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**Udog** · 02-21-2020, 07:47 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NBA trends submitted for your perusal……

— Washington covered eight of its last 11 home games.

— Mavericks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.

— Phoenix covered once in its last six road games.

— Knicks are 9-6 ATS at home since changing coaches.

— Minnesota covered twice in its last sixteen games.

— Nuggets are 7-4 in their last eleven games.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

13) Eastern Illinois 63, Murray State 60— Racers led this game 50-23 with 11:45 left to play, and lost; they led by 24 with 8:33 left. Panthers outscored Murray 35-10 over last 10:00 of game, as Racers lose for third time in last five games, and slip into a tie for 2nd in OVC with Belmont.

12) Gonzaga 71, San Francisco 54— USF was up 31-22 at half; first time they met, Gonzaga was down 43-35 at halftime, but won 83-79. Gonzaga was 25-32 on foul line in first meeting, only 4-5 on arc. Last night, they were 5-13 on arc, 8-15 on foul line.

San Francisco might be the best 17-11 team in the country; whoever draws Gonzaga in the NCAA’s is going to watch film of these two games, for sure.

11) Four games in the WCC Thursday, favorites won all four, but none of them covered.

10) Arizona State 77, Oregon 72— Bill Walton’s random fact of the night: Tempe, AZ is the #1 drop-off destination in the country for U-Haul vehicles.

Frank Caliendo joined the broadcast for part of the first half; his impersonation of Walton is spot-on. Having two guys on a broadcast who talk like Walton was a bit much.

9) Temple 93, UConn 89 2OT— Owls were 27-35 on foul line, UConn 18-20, in game where the Huskies led by 12 early on. Temple won three of its last four games, with all three wins by 4 or less points, or in OT.

8) 3-pointers became a permanent thing in college basketball in the fall of 1986; since then, only two teams (UNLV, Princeton) have made a 3-pointer in all their games.

Vanderbilt was also on this list, until they went 0-25 on arc against Tennessee January 18.

7) Indiana State 67, Northern Iowa 64— Minor upset in MVC, but Panthers lose in Terre Haute for fifth year in a row, so not as big an upset as the standings would suggest.

6) Hawai’i 56, Cal-Riverside 55— Rainbows blew a 17-point lead, but won and snapped their 4-game losing skid in what was an oddly entertaining game. Not often Riverside gets national TV exposure; both teams played their hearts out, but neither team is very good.

5) Stanford 72, Washington 64— This is how fragile teams are in today’s college basketball, even really good teams. On January 5, Washington pounded USC 72-40; they were 11-4, ranked #50 in country by KenPom. Then point guard Quade Green flunked out of school.

Since then, losing one player, Washington is 1-11, and has dropped into last place in Pac-12. Huskies would be a lock for the NCAA’s if they had better tutors (kidding, kind of).

4) Upsets:
— Denver (+6.5) 100, Oral Roberts 96 OT
— Wm & Mary (+6) 61, Towson State 51
— Youngstown State (+6) 88, Wright State 70
— UMBC (+5) 69, Albany 50
— Eastern Illinois (+4.5) 63, Murray State 60

3) Surprising stat of the day: Patrick Mahomes played for three years at Texas Tech; they went 16-21 in those three seasons.

2) 76ers 112, Nets 104 OT— If you had Brooklyn +6.5, this was a bitter defeat; Nets led by 20 at one point. Ben Simmons didn’t play; Embiid scored 39, grabbed 16 rebounds.

1) All winter long, I’ve read about the Cubs trading Kris Bryant; all of a sudden, Bryant is going to be their new leadoff hitter. Go figure.

**Udog** · 02-21-2020, 07:48 AM

17DETROIT -18 NY ISLANDERS
BARRY TROTZ is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games (Coach of NY ISLANDERS)

19NY RANGERS -20 CAROLINA
NY RANGERS are 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

21NASHVILLE -22 CHICAGO
NASHVILLE is 11-15 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

23ST LOUIS -24 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-3 ATS (11.6 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

25BOSTON -26 CALGARY
BOSTON is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

27MINNESOTA -28 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 10-2 ATS (11 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

29COLORADO -30 ANAHEIM
COLORADO is 16-7 ATS (9.5 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-21-2020, 07:50 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, February 21

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DETROIT (15-43-0-4, 34 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (33-20-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-47 ATS (+103.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 210-195 ATS (-74.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DETROIT is 8-33 ATS (+70.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 85-64 ATS (+215.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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NY RANGERS (31-24-0-4, 66 pts.) at CAROLINA (34-21-0-4, 72 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 31-28 ATS (+63.5 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 14-12 ATS (+31.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games in February games this season.
NY RANGERS are 11-5 ATS (+17.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NY RANGERS are 155-146 ATS (+313.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 6-11 ATS (-10.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 91-101 ATS (-66.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 9-2 (+11.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 9-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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NASHVILLE (29-23-0-7, 65 pts.) at CHICAGO (26-26-0-8, 60 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 8:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 29-30 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 51-93 ATS (+152.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 11-15 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NASHVILLE is 39-22 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 220-187 ATS (+29.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 17-4 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 40-52 ATS (-34.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 68-76 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 384-387 ATS (+781.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 168-191 ATS (-101.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-4 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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ST LOUIS (33-17-0-10, 76 pts.) at DALLAS (35-19-0-6, 76 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 8:38 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-9 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-9-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)

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BOSTON (38-11-0-12, 88 pts.) at CALGARY (31-24-0-6, 68 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 223-175 ATS (+45.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 19-3 ATS (+13.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
CALGARY is 3-7 ATS (-6.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CALGARY is 26-27 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-13 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a division game this season.
CALGARY is 4-9 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 3-8 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (28-24-0-7, 63 pts.) at EDMONTON (32-21-0-7, 71 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 32-28 ATS (+61.6 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 21-14 ATS (+37.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-14 ATS (+36.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-13 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 15-19 ATS (-8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-4 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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COLORADO (34-18-0-7, 75 pts.) at ANAHEIM (24-29-0-7, 55 pts.) - 2/21/2020, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 581-482 ATS (+58.3 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 268-232 ATS (-2.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 283-260 ATS (+588.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 16-8 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
COLORADO is 156-152 ATS (+330.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 0-8 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 02-21-2020, 02:06 PM

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, February 21

NY Rangers @ Carolina

Game 19-20
February 21, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.287
Carolina
12.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-160); Under

Detroit @ NY Islanders

Game 17-18
February 21, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
8.756
NY Islanders
10.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-300
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-300); Over

Nashville @ Chicago

Game 21-22
February 21, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
10.222
Chicago
11.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-125
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+105); Over

St. Louis @ Dallas

Game 23-24
February 21, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
11.638
Dallas
10.234
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+120); Over

Boston @ Calgary

Game 25-26
February 21, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.585
Calgary
11.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+120); Under

Minnesota @ Edmonton

Game 27-28
February 21, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.576
Edmonton
10.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-105); Under

Colorado @ Anaheim

Game 29-30
February 21, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
10.672
Anaheim
9.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-160
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-160); Over

**Udog** · 02-21-2020, 02:10 PM

by: Josh Inglis

ST LOUIS BLUES AT DALLAS STARS
WESTERN SHOWDOWN

Two of the top teams in the West will square off on Friday when the struggling St. Louis Blues visit the Dallas Stars. The Blues have managed just 17 points since the beginning of the year and are losers of five of their last six games.
Dallas, on the other hand, has the most points in the West over its last 10 games even though the Stars are allowing the 10th-most goals and scoring the 13th-fewest goals per game since January 12.

Not known for their offense, the Stars shouldn’t have any problem scoring against the Blues as the defending champs are allowing 3.45 a game in their last 10 (the sixth-highest rate in the league), although they did shutout the Devils on Tuesday. The Blues have won the last three meetings in Dallas while the Under has hit in eight straight meetings. We like the home team on the moneyline and wouldn’t say no to the Under 5.5.

WINNIPEG JETS AT PHILADELPHIA FLYERS
BATTLE OF THE BEST

Saturday afternoon gives us February’s best offense in the Eastern Conference as the Flyers host the Winnipeg Jets. Philadelphia is averaging just over four goals a game this month and is 6-3 O/U. The Jets are scoring 3.56 goals per contest (5th) this month thanks in part to averaging 34.5 shots per game — the fifth-most in the league.

These two clubs played to a 7-3 Jets win back in December and we like another high-scoring affair on Saturday afternoon. Both teams won’t be on much rest as they will be playing their third game in five nights. We are a big fan of afternoon Overs and home teams. We are riding the Flyers’ moneyline if priced reasonably and for sure taking the Over which should be set at 6 but willing to play it at 6.5

CAROLINA HURRICANES AT TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
FADING FAST

The last time the Maple Leafs played the Carolina Hurricanes, Toronto walked away with an incredible 8-6 win after blowing a 3-0 lead and trailing 5-3 in the third. Well, the Leafs don’t seem to have the same fight in them as before and have only won in regulation twice in their last ten games.

They may be fighting for a playoff seed but the Buds have shown very little motivation heading into the weekend with embarrassing losses to Pittsburgh and Buffalo earlier in the week. Saturday will mark Toronto’s third game in five nights and its second chance to collect a regulation win at home since Jan 14. Even with the decent performance at home versus Pittsburgh on Thursday, we are still in full Toronto fade-mode and will look to take the Canes on the moneyline or team total Over 3.5.

CALGARY FLAMES AT DETROIT RED WINGS
FLAMING THE WINGS

Want a piece of the league’s hottest offense? On Sunday, the red-hot Calgary Flames will take their league-best offense over the last five games to Detroit — the league’s worst team at keeping pucks out of its net.

On the year, Detroit is dead-last in goals allowed per game at 3.74 per contest and also sits last in save percentage. Calgary won’t have a problem racking up goals, but it’s the defense/goaltending that has us looking at the Over. Although the Flames are scoring over four goals a game this month, they are also surrendering the most goals against, too. Taking an Over with Detroit is risky (26-28-8 O/U on the season) but if they can get two, Calgary should be able to do the rest. We are taking the Over 6 to wrap up the week.

GOALIE PROFILE: SERGEI BOBROVSKY, FLORIDA PANTHERS

With the Panthers in the middle of a playoff race, one would expect some steady goaltending from their prized off-season acquisition, but unfortunately for the Cats, Sergei Bobrovsky has been anything but consistent. Bob has won just two of his last seven starts and has an ugly 3.60 goals against over the last 30 days.

Over backers have enjoyed the Florida goalie’s starts this year. In his last 21 starts, Bobrovsky has allowed three or more goals in 16 of those games. Think about that for a bit. There is a reason Florida is 34-21-3 O/U on the season. The Panthers take on the Golden Knights in Vegas on Saturday night.

INJURY UPDATE: F MIKKO RANTANEN, COLORADO AVALANCHE

The Colorado Avalanche will be without forward Mikko Rantanen for an extended period of time after Monday’s loss to the Lightning. Rantanen is second on the team in points per game at just under one per contest. The Finnish forward has already missed 16 games this and won’t be able to help his team as the Avs make a push to win the Pacific Division.

Since Rantanen's return in late November, the Avs have averaged 3.52 goals per game (2nd) and are 20 percent on the powerplay (20th). In the games that Rantanen was out of the lineup in late October and November, Colorado managed just a slight dip in goal production at 3.38 per game (7th) and a similar 19 percent on the powerplay. There is a reason why the Avs are one of the best teams in the league and part of that has to do with their adaptability. Don’t fade the Avs just because they are missing their top winger.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• A big part of hitting -1.5 pucklines, which are hitting at 34 percent over the last month, is getting the empty netter. Some teams are better at that than others with players who are in scoring races always looking to get a freebie or two. The Capitals, Coyotes, Bruins, Hurricanes and Leafs are the league’s best at getting empty-net goals while the Golden Knights, Ducks, Devils, Kings and Canadiens are scoring the fewest.

• A great bet that holds a lot of value is “team to score first wins — NO.” These odds usually sit in the +160 to +200 range and some teams are much better at cashing than others. The Red Wings (obviously), Kings, Ducks, Canadiens, Jets, Rangers, Sabres and Senators are the league’s losingest teams when scoring first. Oddly, the Boston Bruins have a .595 winning percentage when scoring first which is the seventh-worst mark in the league. The Panthers and Hurricanes are the only two teams that are winning at .800 percent or better when scoring first.

• Powerplay goals are an important part of hitting Overs. It is uncommon to get six or seven 5-on-5 goals in a single game. The Ducks, Senators and Blues are all allowing at least one powerplay goal against per game in February while the Stars and Wild are scoring at least one powerplay goal per game in February. The Flyers and Coyotes lead the league this month in powerplay time on ice per game while the Bruins and Hurricanes lead the league in penalty kill time on ice per game.

Announcement

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/21

Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/21

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