Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/5

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, March 5

Good Luck on day # 65 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the XFL championship:

+$160— Houston Roughnecks

+$225— St Louis BattleHawks

+$500— Dallas Renegades

+$800— DC Defenders, New York Guardians

+$1200— Los Angeles Wildcats

+$2200— Tampa Bay Vipers

+$4000— Seattle Vipers


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….


13) Doug Shows is a college basketball referee; he worked the Arkansas-LSU game last nite, the 74th game he’s worked this season. Thats 74 games, in 121 days.

Here is Mr Shows’ last few days:
— Saturday: North Carolina @ Syracuse
— Sunday: Xavier @ Georgetown
— Monday: NC State @ Duke
— Tuesday: Mississippi State @ South Carolina
— Wednesday: LSU @ Arkansas

Lot of travel. Lot of money he’s making, too.

12) Observation; No load management for college hoop refs; they run the whole game, and guys in their 40’s/50’s go five nights in a row. No private jets, am assuming they handle their own luggage. They don’t work, they don’t get paid.

11) Armadillo World HQ got a new furnace installed Wednesday; three guys worked for 4.5 hours, replacing my 22-year old furnace with a new one. Guys worked their butts off, while I sat on the couch and did basketball research while watching the Brewers-Padres game.

You live in upstate New York, furnaces are important. Pretty expensive, too ��

10) Mountain West tournament kicked off in Las Vegas, with two upsets in three games; Air Force (+5.5) ended Fresno State’s season 77-70, then Wyoming (+10.5) upset Colorado State 80-74, sending the Rams to the NIT, CBI or CIT.

9) Villanova 79, Seton Hall 77— High-level game, with Villanova surviving 9-16 shooting on foul line to ruin Senior Night for the Pirates, who still lead the Big East by a game.

8) Texas A&M 78, Auburn 75— Tigers lost four of last six games, after starting season 22-2; they’re in a 3-way tie for 2nd in SEC, with Florida and slumping LSU, which lost six of its last nine games, after a 17-4 start.

7) Upsets:
— Texas A&M (+12.5) 78, Auburn 75
— Wyoming (+10.5) 80, Colorado State 74
— Fordham (+6.5) 63, George Washington 52
— Quinnipiac (+5.5) 69, Iona 68
— Charlotte (+4) 56, North Texas 43

6) Virginia 46, Miami 44— Hurricanes won their 7th game in row, with six of those wins by 3 or fewer points. Tony Bennett is a great freakin’ coach; Cavaliers are tied for 3rd with Duke in the ACC. On January 20, they were 4-4 in ACC play; they’re 10-1 since then.

5) Steph Curry is going to play tonight for first time since he broke his left hand October 30, so thats good news for the Warriors, or at least for the fans who play lot of $$$ to watch games.

4) Keith Dambrot is 56-37 in three years coaching Duquesne, which was 60-97 the five years before he got there; Dambrot made the NCAA’s three times in 13 years coaching Akron, so he is well established as a good mid-major college coach.

Here’s the thing: Dambrot is way more famous for the job he had before he became a college coach; he was Lebron James’ high school coach, at St. Vincent-St. Mary HS in Akron.

3) Siena 77, Niagara 55— Saints finish 14-0 at home, but the MAAC tournament is in Atlantic City this year, just 11th time since 1990 the MAAC tourney isn’t in Albany.

Siena last won the MAAC tournament ten years ago.

2) NEC tournament started Wednesday, with home team winning all four games, which were played on campus sites. Three of the four games were decided by 1 or 2 points; only favorite to cover was St Francis PA, which whacked Bryant 87-61.

1) You would think that owning the New York Knicks would be a pretty good gig; you sit back, watch a lot of basketball, host a lot of celebrities, and count all your money. A smart person would hire the best basketball minds they could find, and root like hell for them to win.

But the Knicks are owned by James Dolan, a 64-year old guy whose father got really rich when he founded Cablevision. Dolan is a terrible owner; the Knicks haven’t made the playoffs since 2013, haven’t made the finals since 1999, last won a title since ‘73.

Now Dolan has sparked a feud with movie mogul Spike Lee, who has had Knicks season tickets for 30 years; couple years ago it was ex-Knick Charles Oakley, who might be the last person on this planet I would want to be mad at me (he is very, very large).

Frustrating for fans when your team has a terrible owner; I know, I root for the Rams, who once had Georgia Frontiere as their owner. Just because you’re rich doesn’t mean you’re smart.

[Udog]

45WASHINGTON -46 NY RANGERS
WASHINGTON is 36-19 ATS (14.3 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

47BOSTON -48 FLORIDA
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the current season.

49PITTSBURGH -50 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 2-15 ATS (-11.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

51CAROLINA -52 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

53MONTREAL -54 TAMPA BAY
MONTREAL is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

55NY ISLANDERS -56 OTTAWA
NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

57DALLAS -58 NASHVILLE
DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

59EDMONTON -60 CHICAGO
EDMONTON is 12-4 ATS (11.1 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

61TORONTO -62 LOS ANGELES
TORONTO is 21-25 ATS (-12.7 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

63MINNESOTA -64 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 51-71 ATS (-30.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 5


Pittsburgh @ Buffalo

Game 49-50
March 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.208
Buffalo
11.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+150); Under

Montreal @ Tampa Bay

Game 53-54
March 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
10.390
Tampa Bay
12.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-185); Under

Boston @ Florida

Game 47-48
March 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
9.877
Florida
11.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+125); Under

Washington @ NY Rangers

Game 45-46
March 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.867
NY Rangers
12.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+120); Under

Carolina @ Philadelphia

Game 51-52
March 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.434
Philadelphia
13.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Over

NY Islanders @ Ottawa

Game 55-56
March 5, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
9.894
Ottawa
8.957
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-150); Over

Dallas @ Nashville

Game 57-58
March 5, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.182
Nashville
11.541
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-115); Over

Edmonton @ Chicago

Game 59-60
March 5, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
13.368
Chicago
11.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-115
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-105); Under

Toronto @ Los Angeles

Game 61-62
March 5, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.768
Los Angeles
11.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-175
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-175); Over

Minnesota @ San Jose

Game 63-64
March 5, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
12.214
San Jose
10.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Under

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, March 5

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Trend Report
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57 DALLAS @ 58 NASHVILLE
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games in a road game where where the total is 5.5
The record is 13 Wins and 36 Losses Last 2 Years(20.3 units)
2.9 out of 5

63 MINNESOTA @ 64 SAN JOSE
Play On SAN JOSE using the Money Line in Home games after a win by 2 goals or more
The record is 21 Wins and 7 Losses Last 2 Years(13.1 units)
2.5 out of 5

45 WASHINGTON @ 46 NY RANGERS
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 21 Wins and 8 Losses This Season(12.2 units)
2.4 out of 5

47 BOSTON @ 48 FLORIDA
Play On BOSTON using the Money Line in All games after a division game
The record is 4 Wins and 14 Losses This Season(9.55 units)
2.3 out of 5

49 PITTSBURGH @ 50 BUFFALO
Play Against BUFFALO using the Money Line in All games in March games
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses Last 2 Years(-13.85 units)
2.2 out of 5

49 PITTSBURGH @ 50 BUFFALO
Play Against BUFFALO using the Money Line in All games in March games
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses Last 2 Years(-13.85 units)
2.2 out of 5

59 EDMONTON @ 60 CHICAGO
Play On CHICAGO using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 21 Wins and 7 Losses Last 2 Years(13.6 units)
2.2 out of 5

45 WASHINGTON @ 46 NY RANGERS
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Road games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 35 Wins and 16 Losses Last 3 Years(20.6 units)
2.1 out of 5

45 WASHINGTON @ 46 NY RANGERS
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Road games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 35 Wins and 16 Losses Last 3 Years(20.6 units)
2.1 out of 5

47 BOSTON @ 48 FLORIDA
Play On FLORIDA using the Money Line in Home games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 27 Wins and 11 Losses Last 2 Years(14.4 units)
2.1 out of 5


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 5

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WASHINGTON (40-20-0-6, 86 pts.) at NY RANGERS (35-27-0-4, 74 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-2 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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BOSTON (42-13-0-12, 96 pts.) at FLORIDA (33-26-0-7, 73 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 128-138 ATS (+283.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
FLORIDA is 3-8 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 5-11 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-4 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (38-21-0-6, 82 pts.) at BUFFALO (29-29-0-8, 66 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 9-16 ATS (-9.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
PITTSBURGH is 42-43 ATS (-26.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-30 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 12-6 ATS (+19.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
BUFFALO is 232-252 ATS (+550.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 2-15 ATS (+22.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-4 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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CAROLINA (35-24-0-5, 75 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (39-20-0-7, 85 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 6-12 ATS (-13.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-27 ATS (+3.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 ATS (+4.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-11 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-5 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 274-289 ATS (-26.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-5 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (31-28-0-9, 71 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (41-20-0-5, 87 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 31-37 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 50-79 ATS (+134.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-16 ATS (-8.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 103-49 ATS (+167.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-9 ATS (+19.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 29-23 ATS (+59.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 429-437 ATS (-33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 9-2 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 9-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.6 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (35-22-0-8, 78 pts.) at OTTAWA (23-32-0-12, 58 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-17 ATS (-11.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 87-68 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 129-120 ATS (-18.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

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DALLAS (37-21-0-8, 82 pts.) at NASHVILLE (32-26-0-8, 72 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 221-188 ATS (+31.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 239-163 ATS (+39.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 32-34 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 3-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
NASHVILLE is 6-10 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-8 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-8-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (36-23-0-8, 80 pts.) at CHICAGO (30-28-0-8, 68 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 8:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 31-39 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 36-31 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 15-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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TORONTO (35-24-0-8, 78 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (25-35-0-6, 56 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 36-40 ATS (-25.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 41-34 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-17 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-8 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-42 ATS (+62.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 114-121 ATS (-52.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 132-143 ATS (-76.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 22-38 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (33-26-0-7, 73 pts.) at SAN JOSE (29-33-0-4, 62 pts.) - 3/5/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-36 ATS (+55.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-46 ATS (-23.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-44 ATS (-22.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-12 ATS (+31.6 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 5-3 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 5-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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