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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 9

    Good Luck on day # 69 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win The Masters next month:

    8-1— Rory McIlroy

    12-1— Jon Rahm

    14-1— Justin Thomas

    16-1— Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson

    20-1— Eldrick Woods, Xander Schauffele

    25-1— Cantlay, Fowler, Reed, Scott, Finau


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

    13) Brooklyn Nets fired coach Kenny Atkinson this week: why? They were 42-40 LY, are 28-34 this year, despite a ton of injuries. Everyone thinks Atkinson is a good coach, so why did he get fired? I’ve read more than once that he won’t be out of work for very long.

    Nets’ two best players are Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving; they’re both hurt. Durant hasn’t played since hurting his achilles in the Finals last spring.

    Have to think the players had input in this; the GM went out of his way to praise Atkinson, so it definitely wasn’t him. The GM was vague when asked if the players had input in the decision.

    Maybe the highest-paid player should coach the team, instead of having an actual coach. You would hear guys clamoring for a real coach very quickly, if that ever happened.

    12) Elon 68, Wm & Mary 63— Wm & Mary has never played in the NCAA Tournament, which means they’ve never won the CAA tournament; this was the 7th year in a row they were a top-4 seed in the CAA tourney, during which time they went 77-47 in regular season CAA games.

    Tribe was the #2-seed this year, but they get upset in their first tournament game, despite being the #49 experience team in the country.

    11) Bradley 80, Valparaiso 66— Braves win Arch Madness as the #4-seed; they won it LY as the #5-seed, first time a team won consecutive conference tournaments, being the #4 or lower seed in both events anywhere in country since Michigan in 2017, ’18.

    10) Illinois 78, Iowa 76— Illini were down 10 early, but shot 62% inside arc, turned ball over only five times, and won for fifth time in their last six games. Iowa lost eight of ten conference road games this season.

    9) Saint Mary’s 89, Pepperdine 82, 2OT— This game was very late Saturday night; it ended around 2:50am here in the east, so with the clocks moving forward, it came pretty close to ending after 4am. Gaels led by 13 in the second half, but blew the lead.

    A player on both teams played all 50:00; six guys played 44:00+; this was a great game to watch, very fun, the players leaving it all on the floor.

    Colbey Ross scored 43 for the Waves; Jordan Ford scored 43 for Saint Mary’s; both are 6-1 guards. College basketball is a guards’ game, my friends.

    8) The young lady who is the dugout reporter for the Milwaukee Brewers in spring training TV games acts as her own interpreter during the game, which is pretty cool. She asks the player a question in Spanish, listens to the answer, then tells us what was said. Never saw that before.

    7) Upsets:
    — Elon (+7) 68, Wm & Mary 63
    — North Dakota (+5.5) 74, South Dakota 71

    6) I’d be OK with offensive goaltending being eliminated in basketball; saves the officials some controversial decisions, makes for some more exciting plays.

    5) Los Angeles 41, Tampa Bay 34— Strange moment in the XFL: LA Wildcats’ QB Josh Johnson can apparently hear everything that the coaches are saying on their headsets. At one point, the coaches were bickering while he was in the huddle, which upset Johnson.

    When Johnson comes off the field, he calls the press box and yells at OC Norm Chow, telling him the arguing has to stop, it is too distracting. He hangs up before Chow can answer him. Interesting moment. Wonder if that ever happens in the NFL.

    Tampa Bay has outgained four of its five opponents, but they’re 1-4; they’re TERRIBLE in the red zone, very, very bad- they blew an 18-point lead in this game.

    4) In spring training games, the base umpires don’t umpire the same base the whole day, they switch around a couple of times during the game.

    3) Don Orsillo is the TV voice of the San Diego Padres; from 2001-15, he was the TV voice of the Red Sox. First game he ever did for NESN in 2001, was Hideo Nomo’s no-hitter, which is a very cool way of breaking into the major leagues.

    2) Struck me the other day how much the job of manager has changed in baseball since I was a kid; back then, guys like Earl Weaver, Dick Williams, Sparky Anderson, Tommy Lasorda, they ran their franchises, what they said was gospel. Today? Not so much.

    Managers have to be kinder/gentler these days; God forbid anyone gets their feelings hurt. The analytics nerds (I say that with love, I’m a nerd, too) tell them what lineups to play. Can you imagine an Ivy League nerd telling Earl Weaver what lineup to use? Ha!!!!

    1) So you’re Virginia Tech’s basketball team, and you had a tough year, going 7-13 in ACC; you’re the #11-seed in ACC tournament, but the good news is you play the last place team in the first round of the ACC tournament, so at least you’ll win a game, right?

    Except that this year, the #14-seed is North Carolina, a way better-than-normal last place team that just went toe-to-toe twice with Duke. Not good for the Hokies.

    Comment


    • #3
      35WASHINGTON -36 BUFFALO
      BUFFALO is 2-17 ATS (-13.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

      37ARIZONA -38 WINNIPEG
      ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest in the current season.

      39VEGAS -40 EDMONTON
      EDMONTON is 12-5 ATS (10 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

      41COLORADO -42 LOS ANGELES
      COLORADO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.




      NHL

      Monday, March 9


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Buffalo Sabres
      Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Buffalo is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home
      Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
      Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Washington
      Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
      Washington Capitals
      Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
      Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
      Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

      Winnipeg Jets
      Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
      Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games at home
      Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
      Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
      Winnipeg is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
      Arizona Coyotes
      Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      Arizona is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games
      Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Arizona is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
      Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
      Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      Arizona is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

      St. Louis Blues
      St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
      St. Louis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
      St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Florida
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Florida
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
      Florida Panthers
      Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
      Florida is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
      Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
      Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
      Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing St. Louis
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
      Florida is 5-10-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

      Edmonton Oilers
      Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
      Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
      Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
      Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Vegas
      Vegas Golden Knights
      Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
      Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Edmonton

      Los Angeles Kings
      Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
      Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
      Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
      Los Angeles is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Colorado
      Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
      Colorado Avalanche
      Colorado is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
      Colorado is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 17 games
      Colorado is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Colorado is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games on the road
      Colorado is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
      Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
      Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      35 WASHINGTON @ 36 BUFFALO
      Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game
      The record is 24 Wins and 8 Losses This Season(15.25 units)
      3.4 out of 5

      37 ARIZONA @ 38 WINNIPEG
      Play Against ARIZONA using the Money Line in All games after a division game
      The record is 5 Wins and 17 Losses This Season(-15.55 units)
      3.3 out of 5

      37 ARIZONA @ 38 WINNIPEG
      Play Against ARIZONA using the Money Line in All games after a division game
      The record is 5 Wins and 17 Losses This Season(-15.55 units)
      3.3 out of 5

      35 WASHINGTON @ 36 BUFFALO
      Play Against BUFFALO using the Money Line in All games in March games
      The record is 2 Wins and 17 Losses Last 2 Years(-15.85 units)
      3.1 out of 5

      35 WASHINGTON @ 36 BUFFALO
      Play Against BUFFALO using the Money Line in All games in March games
      The record is 2 Wins and 17 Losses Last 2 Years(-15.85 units)
      3.1 out of 5

      37 ARIZONA @ 38 WINNIPEG
      Play Against WINNIPEG using the Money Line in All games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game
      The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses Last 2 Years(-9.4 units)
      2.8 out of 5

      37 ARIZONA @ 38 WINNIPEG
      Play Against WINNIPEG using the Money Line in All games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game
      The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses Last 2 Years(-9.4 units)
      2.8 out of 5

      35 WASHINGTON @ 36 BUFFALO
      Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games in all games
      The record is 43 Wins and 23 Losses This Season(17.45 units)
      2.4 out of 5

      37 ARIZONA @ 38 WINNIPEG
      Play On WINNIPEG using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
      The record is 9 Wins and 21 Losses This Season(11.4 units)
      2.1 out of 5

      35 WASHINGTON @ 36 BUFFALO
      Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Road games after a division game
      The record is 29 Wins and 13 Losses Last 3 Years(19.7 units)
      2.1 out of 5

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Monday, March 9


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA (34-26-0-8, 76 pts.) at ST LOUIS (41-18-0-10, 92 pts.) - 3/9/2020, 8:08 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLORIDA is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 2-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (41-20-0-7, 89 pts.) at BUFFALO (29-31-0-8, 66 pts.) - 3/9/2020, 7:08 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BUFFALO is 232-254 ATS (+553.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
        WASHINGTON is 158-106 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 44-32 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
        BUFFALO is 2-17 ATS (+25.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        BUFFALO is 3-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
        BUFFALO is 13-28 ATS (+42.3 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (33-28-0-8, 74 pts.) at WINNIPEG (35-28-0-6, 76 pts.) - 3/9/2020, 8:08 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA is 5-17 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a division game this season.
        WINNIPEG is 34-12 ATS (+18.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 19-14 ATS (+36.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
        ARIZONA is 26-24 ATS (+60.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
        WINNIPEG is 0-8 ATS (-9.5 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 5-2 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 5-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VEGAS (38-24-0-8, 84 pts.) at EDMONTON (37-24-0-8, 82 pts.) - 3/9/2020, 9:08 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VEGAS is 84-75 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        VEGAS is 29-30 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 37-32 ATS (-5.4 Units) in all games this season.
        EDMONTON is 16-11 ATS (+1.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
        EDMONTON is 22-15 ATS (+39.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
        EDMONTON is 15-11 ATS (+27.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        EDMONTON is 8-14 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 13-21 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        EDMONTON is 5-5 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
        EDMONTON is 5-5-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO (41-19-0-8, 90 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (27-35-0-6, 60 pts.) - 3/9/2020, 10:38 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 4-10 ATS (+14.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 14-4 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        LOS ANGELES is 175-182 ATS (-18.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
        LOS ANGELES is 115-121 ATS (-50.7 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
        LOS ANGELES is 133-143 ATS (-75.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOS ANGELES is 5-3 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        LOS ANGELES is 5-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Monday, March 9



          Washington @ Buffalo

          Game 35-36
          March 9, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington
          10.251
          Buffalo
          11.187
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Buffalo
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          -165
          6 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Buffalo
          (+145); Under

          Arizona @ Winnipeg


          Game 37-38
          March 9, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arizona
          11.418
          Winnipeg
          13.053
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Winnipeg
          by 1 1/2
          4
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Winnipeg
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Winnipeg
          (-125); Under

          Florida @ St. Louis


          Game 19-20
          March 9, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida
          10.496
          St. Louis
          12.693
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St. Louis
          by 2
          4
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          St. Louis
          -165
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          St. Louis
          (-165); Under

          Vegas @ Edmonton


          Game 39-40
          March 9, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vegas
          12.203
          Edmonton
          11.310
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Vegas
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Edmonton
          -120
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vegas
          (+100); Under

          Colorado @ Los Angeles


          Game 41-42
          March 9, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado
          11.927
          Los Angeles
          10.595
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Colorado
          by 1 1/2
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado
          -140
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado
          (-140); Over

          Comment


          • #6
            by: Josh Inglis


            COLORADO AVALANCHE AT LOS ANGELES KINGS
            NOT TOO LATE TO CROWN THEM


            The Los Angeles Kings have ripped off five straight wins against some of the league’s best teams and host the Avalanche on Monday. Over the winning streak, the Kings have outscored their opponents 16-6 and face a Colorado team that has conceded 10 goals in its last two games.

            The Kings have taken three of four points in the previous two matchups this year with the Under hitting comfortably in both those contests. We may be getting on the Kings’ train a little late, but with wins of +260, +155 and +125 in their last three it might be worth a half-unit or more to take L.A. on the moneyline as home underdogs on Monday, especially with the Avs on the backend of a back-to-back.


            TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
            LIGHTNING TO ZAP LEAFS’ OFFENSE


            The Toronto Maple Leafs return home on Tuesday after a three-game California trip that saw them gain just one of six points. The Buds’ offense has turned stagnant as the usually high-scoring club has potted just three goals in its last three games. The offense will have to find a solution as Tuesday’s opponents, the Tampa Bay Lightning, have scored 10 goals in the two meetings with the Leafs this year.

            The Lightning are coming off a huge win on Saturday versus the Bruins and have an 18-4 SU record versus the Atlantic division this year. Toronto, on the other hand, has played to an 11-10 SU record against the Atlantic this year. We are taking the Lightning on the moneyline in what should be decent odds for the away team.


            PITTSBURGH PENGUINS AT NEW JERSEY DEVILS
            RUNNING WITH THE DEVILS


            If you are looking for an underdog on Tuesday’s eight-game slate, maybe New Jersey is your team. The Devils host a struggling Pittsburgh Penguins team that has lost its two most recent games by a combined score of 11-4. New Jersey has ripped off five straight wins on home ice which includes wins against the Capitals and Blues.

            The surprisingly competitive play from the Devils has a lot to do with its goaltending. Teams have only been scoring 2.44 goals per game in New Jersey since the beginning of February and the team sits second in scoring chance save percentage, fourth in high-danger save percentage and fourth in overall save percentage over that time. We are running with Devils on the moneyline Tuesday night.


            NEW YORK RANGERS AT COLORADO AVALANCHE
            INTERCONFERENCE SCORING


            Sometimes when we are looking for Overs late in the season, digging into interconference games is the best bet. Wednesday brings us an East versus West matchup in the New York Rangers and the Colorado Avalanche. Both teams are scoring and giving up nearly three goals per game over their last five with the Rangers having conceded a league-high 24 goals in their last five. New York has also hit the Over in five straight away games and is 7-2 O/U in its last nine away games versus the West.

            Colorado was riding some of the league’s best goaltending but the Avs have looked sloppy defensively of late giving up 13 goals in its last three. Their offense has also turned a bit of a corner having netted three goals or more in five of its last six. We think this game can easily get to 3-3 so we are riding the Over 6 with confidence on Wednesday.


            GOALIE PROFILE: JUUSE SAROS, NASHVILLE PREDATORS

            Juuse Saros has taken over the No. 1 spot in Nashville as he has started 14 of the Predators’ last 20 games. Over those 14 games, the young goaltender has a 10-4 record with three shutouts including back-to-back blankings of the Stars last Thursday and Saturday.

            The Under has hit in Saros’ last three games and Nashville is 0-3 O/U in its last three away games ahead of its road trip that will see stops in Montreal on Tuesday, Toronto on Thursday and Columbus on Saturday. We are riding the Preds’ new recipe for victory which is to keep the scoring to a minimum. Nashville is on strict Under protocol going forward.


            INJURY UPDATE: VICTOR HEDMAN D, TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

            The Lightning may be without stud defenseman Victor Hedman for Tuesday’s match with the Toronto Maple Leafs. Hedman is nearly a point-per-game d-man and captain of the powerplay. The veteran is dealing with a lower-body injury and already missed Sunday’s game against the Red Wings.

            Tampa Bay has scored 47 powerplay goals on the year with Hedman getting a point on 22 them. With the team scoring on the PP at 26 percent over the last three weeks, we are expecting a regression with the man advantage. The Lighting may be a good team to back the Under with Hedman on the shelf, especially while on the road as they are 15-18-1 O/U away from Tampa on the season.


            HAT TRICK TRENDS

            • The underdogs crushed it over the last seven days going 27-20 SU for 57.2 percent. Home dogs led the charge with an 11-6 record for an impressive 64 percent. Over the last month, dogs have been hitting at 45 percent and 44 percent across the season.
            • The Dallas Stars have the best Under record on home ice in the league. On the year, the Stars are 8-24-1 O/U at home and host the New York Rangers on Tuesday. The New York Islanders have one of the best away Under records as they sit 9-19-4 O/U on the road this year. They travel to Vancouver on Tuesday.
            • Looking at teams’ goals for and against over the last two weeks, the Washington Capitals, Vancouver Canucks and Ottawa Senators are the only teams that averaging at least three goals a game and allowing at least three goals a game.

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            • #7
              NHL's Top Money Teams (based on $100 unit per game):

              1. Rangers (36-32) $1221
              2. Flyers (41-27) $1079
              3. Oilers (37-32) $934
              4. Avalanche (41-27) $745
              5. Capitals (41-27) $503
              6. Jets (35-34) $484


              NHL's Worst Money Teams (based on $100 unit per game):

              31. Red Wings (17-53) $-2313
              30. Senators (25-44) $-1043
              29. Maple Leafs (32-31) $-1022
              28. Sharks (29-40) $-891
              27. Habs (31-39) $-802
              26. Sabres (29-39) $-618

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