Announcement

**Udog** · 02-17-2020, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six of the least experienced teams in country:

353) Memphis 17-8, 6-6

351) Utah 14-11, 5-8

350) Virginia Tech 15-10, 6-8

347) NC-Wilmington 8-20, 3-12

346) Florida 16-9, 8-4

345) UMass 10-15, 4-8

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Four years ago, James Madison fired basketball coach Matt Brady after consecutive seasons of 19-14/21-11, when they went 23-13 in conference games. Brady coached the Dukes for eight years, making the NCAA Tournament once. Apparently, that wasn’t enough.

In four years since, JMU is 43-80 overall, 21-47 in conference play. Maybe they should bring Brady back as coach.

12) It has been 20 years since a Big 14 team won the college basketball national title; Michigan State in 2000 was the least team to do that.

11) If you’re a college basketball coach and you have several sons of former NBA players on your team, I’d say thats a pretty good endorsement for your program.

This year, Cal-Irvine has Collin Welp, Jeron Artest; last year, they had Spencer Rivers, Max Hazzard, JC Butler. Russell Turner is a former NBA assistant coach who has built the Anteaters into the best program in the Big West, 95-30 in conference games the last eight years.

10) New Red Sox acquisition Alex Verdugo is still rehabilitating from a stress fracture in his lower back, an injury that sidelined him for the lasttwo months of 2019 and the playoffs. He will likely start 2020 on the injured list.

I’m guessing Red Sox fans aren’t overly excited by this news; Boston’s front office did know about the injury before they made the big trade.

9) Season flies by; on Saturday Elon was the first D-I team this season to have their Senior Day. Conference tournaments will be starting in a couple of weeks.

8) Texas Tech has a basketball player named Jahmi’us Ramsey who is making 45.5% of his 3-point shots, but only 62.5% of his foul shots. How is it possible that a kid can be so prolific on the arc, but so erratic on the charity stripe?

7) Upsets:
— Ill-Chicago (+9) 73, Northern Kentucky 43
— Iowa (+5) 58, Minnesota 55
— Loyola Md (+5) 84, Colgate 80
— Boston College (+4.5) 71, NC State 68
— Niagara (+3.5) 77, Monmouth 72
— Missouri State (+3.5) 71, Indiana State 58

6) Shaquille O’Neal’s son Shareef is transferring from UCLA to LSU; not sure why it didn’t work out for him at UCLA, but LSU is Shaq’s alma mater, and I’m guessing he’s a big donor to the school, so what happens if the young man doesn’t play well at LSU? Could be very awkward.

5) On March 13, a new basketball league starts in Africa, with 12 teams representing six countries on that continent. NBA is sponsoring the league, as they work towards growing the game world-wide.

4) NHL’s Vegas Golden Knights have a good TV commercial on their local TV channel; fathers of players reading mean tweets from “fans” while the son sits there and listens. Solid stuff.

3) Won’t be posting any prop bets on home runs this season; will the baseballs be juiced like they were last year? Will they be normal again? Important information to have for prop bets.

2) They moved the bullpens off the field in San Francisco to behind the fence in right-conter field, so the dimensions there are a little shorter this year. Miami also moved its fences in a little bit this season. If the Marlins wanted more home runs, maybe they should’ve kept Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich. Just a thought.

1) UConn 64, Memphis 61— Tigers are least-experienced team in country; they’ve lost three games in a row, are 17-8, 6-6 in AAC, and are quickly falling off the bubble, despite having the best eFG% defense in country.

**Udog** · 02-17-2020, 08:38 AM

41FLORIDA -42 SAN JOSE
FLORIDA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

43NY ISLANDERS -44 ARIZONA
NY ISLANDERS are 23-12 ATS (12.8 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

45ANAHEIM -46 CALGARY
CALGARY is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

47WASHINGTON -48 VEGAS
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

49TAMPA BAY -50 COLORADO
TAMPA BAY is 17-4 ATS (11.8 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

**Udog** · 02-17-2020, 10:53 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, February 17

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FLORIDA (30-22-0-6, 66 pts.) at SAN JOSE (26-28-0-4, 56 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 198-217 ATS (-75.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 22-31 ATS (-17.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 4-9 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (33-18-0-6, 72 pts.) at ARIZONA (29-24-0-8, 66 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 85-62 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 102-111 ATS (+249.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (24-27-0-7, 55 pts.) at CALGARY (30-24-0-6, 66 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 4:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 581-480 ATS (+32.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 306-241 ATS (+34.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CALGARY is 3-7 ATS (-5.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CALGARY is 25-27 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-13 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.7 Units)

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WASHINGTON (37-16-0-5, 79 pts.) at VEGAS (30-22-0-8, 68 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 6:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 17-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 154-100 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-26 ATS (+11.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-28 ATS (+70.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 28-10 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VEGAS is 30-30 ATS (-20.6 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 31-33 ATS (-17.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 9-16 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VEGAS is 11-15 ATS (-11.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (39-15-0-5, 83 pts.) at COLORADO (33-18-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/17/2020, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 101-44 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 46-22 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in February games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-3 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
TAMPA BAY is 260-251 ATS (+528.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 55-65 ATS (-53.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, February 17

Florida @ San Jose

Game 41-42
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
9.884
San Jose
11.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+115); Under

Anaheim @ Calgary

Game 45-46
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
9.874
Calgary
11.164
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-190
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-190); Over

NY Islanders @ Arizona

Game 43-44
February 17, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.962
Arizona
9.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+110); Under

Washington @ Vegas

Game 47-48
February 17, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
9.826
Vegas
11.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-130
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-130); Under

Tampa Bay @ Colorado

Game 49-50
February 17, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.880
Colorado
12.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+100); Under

**Udog** · 02-17-2020, 11:01 AM

By: Josh Inglis

NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT ARIZONA COYOTES
AFTERNOON DELIGHT

Monday is President’s Day (US) and Family Day (Canada) which means a trio of 4 p.m. ET games. The Islanders bring their six-period goalless drought to Arizona to take on the Coyotes who are clinging to the final playoff spot in the West. Arizona is 6-4 SU at home in its last 10 but has gotten at least one point in nine of those games.

The Islanders have played to a sub-.500 record against the West this year and are 1-6 SU on the road in their last seven matches against Western Conference opponents. We like the home team on this holiday early game and are fading an Islanders team that has been shutout in back-to-back games.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT COLORADO AVALANCHE
BATTLE OF THE BEST

It’s not often we get a Tampa Bay moneyline that is -120 or better, but Monday night gives us a great price on the Lightning mainly because Tampa is in Colorado and facing arguably the West’s best team in the Avalanche.

The Lightning are riding a 10-game winning streak (eight wins in regulation) and have also won six straight on the road. Since January 1, Tampa Bay leads the league in goals against allowing just 1.71 goals per game. Tampa is also scoring at the third-best rate (3.64 per game) which is impressive because its powerplay has been awful at a league-worst 7.7 percent success rate.

The Avalanche have dropped two straight games and will likely be without their No. 1 goaltender in Philipp Grubauer. The next man up is Pavel Francouz who is 2-2 SU in 2020 and has done much worse at home this year with a .902 save percentage in the Pepsi Centre versus a .946 save percentage on the road. Francouz has started just two games in the last 35 days. We are grabbing the Lightning on the moneyline.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
LEAFS ON THE BUBBLE

The Toronto Maple Leafs have hit the Under in four of thir last five games and are coming off a bad 5-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres on Sunday that doesn’t help their playoff hopes. However, on the year Toronto is one of the best road Over teams hitting it at 63% on the season and is 7-3 O/U in its last 10 road games.

Goalie Freddy Andersen should draw the start against the Penguins on Tuesday, and the Leafs No. 1 goalie has a 3.95 goals against average and a .857 save percentage in the last 14 days.

The Leafs will face a Penguins team in Pittsburgh on Tuesday that finished the week with a comfortable 5-1 win over the Red Wings and has recorded at least one point in 11 of its last 12 home games — winning nine. Pittsburgh took the only matchup earlier this year with a 6-1 thumping of the Buds back in November. We like the Pens on the ML and the Over 6.5 especially with Toronto’s D-core extremely banged up.

NEW YORK RANGERS AT CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS
RANGERS LOOK GOOD IN ORIGINAL SIX MATCHUP

On Wednesday, the Rangers and their 4-1 SU record over their last five head to Chicago to take on the Blackhawks who have lost six of their last seven.
The Rangers have been hot over their last 10 and have the fourth-most points in the East across that stretch. Chicago has won four of the last five original-six matchups but both teams have yet to face each other this year.

The Rangers’ powerplay has been the catalyst to their success as the Blue Shirts top the league since January 1 in power play scoring percentage at an impressive 37 percent. That could be a problem for the Chicago penalty kill as it is giving up goals at a 20-percent rate while shorthanded since the new year. We are taking the visiting team on the moneyline.

GOALIE PROFILE: TUUKKA RASK, BOSTON BRUIN

The Bruins’ backstop has been a wall in 2020 and hasn't allowed more than two goals in any of his 10 starts in the new year. Rask has won seven of those 10 games including five of his last six. The Bruins, as a team, have the fourth-best save percentage against scoring chances and the fifth-best save percentage against high danger shots.

Boston travels to Edmonton on Wednesday and although Rask hasn’t lost at home this year, he is still 8-5 SU with a 2.24 GAA on the road. Rest has also been beneficial to the Finnish netminder as Rask has just one regulation loss in his 22 starts with three or more days of rest. With Boston playing on the road, we might get a better price for the Bruins moneyline in regulation.

INJURY UPDATE: F EVGENY KUZNETSOV, WASHINGTON CAPITALS

The Washington Capitals are one the league’s best Over teams going 36-19-3 O/U on the year but the Caps will be without Evgeny Kuznetsov for a third straight game on Monday for their date with the Golden Knights.

The Under has hit in both games that Kuznetsov — the team’s second-line center and scoring 0.87 points per game — has missed and now the Capitals’ offense will face Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury who is coming off a 19-save shutout on Saturday. Fleury is quite familiar with the Capitals from his time with the Penguins. We like the Under 6.5 on Monday.

HAT TRICK TRENDS

• With the playoff race tightening up with just 20 or so games to go for most teams, it’s no wonder that the Under has been hitting more consistently of late. Over the last seven days, teams went 22-31 O/U with the Under hitting at 58.5 percent with that number dropping to 52 percent over the last month.

• This week gives us some great cross-conference trends to test. The Bruins are 15-6 SU versus the West and 7-2 SU against the Pacific Division and face the Oilers in Edmonton on Wednesday. Edmonton is 15-13 SU at home this year but 10-2 SU against teams from the Metro Division. The Islanders are 3-7 SU versus the Pacific this year and travel to Arizona Monday to face the Coyotes who are 12-14 SU against Eastern Conference opponents.

• Looking for some plays that have been hitting at 80 percent or better? Take a look at first-period totals. The Kings and Blue Jackets are both hitting first-period Unders at 90 percent over their last 10 while the Capitals are hitting the 1P Over at 90 percent in their last 10.

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/17

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/17

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