

Detroit reliever Tyler Alexander struck out nine batters in a row in the opener, tying an AL record.

3) Saturday night, Mets’ TV analyst Keith Hernandez said he didn’t know what a “PB&J” is, which raised a lot of eyebrows on Twitter. How do you not know what a peanut butter and jelly sandwich is? Hernandez is a good analyst when he pays attention, but he often gets bored during games. He is way better in a 3-man booth, with Ron Darling as the other analyst.

2) Going forward, how will teams in any sport judge this season? Will teams give a guy who has a bad year a mulligan, or if a guy comes out of nowhere and is excellent, are teams a little more skeptical than usual? Teams are going to take different approaches, for sure.

1) A big question for the rest of baseball season; as teams fall out of contention, will the good players on bad teams finish their season?

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:33 AM

NHL public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 3
Patrick Everson

Marc-Andre Fleury and the Golden Knights play their first game in the Western Conference bubble Monday, against Dallas in a round-robin contest. CG books have Vegas a -130 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board, and Monday’s games inside the double NHL Bubble are getting some early attention. Among the notable contests is a Stars-Golden Knights round-robin seeding game that will surely command the attention of Las Vegas oddsmakers.

CG Technology risk analyst Dave Sharapan provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with NHL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NHL line movement

The Golden Knights opened -125 two weeks ago at CG Technology’s Las Vegas books, with the Sharks +105. The line moved to Vegas -130/Dallas +110 a week ago, which is where it sat Sunday night, though Monday will surely bring changes ahead of the 6:30 p.m. ET puck drop.

Likewise, the Lightning-Capitals round-robin contest opened Tampa Bay -125/Washington +105 and moved to -130/+110 at CG books, though that adjustment was fresher, happening late Saturday night. Faceoff is at 4 p.m. ET.

CG Tech had yet to post Game 2 of the Canadiens-Penguins qualifying series, which became much more pivotal for No. 5 seed Pittsburgh when No. 12 Montreal won Saturday’s opener 3-2 in overtime. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Penguins -165/Canadiens +150 and moved to -174/+157 for an 8 p.m. ET start.

NHL sharp money

Check back for updates throughout the day on sharp bets coming in for Monday’s NHL games.

NHL public betting

Stars-Knights is all public and all Vegas at this point, which is no surprise at the handful of CG books on and near the Strip.

“It’s been months since we’ve had hockey, period, but the hometown Knights fans are excited,” Sharapan said Sunday night. “All local play, or public play, or Knights fans play. We have not written a single ticket on the Stars. Not one. It looks like the book will be rooting against the home team, although the decision isn’t big yet.”

The Lightning are also a public play, though not nearly to the extent of Vegas.

“All smaller action here. Money is more on Tampa, but not by much,” Sharapan said. “Not even half as much action on this game as the Stars-Knights game.”

CG is also seeing money on the Caps-Lightning total of 6, with bettors playing Over.

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:34 AM

21CHICAGO -22 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 24-32 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

23NY RANGERS -24 CAROLINA
NY RANGERS are 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

25WINNIPEG -26 CALGARY
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more in the current season.

27MONTREAL -28 PITTSBURGH
MONTREAL is 23-30 ATS (-15.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

29DALLAS -30 VEGAS
DALLAS are 8-1 ATS (7.7 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the current season.

31WASHINGTON -32 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 16-1 ATS (14.9 Units) after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, August 3

NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 23-24
August 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
12.553
Carolina
11.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+130); Over

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 25-26
August 3, 2020 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.788
Calgary
11.684
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+130); Under

Washington @ Tampa Bay

Game 31-32
August 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.785
Tampa Bay
11.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-130
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-130); Under

Dallas @ Vegas

Game 29-30
August 3, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.974
Vegas
11.801
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+110); Over

Montreal @ Pittsburgh

Game 27-28
August 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.859
Pittsburgh
11.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-165); Over

Chicago @ Edmonton

Game 21-22
August 3, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.737
Edmonton
12.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-135); Under

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:38 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, August 3

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CHICAGO (33-30-0-8, 74 pts.) at EDMONTON (37-26-0-9, 83 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 22-17 ATS (+41.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 16-8 ATS (+24.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 32-36 ATS (+84.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-8 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-5 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
CHICAGO is 10-7 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 13-22 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 32-41 ATS (+75.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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NY RANGERS (37-29-0-5, 79 pts.) vs. CAROLINA (39-25-0-5, 83 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 37-34 ATS (+76.0 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 14-9 ATS (+24.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 9-13 ATS (-12.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 30-58 ATS (+117.5 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 10-3 (+11.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 10-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (37-29-0-6, 80 pts.) vs. CALGARY (37-27-0-7, 81 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 11-6 ATS (+4.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 6-1 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 21-14 ATS (+36.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-5 ATS (+15.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
CALGARY is 6-11 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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MONTREAL (32-31-0-9, 73 pts.) vs. PITTSBURGH (40-23-0-7, 87 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 32-40 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 11-8 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 26-31 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-6 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (37-24-0-8, 82 pts.) vs. VEGAS (39-24-0-8, 86 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 39-53 ATS (-24.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 268-177 ATS (+56.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 232-251 ATS (+535.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
VEGAS is 85-75 ATS (+162.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 6-2 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 6-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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WASHINGTON (41-20-0-8, 90 pts.) vs. TAMPA BAY (43-21-0-6, 92 pts.) - 8/3/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 105-51 ATS (+51.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-3 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 263-255 ATS (+577.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 158-107 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 135-87 ATS (+27.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 81-61 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-17 ATS (+47.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-7 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-7-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 08:40 AM

NHL

Monday, August 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Rangers @ Carolina
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
NY Rangers is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Calgary
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Washington @ Tampa Bay
Washington
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Washington
Tampa Bay is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Dallas @ Vegas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Montreal @ Pittsburgh
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Edmonton
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Chicago

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**Udog** · 08-03-2020, 10:09 AM

NHL picks and predictions for Monday, August 3
Rohit Ponnaiya

Both the Blackhawks and Oilers looked weak in nets Saturday, with Corey Crawford allowing four goals on 29 shots and Mike Smith surrendering 5 goals on 23 shots.

A round-robin matchup between the Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning highlights the NHL betting board on Monday, while in the late game, the Edmonton Oilers try to bounce back from an upset loss to the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 1 of their play-in series.

We break down the hockey odds for those games, as we bring you our best NHL picks and predictions for Monday, August 3.

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Two of the top teams in the league square off on Monday in the first game each team is playing following the shutdown. It will be interesting to see whether these squads will actually be trying to win round-robin games, or simply using them as a tune-up and means of trying different line combos leading up to the playoffs.

That leaves plenty of value with the underdogs, especially a team like Washington which is loaded with experience and has just as much offensive firepower as the Lightning. When you consider that the Caps have won the last four games in the head-to-head against Tampa Bay and that the Bolts will likely be missing Steven Stamkos, Washington looks like a solid play.

PREDICTION: Capitals ML (+115)

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights

The third-place Knights take on the Stars, who are looking to shake off a six-game losing streak they were on prior to the break. Dallas has the Western Conference's best goaltending duo in Ben Bishop and Anton Khudobin. However, while Dallas has allowed just 2.52 goals per game (second-best in the league), they've scored only 2.58 (26th).

Having a stout defense and a sluggish offense has a predictable result: Unders, and Dallas has gone Under the total in a league-best 61.5 percent of their games this season.

Vegas will start Robin Lehner who played very well since being aquired by the Knights going 3-0 with 1.67 GAA and a .940 save percentage. Having a defense that allowed the third-fewest shots in the league in front of him certainly doesn't hurt either. With the Under cashing in three of the last four games head-to-head, we like it again.

PREDICTION: Under 5.5 (-130)

Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers

Chicago is coming off a 6-4 upset win over Edmonton and we backed the Over 5.5 so we're happy with that. Edmonton's duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl played very well, and their league-best powerplay scored three goals, but it didn't matter because Chicago's line of Dominik Kubalik-Jonathan Toews-Brandon Saad was dominant.

The Blackhawks outshot the Oilers 42-29 and torched Edmonton's usually-strong penalty-kill unit, scoring three goals of their own with the man advantage. The Oilers had no answer for Chicago's ferocious forecheck and both sides looked weak in nets, with Corey Crawford allowing four goals on 29 shots and Mike Smith surrendering 5 goals on 23 shots.

Expect Mikko Koskinen to get the start between the pipes for Edmonton in Game 2, and oddsmakers have raised the O/U to 6.5, but until I see better defense out of either team, I'm sticking with the Over.

PREDICTION: Over 6.5 (+100)

Today's NHL betting card

Capitals ML (+115)
Stars vs Golden Knights Under 5.5 (-130)
Blackhawks vs Oilers Over 6.5 (+100)

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/3

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 8/3

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