Announcement

**Udog** · 02-27-2020, 07:46 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the PGA’s Honda Classic this week:

12-1— Brooks Koepka, Tommy Fleetwood

14-1— Rickie Fowler

25-1— Holland, Oosthuizen, Rose, Woodland

30-1— Daniel Berger, Billy Horschel, Sungjae Im

40-1— Shane Lowry

50-1— Joaquin Niemann, Erik Van Rooyen

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Maryland 74, Minnesota 73— Terps have won 10 of their last 11 games; they were down 16 at halftime in this game. Maryland outscored Minnesota 5-0 over final 0:31. Terps led this game for all of 0:24, but they were the right 0:24.

Richard Pitino has been Minnesota’s coach for seven years; they’re 125-106 under Pitino, but only 47-80 in conference games, 1-2 in NCAA tourney games.

If Minnesota/Pitino part ways, the Gophers have to hire Louisville assistant Luke Murray, just so his father, the great comedian Bill Murray, would finally have to root for the Gophers.

12) I think ESPN’s work has mostly gone downhill the last several years, but one thing that remains a quality product is when Scott Van Pelt does the late SportsCenter; his “Bad Beats” segment is an one, especially if you enjoy handicapping.

Couple of years ago, I’m waiting for a friend to finish work at a sportsbook in Las Vegas; it is just before midnight on Christmas Eve, so there were maybe ten of us scattered about sitting there, watching the late SportsCenter, when Bad Beats came on.

When you’re sitting by yourself in a casino on Christmas Eve, it ain’t exactly the highlight of the social season, but the next few minutes were filled with laughter and a few groans as Van Pelt went over some agonizing wagering losses from the past few days. One guy starting yelling about the coach who cost him one big wager; his buddies laughed at him. Good stuff.

11) Arkansas 86, Tennessee 69— Razorbacks have Isaiah Joe back in lineup; they went 0-5 when he was out hurt. Joe scored 22 in this game, going 12-12 on foul line.

10) Penn State 65, Rutgers 64— Nittany Lions blew a 21-point lead, then won the game on a 3-pointer with 0:28 left. PSU was only 14-22 on foul line; Rutgers was 6-11. Scarlet Knights lost six of their last eight games, look like they’re headed to the NIT.

9) South Carolina 94, Georgia 90 OT— I once walked past Gamecocks’ coach Frank Martin at an AAU tournament in Florida; the guy looks like he has a set of NFL shoulder pads under his skin, he is that big. Very large, strong-looking person.

During games, Martin has a scowl that makes me straighten up in my chair sitting at home in my living room. I would not want Frank Martin to be mad at me. Ever.

South Carolina won this game, despite going 23-37 on foul line, which made Martin frown a few times; Gamecocks are 9-4 in their last 13 games- they can see the bubble from where they are, but they’re not quite there yet.

8) Much like the swallows returning to Capistrano each spring, Giancarlos Stanton is hurt again, and will likely miss Opening Day. He has a calf strain now. Oy.

Stanton is making $26M this year; he played in 18 games LY. He’s played in 130+ games four times in his 10-year major league career.

Does he train properly? Does he lift weights too much? One of the great abilities is availability, and Stanton is unavailable way too often.

7) Upsets:
— Binghamton (+9) 76, UMBC 74
— Hartford (+7.5) 65, Stony Brook 54
— UMass (+5.5) 60, VCU 52
— Lehigh (+5) 57, Boston U 55
— Duquesne (+4.5) 81, St Bonaventure 77 OT
— Furman (+4.5) 81, NC-Greensboro 67

6) Florida 81, LSU 66— Florida’s coach is Mike White, whose dad is the AD at Duke. White’s family moved around a lot when he was a kid, as his dad kept getting better jobs. They said on this broadcast that when he was a kid, Mike White lived in 14 different states!!!!

I’ve lived in four houses/apartments my whole life, all within 20 miles of each other.

5) UNLV 76, Boise State 66— Rebels are hot, winning last four games, including giving San Diego State its only loss of the season. You watch UNLV play; their players are moving well without the ball, creating easy baskets. A much improved team that is now in 4th place in the Mountain West.

By the way, they moved the Mountain West tournament up a week this year; it is next week, possibly to avoid competition with the Pac-12 tournament at T-Mobile Arena.

4) Furman 81, NC-Greensboro 67— Road team won both series games this year; these teams are likely to meet again, in SoCon semi-finals. SoCon is an underrated league that needs more TV time.

3) Cavaliers 108, 76ers 94— Joel Embiid (shoulder) left this game early; with Ben Simmons already out, going to be.a rough few weeks for the Sixers if Embiid’s injury is serious.

2) One sportsbook posted an over/under of 83.5 for Astros hitters getting drilled by pitches this season; in their first five spring training games, seven Houston batters were plunked.

Take the over.

1) Mets have a minor league OF named David Thompson who wears #44; am wondering if #44 has anything to do with the great college basketball player David Thompson, who wore #44 when NC State won the college hoop national title in 1974.

Thompson wore #33 as a pro in the ABA/NBA for the Denver Nuggets.

**Udog** · 02-27-2020, 07:48 AM

33CHICAGO -34 TAMPA BAY
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (6.6 Units) after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

35TORONTO -36 FLORIDA
TORONTO is 3-10 ATS (-12 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

37NY RANGERS -38 MONTREAL
NY RANGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in February games in the current season.

39DALLAS -40 BOSTON
DALLAS are 14-4 ATS (10.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

41VANCOUVER -42 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games in the current season.

43MINNESOTA -44 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

45CALGARY -46 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 10-15 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

47WASHINGTON -48 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 4-15 ATS (-12.4 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

49NY ISLANDERS -50 ST LOUIS
NY ISLANDERS are 23-15 ATS (9.4 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

51NEW JERSEY -52 SAN JOSE
NEW JERSEY is 12-11 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-27-2020, 09:34 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 27

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CHICAGO (27-28-0-8, 62 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (40-18-0-5, 85 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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TORONTO (33-23-0-8, 74 pts.) at FLORIDA (33-24-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 33-31 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 34-39 ATS (-25.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-28 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-27 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 5-10 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-4 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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NY RANGERS (34-24-0-4, 72 pts.) at MONTREAL (29-27-0-9, 67 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 102-118 ATS (-53.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 34-28 ATS (+66.3 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 16-12 ATS (+33.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games this season.
NY RANGERS are 15-8 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 26-24 ATS (+55.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 29-36 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-8.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
MONTREAL is 6-12 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONTREAL is 16-40 ATS (+65.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (37-20-0-6, 80 pts.) at BOSTON (39-13-0-12, 90 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 39-51 ATS (-22.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+10.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-16 ATS (+41.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
DALLAS is 19-11 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 304-253 ATS (-110.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 125-115 ATS (-71.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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VANCOUVER (34-22-0-6, 74 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-31-0-12, 54 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 414-395 ATS (-119.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 34-28 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 15-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VANCOUVER is 17-10 ATS (+6.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
OTTAWA is 127-120 ATS (-20.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 5-19 ATS (+36.0 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (30-25-0-7, 67 pts.) at DETROIT (15-46-0-4, 34 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-28 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-11 ATS (+34.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-50 ATS (-65.4 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 8-36 ATS (+70.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DETROIT is 5-33 ATS (+67.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 7-31 ATS (+67.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 467-383 ATS (+64.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (33-25-0-6, 72 pts.) at NASHVILLE (31-23-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 5-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NASHVILLE is 425-449 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
NASHVILLE is 31-31 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 10-13 ATS (-8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (39-18-0-6, 84 pts.) at WINNIPEG (32-27-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 156-103 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-30 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-8 ATS (-7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (35-20-0-7, 77 pts.) at ST LOUIS (37-17-0-10, 84 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 2-9 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-38 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 31-20 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 87-65 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-13 ATS (+35.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 50-33 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-14 ATS (+38.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-13 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (25-27-0-10, 60 pts.) at SAN JOSE (26-33-0-4, 56 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 82-83 ATS (-4.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 22-36 ATS (-21.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 59-61 ATS (-45.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 4-10 ATS (+4.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SAN JOSE is 239-167 ATS (-44.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-27-2020, 10:19 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 27

NY Rangers @ Montreal

Game 37-38
February 27, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.017
Montreal
12.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-130
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-130); Under

Chicago @ Tampa Bay

Game 33-34
February 27, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.459
Tampa Bay
10.148
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-225
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+185); Over

Toronto @ Florida

Game 35-36
February 27, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
10.314
Florida
11.758
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-115
7
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-105); Under

Vancouver @ Ottawa

Game 41-42
February 27, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
9.528
Ottawa
10.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-165
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+145); Over

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 43-44
February 27, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
9.143
Detroit
10.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-210
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+175); Over

Dallas @ Boston

Game 39-40
February 27, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
9.732
Boston
11.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-170); Under

Washington @ Winnipeg

Game 47-48
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
11.150
Winnipeg
9.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-155); Under

Calgary @ Nashville

Game 45-46
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
10.378
Nashville
11.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-130); Under

NY Islanders @ St. Louis

Game 49-50
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.933
St. Louis
12.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-165); Under

New Jersey @ San Jose

Game 51-52
February 27, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
9.546
San Jose
10.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-145
6
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-145); Under

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/27

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/27

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