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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/14

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, February 14

    Good Luck on day # 45 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's four-pack

    XFL odds for Week 2:

    — New York @ Washington (-5.5, 48)

    — Tampa Bay (-2.5, 45) @ Seattle

    — Dallas (-4.5, 48) @ Los Angeles

    — St Louis @ Houston (-8, 50)


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    ere…….

    13) When ESPN first started 40 years ago, during the NCAA tournament, they would replay games all night long; it was excellent. You could basically go from noon Thursday to 6:30 Sunday night, constantly watching basketball, except you have to sleep, so I’d pick crummy games to catch naps during, two hours at a time.

    These days, CBS Sports Network does that during the tournament, and ESPNU has started showing games all night long during the regular season. Tremendous.

    12) Cincinnati 92, Memphis 86— Young Tigers led by 10 with 6:11 left, but couldn’t finish the job and are now 4-5 in their last nine games, after starting season 12-1.

    11) Oregon 68, Colorado 60— Ducks’ G Payton Pritchard is only player in country to lead his team in assists per game, and scoring. He had 15 points, six assists in this game.

    10) Jeff Bezos is the CEO of Amazon; he just bought a mansion in Beverly Hills, for $165M. Not sure what the hell is in a mansion that costs that much money— pinball machines, bowling alleys, saunas, swimming pools. I’d want a movie theater and a basketball court, for $165M. Maybe even a golf course.

    9) Mike Trout has been in the major leagues for eight years, and has never won a playoff game. Looking at the Angels’ pitching rotation for this year, its not looking good for 2020, either.

    8) There are keeper fantasy baseball leagues that use only one league, so if you’re in an AL-only league and you had Mookie Betts, him getting traded to the Dodgers makes him ineligible, which is a total freaking disaster for your team. Wouldn’t want to be in a league like that.

    7) Upsets:
    — Idaho (+14) 74, Eastern Washington 71
    — SIU-Edwardsville (+10) 76, Eastern Illinois 74
    — UL-Monroe (+6) 74, Troy 71
    — Gardner-Webb (+5) 74, Winthrop 70
    — Eastern Kentucky (+4) 78, Morehead State 71

    6) UCLA 86, Washington State 83 OT— Bruins were down 12 in second half, rallied to win despite a 3-10 night on foul line from freshman G Campbell, who did have four steals and three assists. Kid is shooting 63.3% on foul line for season, so he just had a bad night.

    5) Austin Peay 71, Murray State 68— In three years under Matt Figger, Governors are 36-13 in Ohio Valley games, after going 27-53 the previous five years. Excellent coaching job, but there may be big-money teams looking to poach coach Figger this spring.

    4) Indiana 89, Iowa 77— Hoosiers made 11-21 on arc, broke a 4-game losing skid, surviving a 38-point outburst from Luka Garza.

    One of the most interesting parts about March Madness will be how all these middling Big 14 teams do in the tournament- their TV network makes every team in the league sound like the Kareem/Magic Lakers.

    3) Texas State 74, Little Rock 66— This is a likely semi-final matchup in Sun Belt tourney; this loss breaks the Trojans’ 7-game win streak. Kid for Texas State scored 26 points and he didn’t start the game; the Sun Belt tournament is going to be fun.

    2) Celtics 141, Clippers 133, 2OT— Between this game and the LA-Denver game Wednesday night, two good advertisements for the NBA, as they head into their week off for the All-Star Game. Hard-fought games between good teams. Fun to watch.

    1) Here’s a tip for major league baseball; put an earpiece in the catchers’ ear, put a little mike on the pitcher. Then the pitcher can cover his mouth, talk to the catcher, call his pitches, and there is no issue with this BS/sign stealing stuff. It is 2020, for Pete’s sake. Let’s get creative.

    Comment


    • #3
      73SAN JOSE -74 WINNIPEG
      WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game in the current season.

      75NY RANGERS -76 COLUMBUS
      COLUMBUS are 10-2 ATS (9.4 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

      77NEW JERSEY -78 CAROLINA
      NEW JERSEY is 10-7 ATS (8.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

      79MONTREAL -80 PITTSBURGH
      MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.




      NHL

      Friday, February 14


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      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Winnipeg Jets
      Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
      Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing San Jose
      Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
      Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
      San Jose Sharks
      San Jose is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
      San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
      San Jose is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Jose's last 12 games on the road
      San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
      San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

      Columbus Blue Jackets
      Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Columbus is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Columbus's last 13 games
      Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
      Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone OVER in 14 of Columbus's last 21 games when playing NY Rangers
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
      New York Rangers
      NY Rangers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
      NY Rangers is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
      NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
      NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
      The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Rangers's last 21 games when playing Columbus
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus

      Pittsburgh Penguins
      Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
      Pittsburgh is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
      Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
      Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
      Montreal Canadiens
      Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
      Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
      Montreal is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
      Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

      Carolina Hurricanes
      No Trends to Report
      New Jersey Devils
      No Trends to Report


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      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Friday, February 14


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN JOSE (24-28-0-4, 52 pts.) at WINNIPEG (29-24-0-5, 63 pts.) - 2/14/2020, 7:08 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN JOSE is 80-78 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+13.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
        WINNIPEG is 9-14 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 5-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY RANGERS (29-23-0-4, 62 pts.) at COLUMBUS (30-17-0-11, 71 pts.) - 2/14/2020, 7:08 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLUMBUS is 7-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
        COLUMBUS is 7-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW JERSEY (21-25-0-10, 52 pts.) at CAROLINA (32-21-0-3, 67 pts.) - 2/14/2020, 7:08 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW JERSEY is 6-3 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        NEW JERSEY is 6-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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        MONTREAL (27-25-0-7, 61 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (34-15-0-6, 74 pts.) - 2/14/2020, 7:08 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MONTREAL is 2-12 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 7-12 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a division game this season.
        MONTREAL is 19-39 ATS (+63.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
        PITTSBURGH is 34-21 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
        MONTREAL is 27-22 ATS (+56.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 18-8 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PITTSBURGH is 5-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Friday, February 14



          San Jose @ Winnipeg

          Game 73-74
          February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          San Jose
          11.437
          Winnipeg
          10.035
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          San Jose
          by 1 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Winnipeg
          -145
          6 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          San Jose
          (+125); Under

          Montreal @ Pittsburgh


          Game 79-80
          February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Montreal
          10.353
          Pittsburgh
          11.276
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Pittsburgh
          -185
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (-185); Under

          NY Rangers @ Columbus


          Game 75-76
          February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NY Rangers
          12.379
          Columbus
          10.931
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NY Rangers
          by 1 1/2
          4
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Columbus
          -150
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Rangers
          (+130); Under

          New Jersey @ Carolina


          Game 77-78
          February 14, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Jersey
          11.070
          Carolina
          11.992
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Carolina
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Carolina
          -250
          6
          Dunkel Pick:
          Carolina
          (-250); Under

          Comment


          • #6
            The outbreak of the coronavirus in China has started having ramifications around the NHL. Specifically, it’s impacting some players’ ability to get new hockey sticks.

            Many professional sticks are manufactured in China, and according to a report from The Boston Globe, work and travel restrictions in the region have severely hampered the ability for companies to produce and ship new gear. Bauer and CCM craft 75.7 percent of hockey sticks used by NHL players and both companies make those sticks in China.

            The stick shortage has hit several players in the Devils’ locker room, and they’ve been trying to navigate around that inconvenience for the past few weeks.

            “It’s definitely been tough. A lot of guys have actually started to use each others’ sticks,” Devils forward Kevin Rooney told NJ Advance Media. “Right now, I’m using (Blake) Coleman’s stick. It’s tough not having a lot of sticks because guys like to go through them. Even if they’re not breaking, guys like to switch — once a week, minimum — to try to use a new stick. Just the way they’re built, the pop in the stick goes away after a week.”

            The number of sticks used in a season varies by player. Some, like Devils forward Miles Wood, like to use a new stick every game. Others, like winger Jesper Bratt, will use a stick until it breaks.
            Bratt said he’s used the same stick for the past nine games and has a decent supply left, so he hasn’t been hampered by the current shortage. Other players are also lucky enough to still have a good number of sticks stocked up.

            But while Rooney is currently using one of Coleman’s sticks, Coleman is also one of the few feeling the pain of the short supply.
            Right before the outbreak started and the manufacturing of sticks slowed, Coleman switched his stick, so the shortage came at the worst time for him. For more than a month, he’s been using sticks that don’t have his name on them.

            “Hoping they get it open soon,” Coleman said. “In the meantime, I’ve just been using a partially broken stick for the last couple games, but trying to ride that one out as long as possible.”

            Coleman has two goals in the past two games with that partially broken stick, so he at least seems to be getting by just fine while he waits for new lumber.
            Rooney said the shortage has also indirectly hurt the fans, since it’s been harder for players to give away sticks before or after games. At this moment, there are only so many to go around, and players need to be conservative about handing out souvenirs.

            When it comes to hockey sticks, players are very particular about the details. The length, the amount of curve and flexibility all factor into a player’s use. Slightly altering even one of those things can have an impact.

            “For most hockey guys, we’re all obviously creatures of habit, so anything that throws off our routine, we don’t really like," Rooney said. "Especially with something equipment related.”

            Comment


            • #7
              by: Josh Inglis

              NEW YORK RANGERS AT COLOMBUS BLUE JACKETS
              CHEERING FOR GOALIES


              The New York Rangers (3-2 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) have won five of their last seven (including four straight on the road) ahead of their Friday night matchup in Columbus versus the Blue Jackets (3-2 SU, 1-4 O/U last five). Both teams will be on the backend of a back-to-back with the Rangers 4-3 SU and 3-3-1 O/U in the second game of those scenarios while the Jackets record sits at 4-2 SU and 3-3 O/U in their last six B2Bs.

              The Blue Jackets have seen just one Over at home in their last 11 home games while the Rangers have been getting steady goaltending on the road of late, hitting the Under in four of their last five road games. The teams split a pair of road victories earlier this season with the Under hitting in both contests. We are riding both teams’ Under trends and taking the Under 5.5 on Friday night.


              TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT OTTAWA SENATORS
              BATTLE OF ONTARIO


              Looking for a big underdog on Saturday night? Take a look in Ottawa where the Senators, losers of six of seven, take on a Toronto Maple Leafs team that has won just two of the previous six matchups. These two teams met just two weeks ago on Saturday night and the Sens lost on the road in overtime as +230 dogs.

              Ottawa hasn’t had much to play for this year, so getting up for a nationally televised game on Saturday night versus its provincial rivals shouldn’t be a problem. The +1.5 puckline has hit in all seven of Toronto’s last seven games and should be priced well for Saturday night. Feel free to take the Sens on the moneyline, but don’t forget about the +1.5.


              NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT LAS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS
              GOALS IN THE DESERT


              You might have to stay up late on Saturday night if you plan on watching our favorite Over bet on the board. The Islanders travel to Sin City as both clubs are riding profitable Over trends of late. The Knights are averaging 3.3 goals for and against in their last 10 and have hit the Over in eight of their last 10 games at home.

              The Islanders lead the league in goals for over their last five (4.0/game) but are struggling to find consistency in net as they are rotating between Thomas Greiss (12 goals allowed in his last four starts and 3-0-1 O/U) and Semyon Varlamov (13 goals allowed in his last four starts and 3-1 O/U). We are taking the Over 6.5 on this Saturday nightcap and wouldn’t be surprised if it opens at 6 as both teams sit in the middle of the league in total O/U on the year.


              EDMONTON OILERS AT CAROLINA HURRICANES
              NO, MCDAVID, NO PROBLEM


              The Carolina Hurricanes and the East’s second-best record (17-9) against Western Conference opponents host the Connor McDavid-less Oilers on Sunday at 4 ET. The Canes have only dropped one game in regulation at home in their last eight but are 5-2-1 O/U over that stretch.

              We like the Canes’ moneyline but feel the price will be heavy on the juice and with the Oilers going 14-8 SU versus the East we might have to pass on the ML and look at taking the Over 6.

              No team in the league is having higher scoring games than the Oilers over the last 10 games (7.2/game) and they have managed to score without their captain, putting up five against Chicago in their first game without McDavid. Take the Over.


              GOALIE PROFILE: MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD, NEW JERSEY DEVILS

              The Devils’ backstop has had a hot start to the month collecting back-to-back shutouts last week and has posted a 1.95 goals against over the last 30 days. The Devils are just 3-7 SU in their last 10 but Blackwood is 7-2 SU in his last nine decisions. Even with the shutouts, it may be difficult to trust the Devils and the Under as they are allowing the third-most scoring chances against over the last 30 days and sit 26th in team save percentage.

              New Jersey will take on the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday and then the defensive juggernaut Blue Jackets on Sunday. Blackwood’s splits favor Friday’s road game as the goalie is 11-5 SU on the road compared to 6-14 SU at home, but check in on the game’s starters as Blackwood started on Thursday but could possibly play back-to-back with poor backup options in New Jersey.


              INJURY UPDATE: F CAM ATKINSON, COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

              Cam Atkinson missed nearly a month late in December and the Jackets went 10-4 SU. Since his return to the lineup, the Jackets are 5-3 SU but will be without Atkinson again for up to three weeks. The 90’s fad diet sits third amongst Columbus forwards in ice-time (17:39/g) while also playing top powerplay minutes.

              The Blue Jackets aren’t known as an offensive team but have actually performed better with Atkinson in the lineup. In the games that forward missed this year, the Jackets averaged 2.83 goals per game and 17.2 percent on the powerplay (87 percent on the PK) and with the former 40-goal scorer in the lineup, they averaged just 2.4 goals per game and 9.1 percent on the PP (94.1 percent on the PK). Keep rolling with Columbus and take any discount that may come with Atkinson’s injury.


              HAT TRICK TRENDS

              • Favorites cleaned up last week going 31-16 with away favorites really dominating, finishing 11-2 over the last seven days. Much like last week, the puckline wasn’t as successful but still had a positive return hitting at 40 percent.

              • The league’s best Over team on the road (66%), the Nashville Predators, head to St. Louis on Saturday for an afternoon game. The Blues aren’t known as an Over team but are 9-4-2 O/U in their last 15. The Preds are 8-2 O/U on totals of 5.5 this year and 18-7 O/U on totals of 6.

              • The Washington Capitals are currently 9-1 O/U on first-period totals in their last 10. While there is usually a lot of juice on single 1P Over plays, first-period Under plays can be profitable with odds at even money or better. The Los Angeles Kings and Columbus Blue Jackets are both crushing 1P Unders of late with both teams going 1-9 O/U in their last 10.

              Comment

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