Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/4

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, March 4

Good Luck on day # 64 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NBA knowledge for a Wednesday night in March:

— Celtics are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.

— Oklahoma City is 14-4 ATS in last 18 road games.

— Six of last seven Miami games went over the total.

— Utah is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games.

— Under is 5-1 in last six Memphis road games.

— Minnesota is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games.


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Armadillo:Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Michigan State 79, Penn State 71— Spartans were down 19 with 3:44 left in first half, but this game is an example of why college basketball has become so difficult to handicap:

— 1st half: Penn State was 10-17 on the arc
— 2nd half: Penn State was 0-13 on the arc

People who run college basketball want more scoring, but they moved the 3-point arc back, making teams more erratic and swings in games more extreme. Go figure.

12) Rutgers 78, Maryland 67— Scarlet Knights will be in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1991; good for them. Strong defensive team, not so much on offense.

11) Texas 52, Oklahoma 51— Lefty on Texas banked in a running 3-pointer with 0:00.4 left, giving the Longhorns their fifth win in a row.

10) Nets 129, Celtics 120 OT— Brooklyn was down 17 after third quarter, then they scored 51 points in the 4th quarter. Caris LeVert scored 51 points for the Nets.

9) If you owned the Brooklyn Nets, how would you feel about Kevin Durant playing in the Olympics this summer, assuming the Olympics take place?

Durant hurt his achilles tendon last spring; he missed all of this season, but is still getting paid $37,199,000 by the Nets, his new team. The 4-year contract will wind up paying him $164.25M for four years; should he risk another injury by playing in the Olympics?

It is his right to play in the Olympics, if he wants to; Lord knows the NBA has been pushing international competition, but doesn’t he owe it to his employers to be as healthy as possible when next season starts?

8) DePaul 69, Marquette 68— Bad loss for Golden Eagles, who lost for fifth time in six games.

Under Steve Wojciechowski, Marquette at end of the season:
2015: 3-13 in their last 16 games
2016: 4-6 in their last ten games
2017: 5-7 in their last 12 games
2018: 7-3 in their last 10 games
2019: 1-6 in their last seven games
2020: 1-5 in their last six games

7) Upsets:
— Vanderbilt (+13.5) 87, Alabama 79
— Tennessee (+9) 81, Kentucky 73
— Arkansas State (+8) 76, Georgia Southern 75
— Maine (+7.5) 71, Hartford 65
— Texas (+6.5) 52, Oklahoma 51
— Purdue (+5.5) 77, Iowa 68
— Duquesne (+5) 80, VCU 77

6) South Carolina 83, Mississippi State 71— At South Carolina home games, if an opponent goes to the foul line and misses both free throws, everyone in the crowd gets a free chicken sandwich the next day at some takeout place.

Would that make it the fowl line?

5) Cincinnati 79, South Florida 67— Bearcats were down 13 with 13:09 left, but stormed back to win and avoid a terrible loss, which likely would’ve knocked them off the bubble.

4) Miami Heat are only team that has beaten Milwaukee twice this season.

3) Random baseball trivia: Giants P Jeff Samardzija met his wife backstage at a Pink Floyd concert.

2) It should be a rule that an NFL writer can only write one mock draft; when you do more than one, you’re just making stuff up to attract attention.

1) RIP James Lipton, 93, the man who hosted “Inside the Actors Studio” for years on TV.

I accidentally found his show on TV late one night, and am glad I did; the man was totally prepared and asked good questions, while making his guest feel at home. He had his notes on index cards; I’m a big fan of index cards. RIP, sir.

[Udog]

37PHILADELPHIA -38 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (12.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

39COLUMBUS -40 CALGARY
CALGARY is 2-8 ATS (-9 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

41ANAHEIM -42 COLORADO
COLORADO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the current season.

43ARIZONA -44 VANCOUVER
ARIZONA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing 3 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 4

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PHILADELPHIA (38-20-0-7, 83 pts.) at WASHINGTON (40-19-0-6, 86 pts.) - 3/4/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 273-289 ATS (-99.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 157-104 ATS (+285.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-8 ATS (+12.1 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 303-232 ATS (+60.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 80-59 ATS (+0.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-3 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-6 ATS (+2.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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COLUMBUS (32-21-0-14, 78 pts.) at CALGARY (34-26-0-7, 75 pts.) - 3/4/2020, 8:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 9-3 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 3-7 ATS (-5.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CALGARY is 26-28 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 5-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 6-11 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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ANAHEIM (26-31-0-8, 60 pts.) at COLORADO (40-18-0-7, 87 pts.) - 3/4/2020, 9:38 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 4-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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ARIZONA (32-27-0-8, 72 pts.) at VANCOUVER (34-25-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/4/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 69-78 ATS (+188.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 260-261 ATS (-123.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 414-397 ATS (+884.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 108-99 ATS (-71.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-3 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 6-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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NHL

Wednesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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37 PHILADELPHIA @ 38 WASHINGTON
Play On PHILADELPHIA using the Money Line in Road games second half of the season
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses This Season(10.25 units)
4.5 out of 5

37 PHILADELPHIA @ 38 WASHINGTON
Play On WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses This Season(10.85 units)
4.1 out of 5

41 ANAHEIM @ 42 COLORADO
Play Against COLORADO using the Money Line in Home games after a non-conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 16 Losses Last 2 Years(-18.1 units)
2.8 out of 5

41 ANAHEIM @ 42 COLORADO
Play Against COLORADO using the Money Line in Home games after a non-conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 16 Losses Last 2 Years(-18.1 units)
2.8 out of 5

43 ARIZONA @ 44 VANCOUVER
Play On ARIZONA using the Money Line in Road games after a win by 2 goals or more
The record is 1 Wins and 9 Losses This Season(7.95 units)
2.5 out of 5

37 PHILADELPHIA @ 38 WASHINGTON
Play Against WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Home games when playing with 2 days rest
The record is 2 Wins and 6 Losses This Season(-10.45 units)
2.1 out of 5

37 PHILADELPHIA @ 38 WASHINGTON
Play Against WASHINGTON using the Money Line in Home games when playing with 2 days rest
The record is 2 Wins and 6 Losses This Season(-10.45 units)
2.1 out of 5


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 4


Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 37-38
March 4, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.359
Washington
11.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-150
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-150); Under

Columbus @ Calgary

Game 39-40
March 4, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.205
Calgary
10.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+155); Over

Anaheim @ Colorado

Game 41-42
March 4, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
8.968
Colorado
11.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-310
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-310); Under

Arizona @ Vancouver

Game 43-44
March 4, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.860
Vancouver
9.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+100); Under