Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/5

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, February 5

Good Luck on day # 36 of 2020!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Tennessee 69, Alabama 68— Vols trailed by 15 in first half.
— Ohio State 61, Michigan 58— Wolverines are 13-9 after starting out 7-0.
— Auburn 79, Arkansas 76 OT— Hogs forced 18 turnovers, were only 16-26 on foul line.
— Penn State 75, Michigan State 70— Nittany Lions won their last five games.
— Maryland 56, DePaul 51— Scoring is down; refs have stopped calling most fouls.
— Duke 63, BC 55— Teams combined to miss their first 26 3-point shots.


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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) Red Sox-Dodgers-Twins made a 3-team trade Tuesday night.
— Boston gets: OF Alex Verdugo, P Brusdar Graterol
— Dodgers get: OF Mookie Betts, P David Price.
— Twins get: P Kenta Maeda

— Red Sox are paying some of Price’s salary over the next three years, maybe as much as half. He is owed $96M over the next three seasons.
— Why was Boston so anxious to trade Betts? 27 years old, scored 264 runs, knocked in 160 the last two years.

12) Dodgers also traded OF Joc Peterson to the Angels for utility guy Luis Rentifo; there were other prospects exchanged in this deal, not sure which ones.

11) There was also a 4-team, 12-player trade in the NBA that is way too complicated to try and analyze here. Timberwolves pretty much cleaned house, trading five players, getting four back, plus a first round draft pick.

10) Houston Astros hired James Click as their new GM; he used to be the Rays’ VP of baseball operations. 42-year-old Click has spent the last 14 years with the Rays, including the last three as a high-ranking member of the baseball operations staff.

New GM’s of the Red Sox, Astros both worked for Tampa Bay last season.

9) This gambler had a bad day at MGM Grand in Las Vegas Sunday:
— $50K on over 10.5, 1st quarter- L
— $500K on 49ers 1st half (pick)- T
— $550K on 49ers, +1.5- L
— $500K on over 26.5 1st half- L
— $330K on over 53.5- L
— $220K more over over 53.5- L
— $285K on 49ers 2nd half (pick)- L

Guy lost almost $2M Sunday. Thats million, with an M.

8) Chiefs’ playoff run:
— First round: Had bye after Patriots (-17) lost in Week 17
— Second round: W51-31. Trailed 24-0 with 11:00 left in half.
— AFC title game: W35-24. Trailed 17-7 wth 5:00 left in half.
— Super Bowl: W31-20. Trailed 20-10 with 7:00 left in game.

Quite a run. Lot of drama.

7) Reigning champs in the four major sports:
— Chiefs, NFL— Won first title in 50 years.
— Nationals, MLB— Won first title ever in October.
— Raptors, NBA— Won first title ever last spring.
— Blues, NHL— Won first title ever last spring.

6) Tuesday night upsets:
— Tennessee (+6) 69, Alabama 68
— Penn State (+5.5) 75, Michigan State 70
— Northern Illinois (+5.5) 66, Toledo 61
— Western Michigan (+5.5) 64, Miami 60
— Ball State (+4) 62, Kent State 54
— Eastern Michigan (+4) 66, Buffalo 62

5) College football stuff:
— Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio steps down the day before the second Signing Day, which is more than a little weird.
— KJ Costello bolts from Stanford to Mississippi State, because all QB’s want to play for Mike Leach.
— Former Clemson QB Chase Brice is jumping to ACC rival Duke.

4) 76ers lost 10 of their last 12 road games (1-10-1 ATS); how can a team with this much talent do so poorly on the road?

3) Lefty P Marco Gonzales gets four years, $30M to stay with the Mariners.

2) ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla was highly critical of Kansas State G Cartier Diarra during Monday night’s home loss to Baylor, questioning his commitment to the team after he got a technical foul in the first half. You don’t hear a lot of that on network TV broadcasts.

1) If you love football, XFL starts Saturday; there will be four games each week for ten weeks, with eight teams playing in the league’s first season.

[Udog]

27TORONTO -28 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 16-10 ATS (11.4 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.

29BOSTON -30 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.




NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 5

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TORONTO (28-18-0-7, 63 pts.) at NY RANGERS (25-22-0-4, 54 pts.) - 2/5/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 77-65 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-33 ATS (-21.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 421-427 ATS (-136.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TORONTO is 202-220 ATS (-80.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 107-130 ATS (-42.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 254-259 ATS (-109.6 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 129-158 ATS (-96.9 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 218-258 ATS (-136.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 122-148 ATS (-55.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-5 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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BOSTON (31-10-0-12, 74 pts.) at CHICAGO (25-21-0-6, 56 pts.) - 2/5/2020, 8:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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NHL

Wednesday, February 5

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Trend Report
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New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Rangers's last 21 games
NY Rangers is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games at home
NY Rangers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Rangers's last 11 games at home
NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 5


Toronto @ NY Rangers

Game 27-28
February 5, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
9.630
NY Rangers
10.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-140
7
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+120); Under

Boston @ Chicago

Game 29-30
February 5, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.057
Chicago
12.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+130); Under